jeroen blokland @jsblokland
Founder Blokland Smart Multi-Asset Fund, investing in scarce assets, Quality Stocks, Gold, & Bitcoin. Founder True Insights - independent investment research. bloklandfund.com/eng/ Netherlands Joined June 2009-
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A group of #Switzerland-based #Bitcoin proponents aims to make Bitcoin part of the Swiss National Bank's balance sheet. Some facts: - The group must gather 100,000 petition signatures within 18 months to obtain the right to a referendum. - Out of the working-age population of…
Is this the age of ‘hard money?’ Better: This is the age of scarce assets! I expect a massive diversification away from bonds into scarce assets, and I launched an investment fund to capture this. Watch from 3:33. Learn more about the fund: bloklandfund.com/eng/
Is this the age of ‘hard money?’ Better: This is the age of scarce assets! I expect a massive diversification away from bonds into scarce assets, and I launched an investment fund to capture this. Watch from 3:33. Learn more about the fund: bloklandfund.com/eng/
This is by far the most painful long-duration bond bear market in (modern) history. And the chart does not include #inflation. While this may prove a profitable entry point from a nominal return perspective, risk-return dynamics will not be as attractive as they used to be. #Debt…
Let's go!
I'm joining Grizzle Hard Money: Gold, Silver & Bitcoin today. We will discuss the Blokland Smart Multi-Asset Fund, the decision to include #gold and #bitcoin alongside quality #equities, where now with interest rates, #centralbanks, #geopolitics, and more. I'm up at 19:15-ish CET…
I'm joining Grizzle Hard Money: Gold, Silver & Bitcoin today. We will discuss the Blokland Smart Multi-Asset Fund, the decision to include #gold and #bitcoin alongside quality #equities, where now with interest rates, #centralbanks, #geopolitics, and more. I'm up at 19:15-ish CET…
The FX-related #macro backdrop is getting edgy. The Japanese Yen took another dive against the US dollar as the #BankofJapan kept #monetarypolicy unchanged and did not comment on foreign exchange policy, determined by the Ministry of Finance. Interestingly, Tokyo's #inflation…
Grizzle Hard Money: Gold, Silver & #Bitcoin ⚒️ Friday, April 26th, 2024 at 10AM ET LIVE on Twitter & YouTube: youtube.com/live/ltLjgTnG1… We've brought together a lineup of industry heavy hitters 🫡 ◾️Warren Pies @WarrenPies @3F_Research ◾️Bob Elliott @BobEUnlimited…
#inflation fears are steadily taking over market sentiment. After the combination of lower-than-expected US #GDP growth and higher-than-expected #inflation, markets now expect less than 1.4 rate cuts from the #FederalReserve this year!
The US economy grew 'just' 1.6% (annualized) in Q1. Not only a big miss compared to (Bloomberg) consensus (2.5%) but also compared to the Atlanta Fed GDPnow forecast (2.7%.) More importantly, the combination of lower growth and higher inflation has a stagflationary flavor. Equity…
I have translated my post about the Dutch Central Bank (DNB) and its (stringent) sustainability 'suggestions' for homeowners into English, as I expect this will not be the last central bank to do this. The Dutch Central Bank has calculated that 95% of homeowners can finance the…
I have translated my post about the Dutch Central Bank (DNB) and its (stringent) sustainability 'suggestions' for homeowners into English, as I expect this will not be the last central bank to do this. The Dutch Central Bank has calculated that 95% of homeowners can finance the…
'Priceless' #Bitcoin 'commercial' sells for USD 1,027,000 at online auction. 🤣
Mocht je het gemist hebben, hieronder nog één keer de link naar mijn recente interview met @paulbuitink 🎙️
Mocht je het gemist hebben, hieronder nog één keer de link naar mijn recente interview met @paulbuitink 🎙️
The US dollar has made another high against the Japanese #Yen. The Yen is down a whopping 10% against the greenback just this year. Despite several warnings from Japan's Minister of Finance & Co., the Bank of Japan has not been instructed to intervene. So why is this? - Japan's…
Yikes! #META down 10% despite beating expectations. Yields beating extrapolation?
US Treasuries are selling off again after a weakish USD 70 billion auction. US Treasury #yields remain close to their highest level since October. In addition to being negative, Treasury performance has been more volatile than average in recent years. Yet, duration-sensitive…
This TIME cover is from over 50 years ago. And we are still here. Don't wait for the system to collapse; it likely won't any time soon. Yet the impact of the #debt-driven growth model on the performance of your investment portfolio is massive. Adapt!
🚨De Nederlandsche Bank heeft berekend dat 95% van de huiseigenaren de #verduurzaming van hun woning kunnen bekostigen met hun #spaargeld en door het afsluiten van een lening. Zo dan! Ik heb het rapport gelezen blij word ik er niet van. De eerste vraag is in hoeverre een…
🚨De Nederlandsche Bank heeft berekend dat 95% van de huiseigenaren de #verduurzaming van hun woning kunnen bekostigen met hun #spaargeld en door het afsluiten van een lening. Zo dan! Ik heb het rapport gelezen blij word ik er niet van. De eerste vraag is in hoeverre een… https://t.co/b1vRdMcuxL
Andreas Steno Larsen @AndreasSteno
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75K Followers 766 Following Compounding. Charts and as I don’t need to sell anything here also irony. No investment advice. I don’t send DMs, my impersonators do. I‘m not on Telegram etc.Callum Thomas @Callum_Thomas
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185K Followers 1K Following Dir. of Global Macro @Fidelity. Student of history, chart maker, cyclist, cook. Helping investors break thru the clutter. Views are mine. https://t.co/9Pn7wGwMzplex hoogduin @lexhoogduin
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193K Followers 582 Following Data-driven Investment Research | Follow to learn about #markets & the global #economy | Get your free 7-day trial at https://t.co/ij9EDOXEgDHODL15Capital 🇺�.. @HODL15Capital
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10K Followers 116 Following Founder of the @macroinstitute and Trahan Macro Research. Publishing sell-side research for 25+ years.@UrbanKaoboy Tens of millions of consumers? At that point, gold would be what? At $15,000 or much higher? A Hunt Brother “the Chinese way”swarm intelligence corner of gold? Let’s have it. Anyway, it seems only two speculators for now seem to matter and I don’t particularly like that aspect.…
$IBIT inflow streak now 71 days which has it officially in the Top 10 all time after passing the ETF One Hit Wonder $JETS (remember JETSanity?). Also passed $BND and $VEA which are cash vacuum cleaners. Lot of mountain still left to climb tho. h/t @thetrinianalyst
People often fail to appreciate that electricity has limited portability, and there is plenty of wasted electricity throughout the world. If only there was a solution that can pay for electricity, can go to remote locations, and can tolerate fluctuations in supply…
Tanzania have shut down five hydroelectric stations in a bid to reduce excess electricity in the national grid. It is the first time Tanzania, which suffers chronic power shortages, has closed hydroelectric stations due to excess production. bbc.in/44ispHh
JUST IN: President Biden proposes increasing capital gains tax rates to 44.6%, the highest since 1922. Currently, the highest long-term capital gains tax rate is 20%. He has also proposed a 25% tax on unrealized capital gains for wealthy individuals. Should this be approved?
S&P 500 with a max pullback of 5.5% in '24 so far. Since 1980, only 4 full years saw a smaller pullback. Avg yr since 1980 with a 14.2% max pullback.
Ironically, the reason that a house often becomes a decent investment in practice is not necessarily the house itself (a depreciating, non scarce asset), but rather the fiat currency short (mortgage) and the forced monthly savings rate (building equity) it comes with.
A house is not a good long term investment just like a car is not a good long term investment. Both are consumption items that decay over time, need regular maintenance, and depreciate in value. Houses are actually worse considering they can't be moved and are taxed annually.
Takeaway #2: The US is an extreme outlier in its low adoption of bitcoin vs. traditional capital flows. Our perspective, therefore, does not reflect everyone’s reality. As proof, the paper includes a great chart comparing cross-border bitcoin flows vs. flows into traditional…
Takeaway #1: Countries that have limited access to the broader global economy are big users of bitcoin on a relative basis. The paper notes: “The magnitudes of the estimated Bitcoin cross-border flows are sizeable with respect to several countries’ GDP, especially in those…
Takeaway #3: The IMF is paying attention to bitcoin. This is a serious paper. It's written by three IMF researchers, includes a survey of relevant academic literature, and takes a sophisticated approach to using using on- and off-chain techniques to determine bitcoin capital…
@jsblokland Of course I do x.com/danielkral1/st…
Public debt to GDP ratios are lower than just before the pandemic in five Eurozone economies. A lazy assumption is that this is due to inflation - not true. Post-pandemic growth rebounds have been more important in 🇬🇷🇨🇾🇵🇹🇭🇷. Only in 🇳🇱 was inflation the main driver.
@jsblokland Indeed, and the pace of the public debt reduction in 🇬🇷🇨🇾🇵🇹 is one for the history books x.com/danielkral1/st…
The unfolding debt reduction episodes in Southern Europe are for the history books. The ones in 🇬🇷🇨🇾🇵🇹 are already the fastest on record - and likely soon to be the largest on record.
I made @zerohedge. What did you do today? zerohedge.com/markets/bitcoi…
@van_Hooijdonk Growth has been a more important driver of debt reduction in Greece since end-2020, subtracting 29ppts of GDP from debt, while inflation subtracted 25ppts.
The unfolding debt reduction episodes in Southern Europe are for the history books. The ones in 🇬🇷🇨🇾🇵🇹 are already the fastest on record - and likely soon to be the largest on record.
Historic debt reductions in small South European economies continue. Public debt to GDP ratio in Greece is now the lowest since mid-2012 (debt write-off), and in Portugal since mid-2010, dropping to below 100%. The two have cast off the long shadow of the Eurozone debt crisis.
1/3 The problem isn't Chinese "overcapacity", @M_C_Klein argues in his latest piece for The Overshoot, but rather Chinese underconsumption, which is itself largely a consequence of the low share Chinese workers retain of what they produce. theovershoot.co/p/chinese-over…
Nothing inevitable about the surge in exports from EU countries to Central Asia. Take Sweden, which brought exports to Kazakhstan back under control. Fact that exports to Central Asia from Germany and Poland are still booming is simply about political will. Or the lack of it...
If the US did not want higher interest rates to add to deficits & inflation, it would be saying "Sorry Ukraine, Israel, & Taiwan, interest rates have risen on our $35T in debt so we cannot afford to give you any more aid." We are not saying that = inflation Higher for Longer.
The US House approved $95 billion in aid for Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan, ending months of political impasse trib.al/DMyG4wg
WE HEBBEN ‘M! 🏆 #CupWinner2024