Kabir K. / kabirkhanna.bsky.social @kabir_here
@CBSNews Elections & Data Analytics | @Princeton political science PhD | https://t.co/QJs3qzWvH2 kabirkhanna.com New Jersey Joined March 2017-
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Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin look very close at the moment, all within margins of error Biden support among White voters matching or even exceeding his 2020 performance If margins were better among voters of color, i.e., closer to '20, he would lead in all three states
Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin look very close at the moment, all within margins of error Biden support among White voters matching or even exceeding his 2020 performance If margins were better among voters of color, i.e., closer to '20, he would lead in all three states
Voting is choice between options... We don't see young voters flipping based on views of Israel-Hamas conflict Those who want Israel to stop military actions in Gaza choose Biden at similar rate to young voters overall (And approval slide among young may be related to economy)
Voting is choice between options... We don't see young voters flipping based on views of Israel-Hamas conflict Those who want Israel to stop military actions in Gaza choose Biden at similar rate to young voters overall (And approval slide among young may be related to economy)
Trump's NYC trial? Not a big factor in MI/PA/WI It's mostly Democrats/Biden voters saying they've heard/read much about it Trump voters paying more attention less likely to be persuadable And roughly equal concern overall that prosecution is political and Trump committed crime
Trump's NYC trial? Not a big factor in MI/PA/WI It's mostly Democrats/Biden voters saying they've heard/read much about it Trump voters paying more attention less likely to be persuadable And roughly equal concern overall that prosecution is political and Trump committed crime https://t.co/LY00BqvECD
MI/PA/WI tight Majorities rated state economy poorly four years ago in pandemic Evaluating Trump today, voters focus on pre-pandemic economy, and many feel better off financially with him But Trump/Biden elicit more worry than confidence, lots of anger cbsnews.com/news/biden-tru…
How Trump changed his stance on absentee and mail voting — which he used to blame for election fraud cbsnews.com/news/trump-abs…
Noticeable uptick in sympathy with Palestinian people and decrease in support for arming Israel, especially among Democrats here cbsnews.com/news/biden-isr… Survey fielded just before news of Iran attack
Noticeable uptick in sympathy with Palestinian people and decrease in support for arming Israel, especially among Democrats here cbsnews.com/news/biden-isr… Survey fielded just before news of Iran attack https://t.co/RzPmrD2O9d
*New* CBS News Poll: How Ukraine Aid Views Are Shaped by Cold War memories, partisanship…and Donald Trump Views also connect to U.S. role in the world; Reps trust Trump over the Pentagon for information tinyurl.com/3m9ewxky
In the most recent update, using data from 1953-2021, macropartisanship depends most strongly on presidential approval. doi.org/10.1017/S15375… When the president is less popular, PID shifts toward the other party. So PID shifts to GOP as Biden's approval rating drops.
Education and partisanship: The share of voters with a four-year bachelor’s degree keeps increasing, reaching 40% in 2023. And the gap in partisanship between voters with and without a college degree continues to grow, especially among White voters.
Our polling last year found two-thirds majority wanting abortion pill Mifepristone to remain available in states with legal abortion, amid concerns among many women that reproductive health care is becoming harder in U.S. More here: cbsnews.com/news/abortion-…
CBS News projects Bernie Moreno wins Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Ohio Moreno faces Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown in the general election, in what is shaping up to be a competitive race
CBS News projects Bernie Moreno wins Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Ohio Moreno faces Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown in the general election, in what is shaping up to be a competitive race https://t.co/MsxjDJrJXI
Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17
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29K Followers 2K Following deputy editor @InsideElections / formerly @NBCNews, @cnn, @cornellsun / Beltway born and raised / say hello: [email protected]
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Alice 🇵🇸🏳️.. @Socialist_girly
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All Voting is Local @VotingIsLocal
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Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot
61K Followers 3K Following Senior editor and senior elections analyst @FiveThirtyEight. Don't call me Nate!
Jacob Rubashkin @JacobRubashkin
29K Followers 2K Following deputy editor @InsideElections / formerly @NBCNews, @cnn, @cornellsun / Beltway born and raised / say hello: [email protected]
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96K Followers 991 Following CEO @thetara_group, Sr Advisor @TargetSmart, former @HowardU, @claritycampaign, @ncec1948, @SEIULocal500. DM inquiries
Michael McDonald @ElectProject
90K Followers 588 Following Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections.
Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy
66K Followers 2K Following Polling editor @CNN; keeping (cross)tabs on public opinion and the news. LA native, formerly @HuffPost. I like puns.
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472K Followers 1K Following chief political analyst, @nytimes. writing about elections, public opinion and demographics for @UpshotNYT. polling and needling. PNW expat.
Taniel @Taniel
129K Followers 836 Following Daniel Nichanian. Editor-in-chief and founder of @BoltsMag. (Follow us!) And here's everywhere else you can find me: https://t.co/3h3lUA8v3Q
Galen Metzger🪬📈.. @GalenMetzger1
16K Followers 342 Following Special elections enjoyer. 22. 2022 oracle. Anti-populist. National Security Lib. Fuck Alfalfa. Pangloss was right. ↙️↙️↙️
Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende
65K Followers 930 Following
Kyle Kondik @kkondik
53K Followers 4K Following American elections analyst; Managing Editor, Sabato's Crystal Ball at UVA Center for Politics. Sign up free at https://t.co/vMxRSSZvVT
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126K Followers 3K Following Washington Bureau Chief at @semafor. Sign up for Principals and Americana at https://t.co/BQHSjHkC3I. bsarlin at semafor dot com. Same username on 🧵
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20K Followers 583 Following Politics and Mapping Fanatic. Econ, Math, and Statistics. Go Bucks. Nonpartisan analysis, though will occasionally offer (liberal) personal opinions.
Brendan Nyhan (@Brend.. @BrendanNyhan
89K Followers 18K Following @Dartmouth political scientist & @BrightLineWatch co-director. Before: @upshotNYT; @UMich; @CJR; Spinsanity https://t.co/uYqX3jPmks
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26K Followers 4K Following policy, $, political economy of race // 70-80s soul, 90s hip hop // #DubNation // proud product of miscegenation // Berkeley prof. formerly: UW, Princeton CSDP
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319K Followers 11K Following Senior political columnist @politico. Best email for audio files, documents, tips and provocative ideas: https://t.co/VmkJz2G3tS or DM for text/signal
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11K Followers 1K Following I cover politics, track polling and predict elections at RacetotheWH. In 2022, my election forecast called over 96% of races right between the House and Senate.
Matt Grossmann @MattGrossmann
33K Followers 3K Following Michigan State political scientist & @ippsr Director; @hookedlansing Co-owner; Pod: @niskanencenter Science of Politics; Next book: Polarized by Degrees
stephen fowler @stphnfwlr
45K Followers 2K Following covering Georgia + other 2024 stuff @npr/@nprpolitics | always thinking of bourbon, biscuits and buc-ee’s
Tyler McBrien @TylerMcBrien
25K Followers 2K Following Managing Editor, @lawfare. Writing in @washingtonpost, @TheAtlantic, @Slate, @LAReviewofBooks, @ForeignPolicy, @MotherJones, and more.
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5K Followers 1K Following Former political director of the AFL-CIO. Senior fellow at CAP.
Mike Bailey @M_A_Bailey
544 Followers 307 Following
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Liberty Vittert @LibertyVittert
3K Followers 475 Following Prof of the Practice of Data Science @WUSTLbusiness. Feature Editor @TheHDSR Harvard Data Science Review. Host of MIT @mitidss DS podcast. @decisiondeskhq below
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3K Followers 2K Following 2024 political campaign reporter @cbsnews. previously: @cnnpolitics @whurfm. Columbus to DC. @howardu alum. tips/stories: [email protected]
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2K Followers 2K Following Director of the Center for Inclusive Democracy (CID) at the USC Price School of Public Policy, formerly California Civic Engagement Project. Views are my own.
Public Policy Institu.. @PPICNotes
13K Followers 1K Following Informing and improving public policy in CA through independent, objective, nonpartisan research. Follow us on Instagram: https://t.co/4dyAuBx1Om
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335 Followers 742 Following Family. Sports. Politics. Now: PhD Candidate in Political Science @MIT. Was: Client Success @CivisAnalytics, @UofR ‘20.
Daniel Yudkin @dyudkin
3K Followers 1K Following Senior Advisor at @MoreInCommon_ and Visiting Scholar @Wharton studying moral psychology and polarization. R-user, jazz pianist. All opinions other people’s.
Allison Novelo @AlliNovelo
778 Followers 695 Following ‘24 Campaign embed @CBSnews | Formerly @Suntimes | Scholar @whca | MS @medillschool | BA @Uofillinois | She/Her/Hers | Send tips to: [email protected]
Just Security @just_security
120K Followers 3K Following Forum on law, rights, and security. Editorial Board includes former senior government officials, top civil society attorneys, and law professors. Based @nyulaw.
Norm Eisen (#TryingTr.. @NormEisen
310K Followers 4K Following Sr. Fellow @brookingsgov & Legal Analyst @cnn. My new book "Trying Trump" is on Amazon now!
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3K Followers 965 Following Real estate/land use whiz kid. Flâneur. Happy spinster. I like cities and nature. Black lives matter.
Michigan Department o.. @MichSoS
31K Followers 9K Following News for you from Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson and the Michigan Department of State. Call (888) SOS-MICH (767-6424) FB/IG: MichiganSoS
Steven Romalewski @SR_spatial
5K Followers 658 Following “... a researcher at the Center for Urban Research at the City University of New York Graduate Center, who mapped the results.” Photo: Ozier Muhammad/CUNY
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256 Followers 152 Following Elections Insights Data Science @washingtonpost | Dogs | Go Leafs Go | Disgruntled @NJTRANSIT_RVL Rider
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56K Followers 1K Following The AI Now Institute produces diagnosis and actionable policy research on artificial intelligence.
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1K Followers 154 Following Measuring the impact of the world’s most important messages
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35K Followers 3K Following NYC political reporter with @PoliticoNY, co-authoring New York Playbook. 🌵➡️🗽 Used to be at @CityandStateNY
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3K Followers 2K Following @Newsday Politics reporter covering Nassau County. Alum of @Cornell, @ColumbiaJourn [email protected]
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4K Followers 3K Following Media reporter at The Wall Street Journal. [email protected]. Free WSJ journalist Evan Gershkovich #IStandWithEvan.
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29K Followers 3K Following Go to https://t.co/ESgjGswfzz to learn more about voting and serving as an NYC poll worker!
Aslı Unan @aslunn
988 Followers 882 Following because the internet | Assistant Prof. in political economy @UvA_Amsterdam | previously, postdoc in political behavior @HumboldtUni | PhD from @Kingspol_econ
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7K Followers 1K Following politics reporter @CBSNews Digital. I tweet about spies, the Real Housewives, etc.
Lee Kovarsky @lee_kovarsky
12K Followers 728 Following Professor of Law, University of Texas. Habeas corpus, death penalty, some other law stuff, sentient space robots, kids who don't listen to me, and hot sauce.
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303K Followers 1K Following Senior legal affairs reporter for @POLITICO with a focus on 1/6 aftermath. Tips: [email protected] NY ➡️ BOS ➡️ DC
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5K Followers 3K Following CBS MoneyWatch reporter. Nebula finalist✨#VP18 grad, Codexian, @SFWA member. Married to @peterdodds. She/her. [email protected]. Opinions are my own.
Stanford Data Science @StanfordData
1K Followers 20 Following Enabling data-driven discovery at scale, and expanding data science education - @Stanford and beyond
Women in Data Science @WiDS_Worldwide
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Ross Dahlke 🔑 @Ross_Dahlke
4K Followers 2K Following PhD candidate @stanford @KnightHennessy @stanforddata | proud alum @uw_sjmc
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794 Followers 1K Following Politics reporter @CBSNews digital. [email protected]
ciprianmatthews @ciprianmatthews
2K Followers 816 Following Journalist; wife; mom; Barnard & NYU Grad; CBS News EVP, Washington Bureau Chief. Tweets/retweets/opinions are my own.
Gabrielle (Gaby) Ake @gabrielle_ake
2K Followers 783 Following @CBSNews White House Producer | @medillschool grad | Colorado gal | Last name rhymes with headache | Cover photo by @dougmillsnyt
John Voorheis @john_voorheis
7K Followers 736 Following Principal Economist, Center for Economic Studies at @uscensusbureau. I study how people, places, businesses and the environment interact. Opinions my own.
Fernando Suarez @FSuarezCBS
2K Followers 2K Following @CBSNews Political Unit Coordinating Producer, Vanderbilt University Alum
Sunder Katwala @sundersays
39K Followers 11K Following Director @britishfuture. Author of How to be a Patriot https://t.co/2mVuOhKhxi @HarperNorthUK New: Culture Clash https://t.co/ukFtFRfj3r
Ben Feuerherd @benfeuerherd
7K Followers 3K Following Courts reporter. Covering Trump’s Manhattan criminal trial for POLITICO. Send tips: [email protected]
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2K Followers 1K Following @NBCNews 2024 political campaign embed and SoCal native @UCLA alum // words in @DailyBruin, @USATODAY, @Billboard, @takepart
Jeff Rosenstock @jeffrosenstock
61K Followers 457 Following Song Do-er / Craig of the Creek Composer / Back To The Island co-host blurtin' through a corpse
Adam Sexton @AdamSextonWMUR
14K Followers 2K Following @WMUR9 Political Director. Host, CloseUp NH. Proud Husband of @603Amanda; Dada to Ham, Sock & Natty. Mostly #nhpolitics & #FITN here. @49ers & @Mariners fan.
Nina Corcoran @Nina_Corcoran
9K Followers 243 Following just play the song, schneebly // associate staff writer @pitchfork // words at stereogum, npr, rolling stone, vulture, wired, etc. [email protected]
Christopher Kenny @Chris_T_Kenny
520 Followers 689 Following PhD Candidate in Government @Harvard (American/Methods). @Cornell '19. Studies redistricting. Affiliated w/ @alarm_redist, @IQSS, @CapsHarvard, @ElectionClinic.
@kabir_here @CBSNews @YouGov With prez AND Senate I hope?!?
How Trump changed his stance on absentee and mail voting — which he used to blame for election fraud cbsnews.com/news/trump-abs…
@gronke You made me think of the story from Feb where I got the MI early vote by municipality & their sheet was one row longer than my list. Went line by line to find the discrepancy. They had a Manchester City in Washtenaw that I didn’t have. Turns out they incorporated btw 22 and 24
I have a new @FiveThirtyEight piece out, "The less you vote, the more you back Trump." It reports a striking finding from a new NORC survey: more frequent voters are more pro-Biden & less frequent voters are more pro-Trump. 1/2 abcnews.go.com/538/vote-back-…
The Pew Research Center: Destroyer of Hot Takes. pewresearch.org/politics/2024/…
In the most recent update, using data from 1953-2021, macropartisanship depends most strongly on presidential approval. doi.org/10.1017/S15375… When the president is less popular, PID shifts toward the other party. So PID shifts to GOP as Biden's approval rating drops.
New Jersey has a name, Kathy.
A 4.8 magnitude earthquake hit west of Manhattan and has been felt throughout New York. My team is assessing impacts and any damage that may have occurred, and we will update the public throughout the day.
I’m about 20 miles from the epicenter. It felt akin to what I experienced when I lived in LA. Strong enough to really rumble, but not knock anything over . First thought was something was crashing from the sky but knew I wasn’t hearing anything outside.
California friends, you’re gonna wanna log off today. We’re gonna be so annoying about this ALL day.
And so many people to thank for their help on this project (but not to blame for my strong views!) @XiaoLiMeng1 @jon_m_rob @jonmladd @shirokuriwaki @awmercer @PKellstedt @joshclinton Laura Stoker @dhopkins1776 @ProfHansNoel
well, spoiler alert i guess, but turns out The 3 Body Problem is *not* about a throuple all trying to find T-T jobs at the same university
@mattyglesias Judaism and Islam moving in the opposite direction as everyone else is fun
Today we’ve lost a giant and a visionary: Prof. Daniel Kahneman has passed at the age of 90. The Princeton SPIA community shares our condolences with his family and all who knew him, learned from him, and loved him. bit.ly/4cy0arM
New research! Stefaan Walgrave, @KSoontjens, @PeejLoewen & I have looked at whether politicians in 4 countries are better at estimating public opinion on issues that matter more to voters. We already know that they aren’t good at this, but perhaps they’re better when it matters?
@gelliottmorris Featuring members of No Excuse for a Name
So when the question is asked whether Americans are better/worse off than 4 years ago, is the starting point Jan. 2020, when positive views of economy were the most positive in 20 yrs? Or April, during pandemic, when positive views had declined 30+ pts.? pewrsr.ch/2VrN9KR
@kabir_here @CBSNews For those with long memories the number 1968 is ominous.
Think Aaron Ramsdale was hyped about that +3 points?
Got some good news this week. I've been appointed the @Caltech Flintridge Foundation Professor of Political and Computational Social Science!
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