Andy Bruce @BruceReuters
Yadda yadda blah blah UK economy @Reuters. Sometimes globe-trotting musician. Stockport. RTs/likes ≠ agree. DMs open. reuters.com/journalists/an… Manchester Joined September 2012-
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My personal fave Chris Philp moment was the day after the mini-budget. He declared all these economists and investors were wrong to say it was unfunded - and that page 27 would prove it. It was a "purely illustrative" GDP/tax calculator! He was deputy finance minister.
Cheer up people. It’s possible to have good as well as bad shocks. Here’s how things could work out better than expected for the next government on.ft.com/3xZPwKy
There is nothing more journalist boomer than thinking that vague memories of terrible British Rail service in the 1980s will somehow sway voters who are frustrated with much worse privatised rail service in the 2020s.
I’ve also been banging this drum - remember this the next time you see boasts about the government’s investment record 👇
I’ve also been banging this drum - remember this the next time you see boasts about the government’s investment record 👇
Here’s one for the fiscal nerds: In recent years, as much as one-fifth of all measured public investment was in fact student loans (the loans the government makes and doesn’t expect to get back). The headline numbers overstate how much ‘actual’ investment we’re doing.
good bits in Labour's rail plan: Creates a public guiding mind to think strategically about the railways (like TfL does for London); saves £ on TOC management fees. bad bit: doesn't touch private ROSCOs, which is where the big profits are creamed off and why it's all so expensive
This from Liz Truss encapsulates the problem. If the success of the mini-budget hinged on a 0.25 percentage-point swing in Bank Rate, and the BoE not pressing ahead with a widely-trailed gilt sales programme, then maybe that should tell you something about its robustness.
The whole #LizTruss schtick has irritated me to the point where I have to have a little rant. She fully blames Andrew Bailey, QT and the LDI crisis for her and #KwasiKwarteng’s incompetence. First: It was QT alone that blew up bond yields. Nonsense.
Great thread
Liz Truss's awkward interview moments with @StevenEdginton 🔒 Become a GB News Member: gbnews.com/support 👉 Read the interview: gbnews.com/politics/liz-t…
Have now seen the govt briefing on how this is “fully funded”. It’s a joke. Asserts defence spending of 2.3% of GDP was the baseline ie so only need to find .14% GDP extra by 28/29. In real world even delivering that baseline will require even deeper cuts to other department.
Have now seen the govt briefing on how this is “fully funded”. It’s a joke. Asserts defence spending of 2.3% of GDP was the baseline ie so only need to find .14% GDP extra by 28/29. In real world even delivering that baseline will require even deeper cuts to other department.
DC: We had a situation where you could return people to France... that's the most sensible thing… that's not available at the moment @AnushkaAsthana: Because of Brexit? DC: Because of the situation we're in. @David_Cameron on if he'd have gone for Rwanda policy as PM #Peston
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It's like a Hogarth - "the public listen attentively to the prouncements of his majesty's minister" (via @EtanSmallman)
@BruceReuters Nothing new under the sun 😉
Whenever I think about flexible "fiscal rules" I remember a meeting with Gordon Brown where we "met" our fiscal rule my making the line a thicker/bolder font on a chart in the budget document 😀. #flexiblefiscalrules x.com/baldwinre/stat…
Whenever I think about flexible "fiscal rules" I remember a meeting with Gordon Brown where we "met" our fiscal rule my making the line a thicker/bolder font on a chart in the budget document 😀. #flexiblefiscalrules x.com/baldwinre/stat…
_ Olivier Blanchard, Álvaro Leandro, Jeromin Zettelmeyer @voxeu • Why the euro area should ditch the old fiscal rules @ojblanchard1 @cepr_org @PIIE @AdamPosen @sjwrenlewis @adam_tooze @jasonfurman
Doesn't know anything about the country he's voted to be considered permanently safe by parliamentary fiat.
Policing Minister Chris Philp has just asked if Congo is a different country from Rwanda while on BBC's Question Time 👀
@APHClarkson @BruceReuters The average voter was probably born post-1980 at this point(?)
@SimonMagus @christianwolmar Exhibit A. The correlation of passenger numbers with net migration is stark. To say otherwise is beyond stupid. The only metric that should be used is per capita usage of rail.
@APHClarkson The book on history of British Rail by @christianwolmar explains how by the late 1980s the sectorisation of British Rail gave our railways the best organisational and operating structure they've ever had
@BruceReuters And, following up your point from yesterday, about the high cost of financing govt debt I think there needs to be a lot more work on driving down the cost to govt of financing debt - whether gilts or student loans Lets get more for less. Esp as extra costs partly down to mistake
Student loans are such a bad fiscal concept. We should be like Germany and just absorb it, like a mature advanced economy does anyway, without trying to flip flop via accounting tricks like we try
Here’s one for the fiscal nerds: In recent years, as much as one-fifth of all measured public investment was in fact student loans (the loans the government makes and doesn’t expect to get back). The headline numbers overstate how much ‘actual’ investment we’re doing.
The follow-up questions, then, are: if in 2031 - which isn't really that far away - that isn't the case then a) will those who advocated and enacted it be held responsible, and how? b) what will the UK then do with respect to EU membership?
What would a successful Brexit look like in 10 years' time, asks @anandMenon1 Frost: "I guess I would say it's a situation where nobody is seriously questioning Brexit - where it was self-evidently the right thing to do, and the country feels comfortable with it..."
fellas are you serious. i work in the same building as you.
Social media users claim rampaging Household Cavalry horses are an 'omen' trib.al/SfbzEX3
@BruceReuters @MarketBlondes I think that’s true but the real disaster in the market post the mini budget and in LDI was the long end anyway, so this short-term skew would have been beneficial!
Just checking in on my tactical jpy long
It's somewhat alarming that a major broadcaster employs a Nazi as a correspondent
"The decline in the white population" is an UNHINGED thing to say
It's somewhat alarming that a major broadcaster employs a Nazi as a correspondent
I am old enough to remember when people were desperate for the railways to be privatised, because British Rail was so awful it had become a joke. We have come full circle.
This is long overdue. The privatised railways offer a terrible service