Nate Silver @NateSilver538
New Book, On The Edge, August 13: https://t.co/WeCLEOd4Be New York Joined August 2008-
Tweets41K
-
Followers3.4M
-
Following2K
-
Likes5K
This is so cynical from @Ticketmaster, I bought a Knicks ticket I didn't wind up using and resold at a slight loss, and now they're asking me to waste my time by providing tax info for a transaction I lost money on.
I am not super polarized on Gaza stuff but this is in my neighborhood and the choice to put "israeli" in scare quotes is, um, interesting .
The youth voter turnout surge of 2022 is a myth. And reporting on what young voters think often sucks and privileges activists and elites above broader public sentiment. natesilver.net/p/dont-confuse…
I can see the future*. * Check the sportsbetting app that is 46 seconds ahead of the TV feed.
The White House is Way Too Online. politico.com/news/magazine/…
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
542K Followers 2K Following Slow Boring, cohosting https://t.co/wxUj3JFSFf, Bloomberg columnistDave Wasserman @Redistrict
642K Followers 1K Following Senior Editor & Elections Analyst of the nonpartisan @CookPolitical Report w/ @AmyEWalter. Nerd for 🗺️ maps, ⛷️ ski slopes & 🎻 trad tunes. Has seen enough.David Weigel @daveweigel
566K Followers 13K Following Covering politics for @semafor. Alum: @washingtonpost, @business, @slate. [email protected]. Buy my book: https://t.co/6sWfZ4MNgHJosh Barro @jbarro
285K Followers 2K Following I write a newsletter (at https://t.co/ZoyMCO4aN5), I host the Very Serious podcast, & I co-host https://t.co/UzPB0fX8QJ w/ @popehat Email josh at joshbarro dot comNew Liberals 🌐🇺.. @CNLiberalism
84K Followers 1K Following Liberal, Open, and Radically Pragmatic. The home for the center-left. Part of @NewDemocracyFiveThirtyEight @FiveThirtyEight
1.3M Followers 330 Following Data-driven news and analysis from @ABC News’s 538.Jon Ralston @RalstonReports
177K Followers 2K Following CEO/Editor, The Nevada Independent. Your State. Your News. Your Voice. [email protected] #WeMatterNate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
472K Followers 1K Following chief political analyst, @nytimes. writing about elections, public opinion and demographics for @UpshotNYT. polling and needling. PNW expat.Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot
61K Followers 3K Following Senior editor and senior elections analyst @FiveThirtyEight. Don't call me Nate!Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17
44K Followers 2K Following @cal alum + lecturer; AI/software engineer; elections + modeling @SplitTicket_. Chelsea ⚽, Sharks 🏒, Giants ⚾. ✉️ [email protected]. views my own. he/himConor Sen @conorsen
92K Followers 296 Following Columnist for @opinion. Founder of Peachtree Creek Investments. Sun Belt/monoculture enthusiast. The future is a policy choice.Derek Thompson @DKThomp
202K Followers 2K Following Writer @TheAtlantic. "Plain English" podcast host @Ringer. Mondays on NPR's @hereandnow. Co-writing a book about abundance.Scott Lincicome @scottlincicome
74K Followers 998 Following @CatoInstitute Vice President (Econ/Trade), @DukeLaw adjunct, @TheDispatch newsletter-er. CH❤️RTS. You didn't read the article, did you? Go @Rangers.Drew Savicki @DrewSav
40K Followers 6K Following Politics, elections, stuff. CT-IL-NC. Bad speller. KISS fan, all around pop culture guy. Be prepared for bad food takes #ActuallyAutistic🧙♂️🗺️ He/HimJonathan Chait @jonathanchait
204K Followers 735 Following Writer for New York magazine. Tweets with links are intended as prompts to read the linked story, not self-contained arguments substituting for the linked storyGalen Druke @galendruke
51K Followers 1K Following Host and producer of the @FiveThirtyEight politics podcast for @ABC News. Previously @WPR, @WNYC Off-duty Galen: https://t.co/Qmm8nl11fTMatthew Zeitlin @MattZeitlin
56K Followers 3K Following correspondent @heatmap_news matthew at heatmap dot newsClare Malone @ClareMalone
124K Followers 793 Following You can drag a horticulture but you can't make her think. Staff writer @NewYorker covering media and politics 📝[email protected] 📝Amy Walter @amyewalter
209K Followers 2K Following Publisher & Editor-in-Chief, Cook Political Report with Amy Walter. Cycling enthusiast. Lover of all things summer.Amanatiac @orblightning
0 Followers 197 FollowingSpencer Marlen-Starr @MarlenStarr2
142 Followers 338 Following I love standup comedy, economics, complexity science, karaoke, boxing and martial arts. I am God's battle axe and weapon of war.Louis Meakin @Jebbush6686
0 Followers 8 Following@walkwithraj @walkwithraj
1K Followers 5K Following R&D in new ABCs ▶️ AI+art blockchain creators DAO ⏩ @favstar; 𝕏 = OSS notes to self; hunting universal truths, AI dreams; aut inveniam viam aut faciam ⏭️天天开心 @oAMfGpHpE227045
0 Followers 1 FollowingAnita Campbell @AnitaCampb30170
0 Followers 3 Followingwhatever2510 @whatever4074
7 Followers 90 Following俊南 @pXS0T6nMwn13393
0 Followers 5 Followingdustin39572 @dustin39572
56 Followers 121 FollowingDuck Analytics @duck_analytics
40 Followers 835 Following "Who the duck wants to look at graphs while having a hoop convo?" - Kevin Durantjoyce katherine @joycekatherin18
44 Followers 716 Following阚卫军 @uGXSa1d4dP7266
0 Followers 5 FollowingYAMAMOTO Satoshi @y_t0sh
492 Followers 2K Following 13・10・8歳 3人娘の父. 保護者として教育やPTAをより良くしたいです. 製造業、データ、教育、デザインなどが守備範囲. 始動 Next Innovator 2019 / Google Local Guide JAPAN / CDLE / マナビDXQuestdiawrenarpa1985 @diawrenarp51294
2 Followers 20 FollowingMichael Butterfield @UnevenMike
117 Followers 346 Following Everything Spatial Video. MV-HEVC Encoding (https://t.co/RgHjrdQ0lk) and AI Powered Stereo Conversion (https://t.co/ONvFMZPZKs)Zachary @Zachary718641
0 Followers 0 FollowingHung_and_unhung @hung_and_unhung
2K Followers 5K Following No Under 18. I love muscle guys with small cocks, cock size comparisons. Stuff on here is just for fun 🍆🍤😜. DM if you want pics deleted.Cole Gates @p8w2sjsjnf
0 Followers 25 FollowingJosh Akeman @joshakeman
78 Followers 352 Following Full-Stack Developer in Atlanta ... Javascript, Go, React, AWS and more ...Patriarchal Sonnet @PatriarchalSon1
35 Followers 105 Following And we are here as on a darkling plain Swept with confused alarms of struggle and flight, Where ignorant armies clash by night.Taylor Beal @_tkbeal
17 Followers 215 Following wife • dog mom • sister • makeup artist • donut and boxed wine enthusiastMohamed El Hag MD @elhagmi
120 Followers 182 Following Husband, Father, Hepatobiliary and Transplant Pathologist (asynchronous patient care provider), soccer fanJames Hepokoski @JHepokoski
52 Followers 213 FollowingVincent Wood @Sup3rfan99
243 Followers 3K FollowingN Nn @NNn1713346
0 Followers 1 FollowingPounder @Pounder928463
10 Followers 7 FollowingCraig Berry @Craig_Berry_
1K Followers 485 Following Highlands & Islands | @AlbaParty Argyll & Bute LACU ConvenerDavid Vernet @byte_lab
306 Followers 136 Following Ring 0 Linux kernel hacker at Meta, BPF standardization co-chair, systems programming educational streamer. If you want to know how it works, break it apart.Evan DeLord @EvanDeLord
9 Followers 34 FollowingAndrew Hyer @AndrewHyer7
307 Followers 816 Following Father, Husband, Jail Chaplain, Trauma Healing guide. Writing about how to wisely fear for the good - like Jesus didegg @e74523
101 Followers 208 FollowingOisin Nolan @Nision36
23 Followers 283 FollowingEbrahim Torkaman @tor53205
2 Followers 14 Followingjbestine @jbestine
70 Followers 196 Following Just your average widow working in IT and playing with hot glass in her spare time.JL @jenludwig
11 Followers 492 FollowingMatthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
542K Followers 2K Following Slow Boring, cohosting https://t.co/wxUj3JFSFf, Bloomberg columnistDave Wasserman @Redistrict
642K Followers 1K Following Senior Editor & Elections Analyst of the nonpartisan @CookPolitical Report w/ @AmyEWalter. Nerd for 🗺️ maps, ⛷️ ski slopes & 🎻 trad tunes. Has seen enough.Noah Smith 🐇🇺�.. @Noahpinion
321K Followers 1K Following Writes about economics, posts about rabbits. For serious opinions/analysis, read my blog: https://t.co/KfUxUlCYPzDavid Weigel @daveweigel
566K Followers 13K Following Covering politics for @semafor. Alum: @washingtonpost, @business, @slate. [email protected]. Buy my book: https://t.co/6sWfZ4MNgHJosh Barro @jbarro
285K Followers 2K Following I write a newsletter (at https://t.co/ZoyMCO4aN5), I host the Very Serious podcast, & I co-host https://t.co/UzPB0fX8QJ w/ @popehat Email josh at joshbarro dot comNew Liberals 🌐🇺.. @CNLiberalism
84K Followers 1K Following Liberal, Open, and Radically Pragmatic. The home for the center-left. Part of @NewDemocracyFiveThirtyEight @FiveThirtyEight
1.3M Followers 330 Following Data-driven news and analysis from @ABC News’s 538.Jon Ralston @RalstonReports
177K Followers 2K Following CEO/Editor, The Nevada Independent. Your State. Your News. Your Voice. [email protected] #WeMatterNate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
472K Followers 1K Following chief political analyst, @nytimes. writing about elections, public opinion and demographics for @UpshotNYT. polling and needling. PNW expat.Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot
61K Followers 3K Following Senior editor and senior elections analyst @FiveThirtyEight. Don't call me Nate!Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17
44K Followers 2K Following @cal alum + lecturer; AI/software engineer; elections + modeling @SplitTicket_. Chelsea ⚽, Sharks 🏒, Giants ⚾. ✉️ [email protected]. views my own. he/himConor Sen @conorsen
92K Followers 296 Following Columnist for @opinion. Founder of Peachtree Creek Investments. Sun Belt/monoculture enthusiast. The future is a policy choice.Derek Thompson @DKThomp
202K Followers 2K Following Writer @TheAtlantic. "Plain English" podcast host @Ringer. Mondays on NPR's @hereandnow. Co-writing a book about abundance.Scott Lincicome @scottlincicome
74K Followers 998 Following @CatoInstitute Vice President (Econ/Trade), @DukeLaw adjunct, @TheDispatch newsletter-er. CH❤️RTS. You didn't read the article, did you? Go @Rangers.Drew Savicki @DrewSav
40K Followers 6K Following Politics, elections, stuff. CT-IL-NC. Bad speller. KISS fan, all around pop culture guy. Be prepared for bad food takes #ActuallyAutistic🧙♂️🗺️ He/HimJonathan Chait @jonathanchait
204K Followers 735 Following Writer for New York magazine. Tweets with links are intended as prompts to read the linked story, not self-contained arguments substituting for the linked storyGalen Druke @galendruke
51K Followers 1K Following Host and producer of the @FiveThirtyEight politics podcast for @ABC News. Previously @WPR, @WNYC Off-duty Galen: https://t.co/Qmm8nl11fTMatthew Zeitlin @MattZeitlin
56K Followers 3K Following correspondent @heatmap_news matthew at heatmap dot newsClare Malone @ClareMalone
124K Followers 793 Following You can drag a horticulture but you can't make her think. Staff writer @NewYorker covering media and politics 📝[email protected] 📝Jacob Goldstein @jacobgoldstein
17K Followers 2K Following Author of Money: The True Story of a Made-Up Thing. Formerly @planetmoney. Host of the podcast What's Your Problem. Listen here:Hardwood Paroxysm @HPbasketball
152K Followers 9K Following Matt Moore, NBA Writer for @ActionNetworkHQ. Podcast host: Action Network, Locked on NBA, Locked on Nuggets.Episodic writer. Part-time Maniac. I hate your team.Zach Weissmueller @TheAbridgedZach
9K Followers 1K Following Video journalist, senior producer, commentator for @reason Co-host of Just Asking Questions every Thursday: https://t.co/ZgjGaHVqOFEric Nelson @literaryeric
13K Followers 3K Following Big Five nonfiction book editor with 37 NYTimes bestsellers since 2017. Libertarian Quaker. Author of OH, THE MEETINGS YOU’LL GO TO! Okay to DM book ideas.Lulu Cheng Meservey @lulumeservey
80K Followers 2K Following “Meservey isn’t your typical flack.” -The Information. Founder of ROSTRA. Ex-Activision and Substack. TrailRunner cofounder. Writing https://t.co/4xKo7wQTQoConnor Leahy @NPCollapse
23K Followers 553 Following Hacker - CEO @ConjectureAI - Ex-Head of @AiEleuther - I don't know how to save the world, but dammit I'm gonna tryMario Juric @mjuric
5K Followers 614 Following Training computers to map the Universe // Director of @uwdirac // Prof at @uwastronomy // @VRubinObs builderBarny Boatman @barnyboatman
10K Followers 557 Following The second best poker player in our house. I don't use the Faceybook. #BlackLivesMatterMaxim Lott @maximlott
7K Followers 2K Following Executive producer for John Stossel. Creator of https://t.co/xlDGsCsHgt and https://t.co/JrJRpJZIZX Follow my data deep dives here:🃏 David Lappin �.. @dklappin
11K Followers 8K Following ♠️ Poker Professional 🎙 @TheChipRace Host/Producer 🌍 @UnibetPoker Ambassador 🖊 Op-Eds for VSO News 🎤 @Merit_Poker Commentator 🧠 Strategy for @UpswingPokerOtis Reid @otis_reid
3K Followers 2K Following Interested in policies and politics to make the world a better, more equitable place. Tweets my own. PhD from @MITEcon. From NC. He/himClaire Atkinson - Sub.. @claireatki
20K Followers 16K Following Media, tech, marketing reporter. Tips: (973) 544-8309. Host of The Media Mix podcast and https://t.co/YHEfbSgpjX. Contributing Editor @TheAnkler.Jack Clark @jackclarkSF
67K Followers 5K Following @AnthropicAI, ONEAI OECD, co-chair @indexingai, writer @ https://t.co/3vmtHYkaTu Past: @openai, @business @theregister. Neural nets, distributed systems, weird futuresHannah Ritchie @_HannahRitchie
85K Followers 1K Following Deputy Editor @OurWorldinData / Researcher at @UniofOxford / Honorary Fellow at @EdinburghUni @EdCentreCC / Not the End of the World: https://t.co/FoINhggvoRMary Katharine Ham @mkhammer
322K Followers 7K Following Host of "Getting Hammered" pod. Immune to Mom-shaming, mobs. DGD. Author, “End of Discussion,” I disagree w people for a living, am stunning & brave.Ruxandra Teslo 🧬 @RuxandraTeslo
17K Followers 3K Following Genomics PhD 🧬 @sangerinstitute | Somatic Evolution in Aging & Cancer | long- form https://t.co/ipFMYGuR84 | Emergent Ventures | views my ownTracingWoodgrains @tracewoodgrains
22K Followers 1K Following Storyteller. CFP @TheBARPod. Pursue excellence. Eng/中文AI Impacts @AIImpacts
2K Followers 127 Following AI Impacts aims to improve our understanding of the likely impacts of human-level artificial intelligence.Sam Atis @sam_atis
1K Followers 3K Following If you are interested in social science or effective altruism, read https://t.co/LCWUcBUQCE.Michael Nielsen @michael_nielsen
96K Followers 6K Following Searching for the numinous 🇦🇺 🇨🇦, home in 🇺🇸 Research @AsteraInstitute https://t.co/maezekzRUbGilles Demaneuf @gdemaneuf
7K Followers 1K Following Pointy Head. Opinions, analyses and views expressed are purely mine and should not in any way be characterised as representing any institution or company.Noam Blum @neontaster
192K Followers 1K Following The neontaster || Cohost of the @ambXover podcast and of All Crossed Out on @getcallin || also see @neon2ster || עם ישראל חיAlex Mather @amather
8K Followers 411 Following Former CEO, Founder, The Athletic. Former Head of Product, Strava. Philly native in SF. TTP. Go Birds. COYS. We Are.David H. Montgomery @dhmontgomery
28K Followers 3K Following "A French history podcaster and enormous goshdang nerd after our own hearts" — @andrewvandam. Host of @thesiecle; senior data journalist with @YouGovAmerica.Greg Lukianoff @glukianoff
68K Followers 1K Following CEO @thefireorg. #freespeech lawyer. Buy my new book, Canceling of the American Mind! Newsletter: https://t.co/cwXCTUouR0Beff Jezos — e/acc .. @BasedBeffJezos
102K Followers 2K Following chief accelerator & founder @ e/acc // thermodynamic priest // Kardashev gradient climber // memetic warlord // building @extropic_aiLee Fang @lhfang
319K Followers 3K Following Independent Journalist. Reporting primarily on Substack via https://t.co/HRdowb0oxD Contributing Editor at @Unherd Contact via Signal at (202) 394-9170Sunny Mehta @SunnyMehtaX
183 Followers 84 Following Assistant General Manager, Head of Analytics, Florida PanthersAella @Aella_Girl
204K Followers 369 Following ⚜️whorelord⚜️, vexworker, survey artist, way too earnest Discord: https://t.co/S1MaMdCwyKYoni Appelbaum @YAppelbaum
50K Followers 537 Following Historian and journalist. Deputy Executive Editor @TheAtlanticHelen Toner @hlntnr
21K Followers 1K Following Interests: China+ML, natsec+tech, brains+words+absurdity | Current: @CSETGeorgetown (opinions my own) | Former: @open_philDr. Émile P. Torres @xriskology
22K Followers 3K Following New book: "Human Extinction: A History of the Science and Ethics of Annihilation." Philosopher and historian; also a musician. :-) they/themJeremy Howard @jeremyphoward
222K Followers 5K Following 🇦🇺 Co-founder: @AnswerDotAI & @FastDotAI ; Hon Professor: @UQSchoolITEE ; Digital Fellow: @StanfordInner City Press @innercitypress
266K Followers 3K Following Matthew Russell Lee for/as Inner City Press covers SDNY, UN Gate, banks & IMF. books https://t.co/xHL0pGID4n https://t.co/VTEqaLISDBSpencer Greenberg �.. @SpencrGreenberg
19K Followers 6K Following A mathematician/entrepreneur in social science. Tweets about psychology, society, rationality, tech, science, and philosophy. Founder of https://t.co/2YGraOwo77Josh Marshall @joshtpm
392K Followers 866 Following Founder & reigning monarch at TPM. Lapsed historian. Polk Award winner. Hand tool woodworker. ✡️ (Sign up for The Backchannel https://t.co/GpsQ8cC6vk)Dean Phillips @deanbphillips
73K Followers 2K Following Congressman, Dad, Entrepreneur, Gold Star Son, Common Sense Enthusiast, and Bipartisan Believer. It's time to mobilize, and Everyone’s Invited! 🇺🇸Sonny Bunch @SonnyBunch
83K Followers 986 Following Culture editor at The Bulwark. Words: WaPo, Atlantic, WFB, Commentary, etc. Pods: @SubBeacon; Bulwark Goes to Hollywood; Across the Movie Aisle. "Deranged."Sara Fischer @sarafischer
55K Followers 9K Following Senior Media Reporter @Axios, Media Analyst @CNN ([email protected])Tyler Austin Harper @Tyler_A_Harper
27K Followers 2K Following Contributing Writer @TheAtlantic. Teaching @BatesCollege. Professional Doom-Monger. Co-host of Time to Say Goodbye @ttsgpod. Red-Blooded Lacanian Male.Eric Levitz @EricLevitz
42K Followers 3K Following Think out loud for https://t.co/1Dbt4zwdm2. [email protected] https://t.co/0pFwy0400CCrémieux @cremieuxrecueil
88K Followers 901 Following I write about genetics, 'metrics, and demographics. Read my long-form writing at https://t.co/8hgA4nNS2A.I would do it for free. Exactly one of us is pricing correctly.
You'd have to pay me like $20m a year to be a US Senator.
I’ll do the job for 250k and free housing. Listen up Columbia, Yale, you can save a bundle by hiring me!
You'd have to pay me like $80m a year to be the president of an Ivy League university.
Life rule that often applies to football: Any time someone says "that's a great problem to have" it's actually a bad problem to have.
New pod: Aaron Sorkin is writing a Jan 6 movie, he tells me and @PeterHamby. It’s a quasi-sequel to The Social Network that will trace the rise of misinformation-for-profit online… and the deadly consequences. Listen! open.spotify.com/episode/0qQr4f…
@NateSilver538 2 things: 1) on infra side, they quietly staffed up and contracted out a lot. I don’t have hard numbers but rumor mill is total number of bodies doing eng work is higher now than before 2) biggest cuts were in sales and trust and safety. ad sales are still in toilet
And of course, along the way, the original motivation for these protests will be lost entirely, as partisans and culture warriors co-opt these campus protests and turn them into a vehicle for their own personal agenda, or worse, the malicious agenda of a hostile outside actor.
So when the same people who were recently working to force universities to allow white supremacists to speak on campuses where they weren’t wanted are now claiming to care about antisemitism, it’s probably worth thinking twice about how sincere they really are.
Just like we’ve seen the emergence of so-called war/conflict influencers, we are once again seeing the rise of the campus speech war influencer, and once you let those people take over, they’ll steer things towards the extremes because that’s where the attention they seek is.
The stories you hear in the media will be the most extreme examples that can be found, and nearly all of them will be fundamentally misrepresented based on the biases of the person telling the story. This will fuel a cycle of escalation that few people on either side want.
@NateSilver538 Surprised there are no Mormon tie-in suggestions: Deacons, Elders, Brothers, Missionaries, etc. None of those are great (Deacons isn't terrible, but sounds very college-y), but I'm still surprised nothing has been pitched.
@NateSilver538 Honestly, take Cougars and tell BYU to get a new name.
@NateSilver538 Bizzard is actually the best description of Utah I’ve heard.
For all of you asking, here is the amazing @SpaceyFCB annual spreadsheet of every poker tournament in Vegas this summer. If there's something missing that you'd like added, comment below and he will see your request. Please retweet for awareness. bit.ly/WSOP2024
The “Trump is definitely gonna win” tone of two months ago was embarrassing. The “Biden’s got this” tone after the SOTU was embarrassing. The amount to which coverage shifts every two weeks based on the whims of individual poll….embarrassing!!
18-29 year olds rank climate change 12th among 16 prominent areas of concern according to new Harvard Youth Poll. iop.harvard.edu/youth-poll/47t…
Worked for me. @RutgersU class of '85
Just go to a state school. The premium you're paying for elite private colleges vs. the better public schools is for social clout and not the quality of the education. And that's worth a lot less now that people have figured out that elite higher ed is cringe.
May I also suggest a private liberal arts school that has good financial aid and a strong reputation but not SO huge a reputation that people auto-click on any news about a campus controversy
GO TO A STATE SCHOOL! No longer just a trollish tweet, now in longform at the newsletter: natesilver.net/p/go-to-a-stat…
Haven't read this yet, but I suppose my college admissions roundup is going to have to get ready to publish tomorrow, huh?
GO TO A STATE SCHOOL! No longer just a trollish tweet, now in longform at the newsletter: natesilver.net/p/go-to-a-stat…