JWeiland @JPWeiland
Scientist. Infectious disease modeler. Tweets and spelling mistakes are my own Models and analysis seen on @Newsweek @Fortunemagazine @FaceTheNation @NYMag Joined May 2012-
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Informative thread from @MichaelWorobey - It appears H5N1 may have been circulating in cattle much more widely than first assumed and *maybe* earlier. Seems to affirm that surveillance in livestock -- even after all we've learned about zoonotic risks -- still isn't that good.…
🔹️The new forecast model run (4/26) using updated sequence data, CDC prevalence estimates, and AB escape data from @yunlong_cao is suggesting a lesser impact from the FLiRT mutations than the last model run. Lesser impact from escape mutations is always welcomed.
🔹️The new forecast model run (4/26) using updated sequence data, CDC prevalence estimates, and AB escape data from @yunlong_cao is suggesting a lesser impact from the FLiRT mutations than the last model run. Lesser impact from escape mutations is always welcomed. https://t.co/FElIZA5NJ9
April 26th update: Infection rates still decreasing, down 10% this week. Pirola with FLiRT mutations now at ~40%. 🔸180,000 new infections/day 🔸~2.78 avg total infections per capita across the US 🔸1 in every 185 people currently infected
We could attempt to roughly estimate the H5N1 prevalence in the cow population by comparing the Ct of the 40% of + milk samples with the Ct of milk from an infectious cow. If we were really wise, we'd test mixed samples from every farm.
Some, like @JPWeiland, have tried over and over to get a GISAID account & never been granted one. Needless to say, no justification has been given. How much longer with the GISAID gong show go on? Indefinitely, it seems. 9/end
What’s going on here? FDA is broadening surveillance of milk for fragments of DNA from DEAD virus as way to find which dairy farms have outbreaks not detected by USDA. When viruses are killed by pasteurization harmless fragments of DNA is always detectable washingtonpost.com/health/2024/04…
Mistakes are being made, intentionally or unintentionally, at a critical time for H5N1. Let's choose to not repeat the same mistakes as late 2019/early 2020.
Mistakes are being made, intentionally or unintentionally, at a critical time for H5N1. Let's choose to not repeat the same mistakes as late 2019/early 2020.
Great balanced summary of the current situation with H5N1 bird flu in mammals from one of the top experts worldwide @PeacockFlu
Great balanced summary of the current situation with H5N1 bird flu in mammals from one of the top experts worldwide @PeacockFlu
Congrats to your family!!
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13K Followers 1K Following Public health insights powered by wastewater | U.S. Nationwide Wastewater Monitoring Network: https://t.co/sIyj0YVyy0Here's the latest variant picture for Australia. BA.2.86.* "Pirola" is waning under a challenge from the JN.1.* +FLiRT sub-lineages - led by KP.2. KP.2 crossover predicted for April 21. Report link: mike-honey.github.io/covid-19-genom…
#H5N1 updates | 4/27/2024 Phylogenetic trees for HA, NA or PB2 from @GISAID gisaid.org/resources/gisa… 1/n
Hot off the press: Bird Flu H5N1—What We Know So Far About Its Spread To Cows via @Forbes forbes.com/sites/judyston… #BirdFlu #Dairy #Milk #AvianInfluenza #H5N1 #Texas
Nice summary of current situation and knowledge gaps by @DrJudyStone in @Forbes today. The outbreak situation is evolving rapidly with many unknowns. Keep a close watch for more data soon.
Hot off the press: Bird Flu H5N1—What We Know So Far About Its Spread To Cows via @Forbes forbes.com/sites/judyston… #BirdFlu #Dairy #Milk #AvianInfluenza #H5N1 #Texas
@Naturally_earth @MAstronomers Provided it had a power source that lasted long enough, and was heading in the right direction, we wouldn't see a photo for around 75k years...
Based on our current wastewater surveillance data SARS-CoV-2 KP.2 variant almost close to 50% dominant while it having a tight race with it’s JN.1 variant in South and East Asia.
BREAKING🔔 A new study from G2P-Japan🇯🇵 is out at bioRxiv @biorxivpreprint. We elucidated the virological characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 KP.2 - a progeny of JN.1. Please RT🔥 1/ biorxiv.org/cgi/content/sh…
@StevenMathern @JPWeiland It does it automatically but you still need some space for the short URL to fit in.
On arrival in Japan: "I don't really want a toilet to spray me in the butt." Upon returning from Japan: "What, am I just supposed to wipe my own ass like some kind of caveman?" One week after returning from Japan:
Informative thread from @MichaelWorobey - It appears H5N1 may have been circulating in cattle much more widely than first assumed and *maybe* earlier. Seems to affirm that surveillance in livestock -- even after all we've learned about zoonotic risks -- still isn't that good.…
@tifotter @JBradshaw1984 That is what I think too. It is important because it probably shows the amount on circulation in animals.
Bizarre giant hail video in Guangxi, China this week. Video posted by @yangyubin1998
Tornado intercept by train north side of Lincoln, NE. If it was moving, the damage would have been far worse
Adding a Rho-HV loop (and data are approximately rotated correctly in this and previous post)
Preliminary look at the tornado near Harlan, IA on Friday (26 April). Data are not rotated.
@JPWeiland Thank you so much for your work on this 🙌🤝 This chart is awesome to have when I need to share info with folks. Appreciate all the hard work 🙏🤝
The tornado outbreak in the US yesterday was INSANE!
Also noteworthy that CDC found the issue quickly in this circumstance, and alerted labs. Quality control here was better than the much more protracted issues that plagued test performance in Covid and Zika.
Deleted and updating my last tweet on CDC's test. This was one lot of an established test where the manufacturing was being outsourced. Not the same as what happened in Zika and Covid, so shouldn't be lumped in with past woes. The core test still works x.com/Alexander_Tin/…
Health labs today got an "urgent" notice from @CDCgov One lot of agency's Influenza A/H5 Subtyping Kit discovered to have a faulty component Labs urged to halt use of component when testing suspect bird flu cases, over risk of "inconclusive results" tinalexander.github.io/notes/attachme…
If public health experts learned anything from the COVID-19 pandemic, it’s that if you keep saying “everything is mild” then “the common people tend not to pay attention at all.” salon.com/2024/04/26/as-…