Chris Giles @ChrisGiles_
Financial Times Economics Commentator; Honorary Professor of Practice, UCL Policy Lab Sign up to my newsletter in the link below ft.com/comment/column… Joined May 2011-
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Collective amnesia on money supply hit BoE inflation response, says Mervyn King via @FT on.ft.com/3QvM1SO
Voters' perceptions may be unduly colored by one side of the ledger (prices), but as economists we should discuss both sides, including wages. For most Americans (esp middle & bottom), wage growth has strongly outpaced price growth post-pandemic --> strong *real wage growth.*
Voters' perceptions may be unduly colored by one side of the ledger (prices), but as economists we should discuss both sides, including wages. For most Americans (esp middle & bottom), wage growth has strongly outpaced price growth post-pandemic --> strong *real wage growth.* https://t.co/TtjlRY9cQC
Excellent, nuanced column by Ed Luce on the US student protests: "It would be far more worrying if the young were indifferent to the deaths of thousands of children, some of them at the hands of US-supplied munitions." ft.com/content/198902…
The below, from @NBCNews, helps explain why voters' perception of the Biden Administration's economic management remains so low despite two years of an unemployment rate below 4%, a very strong historical performance. As more households get priced out of basic consumer…
I tend to put splitting HMT up in a bucket with other magical solutions to the UK’s economic problems
I tend to put splitting HMT up in a bucket with other magical solutions to the UK’s economic problems
I don't want to be harsh to a sitting minister of the crown, but.... .... anyone who doesn't know the different between nominal and real numbers (or deliberately omits to mention they are using the wrong data)... ... doesn't deserve to be the UK's business secretary
I don't want to be harsh to a sitting minister of the crown, but.... .... anyone who doesn't know the different between nominal and real numbers (or deliberately omits to mention they are using the wrong data)... ... doesn't deserve to be the UK's business secretary
Are US rates on the rise? A cooling job market, slowing interest sensitive sectors, disinflation and tighter financial conditions .... ... suggests not But recent data has made this a tougher call Sign up to my newsletter🔽 ep.ft.com/newsletters/su… ft.com/content/865cb1…
Thanks to @The_TUC for this compilation - people have always reckoned that others are workshy. (Tip, if you can't find enough workers, raise wages, or mechanise. There is no third option). 1/2
Look at Japan's patchy past record of currency intervention....as it starts buying up yen For more on this and much else, sign up to my "award-winning" newsletter 🔽 ep.ft.com/newsletters/su…
Interesting...these licensing agreements are the way forward
Interesting...these licensing agreements are the way forward
Hang on a cotton picking second. His categories aren’t even mutually exclusive…absurd characterisation and cliches like UK doesn’t produce things other want…without mentioning services exports such as the FT…
Hang on a cotton picking second. His categories aren’t even mutually exclusive…absurd characterisation and cliches like UK doesn’t produce things other want…without mentioning services exports such as the FT…
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Best things about your daughter working as management consultant? Shared love of spreadsheets so stuff like pic below make you smile :-) Worst things? When you are having a casual convo and she says, "Mom, use the pyramid principle!" (aka get to the point).
I lost count of the number of times in govt and out when people said to me "Treasury said no" and I have said "when? and to what exact q?" And they said "We have not actually asked, because we know what they will say".
@ChrisGiles_ I'm sort of with you. I'd like to at least try a concerted national campaign where when someone says "Treasury said no" we all reply "yeah but did they? Really? Did they really? I bet they didn't" instead of "booo, Treasury bad".
@ChrisGiles_ I also dare suggest that the ability of the Treasury to decide that Darlington, by chance the nearest big town to the Chancellor's constituency, was the best place in all the UK to find the extra talent it needed to improve its work proves it to be quite politically malleable.
Voters' perceptions may be unduly colored by one side of the ledger (prices), but as economists we should discuss both sides, including wages. For most Americans (esp middle & bottom), wage growth has strongly outpaced price growth post-pandemic --> strong *real wage growth.*
The below, from @NBCNews, helps explain why voters' perception of the Biden Administration's economic management remains so low despite two years of an unemployment rate below 4%, a very strong historical performance. As more households get priced out of basic consumer…
@ChrisGiles_ I feel like at the moment the Treasury is often playing the role of the "EU won't let us" or "I'll have to ask my wife" or "go ask your Dad" or "I'll have to ask my manager" as a great excuse for dodging something without actually saying you don't want to do it.
@ChrisGiles_ I'm sort of with you. I'd like to at least try a concerted national campaign where when someone says "Treasury said no" we all reply "yeah but did they? Really? Did they really? I bet they didn't" instead of "booo, Treasury bad".
@ChrisGiles_ It's not a solution to the UK's economic problems. It's very specifically a solution to a massive inbalance of power in Whitehall. Balancing it doesn't automatically lead to better policy.
Can someone pass on to 2019 Tory voters that Professor Joseph Stiglitz of Columbia University doesn't like the Rwanda scheme? I think this could clinch the argument for us once and for all.
Prof Joseph Stiglitz(Economist): "I think this scheme you have, in the UK, of deporting people to Rwanda is really weird, it's as bad as Trump's deterrent of separating children from their parents... " #PoliticsLive
I try to put most of my energy into engaging with good faith debates about what is going on with the economy. But given the widespread prevalence of bad faith narratives @JustinWolfers is doing an important service in consistently calling it out.
The disjunction between economic fears and reality is astonishing. Have we just stopped talking about reality altogether?
The disjunction between economic fears and reality is astonishing. Have we just stopped talking about reality altogether?
@ChrisGiles_ This may help explain what was happening last autumn - note references to NS&I and to NIOFCs (which, I think, includes pension funds)... 🤓 bankofengland.co.uk/statistics/mon….
Thanks to @The_TUC for this compilation - people have always reckoned that others are workshy. (Tip, if you can't find enough workers, raise wages, or mechanise. There is no third option). 1/2
biggest plot twist today was discovering that Alba has three syllables
How much work is it really to collect fossil fuel royalties & put them in a big index fund?
Europe is less hard-working, less ambitious, more regulated and more risk-averse than the US, says oil fund boss - FT's most read story of the past 24 hours ft.com/content/58fe78…
@ChrisGiles_ Ripping up the ban on onshore wind would be a great first step
Good piece this. I think @ChrisGiles_ is right. This is anecdotal but I think a lot of people are sitting in their hands, waiting for some political stability before recruiting or making capital investments.
Cheer up people. It’s possible to have good as well as bad shocks. Here’s how things could work out better than expected for the next government on.ft.com/3xZPwKy