Longview Economics @Lvieweconomics
Pioneers In Independent Economic Analysis Located In London. Tweets not financial advice. The Daily RAG Trader (FREE TRIAL): https://t.co/wQ2NVqm9yk longvieweconomics.com London Joined September 2014-
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PCE 0.3% MoM, Exp. 0.3% PCE Core 0.3% MoM, Exp. 0.3% PCE 2.7% YoY, Exp. 2.6% PCE Core 2.8% YoY, Exp. 2.7% @zerohedge
China's Cornerstone Plan aims to increase domestic iron ore production by 100 million tons annually! Here's why it's so significant.
I enjoyed joining the team at @YahooFinance in NY to discuss markets, the MAG 7 and other topics!
78% of household wealth in real estate? Fingers crossed that the epic real estate bubble doesn’t burst.
Usually, ‘wave 2’ relief rallies retrace most of their initial losses (and often test the 61.8% ‘Golden Ratio’ level – see chart).
Usually, ‘wave 2’ relief rallies retrace most of their initial losses (and often test the 61.8% ‘Golden Ratio’ level – see chart).
Generally, the prices of key crude oil products (e.g. gasoline, diesel, and kerosene) tend to move with the direction of oil. Recently, however, as oil prices have sold off, gasoline prices have remained close to their recent highs (down just 2% over the same period). The…
Interest on US Federal debt is out of control: The annual interest expense on US debt is literally moving in a straight line higher, now at $1.1 TRILLION. To put this in perspective, less than 3 years ago the annual interest expense on this debt was $450 billion. That's a 144%…
Interesting chart by @FT showing US oil consumption, production and imports all the way back to 1949...
US dollar (and rates) have stabilised in recent trading sessions…. Potentially setting the stage for a ‘wave 2’ relief rally in US equities (next 1 – 2 weeks).
Global PMI Heatmap (as of March 2024) @business
In 2023, the US economy had grown at 3.4% (annualised, q-o-q) in Q4 after +4.9% in Q3 and +2.1% (Q2) and +2.2% (Q1) whilst the Eurozone's economy had essentially stagnated. Email [email protected] if you would like to receive our research on the topic!
Boeing have about 4x more airline incidents than Airbus do despite both of them having an equal (roughly 50%) level of market share in the airline industry
Qu: Is ‘Wave 1’ of selling done? And is a ‘Wave 2’ relief rally ahead (next 1 – 2 weeks)? Take a trial of our Daily RAG Trader publication to find out!
Qu: Is ‘Wave 1’ of selling done? And is a ‘Wave 2’ relief rally ahead (next 1 – 2 weeks)? Take a trial of our Daily RAG Trader publication to find out!
Liz Ann Sonders @LizAnnSonders
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China's government debt to GDP is expected to cross the 100% mark in 2027 Which is telling as to why Fitch revised China’s outlook to negative... @business
@Lvieweconomics Quite a few chocolate products in the ONS inflation indices. Until they take them out of course…
The hyperbola rate of change always gives me 🫧 vibes ⚠️ [not investment advice]
Cocoa is now more expensive than Copper! Due to supply shortages, it has surpassed $9000 per tonne for the first time in history. Cocoa futures are up about 50% in March alone. Madness!
Our 1 – 2 week trading recommendations on US equity futures are based on signals from models like this one below (check out the Daily RAG Trader for latest view).
Our technical scoring system for the NASDAQ100 has been working its way lower in recent weeks (towards its BUY signal threshold). This week it got close to BUY. Increasingly looks like this index is preparing for another move higher…
Our technical scoring system for the NASDAQ100 has been working its way lower in recent weeks (towards its BUY signal threshold). This week it got close to BUY. Increasingly looks like this index is preparing for another move higher…
For a FREE 3-week trial of expert trading advice, head over to our website (link in bio).
🚨🇬🇧¿Aterrizaje suave en UK? Oro parece plata-no es. ¿Qué es? No pinta bien la cosa si observamos el volumen de quiebras empresariales. Allí están ya en recesión. Pero veremos qué dimensión tiene. (vía @Lvieweconomics)
Aksjeanalyser mandag🇳🇴📝 - Q4 reviews på Noble Corp. $NE, DOF Group $DOFG, Grieg Seafood $GSF og Salmones Camanchaca $SACAM - $NE: 2024e EBITDA reduced ~10% - $DOFG: Inspiring statements on capital discipline - $GSF: Leaving a weak year behind - $SACAM: Estimates down on…
Market liquidity is going to get tough in Q2. This is critical for the S&P500. Below we explain WHY!
Been wondering about the oil price? Take a look at the chart below. A key leading indicator of US shale production is falling - which means supply is going to tighten in the future. For more on this pls email [email protected]. Brad Waddington - our commodity…
US shale producers completed the lowest number of wells in two years last month. That typically means one thing: Lower oil production growth…
Consumers paying more for less in one chart, not only in the UK. Any comments? Ht @Lvieweconomics
Money trends are improving! Money growth is solidly back and the tide has turned. This is obviously the first prerequisite for a "comeback" of inflation as freight rates do not matter a whole lot unless the money base is growing again
In 2018 I moved to London with my entire life savings to set up a YouTube channel, The Zac and Jay Show 20 videos in, we hit 150k subscribers However at 900k subs, two years later, all I was feeling 'is this it?' After much deliberation I made the tough decision to leave the…
Latest from BofA flow show BofA January Global Fund Manager Survey Bottom Line: Fund Manager Survey (FMS) respondents are very optimistic on rate cuts and macro “soft” landing but Jan cash levels are up from 4.5% to 4.8% as bond market optimism tempered, and bonds driving the…
@MichaelAArouet Numbers do not match this survey (26.000 participants, face 2 face interview) "life satisfaction" columns very satisfied | mostly satisfied | not that satisfied | absolutely not satisfied | don't know Columns ordered by very satisifed DESC de.statista.com/statistik/date…
See that large red area? That’s Europe winning in global distress competition. Chart @Lvieweconomics