James Moody @GodlessLib_CB
just figuring stuff out. politics and news Joined March 2011-
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Nice chart from @Claudia_Sahm on inflation. We know OER and shelter are the main reasons inflation hasn't come back to earth. Looking at new rent tenant prices could be a huge clue that OER will continue to improve and maybe even quite quickly.
Inflation data in Q1 was extremely disappointing. In order to hit the Fed's end-of-2024 projection from the March SEP (2.6% Y/Y), for the remaining 9 months of 2024, we'll have to do as well as we did in the final 7 months of 2023.
It's starting to look like pasteurization inactivates #H5N1 #birdflu viruses in milk. But people who drink raw milk are playing with fire right now. statnews.com/2024/04/29/bir…
10% of the Tory vote has *died* since the last election!
YARDENI: “.. retiring Baby Boomers are likely the reason that the personal saving rate is falling; they’re depressing the rate as they spend their retirement funds and no longer have earnings to save. In addition, they are spending at a record pace on labor-intensive services…
One of the main conservative arguments on Gaza is that it's ok to kill Palestinian civilians because they're not woke.
One of the main conservative arguments on Gaza is that it's ok to kill Palestinian civilians because they're not woke.
Either the Occupation is a temporary security measure, or Israel is an apartheid state. If it's not an apartheid state, it needs to prove it. And if you believe in a democratic, Jewish Israel, at some point you have to be willing to fight for it. nathangoldwag.wordpress.com/2024/04/27/wha…
💥Netanyahu trumpet accuses Joe Biden of blackmail: "If Biden doesn't come to his senses & stop the ICC, including (like Trump did) threatening personal sanctions against the heads of the court, international arrest warrants will be issued against Netanyahu, Gallant & Gen Halevi…
💥Netanyahu trumpet accuses Joe Biden of blackmail: "If Biden doesn't come to his senses & stop the ICC, including (like Trump did) threatening personal sanctions against the heads of the court, international arrest warrants will be issued against Netanyahu, Gallant & Gen Halevi…
"Russia fired up to 60,000 shells a day before autumn 2022—an amount that has dropped to about 10k/day...it can only produce at most half of the 4mn 152mm-calibre shells and 1.6mn 122mm-calibre shells Putin’s military estimates it needs to break through" ft.com/content/1e7204…
It’s not that hard to imagine because the West Bank is controlled by Jewish fundamentalists with the same repressive policies against liberals, LGBTQ, and everyone Arab.
It’s not that hard to imagine because the West Bank is controlled by Jewish fundamentalists with the same repressive policies against liberals, LGBTQ, and everyone Arab.
This is a bit misleading. Comparing youth turnout to 2018, which set records for youth turnout, isn't the best measuring stick. But what's more, the landscape was very uneven in '22. In NY, CA, FL, and TX the youth turnout cratered. But in places like MI and PA it exceeded '18.
This is a bit misleading. Comparing youth turnout to 2018, which set records for youth turnout, isn't the best measuring stick. But what's more, the landscape was very uneven in '22. In NY, CA, FL, and TX the youth turnout cratered. But in places like MI and PA it exceeded '18.
She’s one of the best leaders we have with more courage and eloquence than most.
The anti-YIMBY corollary: we can't have public schools funded by taxes (that might require taxing property) or cross-subsidy (we need schools for low-income families, not middle earners) Instead we'll allow private schools, but they have to be affordable and not need subsidies
The anti-YIMBY corollary: we can't have public schools funded by taxes (that might require taxing property) or cross-subsidy (we need schools for low-income families, not middle earners) Instead we'll allow private schools, but they have to be affordable and not need subsidies
I've had a lot of conflicts with @MattBruenig over the years, but great work is great work and this is great work. I think his increasing focus on the NLRB is a very good thing and I hope it continues.
I've had a lot of conflicts with @MattBruenig over the years, but great work is great work and this is great work. I think his increasing focus on the NLRB is a very good thing and I hope it continues.
🔹️The new forecast model run (4/26) using updated sequence data, CDC prevalence estimates, and AB escape data from @yunlong_cao is suggesting a lesser impact from the FLiRT mutations than the last model run. Lesser impact from escape mutations is always welcomed.
🔹️The new forecast model run (4/26) using updated sequence data, CDC prevalence estimates, and AB escape data from @yunlong_cao is suggesting a lesser impact from the FLiRT mutations than the last model run. Lesser impact from escape mutations is always welcomed. https://t.co/FElIZA5NJ9
With some more context: Austin faced a huge surge in demand and rents went vertical. Instead of merely flatlining at a new, higher level when demand moderated, the building boom (which was chasing the high rents) is actually reversing the spike.
With some more context: Austin faced a huge surge in demand and rents went vertical. Instead of merely flatlining at a new, higher level when demand moderated, the building boom (which was chasing the high rents) is actually reversing the spike.
Wow. This is widespread.
I'm just saying. 🤷
Counterpoint: When you give voters a choice, they overwhelmingly prefer alternatives to mass deportation. In a battleground state poll we did for @USImmHUB, voters choose pathways to citizenship over mass deportation by large margins. More on that poll: static1.squarespace.com/static/5b60b23…
Counterpoint: When you give voters a choice, they overwhelmingly prefer alternatives to mass deportation. In a battleground state poll we did for @USImmHUB, voters choose pathways to citizenship over mass deportation by large margins. More on that poll: static1.squarespace.com/static/5b60b23… https://t.co/uSyeMpniKT
The discovery of #H5N1 #birdflu in a significant portion of commercially purchased milk suggests the outbreak in cows is much larger than we know, scientists who've been doing this work tell @MeganMolteni. statnews.com/2024/04/25/h5n…
James Medlock @jdcmedlock
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It's a little funny that there's this whole twitter coterie of ex bernie staffers who just block everyone
@RamiSafadi93 I do think they are deliberately trying to terrorize Palestinians in other parts of the Strip with all the sexually suggestive photos. But the whole world is seeing it and it is harming them politically. Poor disciplinary culture so one can imagine what else is happening.
The US is not party to the International Criminal Court, and refused to ratify the Rome Statute treaty that created it. Americans opposed to the ICC say other countries would abuse it to go after US personnel. Maybe, maybe not. Either way, it means US lacks leverage with the ICC.
🚨🚨scoop -> Netanyahu asks Biden to help stop ICC arrest warrants over Gaza war axios.com/2024/04/29/net…
empirically, netanyahu
guy who thinks both october 7th and israel's invasion of gaza are fine
Don't forget "these are all out of touch rich kids" quietly fading as the encampments have cropped up at public colleges.
it's funny how the talking points have to vacillate so wildly day to day: "the college kids are devilish nazis and the army should run over them with bulldozers" somehow failed to resonate so let's try "the college kids are very stupid and doing this to get laid."
@ArmandDoma Since when is it the goal of online tankies to win support for their cause?
Also people don't think about elections this way, but never mind that
Congratulations for figuring out that Republicans exist at all age levels, and that they particularly dislike women's reproductive rights and climate change. It's enlightening that you needed a poll for it
Voters under 30 rate climate change as less important than inflation or jobs, but also less important than immigration or crime, but also less important than health care or education or housing. slowboring.com/p/young-voters…
The unwillingness of pollsters to push undecideds for Senate races in swing states has been a disaster for overperformance discourse
CBS News polls PENNSYLVANIA 🟥 Trump 50-49 🟦 Casey 46-39 WISCONSIN 🟥 Trump 50-49 🟦 Baldwin 48-41
@fejau_inc me: why is it so toxic here now *glances at numerous monstrosities on feed* me: okay fair enough
They're primarily interested in traditional menswear as a reflection of bygone cultural values and can't actually speak to the aesthetics at work, which is also why they tend to dress poorly.
Yes the menswear guy is a guy is a lib who makes fun of conservatives a lot, but it’s very funny how mad this makes online conservatives, like shouldn’t the expert on traditional tailoring be a conservative? Why can’t the online conservative ecosystem produce its own menswear guy
@schlagteslinks Me watching leftists thinking this vindicates them because of Gaza and the TikTok ban, not knowing polls have been showing Trump outright winning or doing very well with the youth vote for the better part of a year now:
@schlagteslinks Casual 40-points single-cycle swing. A very normal thing that can absolutely happen.
CNN poll: Voters age 18-35 APRIL 2020 (Biden+31) Biden 62% Trump 31% APRIL 2024 (Trump+11) Trump 51% Biden 40%
I will be shocked if Democrats do not retake the House.
Avg rating* of the CA House districts tested in this poll: TOSS-UP: CA-13 (R-Duarte) CA-22 (R-Valadao) CA-27 (R-Garcia) TILT D: CA-47 (D-Open) TILT R: CA-41 (R-Calvert) LEAN R: CA-45 (R-Steel) LIKELY D: CA-9 (D-Harder) CA-49 (D-Levin) LIKELY R: CA-3 (R-Kiley) CA-40 (R-Kim)