Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick
Chief Market Strategist at @CarsonGroupLLC 🔎 for the perfect BBQ and host to the Facts vs Feelings podcast Advisory services through CWM, LLC, RIA carsongroup.com/insights/blog/ Cincinnati Joined February 2009-
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A yr ago right about now they told us that 'only seven stocks were going up and the bear would come back soon'. I'm old enough to remember explaining that various A/D lines were actually making new all-time highs and it wasn't 7 stocks. Boy, that made them mad.
366 stocks in the S&P 500 higher today. Nearly 70% of NYSE higher today. Small caps outperformed again. That second half of April strength is playing out once again.
I've shared this chart a lot over the years. When Gold is outperforming the USD, it is a bullish signal. What is so interesting about now is the USD has been strong, yet gold has outperformed and actually made new highs. I find that combo quite bullish. 🥇
Beautiful multi-year breakout for gold here. We've held gold in our tactical models for over a year now. Should GLD come back to say $195/$200, that could be an ideal entry. Of course, bull markets rarely make getting in them easy. Another nice one from @FrankCappelleri
Is Bitcoin completing a huge inverse head and shoulders pattern? @FrankCappelleri thinks it is at least possible. Yeah, the upside target to this is so extreme we won't even mention it.
The next six months are indeed historically the worst of the year. But I have a blog coming out tomorrow called "Buy In May and Stay? At Least in an Election Year" that will show don't expect a big drop this time.
May is known for warmer weather, horse races, the intro to summer, and apparently green, a lot of green. Did you know the S&P 500 was up 9 of the past 10 years in May?
Tomorrow is the last day of April, which means May is here. What about Sell In May? Something for everyone. If April is lower, then next 6 mos are down 2.9% and up less than a coin flip. But if up 4% YTD or more? Next 6 mos up 4.2% on avg and up nearly 79% of the time.
Nice chart from @Claudia_Sahm on inflation. We know OER and shelter are the main reasons inflation hasn't come back to earth. Looking at new rent tenant prices could be a huge clue that OER will continue to improve and maybe even quite quickly.
Ok, why did no one tell me @jimwpaulsen was back to writing!? This made my day, as he is hands down one of the best out there. Jim, we missed you and welcome back. I knew you couldn't stay retired ;)
Ok, why did no one tell me @jimwpaulsen was back to writing!? This made my day, as he is hands down one of the best out there. Jim, we missed you and welcome back. I knew you couldn't stay retired ;)
I am on @SXMBusiness soon. You can listen on channel 132 on @SXMBusiness. @janetonthemoney
I am on @SXMBusiness soon. You can listen on channel 132 on @SXMBusiness. @janetonthemoney
Always fun to join @janetonthemoney on @BizBriefing! Be sure to join us, as my hit time is approximately 9:10am ETish.
Always fun to join @janetonthemoney on @BizBriefing! Be sure to join us, as my hit time is approximately 9:10am ETish.
Learn how the bond market impacts inflation and economic growth in this week's Facts vs Feelings video snippet with @RyanDetrick and @sonusvarghese. 🎧Apple: bit.ly/3UbLzu0 🎧Spotify: bit.ly/3UubcHA 👀YT: bit.ly/4aR5C80
Could there really be another rare Zweig Breadth Thrust? Remember, we saw two last year. @HumbleStudent has a nice chart here that shows with a big rally early next week it is possible.
Inflation in Q1 has many worried, but Neil Dutta of @RenMacLLC pushes back and sees better data coming. Unit labor costs slowing, inflation expectations aren't increasing, wages are slowing, and the Dollar is strong. These aren't inflationary signals. Nice one w @tomkeene.
Inflation in Q1 has many worried, but Neil Dutta of @RenMacLLC pushes back and sees better data coming. Unit labor costs slowing, inflation expectations aren't increasing, wages are slowing, and the Dollar is strong. These aren't inflationary signals. Nice one w @tomkeene.
Would you believe the US economy was growing faster than was projected in Jan 2020? It is nearly 1% larger than what the CBO projected, even in the face of a 100-yr pandemic, the most aggressive Fed in a generation, M2, yield curves, LEIs, and higher rates. How about that?
By now we all realize GDP was quite healthy in Q1, it was due to volatile inventories and exports that it came in 'low', but consumption, biz investment, and housing all were strong. In fact, make it three in a row housing contributed to GDP. Nice chart from @sonusvarghese.
One of my favorite charts from @sonusvarghese. Inflation might be higher than anyone wants, but disposable income and employee compensation are both still growing faster. We've been showing this for 15 months now as a reason there wouldn't be a recession.
Real personal consumption, up and to the right. Also above pre-COVID trends. They might keep telling you there's a recession coming, but it wasn't true then and it isn't true now.
Helene Meisler @hmeisler
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@RyanDetrick News cycle never changes. The amount of times I’ve endured ‘tech stocks being overvalued’ and ‘value coming back into favor’ over the past 6 years is nauseating.
Is Bitcoin completing a huge inverse head and shoulders pattern? @FrankCappelleri thinks it is at least possible. Yeah, the upside target to this is so extreme we won't even mention it.
When people are so angry at a stock for reasons that have nothing to do with the stock, it presents opportunity. Tesla is one of those.
@CVecchioFX I know you pointed out in recent years this "rule" has not worked but in playing odds this does make a case. Looking forward to @RyanDetrick blog on election years to make the case to stay.
The next six months are indeed historically the worst of the year. But I have a blog coming out tomorrow called "Buy In May and Stay? At Least in an Election Year" that will show don't expect a big drop this time.
What a fun afternoon with Darryl Strawberry and his beautiful wife Tracy, learning about their mission of serving others.
@RyanDetrick @jimwpaulsen He’s always had such great perspective ❤️
@RyanDetrick Did a similar analysis in the video to clients from last week. Nice work.
Full @ETFEdgeCNBC show here, thanks for the time and opportunity! youtu.be/V07w2bk-cf8?si…
@RyanDetrick Thank you, Ryan!
My favorite part of this old NFL Draft take is that the pick came from Buffalo, the team Mahomes has eliminated almost every year. 😂😂😂
Looking forward to joining @ETFEdgeCNBC with @BobPisani Today, 1:10pm: etfedge.CNBC.com
@RyanDetrick Election year seasonality is pretty consistent
We are LIVE at 9AM with @janetonthemoney! GUESTS: - @pdacosta - @RyanDetrick - @howardlindzon 🔊Tune in on @SXMBusiness 🔊
@RyanDetrick @josh_mahon69767 Fair enough Ryan. I’m always keeping an open mind and I try to be as objective as possible. I’m also a long time follower of your work and about to write level 2 CMT exam in June. 3 times thru the book already lol