MtgTrader @trader_mtg
NYC Joined September 2022-
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The Multifamily crash is here in Nashville: GVA just sold a property they bought less than 18 months ago for a ~$23M loss. They sold the property for $52M down from $75M they purchased it for in Dec 2022 a ~30% loss in value but a 100% loss in equity as price was lower than…
Our view is that despite the spin, many sectors of the US economy are riddled with monopolies and oligopolies. The net result is that reducing #inflation is a LOT harder here than in the Eurozone. Coca-Cola's results just highlight the problem.
Our view is that despite the spin, many sectors of the US economy are riddled with monopolies and oligopolies. The net result is that reducing #inflation is a LOT harder here than in the Eurozone. Coca-Cola's results just highlight the problem. https://t.co/S88ZwtbLZi
By July 2021, housing prices were increasing 15% per year. Senator Toomey questioned Powell on the Fed's incessant MBS purchases. Powell admitted the Fed was pumping prices higher. And yet they proceeded to purchase more than $850B MBS on top of the trillions. Shameful. Immoral.
By July 2021, housing prices were increasing 15% per year. Senator Toomey questioned Powell on the Fed's incessant MBS purchases. Powell admitted the Fed was pumping prices higher. And yet they proceeded to purchase more than $850B MBS on top of the trillions. Shameful. Immoral. https://t.co/AiJNQ6amoF
Is there a reason why FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency) is supporting the Shakespeare Theater Company in Washington, DC, at the “$100,000 and Above” level?
QT is monetary policy and reducing it is an easing of monetary policy just as inflation looks to be more problematic
Bastiat from 150-years ago. On the consequences of 'false money' entering into circulation. The 'whole weight of it' is carried by the people least able to carry it. This perfectly describes everything going on today. x.com/frankafetter/s…
Bastiat from 150-years ago. On the consequences of 'false money' entering into circulation. The 'whole weight of it' is carried by the people least able to carry it. This perfectly describes everything going on today. x.com/frankafetter/s… https://t.co/u3kYtMvGHe
This editorial from Seth Lipsky at the @NewYorkSun is pure brilliance. Rings with courage and clarity—a bold and welcome response to a poorly-sourced article that has unleashed hair-on-fire responses from people who should know better. nysun.com/article/the-fe…
This is clearly not heading in the right direction: 3-month annualized change in core PCE #inflation up to +4.4% in March
🇺🇸Bond markets seem unfazed by today's higher-than-expected Core PCE data. ⚠️But, there's reason for concern: the 3-month and 6-month change suggests a rebound in YoY core inflation. 🔥The intensity of this jump mirrors that of 2021's upward trend. ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️
🇺🇸Bond markets seem unfazed by today's higher-than-expected Core PCE data. ⚠️But, there's reason for concern: the 3-month and 6-month change suggests a rebound in YoY core inflation. 🔥The intensity of this jump mirrors that of 2021's upward trend. ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️
Given the historical role of housing in financial crises, the loss of independence at FHFA is a far bigger problem for systemic risk than CFPB independence
I guess Capital One doesn't cater to the elite as much as Amex. americanbanker.com/articles/capit…
Biden Treasury Department says we need higher taxes on capital gains because it would hurt white people more and take away their wealth. Whites own too many stocks and businesses, so they need to pay.
A Fed nightmare. When GDP (economic activity) slows down, yet prices continue rising (stagflation), and the government refuses to curb reckless deficit spending, this puts the Fed and Treasury in an impossible position that no matter what they do, it will lead to issuing more and…
A Fed nightmare. When GDP (economic activity) slows down, yet prices continue rising (stagflation), and the government refuses to curb reckless deficit spending, this puts the Fed and Treasury in an impossible position that no matter what they do, it will lead to issuing more and…
Today on @FoxBusiness around 2:25pm, I will be talking with the great @cvpayne about the Fed’s predicament. How does profligate fiscal policy complicate the Fed’s approach to fighting inflation?
IMHO the Biden Administration’s loosening of mortgage credit quality has contributed to housing inflation, even if modestly so, and sadly leaves families more vulnerable #reckless
There's no housing shortage. The US population is only up 0.85% since pre-Covid... and there was no housing shortage before 2020. What we saw was big buyers and individual buyers (myself incl) swoop in and buy a bunch of housing in 2020-2021 w/ low rates & market uncertainty.…
The Fiat Politician’s Playbook: Beg: “May I please have your vote?” Borrow: Run up National Debt to record levels. Steal: Induce inflation to perpetuate the game. Incredible how this keeps working.
For all the gold haters hollering after the recent teeny decline, please take a step back. In the last 5yrs we've experienced nearly every macro environment and gold showed value as a diversifying asset. If you hold bonds and no gold, its time to think hard about this chart.
The cost of day care and preschool rose 4.4% in March from the year before — outpacing the overall inflation rate, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Lance Lambert @NewsLambert
81K Followers 2K Following @ResidentialClub Co-Founder, Editor-in-Chief. Analyzing the housing market—through a regional lens 🏡 📊 Subscribe to the ResiClub newsletter 👇Darth Powell 🦈🇺.. @GRomePow
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1K Followers 2K Following mutandis | btc • eth ‘17 | bayc ‘21 | punks | #BTC ⛏️ | NYC | crypto is 7% of capital but … i just like my haystacks | traded 100+ apes | 30@ 2.625 | jeo | OMBJohn Barickman @jwbarickman
83 Followers 247 FollowingOmied Bagheri | Silic.. @omiedb
708 Followers 2K Following #CRE #Multifamily Broker. CA DRE license # 01929412. The postings on this site are my own and do not represent the views or opinions of Avison YoungJim Bianco @biancoresearch
396K Followers 1K Following Macro investment research at https://t.co/hQqAza8GGP Our total return index is at https://t.co/vta9eqevnU The ETF WTBN tracks our Index. biancoresearch.ethLance Lambert @NewsLambert
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2K Followers 245 Following Founder of Tolou Capital Management. Global macro, market neutral, risk optimization. Aiming for positive real returns in all climates. Not investment advice.Capital Misallocation @BenBrey
7K Followers 528 Following Founder Deductive Capital, Partner Wall St Beats @streetbeatspros / x Fido / Macro, Memes, Money, Music, Philosophy, Complexity, Art, History /🇺🇸 🇵🇹 🇮🇹 🦡Craig Shapiro @ces921
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11K Followers 210 Following Ex Hedge Fund Manager; Global Macro Volatility Portfolio Manager. Chicago Booth MBA & CFA. My views do not consist of investment advice.This guy's sophistry is so predictable
Conceptually, this could be the best twitter account theme ever. Tech Ponzis and the homes they’ve created…
Peloton, who's stock is now down 87%. This is where the CEO lives now h/t @Lizatthebeach
Serious question. Why did every member of the Democrat leadership team pledge to save Mike Johnson from the Motion to Vacate?
Not unless US govt cuts DoD & Entitlemts by 30-35% immediately & permanently to make room for higher int expense. Otherwise, only thing bond mkt will do by jacking up rates is send US into a debt spiral that ends w/hyperinflation as US govt prints the interest to avoid default.
If the Fed won't do what is necessary to bring inflation back to target, the bond market will just do it on its own.
Just learned that Stanford has a 1/1 administrative staff/student ratio. A staffer for every one of the 15k students. It used to be schools bragged about a low faculty/student ratio - the idea was little Johnny or Joanie would have direct access to the professor in a small 10/1…
The Fed used to be profitable and sent most of those profits to the US Treasury. It used to be billions of $$$ per year. Now the Fed has so many programs to keep the system from imploding, paying banks over $500 million per day for reserves and reverse repos, that the Fed has…
If you had losses like these at your job, you'd be fired. Fortunately, these aren't your losses - they're the Fed's...
OpenDoor, a company that never made a dime of profit, who's stock is down 81%. This is where the former CEO lives now
Are you bullish enough on US electricity generation and transmission? It’s worth understanding the material and labor supply components here.
Data center developers in Northern Virginia are asking utility Dominion for as much power as several nuclear reactors can generate trib.al/xIN0rUQ
@Altheaspinozzi @KritiGuptaNews @annaedwardsnews @GuyJohnsonTV @Bloomberg if monetization becomes policy, gold will run much higher than anticipated
The Treasury's plan to keep high coupon issuance as QT slows raises eyebrows. Is the Fed monetizing debt? This could lead to bond markets demanding higher term premiums Big thanks to @KritiGuptaNews, @annaedwardsnews & @GuyJohnsonTV for the discussion on @Bloomberg 🎥 A peek👇
@TannerBercier @BThompson2028 Definitely impressive and he is obviously physically advanced, But didn’t Dr. Andrews say the tensile limit of the ligament in HS is reached at 80 mph? I think reaching a PR without that being the focus is probably the safest way to go, but the body simply might not be ready
@TannerBercier @BThompson2028 My humble opinion. Great for the kid but I just don’t feel like training for velo that young is a good thing. Dr. Andrews said that’s why all the TJ’s are happening. These young kids shouldn’t be throwing this hard. Plus, he can’t talk to schools for another 3 years.
@TannerBercier @BThompson2028 Buddy will need Tommy John as a freshman in high school
@TannerBercier @BThompson2028 90 by freshman year and first reconstructive surgery by junior year
Peloton, who's stock is now down 87%. This is where the CEO lives now h/t @Lizatthebeach
OpenDoor, a company that never made a dime of profit, who's stock is down 81%. This is where the former CEO lives now
Portland Police just told media that in their early investigation, they've found that thousands of dollars in library property was stolen, including rare texts and comics in the @Portland_State collection. The extremists smashed glass and stole them. In the four-day Antifa and…
Happy happy Monday with @bsurveillance !
"If you're going to want to put safe havens into portfolios, it's not just bonds now. It's also commodities, it's energy stocks," says Cameron Dawson of NewEdge Wealth bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Macro & Market news report tomorrow! Get ready for in-depth analysis on Federal Reserve interest rates, jobs data, and earnings trends. Don't miss out on valuable insights shaping the economic horizon! Stay informed, stay ahead!
NEWS: Rivian said on Thursday it has received $827 million in an incentive package from the State of Illinois to expand operations at its Normal facility. finance.yahoo.com/news/rivian-re…
NEWS: Apple announces largest-ever $110 billion share buyback as iPhone sales drop 10%. cnbc.com/2024/05/02/app…