Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
chief political analyst, @nytimes. writing about elections, public opinion and demographics for @UpshotNYT. polling and needling. PNW expat. nytimes.com/by/nate-cohn Washington, DC Joined January 2012-
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
642K Followers 1K Following Senior Editor & Elections Analyst of the nonpartisan @CookPolitical Report w/ @AmyEWalter. Nerd for 🗺️ maps, ⛷️ ski slopes & 🎻 trad tunes. Has seen enough.
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
3.4M Followers 2K Following New Book, On The Edge, August 13: https://t.co/WeCLEOd4Be
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
542K Followers 2K Following Slow Boring, cohosting https://t.co/wxUj3JFSFf, Bloomberg columnist
David Weigel @daveweigel
566K Followers 13K Following Covering politics for @semafor. Alum: @washingtonpost, @business, @slate. [email protected]. Buy my book: https://t.co/6sWfZ4MNgH
Josh Barro @jbarro
285K Followers 2K Following I write a newsletter (at https://t.co/ZoyMCO4aN5), I host the Very Serious podcast, & I co-host https://t.co/UzPB0fX8QJ w/ @popehat Email josh at joshbarro dot com
Jon Ralston @RalstonReports
177K Followers 2K Following CEO/Editor, The Nevada Independent. Your State. Your News. Your Voice. [email protected] #WeMatter
Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17
44K Followers 2K Following @cal alum + lecturer; AI/software engineer; elections + modeling @SplitTicket_. Chelsea ⚽, Sharks 🏒, Giants ⚾. ✉️ [email protected]. views my own. he/him
Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot
61K Followers 3K Following Senior editor and senior elections analyst @FiveThirtyEight. Don't call me Nate!
Taniel @Taniel
129K Followers 836 Following Daniel Nichanian. Editor-in-chief and founder of @BoltsMag. (Follow us!) And here's everywhere else you can find me: https://t.co/3h3lUA8v3Q
New Liberals 🌐🇺.. @CNLiberalism
84K Followers 1K Following Liberal, Open, and Radically Pragmatic. The home for the center-left. Part of @NewDemocracy
G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris
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Drew Savicki @DrewSav
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FiveThirtyEight @FiveThirtyEight
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Michael McDonald @ElectProject
90K Followers 588 Following Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections.
Conor Sen @conorsen
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Galen Metzger🪬📈.. @GalenMetzger1
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Matthew Zeitlin @MattZeitlin
56K Followers 3K Following correspondent @heatmap_news matthew at heatmap dot news
IloveUlraine @ukraine72050
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PollCollector @XPollCollector
21 Followers 235 Following I collect 𝕏 Polls See Highlights for tips #PollCollector #PollOfTheDay #Poll #Xpolls
Craig Patti @CPAT_437
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Mora @Valeria34447448
0 Followers 120 Following “Great skin doesn't happen by chance, it happens by appointment.” If Spa is second, then no beauty trend will take first place
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here to browse @politetoafault
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24 Followers 2K Following Being Early is key Il Bullish on $ETH and $Sol and $Ada Il Turn on & II DM me for a promotion I lI
Garmfeld @lasagnavoreftw
79 Followers 207 Following L̴̡̫̤̹͈̰͇͌ä̶̲͓̲̺̬́̓̄͑̆͊͆͝s̶̭͉̫͎̲̣̘̿͂̾ḁ̴̳̹͙̹͔͇͛̿̿g̵͙̳̤̦͈͖͎̦̫͎̊̌͋̂̎n̵̢̗̦̟̙̮͖̈́̔̍̈́̈̑͌̑͗͠ͅạ̷̔͆̾̑͂̆̅̔͝
Charles Hlupeko @charlestana88
0 Followers 29 Following
Siobhan Kingsley (she.. @SiobhanKingsley
10 Followers 408 Following Formerly: @Liberal_Party 🇨🇦 + @AustralianLabor 🇦🇺 Currently: probably lost somewhere in D.C.
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Moderate Mike, 🎃Fa.. @MHughesLA
1K Followers 5K Following Los Angeles-based writer and bar trivia champion. Author of Pumpkin Farmer, The Crimson Shamrock, Inland Intrigue, and Loafing by La Brea. Buy my books:
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FRIDA DATA @FridaData
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5 Followers 4 Following Adil Sayeed is a public policy consultant and former member of the Progressive Conservative Party of Canada, now opted into the Liberal Party.
God Bless The USA @slimshadier2024
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
642K Followers 1K Following Senior Editor & Elections Analyst of the nonpartisan @CookPolitical Report w/ @AmyEWalter. Nerd for 🗺️ maps, ⛷️ ski slopes & 🎻 trad tunes. Has seen enough.
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
3.4M Followers 2K Following New Book, On The Edge, August 13: https://t.co/WeCLEOd4Be
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
542K Followers 2K Following Slow Boring, cohosting https://t.co/wxUj3JFSFf, Bloomberg columnist
David Weigel @daveweigel
566K Followers 13K Following Covering politics for @semafor. Alum: @washingtonpost, @business, @slate. [email protected]. Buy my book: https://t.co/6sWfZ4MNgH
Josh Barro @jbarro
285K Followers 2K Following I write a newsletter (at https://t.co/ZoyMCO4aN5), I host the Very Serious podcast, & I co-host https://t.co/UzPB0fX8QJ w/ @popehat Email josh at joshbarro dot com
Jon Ralston @RalstonReports
177K Followers 2K Following CEO/Editor, The Nevada Independent. Your State. Your News. Your Voice. [email protected] #WeMatter
Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot
61K Followers 3K Following Senior editor and senior elections analyst @FiveThirtyEight. Don't call me Nate!
Taniel @Taniel
129K Followers 836 Following Daniel Nichanian. Editor-in-chief and founder of @BoltsMag. (Follow us!) And here's everywhere else you can find me: https://t.co/3h3lUA8v3Q
G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris
118K Followers 526 Following editorial director of data analytics @abc news + 538. author of STRENGTH IN NUMBERS: how polls work and why we need them https://t.co/c8nxYdnpks.
Astead @AsteadWH
214K Followers 2K Following @NYTimes politics reporter, podcast host, and @CNN analyst. Semi-retired tweeter. full-time COYS. Follow our podcast: @TheRunUpNYT
FiveThirtyEight @FiveThirtyEight
1.3M Followers 330 Following Data-driven news and analysis from @ABC News’s 538.
Michael McDonald @ElectProject
90K Followers 588 Following Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections.
Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
369K Followers 2K Following Fast and accurate election results, from federal to local. Sign up for a free DDHQ account and newsletter subscription ⬇️
Jonathan Chait @jonathanchait
204K Followers 735 Following Writer for New York magazine. Tweets with links are intended as prompts to read the linked story, not self-contained arguments substituting for the linked story
Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende
65K Followers 930 Following
Benjy Sarlin @BenjySarlin
126K Followers 3K Following Washington Bureau Chief at @semafor. Sign up for Principals and Americana at https://t.co/BQHSjHkC3I. bsarlin at semafor dot com. Same username on 🧵
Clare Malone @ClareMalone
124K Followers 793 Following You can drag a horticulture but you can't make her think. Staff writer @NewYorker covering media and politics 📝[email protected] 📝
Jacob Rubashkin @JacobRubashkin
29K Followers 2K Following deputy editor @InsideElections / formerly @NBCNews, @cnn, @cornellsun / Beltway born and raised / say hello: [email protected]
Burgess Everett @burgessev
146K Followers 2K Following POLITICO congressional bureau chief. Photo by @frankthorp
Ethan Singer @ethanpsinger
618 Followers 63 Following soon @NYTimes and @UpshotNYT | soon but less soon @MITPolisci | Stats + CS + Public Policy @ BU '24
Raphael Nishimura @rnishimura
5K Followers 439 Following Survey methodologist and statistician @UM_SRC @umisr @Umich @MichPSM alum #survey | #sampling | #statistics | #rstats @rnishimura.bsky.social
Michael Gold @migold
22K Followers 2K Following politics correspondent at @nytimes, covering the 2024 race. i'm the rhoda. 🏳️🌈. [email protected]
NASA Voyager @NASAVoyager
869K Followers 49 Following Official account for NASA’s Voyager 1 & 2 spacecraft, the longest operating spacecraft in deep space. 🛰 Team HQ'd @NASAJPL (Verification: https://t.co/EOxYPHpDUh)
Rod Dreher @roddreher
101K Followers 683 Following Conservative, Orthodox Christian, Southerner, eclecticist. ‘The Benedict Option', 'Live Not By Lies'. Danube Institute, The European Conservative 🇮🇱
max seddon @maxseddon
380K Followers 4K Following moscow bureau chief @FT. in soviet russia, news reports you: [email protected]
Bonnie Glaser / 葛�.. @BonnieGlaser
107K Followers 857 Following Managing Director, Indo-Pacific Program, German Marshall Fund @GMFAsia, China, Indo-Pac, Europe-China, RT≠ endorsement. Mute/block bots & all nasty tweets.
Michele F. Margolis @mfmargolis
2K Followers 575 Following Associate Professor of Political Science. Tweets are about religion or politics. Bonus points if they’re about religion and politics.
Katie Robertson @katie_robertson
18K Followers 5K Following Media reporter @nytimes | Aussie in NYC | Email me: [email protected]
Nicholas Nehamas @NickNehamas
15K Followers 6K Following Political correspondent @nytimes, based in DC. Former @MiamiHerald. Helped break #PanamaPapers. Co-author of "The Grifter's Club" and "Dirty Gold."
Joy Wilke - @joywilke.. @joywilke
427 Followers 723 Following love surveys, #rstats, @rnishimura. ucla phd, @MichPSM alum, @blue_labs. formerly: @CivisAnalytics, @DCCC, @Gallup she/her @joywilke at post
Maeve Ward @MaeveCHWard
774 Followers 2K Following 📊📖 Now: @growprogress Previously: @civisanalytics, @gatesfoundation, @hartsurveys
Dan Judy @danjudy
317 Followers 397 Following GOP pollster with North Star Opinion Research. Husband, dad, Bulldog, climber, and hiker. Sometimes I tweet, but usually I do other stuff.
Jeanna Smialek @jeannasmialek
66K Followers 2K Following Federal Reserve and economy reporter @nytimes. Pittsburgh native, Tar Heel. Wrote a book on central banking's new era, link below.
Anjali Huynh @anjalihuynh
3K Followers 989 Following viet desi iowan covering all things 2024 for @nytimes • wrote @ajc @bostonglobe @nbcnews etc.
cinyc @cinyc9
11K Followers 908 Following Maps and politics and stuff. Usually, it's just maps. Disclosure: Conservative Republican. Maps: https://t.co/zKDAwsogJY.
Dave Sims @davesims_
30K Followers 6K Following Husband, Dad, G'dad, TV Voice-Seattle Mariners, 3X NSMA Washington state Sportscaster of the Yr…FS1 Big East Basketball. https://t.co/5AWXE6P6Xw
Oliver Traldi @olivertraldi
27K Followers 5K Following Political Beliefs https://t.co/vHjAiR9xI1 @MadisonProgram @Princeton @Philosophy_ND
Erin Covey @ercovey
3K Followers 2K Following U.S. House Analyst at @CookPolitical. Contributing author to @The_Almanac. Formerly @InsideElections, @NJHotline, @NPR, @CSPAN.
Richard N. Haass @RichardHaass
238K Followers 1K Following President Emeritus, CFR. Author of "The Bill of Obligations: The Ten Habits of Good Citizens" (https://t.co/vOkjeXF4rz) and "Home & Away" (https://t.co/RqmfT8hc1d).
Brandon Moody @brandonjmoody
1K Followers 2K Following Founder, Right Line Communications; co-founder @coefficientpoll; @NRCC alum; @repseanduffy former Chief; GC @djaycameron
Caitlin Gilbert @caitlinsgilbert
2K Followers 2K Following @washingtonpost well+being data reporter | neurosci PhD | she/her [email protected] 👩🏻💻 https://t.co/8ScjRfVjnF
Paul Mozur 孟建國 @paulmozur
57K Followers 5K Following Global tech reporter for @NYTimes. I am so wise I had my mouth sewn shut. pmozur at https://t.co/PnW2nEGuP3
Mike Smith @mikesmith_DC
3K Followers 1K Following President @HouseMajPAC. @DCCC, @TeamPelosi, and @HillaryClinton '16 alum. Dog parent to Mollie & Billy.
Joe Doyle @JoeDoyleMiLB
24K Followers 599 Following Senior Analyst - @FSS_PLUS (@FtrStarsSeries) Host: Over-Slot Previous: MLB Consulting Scout School Certified Rapsodo Certified 2 Driveline Certifications
Jeff Zients @WHCOS
593K Followers 770 Following White House Chief of Staff. Husband. Dad of 4. Bagel Enthusiast. #Team46
The Run-Up @TheRunUpNYT
4K Followers 423 Following A political podcast from The New York Times, hosted and reported by Astead Herndon (@asteadwh) | Tweets by Team Run-Up | 📧: [email protected]
2022 Collaborative Mi.. @CUmidtermsurvey
146 Followers 200 Following Funded by @NSF. Support from @CornellCCSS, @RoperCenter, & @CornellBPP. Informing the future of survey research, and understanding the midterm election.
Jonathan Tepperman @j_tepperman
6K Followers 2K Following Former Editor-in-Chief of @ForeignPolicy. Before that: @ForeignAffairs and @Newsweek. Author of THE FIX. Half Canadian; fully Brooklyn. *feba599f
Jennifer Su @jennifersu
109 Followers 219 Following VP of Research at @ssrs_research RTs ≠ endorsements / Views are my own
Rachel M. Stein @RachelMStein1
117 Followers 26 Following Recovering academic, Chief Analyst @EquisLabs, audiobook junkie, aspiring novelist. She/hers. All opinions are my own, especially the wrong ones!
jj @Jamal___James
5K Followers 292 Following
Stephen Richer—Mari.. @stephen_richer
34K Followers 2K Following I ❤️ diet coke, sports, hip hop, fantasy books, classic fiction, business, cookies, management, logic puzzles, word games, bread, cats, writing, wife, family
Irineo Cabreros @cabrerosic
300 Followers 346 Following Statistician at @RANDCorporation Alumnus of @storeylab Science communicator
Ilana Marcus @ilana_marcus
319 Followers 259 Following Election data @nytimes -- Formerly investigative data editor @CQRollCall -- Pronouns: she/her
William P. Davis @williampd
2K Followers 856 Following Director of election analytics @nytimes. Previously: online editor then product for @bangordailynews. Violin/Viola. Founding partner of #ONAPajamaJam.
Ben Wieder @benbwieder
7K Followers 4K Following @McClatchyDC/@MiamiHerald investigations, ex-@publicintegrity, @stateline_news. Husband of @ruthigielnik. Tips: https://t.co/hItsvpEKZl, [email protected]
Micah Meadowcroft @Micaheadowcroft
10K Followers 1K Following research director @amrenewctr. contributing editor @amconmag. collector of theologico-political problems.
Ken Bensinger @kenbensinger
32K Followers 2K Following Reporter for @nytpolitics; co-host of "The Michigan Plot" podcast - https://t.co/IPZRMwNYoU - [email protected] - DMs open; ask for Signal
Brittany Alexander Ph.. @balexanderstats
961 Followers 1K Following PhD Statistics. Statistician at Ipsos Public Affairs. Fan of polls, politics, policy, and Bayesian statistics. Queen of typos. My opinions are my own.
Kate Sullivan @KateSullivanDC
23K Followers 2K Following Covering Trump and the 2024 election for CNN | [email protected]
Thomas Edsall @Edsall
19K Followers 2K Following NYT Political Columnist. Former Washington Post and Huffington Post political reporter. Professor Columbia J-School, Poker player.
alexwagner @alexwagner
289K Followers 858 Following Host of @WagnerTonight 9PM on @msnbc + author of "Futureface" on @OneWorldLit https://t.co/F6JsxJUOaD + Worried Mom! Insta: itsalexwags
Jonathan Haidt @JonHaidt
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Aatish Bhatia @aatishb
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Sean McElwee @SeanMcElwee
83K Followers 4K Following Founder of Positive Sum Strategies. Founded @DataProgress. I work with companies and non-profits to achieve ambitious policy goals. seanadrianmc @ gmail
Valerie Bradley @valeriecbradley
481 Followers 864 Following Polling @joebiden. DPhil at @OxfordStats. Formerly @dscc @blue_labs @harvard. 💙s include surveys, progressive politics, and anything chocolate. she/her.
She's here! Paternity leave time. Talk to you all later :)
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@Nate_Cohn Now everybody loves you. (*for the moment)
NEW: Top Democrats won’t join calls for Sotomayor to retire. But in interviews with NBC, they’re voicing fears of a RBG redux. “We should learn a lesson. And it’s not like there’s any mystery here about what the lesson should be.” w/ @lawrencehurley: nbcnews.com/politics/supre…
I have decided that from this moment forward, all election maps of mine will be done with the classic European style color scheme Red = the left wing parties Blue = the right wing parties This is the Florida Presidential Election under the CORRECT colors #AprilFoolsDay2024
tufts irb did not approve of this april fools joke
happy to announce that in 2024 the CES will not only be validating turnout for all 60k respondents, but will also include validation of college degrees (from college transcripts), income (from tax returns), and age (from birth records). excited to see how people use this data!
I'm so stoked to announce that I'll be joining the @nytimes as an @UpshotNYT fellow starting in June. Really looking forward to making cool graphs/writing about elections (November 2024 here we come!), sports, pop culture, and more! nytco.com/careers/newsro…
Welcome to Ethan, the Upshot's next fellow!
I'm so stoked to announce that I'll be joining the @nytimes as an @UpshotNYT fellow starting in June. Really looking forward to making cool graphs/writing about elections (November 2024 here we come!), sports, pop culture, and more! nytco.com/careers/newsro…
#NEW General Election Poll 🔵 Biden 50% (+2) 🔴 Trump 48% ISPOS #17 - 3,356 RV - 3/16
@Nate_Cohn It’s true, there’s so many better reasons to go after you
@Nate_Cohn Really goes to show the issues with logit uniform swing!
@Nate_Cohn We have done this which is why we ask demos up front. We can lose respondents during message testing. In one case drop-offs were Trumpier & adding them in the ballot changed the margin. I reported both w/the explanation that I thought the ballot w/them was likely more accurate.
I don't totally want to be included in this binary, tbh... I think Biden has problems and also think that there is a lot of uncertainty in the polls!
There are two camps right now: • Pundits like Ezra Klein, Matt Yglesias & Nate Silver that are freaking out about Biden’s prospects bc of polls • People that know polling inside & out like @nataliemj10 & @gelliottmorris that saying not to put much stock into polls this early
Farewell, sweet "18-39" crosstab. 😂
Today is my last birthday in what can in any way possibly be considered the “young voter” crosstab. But THIS is the thing that has made me feel truly ancient.
@FunniestEdbois “Ouch” Said by Ed “JUST LIKE OUR REPORT CARDS YOU FAILED!!!!!” Said by Eddy
If I had to write a letter to my teenage election nerd self, it would begin: “I know it feels lonely now. But don’t worry: in 25 years, special elections featuring 170k voters deciding 1/435th of the House will get wall-to-wall live coverage on national cable news.”
Lol, candidates winning *every single registered D/R* and therefore needing to win X% of independents is absolutely not how things work in real life.
@Nate_Cohn Oh the meetings we have had at @EchelonInsights over the years trying to explain to clients/press why our surveys have long been “Likely Electorate” and why that is different from straight up “Likely Voters” because some unlikely voters DO ultimately vote - we feel your pain.
I won't be satisfied with the psyop theory until it is unified with the role of the consumer credit bureaus.
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