dcg1114 @dcg1114
Democrat, x-Prosecutor, x-Legal Aid, CNN/Crystal Ball/Bulwark, cited by the Wash. Post. Write at https://t.co/Iru87brhdM @dcg1114.bsky.social Bleedingheartland.com New Hampshire, USA Joined December 2010-
Tweets27K
-
Followers2K
-
Following1K
-
Likes8K
I have written about the relationship between presidential approval and incumbent reelection before at Crystal Ball. One key difference: Biden regularly wins a significant percentage of those who disapprove of his job performance, a trend that became clear in the 2022 election.
I have written about the relationship between presidential approval and incumbent reelection before at Crystal Ball. One key difference: Biden regularly wins a significant percentage of those who disapprove of his job performance, a trend that became clear in the 2022 election.
This such an enormous issue it is really hard to overstate it. Microsoft claims the right to parse every Office 365 file, and Google claims the same for Google Docs. AI needs data - but the ownership of that data is ill defined at best.
This such an enormous issue it is really hard to overstate it. Microsoft claims the right to parse every Office 365 file, and Google claims the same for Google Docs. AI needs data - but the ownership of that data is ill defined at best.
This is from the University of North Florida Poll. As this poll shows there is far more overlap between Trump and RFK than between Biden and RFK. Only 22% of those with favorable opinions of Biden like RFK, while 64% of those with a favorable opinion of Trump like RFK.
Saying this on Twitter given this platform's owner is pretty ironic.
Saying this on Twitter given this platform's owner is pretty ironic.
I was lucky enough to take Constitutional Law from Archibald Cox, the Watergate special prosecutor and I got to know him reasonably well. He would have been furious to hear a member of the Supreme Court suggest the Ford pardon was popular.
Only 14% of Vermonters said they were very satisfied with the eclipse which makes me wonder if a majority of Vermonters are ever very satisfied with anything ( I am a native Vermonter - count me among the 14%).
We should get head to head numbers from Monmouth today - given the improvement in Biden's approval rating my guess is it will look something like Marist's Biden +3 number. Monmouth is not the only pollster to see a recovery in Biden's approval rating since Jan/Feb Marist, NBC eg)
What is a poll denialist?
Wall Street needs an equivalent of the Raspberry Awards.
Wall Street needs an equivalent of the Raspberry Awards.
Wow.
This is a huge case with significant implications for the poor in the United States.
This is a huge case with significant implications for the poor in the United States.
EMTALA is a unique law protecting a right to emergency care in the U.S. States shouldn't be able to chip away at the protections it offers. trib.al/xC3HXwr
Opponents of movements always try to turn the issue into a law enforcement question. They did it to Vietnam War opponents, to Civil Rights protesters. In 1989 before the largest anti-communist demonstration in Berlin the organizers wore yellow sash with the words "no violence"
Opponents of movements always try to turn the issue into a law enforcement question. They did it to Vietnam War opponents, to Civil Rights protesters. In 1989 before the largest anti-communist demonstration in Berlin the organizers wore yellow sash with the words "no violence"
The story is the share of white college-educated voters in the electorate. Biden leads among this group 59-41. This group is 27% of all adults, 29% of registered voters and 33% of likely voters.
The story is the share of white college-educated voters in the electorate. Biden leads among this group 59-41. This group is 27% of all adults, 29% of registered voters and 33% of likely voters.
NBC finds a race inside the MOE. Their prior poll looks like an outlier. No movement on Biden's economic approval. The break in the 18-29 vote caught my eye - Biden's margin and his approval took a bit hit post 10/7. Small sample - so beware.
"I am not here to lecture anyone" Persuasion wins elections. Lectures lose them.
"I am not here to lecture anyone" Persuasion wins elections. Lectures lose them.
The parallel to '48 is REALLY interesting.
This is Michigan - numbers are very similar. I have been VERY skeptical about polls showing Trump gaining significant ground among the young (and not all them show that he is) but IF he is this would be the reason why. In both MI/GA the young say they are losing ground.
This is Michigan - numbers are very similar. I have been VERY skeptical about polls showing Trump gaining significant ground among the young (and not all them show that he is) but IF he is this would be the reason why. In both MI/GA the young say they are losing ground.
The analogy to post-WW2 is interesting - WW2 suppressed consumer demand (like Covid) and inflation spiked when the event ended. '48 was also famous for Truman's comeback - though the last poll was in early October and showed him down 6 IIRC. Still declining inflation helped.
The analogy to post-WW2 is interesting - WW2 suppressed consumer demand (like Covid) and inflation spiked when the event ended. '48 was also famous for Truman's comeback - though the last poll was in early October and showed him down 6 IIRC. Still declining inflation helped.
The Fox Georgia poll. Among key groups more say they are falling behind than getting ahead. Most say they are holding steady, and real wage growth is .6% YOY and stalled since Jan. I believe the D's will win the economy issue in the fall - but we need better numbers.
Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17
44K Followers 2K Following @cal alum + lecturer; AI/software engineer; elections + modeling @SplitTicket_. Chelsea ⚽, Sharks 🏒, Giants ⚾. ✉️ [email protected]. views my own. he/him
Drew Savicki @DrewSav
40K Followers 6K Following Politics, elections, stuff. CT-IL-NC. Bad speller. KISS fan, all around pop culture guy. Be prepared for bad food takes #ActuallyAutistic🧙♂️🗺️ He/Him
Michael McDonald @ElectProject
90K Followers 588 Following Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections.
Simon Rosenberg @SimonWDC
157K Followers 6K Following Political Strategist, Commentator, Hopium Purveyor | NDN, DNC, DCCC, Clinton War Room, ABC News | Slava Ukraini! | Other places - https://t.co/Fy9PYAL934
Logan Phillips @LoganR2WH
11K Followers 1K Following I cover politics, track polling and predict elections at RacetotheWH. In 2022, my election forecast called over 96% of races right between the House and Senate.
J. Miles Coleman @JMilesColeman
54K Followers 5K Following Associate Editor, Sabato's Crystal Ball. 'A political Dora the Explorer.' @LSU grad. Author, America Votes 35. He/him
Larry Sabato @LarrySabato
207K Followers 38K Following Director, UVA @Center4Politics. Author, The Kennedy Half Century https://t.co/JYUokVHxEZ. Read the Crystal Ball every week: https://t.co/zPYuO6A8f9
Bleeding Heartland @LauraRBelin
27K Followers 3K Following Reporter, commentator covering Iowa politics for the progressive website Bleeding Heartland. Co-host of "KHOI's Capitol Week," available on podcast platforms.
Special Puppy 🧦�.. @SpecialPuppy1
7K Followers 574 Following I’m not afraid of RUFFhousing.Bernie Sanders-Bill Clinton Democrat. Intriguing, Infuriating, and Completely Baffling. CEO,influencer, anti-masturbation activist
Kyle Kondik @kkondik
53K Followers 4K Following American elections analyst; Managing Editor, Sabato's Crystal Ball at UVA Center for Politics. Sign up free at https://t.co/vMxRSSZvVT
Xenocrypt @xenocryptsite
10K Followers 6K Following Politics, math, etc. GitHub pages page: https://t.co/fBpQtqLvYl Medium: https://t.co/1gnQzJWJQ5 Blogspot: https://t.co/ACCsP5BP6R @[email protected]
World's Biggest Cross.. @schlagteslinks
4K Followers 529 Following Mr. Crosstab Hater. The Washington top-two primary is a political leading indicator. I coined 'agedep' but it's not real. Occasional political mapmaker. He/him.
Aaron Astor @AstorAaron
20K Followers 3K Following Historian of the 19th Century U.S. and Professor at Maryville College. Author of Rebels on the Border and Civil War along Tennessee's Cumberland Plateau
Dana Houle @DanaHoule
18K Followers 968 Following Family’s 1st HS grad. Worked for unions. Elected Dems. Did policy. Got rare disease. Nearly died 5 times. Getting healthy/writing/gardening/ferrying twins.
TimRyanFan 🇺🇸 @TimRyanFan
7K Followers 3K Following Biden 2024 | Election projections & polls analysis | Occasional shitposter | Not affiliated with Tim Ryan
Rob Sand @RobSandIA
41K Followers 28K Following @iastateauditor, husband, dad, bowhunter. Caught chickens as a small town kid, financial crooks as a prosecutor, & now govt insiders' waste/fraud/abuse.
Frick (Secretly a dee.. @Proxy099
227 Followers 281 Following 25 (he/him) Gamer and Star Wars enjoyer Animal lover |↙️↙️↙️|
RockSushi_ABB🌴🇵.. @RocksushiEPIC
390 Followers 5K Following He/Him | FREE PALESTINE! | I FB / LMK if I follow someone bad
Crag @Crag57964423745
39 Followers 2K Following
Foam of flowers rocke.. @foam_boat
16 Followers 375 Following lurking, mostly-- politics, climate change (doom?)
Andrew @BarnestheThird
103 Followers 1K Following
Alethic @AlethicModality
24 Followers 138 Following
Charles Tabesh @ctabesh
2K Followers 461 Following father, husband, programmer for TCM and FilmStruck, Steelers fan, comments my own
Wisconsin Pepe Frog @PepeFrogWiscons
46 Followers 31 Following
Paul Woody @woodyhoodie
31 Followers 474 Following
Logan Smith @smithlogan13
3 Followers 2K Following
mcbc 🇺🇸🗽 @mcbc
1K Followers 883 Following VP, Social. Love news, media, #acappella & America. Dubbed 'hat guy' by Jesse Jackson. I drink your kool-aid & a Red Bull before bed. I don't drink water. Ever.
Stu @StuShoes18
1K Followers 4K Following 30-something in CA with a love for family, friends, sports, politics, a good book, a good drink, live music and the outdoors
bripc23 @BriPC23
536 Followers 4K Following
Dhdjfjdjdj @Dhdjfjdjdj2
184 Followers 694 Following
Iserlohn Fortress Enj.. @IserlohnF
176 Followers 875 Following Conquest as wide as the sea of stars / Family formation populist / Member of the Grilling Outside Party, aimed at creating conditions for all to grill outside
Name @plslookawaynow
2 Followers 619 Following
Løuis @Lou_Taglianetti
517 Followers 857 Following I work at a college as a janitor even though I'm smarter than everyone there. I finish unsolved equations on the board.. and my best friend is Ben Affleck.
Eric M. Brooks @Ermibro
89 Followers 757 Following
Tamritz @tamritzblog
697 Followers 3K Following כותב בלוג בשם ״תמריץ״ על תמריצים והשפעתם, העולם, המדינה והדמוגרפיה.
Terese Katona @KatonaTere39712
30 Followers 5K Following
Jordan Howard @JordanAHoward
595 Followers 910 Following Transportation, Economic Development, and Planning. Past Dem campaign finance. Long suffering #Mets, #Jets, and #Knicks fan. MD via GA & NY. Views are my own.
Active Image Media @ActiveImageMed
508 Followers 1K Following We’re a creative multimedia team dedicated to your vision. Passionate about content creation, collaboration, and the details. 🎥📸💡
Pips McTiggles @PipsMcTiggles
16 Followers 125 Following Gamer: LoL, CS:GO, HoS Sports: Love football/fantasy football, watch baseball/basketball on occasion. Big on US Politics
LyricLoom @lyric8981
21 Followers 2K Following
Nohel Moreno @nohel_moreno
1 Followers 38 Following
Darius Martin @dariusdmartin
96 Followers 175 Following
Lurker @XLurker12345
1 Followers 46 Following I quit Twitter but sometimes want to read tweets. Apparently thanks to Elon I need an account to do that now. I might tweet on extremely rare occasions.
rich @bellevilledevil
208 Followers 748 Following
Robert de Neufville @rdeneufville
2K Followers 4K Following I write about politics and the future, and am a superforecaster for @superforecaster. I also forecast with @swift_centre and as a pro forecaster for @metaculus.
Paul Landau @PaulLandau13
274 Followers 5K Following
TKG @NewsFan1417
3 Followers 670 Following
Eleven @Eleven90Three
98 Followers 860 Following Angsty millennial stuck on Twitter for sports and politics. CWS, Bulls, SFS.
Scott Rosenfield @ScottRosenfield
2K Followers 4K Following Chief of staff @TheAtlantic. Previously: @Wired and @outsidemagazine.
JW Randolph @JamesWRandolph
126 Followers 542 Following dad. husband. community advocate. Tennessee. creeks. public health. policy.
Matt Largen @MattLargen
4K Followers 666 Following Creating prosperity by recruiting, retaining, & growing jobs in Williamson County, TN
Jake Hofstetter @_JakeHofstetter
95 Followers 196 Following Aka Jacob. Associate Policy Analyst @MigrationPolicy, @TheLBJSchool '18, @FulbrightSpain Scholar ‘14. All views my own.
Lynn Sommers @LynnSommers
15 Followers 430 Following Family-focused, Penn grad/Penn professor, scientist, reader, nature lover, gardener
point reyes @puntoreyes
76 Followers 908 Following We must join together in 2024, no matter our differences, to defeat American fascism. The alternative is too horrific to contemplate
Chris Hart @TooTallHart
136 Followers 582 Following WMASS native, proud Washingtonian. Cyclist. Baseball fan. Urbanist. All opinions are my own.
Rob Heisler @Eagles554
191 Followers 496 Following
Chargé d’Affaires @BrandiAtkinson
3K Followers 5K Following 🏴☠️ #NeverTrump 🐯 In Praise of Old Nassau 🌻 #NAFO ✈️ Aim High
Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17
44K Followers 2K Following @cal alum + lecturer; AI/software engineer; elections + modeling @SplitTicket_. Chelsea ⚽, Sharks 🏒, Giants ⚾. ✉️ [email protected]. views my own. he/him
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
642K Followers 1K Following Senior Editor & Elections Analyst of the nonpartisan @CookPolitical Report w/ @AmyEWalter. Nerd for 🗺️ maps, ⛷️ ski slopes & 🎻 trad tunes. Has seen enough.
Drew Savicki @DrewSav
40K Followers 6K Following Politics, elections, stuff. CT-IL-NC. Bad speller. KISS fan, all around pop culture guy. Be prepared for bad food takes #ActuallyAutistic🧙♂️🗺️ He/Him
Jon Ralston @RalstonReports
177K Followers 2K Following CEO/Editor, The Nevada Independent. Your State. Your News. Your Voice. [email protected] #WeMatter
Taniel @Taniel
129K Followers 836 Following Daniel Nichanian. Editor-in-chief and founder of @BoltsMag. (Follow us!) And here's everywhere else you can find me: https://t.co/3h3lUA8v3Q
Tom Bonier @tbonier
96K Followers 991 Following CEO @thetara_group, Sr Advisor @TargetSmart, former @HowardU, @claritycampaign, @ncec1948, @SEIULocal500. DM inquiries
Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot
61K Followers 3K Following Senior editor and senior elections analyst @FiveThirtyEight. Don't call me Nate!
Michael McDonald @ElectProject
90K Followers 588 Following Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections.
The AZ - abc15 - Data.. @Garrett_Archer
119K Followers 4K Following Husband, Dad, Catholic liturgical music sponge. Former elections official. Now data/political analyst @abc15. Oracle of #ElectionTwitter. DGJ is cooler than me
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
472K Followers 1K Following chief political analyst, @nytimes. writing about elections, public opinion and demographics for @UpshotNYT. polling and needling. PNW expat.
Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende
65K Followers 930 Following
Larry Sabato @LarrySabato
207K Followers 38K Following Director, UVA @Center4Politics. Author, The Kennedy Half Century https://t.co/JYUokVHxEZ. Read the Crystal Ball every week: https://t.co/zPYuO6A8f9
Bleeding Heartland @LauraRBelin
27K Followers 3K Following Reporter, commentator covering Iowa politics for the progressive website Bleeding Heartland. Co-host of "KHOI's Capitol Week," available on podcast platforms.
Special Puppy 🧦�.. @SpecialPuppy1
7K Followers 574 Following I’m not afraid of RUFFhousing.Bernie Sanders-Bill Clinton Democrat. Intriguing, Infuriating, and Completely Baffling. CEO,influencer, anti-masturbation activist
Kyle Kondik @kkondik
53K Followers 4K Following American elections analyst; Managing Editor, Sabato's Crystal Ball at UVA Center for Politics. Sign up free at https://t.co/vMxRSSZvVT
Florida Data Geek ✝.. @MappingFL
8K Followers 396 Following Florida Data and Redistricting Guy (He/Him). Lefty Lutheran. Politics, religion, and wrestling. Sign up for my substack! This election is going to kill me
Polling USA @USA_Polling
54K Followers 93 Following American Polling, Data, and Other Related Political Content // Monthly Impressions So High Your Head Will Spin // Support Me: https://t.co/19q84QiYVE
World's Biggest Cross.. @schlagteslinks
4K Followers 529 Following Mr. Crosstab Hater. The Washington top-two primary is a political leading indicator. I coined 'agedep' but it's not real. Occasional political mapmaker. He/him.
Aaron Astor @AstorAaron
20K Followers 3K Following Historian of the 19th Century U.S. and Professor at Maryville College. Author of Rebels on the Border and Civil War along Tennessee's Cumberland Plateau
Brandy Jensen @BrandyLJensen
150K Followers 2K Following See that she chews her food well, and sets her foot down firmly on the ground when she walks, and you're all right.
Barak Ravid @BarakRavid
316K Followers 789 Following Political reporter for Axios covering foreign policy & the 2024 election. CNN analyst. Washington correspondent for Walla. Author of Trump's Peace. link in Bio
New York Times Pitchb.. @DougJBalloon
263K Followers 4K Following Parody. The really well-trained dog is the one that turns his somersault when there is no whip. merch: https://t.co/3bxNPhdkPL
JSTOR Daily @JSTOR_Daily
50K Followers 1K Following Nonprofit news & quirky history based on scholarly research @JSTOR. Subscribe free: https://t.co/8iuShflioK or become a member: https://t.co/bXwXNiJscV
Michael Lewis-Beck @mlewisbeck
1K Followers 99 Following Political scientist, forecasting, methods, poetry, wine. Iowan.
NH Young Democrats @NHYoungDems
7K Followers 3K Following Our mission is to recruit, train, & elect the next generation of progressive leaders in NH. @NHYoungDems #NHPolitics https://t.co/88fIBcimLV
Redfield & Wilton Str.. @RedfieldWilton
38K Followers 9 Following Global market research and polling company. Members of the @BritPollingCncl and the @AAPOR Transparency Initiative.
Adam Carlson @admcrlsn
9K Followers 2K Following Recovering political pollster (formerly @gsg), current market researcher, and election nerd. Spreadsheets help me relax. Views are my own.
Wayne4Senate 🇺🇸.. @Wayne4NHSenate
3K Followers 5K Following NH Democrat Senate candidate for District 22. Long time resident of Salem. Committed to keeping NH first in the nation for Democracy, & Women's Rights
Red Sox Payroll @redsoxpayroll
9K Followers 89 Following Keeping the Red Sox payroll since 2011. Salaries are in average annual value (AAV). Not with the team. https://t.co/G8YGkKfKsQ
Crotched Mtn Conditio.. @CrotchedMt
1K Followers 94 Following We go boldly - Welcome to our Mountain Alerts account - stay up to date with all things operational here!
corn cob @forgetprotocol
110 Followers 153 Following Immune from confirmation bias because I’ve never had it
no context memes @weirddalle
1.7M Followers 460 Following memes and weird ai generations | dm for promo | @hardaipics | follow my IG
MeuseArgonne @ArgonneForest
318 Followers 752 Following Just a guy trying to live life through work, family, and his writing. Columnist for https://t.co/6H3lQ3vJ2F, Mountaineer
Jim @jbernstapd
140 Followers 559 Following Data-driven Marketer who digs analytics, sports and politics (& where they intersect)
M L C @ChiCyph80
2K Followers 952 Following Sports loving (Go Blue!), Vodka consuming social butterfly Dem voter, Chicago lover, and proud member of LGBTQ & ET Twitter
Matt Brown @mrbrownsir
7K Followers 2K Following Reporter @AP covering race, democracy and other light topics. Optimist, traveler, disco enthusiast. [email protected]
Steve Marchand @marchandsteve
11K Followers 2K Following Proud to be Abbi & Maggie's Dad, @sandihennequin's husband, a native of New Hampshire, and a fan of all things New England sports and #nhpolitics.
Laila Al-Arian @LailaAlarian
38K Followers 4K Following Emmy, Peabody, RFK and Polk award-winning investigative journalist, Executive Producer of @AJFaultLines. 90s Knicks fan.
Larry Drake @LarryDrake2
2K Followers 3K Following Enjoying the retired life in Portsmouth, NH. Active in Democratic politics. Co-host of Seacoast Currents on Portsmouth Community Radio.
Aaron Jacobs @AFJacobs
3K Followers 2K Following Campaign guy. Now: re-electing @JoeBiden. Former/always: @Maggie_Hassan.
Run for Something @runforsomething
103K Followers 2K Following Helping recruit & support young people running for office. Building a Democratic bench. Paid for by Run for Something PAC.
Matt Mooshian @MattMooshian
1K Followers 2K Following Advocacy & Engagement Director, @603Forward & @FWDFoundationNH. Community organizer. Home baker. Dog walking enthusiast. Washed up City Councilor. he/him 🇦🇲
Codify @CodifyBaseball
114K Followers 225 Following Dozens of MLB pitchers have trusted Codify's personalized game planning for greater pitching success! Send a DM to learn how to join them today!
Mark Zandi @Markzandi
30K Followers 143 Following Chief Economist @economics_ma. Host of Inside Economics podcast https://t.co/ONmSCQ65Ib. Co-founder of https://t.co/ZAo6ME72qu. Views expressed here are my own.
Dr Paddy Barrett @Paddy_Barrett
51K Followers 3K Following Cardiologist who wants to help you prevent heart disease & live longer. Join over 20K+ others on the journey at https://t.co/TMgHNPXhci . Free 5 Day Course Below 👇
University of Washing.. @UW
186K Followers 2K Following University of Washington students, faculty and staff believe in boundless opportunities. Do you dare to Be Boundless? At the UW, you can.
Jacob S. Rugh @JakeRugh
4K Followers 4K Following Raised on Chicago's South Side. My research on housing segregation & immigration appears in The Atlantic, 538, NYT, NPR, & Supreme Court cases. He/him.
Danny Barefoot @dannybarefoot
13K Followers 3K Following Lawyer. Fmr: @ACLU & advertising for Democrats.
Lydia DePillis @lydiadepillis
30K Followers 4K Following Economy reporter @nytimes. Forever asking people to explain things. Tips/praise/etc.: [email protected].
ron insana @rinsana
25K Followers 2K Following I am a contributor to CNBC, CEO if https://t.co/8eDhc63fnK, a public speaker and observer of all things economy and market-related.
Mike Kadlick @mikekadlick
13K Followers 465 Following optimistic pessimist about the city of champions 🏆 • listen to @BehindMikePod 🎧
Martin Longman @BooMan23
7K Followers 1K Following Blogging at Progress Pond (@PondProgress) and contributing editor at the Washington Monthly (@monthly): @[email protected] (on Mastodon) https://t.co/5MK6tbjmID
School of Public & In.. @UGA_SPIA
3K Followers 491 Following Preparing students for careers in public service in Georgia, the nation, and the world.
603 Forward @603Forward
2K Followers 1K Following Working with young Granite Staters on issues that matter most to us + building the next generation of leadership. You don’t have to get ready if you stay ready.
SP&R @SusquehannaPR
5K Followers 203 Following Susquehanna Polling & Research is one of the nation's leading research firms in qualitative and quantitative research methods for corporate & political clients.
Marina Glasscock @GlasscoMar
94 Followers 5K Following
Abacus Data @abacusdataca
12K Followers 861 Following Canada's most sought-after, influential, and impactful polling & market research firm.
Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter
11.0M Followers 4K Following ESPN Senior NFL Insider. Interview & Podcast Requests: [email protected] Host of the Adam Schefter Podcast https://t.co/oz43ix5jZU
Arpit Gupta @arpitrage
31K Followers 4K Following Associate Professor of Finance, @NYUStern. Finance/Real Estate/Urban newsletter: https://t.co/lWVJvq6vKg.
Alan Couzens @Alan_Couzens
57K Followers 995 Following Physiologist, #Developer, Health/Fitness/Performance Coach for endurance athletes. Using #data #science & #AI to facilitate Max Athletic Development 🇦🇺#INTP
This such an enormous issue it is really hard to overstate it. Microsoft claims the right to parse every Office 365 file, and Google claims the same for Google Docs. AI needs data - but the ownership of that data is ill defined at best.
A top law journal is set to publish a landmark article about the intersection between copyright law and AI. Advocates say the journal hasn't done enough to disclose the authors’ ties to major tech companies trib.al/9oXS5UF
All of this could have happened months ago if the House weren't so dysfunctional.
Biden says military aid will be shipped to Ukraine in HOURS. "I'm making sure the shipments start right away. In the next few hours--literally in a few hours--we are going to begin sending equipment to Ukraine for air defense munitions, artillery for rocket systems, and armored…
Linguists have finally cracked the case and recreated the first proto-human language dating back ~200k years ago They now believe the first root words of all languages was: "ooga booga"
@dcg1114 Successful movements in the past carefully trained their activists in civil disobedience, imposed message discipline and were strategic about their aims.
@dcg1114 No, they’re not going to be 33%. That would be well above both 2016 and 2020. The 29% figure is far more plausible.
@dcg1114 Whites with a college education have been a fairly steady share of the electorate, nonwhites are increasing, and Whites who did not attend a 4-year college have been steadily declining
@dcg1114 Still following the WWII path. Let’s hope we get some more falling in the headline/core and avoiding that deflationary~>recessionary fall on the repeat.
GARZARELLI CAPITAL: Today’s disinflation is “a mirror image of what happened after WWII .. there was a pause in inflation’s downtrend .. lasted for several months, and then .. resumed .. we are experiencing a similar pause and see inflation following a similar path downward ..”
@DougJBalloon (e) Position at the Harvard Institute of Politics
Whether it's Donald Trump cheating on his wife with porn stars or Joe Biden remaining faithful to his wife for forty-seven years, both presidents have had remarkable marriages.
@dcg1114 Remember that the bill still has to go through the Senate. Schumer would bounce it back with aid attached if the bill doesn't include it.
Multi-fam units under construction are starting to fall more rapidly. Apartments are going to pivot from glut to shortage in a relatively brief period of time (18-24 months):
You bend the knee once, it gets easier the next time. nhpr.org/nh-news/2024-0…
We are very, very small, but we are profoundly capable of very, very big things. -Stephen Hawking
Price discovery is amazing. Taking inflation into account, this has roughly been an 87% drop in real terms. Office space has to become housing. That's the reality of our modern world.
JUST IN: The value of a Class A office tower (750 Lexington) in NYC has declined a shocking 83% since 2015 According to Morningstar, the estimated ~$300M valuation from 2015 has been slashed to just ~$50M A $130M loan tied to the building transferred to special servicing back…
If Biden is serious about saving democracy, he will offer a massive tax cut to the wealthy so that principled Republicans like me can vote for him.
The real winner in the Iranian attack on Israel? Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.
The US has put itself at the mercy of what Netanyahu thinks "necessary." A disaster for, in order: people of Gaza; people of Israel; people of US; people.
There's a barage of disinformation on X right now on the Iran attack on Israel. So far, looks like all reports, images of an attack by Israel on Iran's territory are false. May change quickly but it's currently false. These are accounts trying to drive engagement, get paid.
@dcg1114 @ElectProject Catalyst has : WWC 44% White College 29% Black 12% Suburbs 55%
Trends for United States
You might like
