Markus Koch @KochWallStreet
Markus Koch berichtet seit 1996 von der Wall Street. facebook.com/markus.koch.ne… New York, NY Joined October 2011-
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In a week everyone will be talking about Yellen and the Quarterly Refunding Announcement (QRA). Here is all you need to know so you are prepared. Thread. 1/
Vermehrt solide Quartalszahlen. 💪 ▶️ Entdecken Sie die heutigen Markt-Highlights auf unserer #NYtoZH mit @KochWallStreet : swq.ch/1gC
Yesterday was just an oversold bounce. Today’s further gains combined w/ bond & credit rally, $USD weakness, & broadening bounce in AI names despite AI related $CDNS guiding down Q2 is encouraging for tech into earnings. Is excess mkt optimism lowered enough w/ recent decline?
Yesterday was just an oversold bounce. Today’s further gains combined w/ bond & credit rally, $USD weakness, & broadening bounce in AI names despite AI related $CDNS guiding down Q2 is encouraging for tech into earnings. Is excess mkt optimism lowered enough w/ recent decline?
#Tesla #TSLA I'm not sure I'd push too hard ahead of tomorrow's earnings. But technically, unless we can get back above $152.50 on a weekly close and ideally $163.50 then it's $112-113 and as I said this weekend, the gaps at $75-80.
The correction in stocks isn't over, warns JP Morgan strategist Marko Kolanovic, who still believes that the S&P 500 will finish the year at 4,200
KOLANOVIC: Stock market “could stabilize near-term. Beyond this, however, we think the sell-off has further to go. We remain concerned about continued complacency in equity valuations, inflation staying too hot, further Fed repricing, and a profit outlook where the implied…
A lot of late-day selling again even on an up day. $SPY is down about 60 bps from its 2:35 PM ET high for the day.
SOC GEN: “.. US 2024 #GDP growth forecasts are higher today vs spring 2022, when the Fed was just starting rate hikes." 🇺🇸 @dailychartbook
Discover Financial, the 6th largest credit card issuer in America, just reported a massive spike in defaults. Their net charge-off rate - an indication of how many accounts are deemed as "uncollectable" - spiked to 5.7% in early 2024. The highest since the GFC. 📈
JPMORGAN: “.. we look for US #GDP to post a seventh consecutive above-trend expansion: we’re forecasting a 2.4%ar gain last quarter, with real consumer spending repeating 4Q’s 3.3%ar increase ..” 🇺🇸
Market just hit the EXTREME OVERSOLD level this morning right on the MID-TERM MA. In the past, this signal led to at least few days of bounce. SPY DAILY BARS
$SPX - It didn't close above Friday's high so no bullish reversal yet. In order to confirm that the low for April is in, it has to close above the 10 DMA. The 38% ret. of the October-March uptrend is 4821. That's likely to be the target for a May low since it's also the 2022 ATH.
The percentage of tech shares trading above their 50-day moving average dipped below 10%. Such usually coincides with a short-term buying opportunity. @RealInvAdvice @SoberLook
The Technology sector closed yesterday right at levels that coincided with its 2023 peak on 12/28. $XLK
2-year treasury yields are almost 3 percentage points higher than the S&P 500 dividend yield, the largest margin since the Dot Com Bubble
With @carlquintanilla @SaraEisen 11am ET. Expect NT mkt bounce given some oversold conditions. But punitive reaction to tech results so far (ie $TSLA deliveries, $TSM, $ASML, $NFLX, $SMCI lack of +pre) & concerns about ROI on AI investments keep us selective on earnings this wk.
With @carlquintanilla @SaraEisen 11am ET. Expect NT mkt bounce given some oversold conditions. But punitive reaction to tech results so far (ie $TSLA deliveries, $TSM, $ASML, $NFLX, $SMCI lack of +pre) & concerns about ROI on AI investments keep us selective on earnings this wk.
We must be prepared for what's coming -- Power demand - coming out of major technology companies has increased 8x in the last 10 years - JPM A must-read --- amazon.com/Listen-When-Ma…
AMD is now down on the year after being up over 43% YTD on March 7. 31% decline. $AMD Video: youtube.com/watch?v=eZez0D…
AMD is now down on the year after being up over 43% YTD on March 7. 31% decline. $AMD Video: youtube.com/watch?v=eZez0D… https://t.co/9RXZvq1hqM
The monthly win streak for the S&P 500 is likely over at 5 months. 3 and 6 month returns after are weak, but note that 12 months later higher 6 out of 6 times. After the historic run off the late October lows some type of consolidation shouldn't be a big surprise.
Christian W. Röhl @CWRoehl
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With @carlquintanilla @SaraEisen 11am ET. Expect NT mkt bounce given some oversold conditions. But punitive reaction to tech results so far (ie $TSLA deliveries, $TSM, $ASML, $NFLX, $SMCI lack of +pre) & concerns about ROI on AI investments keep us selective on earnings this wk.
$NFLX reports today. Stock reaction to expectations of beat & raise qtr will be viewed as bellweather for Mag7 starting next wk despite fundamentally not having much in common. Still believe selectivity is key for Q1 earnings & rest of yr especially w/ Fed potentially on hold.
You guys make it sound like the 65b’s for Ukraine is the main reason why there is a deficit in the US We are talking a deficit of a couple of trillions this year 2 trillions minus 65 billion is NON-Ukraine stuff. Get a grip!
ECB Lagarde: We are not Fed dependent. Says can't assume Eurozone inflation will mirror US inflation.
Ziele für Big #Tech-Aktien steigen. ▶️ Entdecken Sie die heutigen Markt-Highlights auf unserer #NYtoZH mit @KochWallStreet : swq.ch/1fQ
NY to ZH: Unsicherheit vor den US-Konsumentenpreisen @KochWallStreet themarket.ch/video/unsicher…
Unsicherheit vor den Verbraucherpreisen. ▶️ Entdecken Sie die heutigen Markt-Highlights auf unserer #NYtoZH mit @KochWallStreet : swq.ch/1fP
Wie stabil ist die Erholung? ▶️ Entdecken Sie die heutigen Markt-Highlights auf unserer #NYtoZH mit @KochWallStreet : swq.ch/1fw
Börsenjournalist Markus Koch alias @KochWallStreet macht auf seinem YouTube-Kanal einen prima Job. Exzellent wie er den Spagat zwischen Information und Entertainment hinkriegt. Dazu sein Bonusmaterial smart geführter Interviews mit Dan Niles, Raoul Pal, Malcolm Graham-Wood etc..
Mal fernab von der Jacke von Markus Koch: Dieses Jahr werden wir verstärkt einen Blick auf das journalistische Wirken von @KochWallStreet, @missjuliethotel, @GrowthMs, @doepke_michel, @boersenewyork, @HorstButtlar etc. werfen. Stärken beleuchten, interessante Details aufdröseln.
Tauziehen vor Ostern. 🐣 ▶️ Entdecken Sie die heutigen Markt-Highlights auf unserer #NYtoZH mit @KochWallStreet : swq.ch/1fg
This just popped up on my phone: A “daughter-father dance” from many, many years ago. What parents will do for their kids!!! 😀
As expected, my post on the decline in #ESG momentum triggered quite a few reactions. Here are my two cents on why net flows to ESG funds are slowing significantly. The key here is that both demand and supply factors are at work. - It has become virtually impossible for investors…
New flows toward #ESG funds are slowing dramatically. Why is this, you think?
10 Minuten n-tv & Welt TV geschaut, jetzt ist mir schlecht. @KochWallStreet hat anscheindend noch #Corona, gute Besserung Wenn die Welt so übel ist, bleibt mir nur noch ne Folge #Bonanza oder #Sledege Hammer $AOUT vor Kaffee / Kuchen. #muskelkater youtu.be/rP427GCQu_k?si…
Great discussion on @YahooFinance w/ @thebradsmith @SeanaNSmith on the importance of the Fed. My belief continues to be if we have a strong economy driving minimal rate cuts then S&P can go higher in 2024 but stocks will continue to separate based on earnings.
In 2024, investors should expect earnings to drive tech moves and not the Fed, Satori Fund Founder @DanielTNiles told Yahoo Finance.
Nicht vergessen❗Heute Abend um 19 Uhr findet der Live-Webcast von @CWRoehl, @aktiengram und @KochWallStreet mit dem #Telekom-CEO Tim Höttges statt! 👇 #finx #fintwit #börse @DT_IR
So geht #Aktien-Kultur! #Telekom-CEO Tim Höttges spricht nicht nur mit Analysten und Journalisten, sondern sucht auch den Dialog mit Privatanlegern. Dabei sein: ➡️ telekom.com/de/investor-re… Freue mich, mit @aktiengram, @KochWallStreet und Max Gamperling den Einstieg zu machen.
This 23.67% move on $SPX is the highest without a 2% decline (on a closing basis) in the past 20 years. There are 229 green boxes on the 20-year ZigZag chart and this is the biggest one of all of them. For context: The biggest red box during the 2008 bear market was -22.8% in…
You may have heard of Gorillas in the Mist but have you heard of Deers in the Fog? 😂 The view from one of our windows this morning:
Managing our risk & covered $AAPL short & getting long. Our data analytics gives high probability to ST bounce. Looking to sell/reshort given downside over LT: 1) Huawei resurgence, 2) no foldables, 3) no AI on smartphones, 4) minimal rev growth, 5) 27x CY24 PE vs 21x for S&P.
War's das schon? 👀 ▶️ Entdecken Sie die heutigen Markt-Highlights auf unserer #NYtoZH mit @KochWallStreet : swq.ch/1cv
Sehr informatives und gut geführtes Interview von Markus Koch mit dem Hedgefondsmanager Dan Niles (Satori Fund). Absolut empfehlenswert es anzusehen oder auch nur zu hören. Danke dafür @KochWallStreet ! youtube.com/watch?v=cjjzhe…