John Sides @johnmsides
Professor of political science at Vanderbilt University. Publisher of @goodauth. Co-author of THE BITTER END (https://t.co/S984rgq1Yq?…). johnsides.org Nashville TN Joined June 2018-
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In the latest @goodauth podcast, I chat with @kopalo and @dadakim about recent military coups and the rise of economic populism. I learned a lot from the conversation. Check it out here or wherever you get your podcasts. goodauthority.org/news/dont-call…
This is important context. The crackdown on protests at some colleges this week is the culmination of years of changing policy.
This is important context. The crackdown on protests at some colleges this week is the culmination of years of changing policy.
Why did the House finally pass Ukraine aid? New @goodauth post on institutional & electoral forces shaping Speaker Johnson’s choices. With shout outs to Rufus Miles 🤓, John Kingdon and Jordan Tama … goodauthority.org/news/why-the-h…
In last week there’s been renewed interest in my research on protests. 1960s data I use excludes campuses but I suspect dynamics are similar: protests generate headlines, and reactions by authorities matter for who media and public perceive as sympathetic. x.com/owasow/status/…
In last week there’s been renewed interest in my research on protests. 1960s data I use excludes campuses but I suspect dynamics are similar: protests generate headlines, and reactions by authorities matter for who media and public perceive as sympathetic. x.com/owasow/status/…
Don't look now, but Biden's standing with Black and Latino voters is almost where it was at this point in 2020.
Don't look now, but Biden's standing with Black and Latino voters is almost where it was at this point in 2020.
Just-published research shows that partisan election officials don't appear to favor their own party. New from me @goodauth: goodauthority.org/news/partisan-…
Nice new paper by @amorygethin and @VinPons shows what we also found in our book on the 2020 election: BLM protests after George Floyd HELPED Democrats on average. The new paper: nber.org/papers/w32342 Our book: amazon.com/dp/0691213453?…
On modern escalation- the tricky game of missile and drone brinkmanship. Great to work with the team @goodauth and feature work by @eriklg @sekreps and others. goodauthority.org/news/iran-is-p…
Black and Hispanic voters are trending toward Biden. In other words, Democratic-leaning groups are shifting toward the Democratic candidate. Exactly the scenario we wrote about a month ago: goodauthority.org/news/how-much-… Thanks to Matt for producing and updating these graphs.
Black and Hispanic voters are trending toward Biden. In other words, Democratic-leaning groups are shifting toward the Democratic candidate. Exactly the scenario we wrote about a month ago: goodauthority.org/news/how-much-… Thanks to Matt for producing and updating these graphs.
Very excited to have these folks aboard at Good Authority!
How does politics affect how resources are allocated? @LeahRosenstiel finds where the federal government provides public goods and financial assistance depends on who has power within Congress and constituents' characteristics. #APSR #APSRFirstView ow.ly/kbAB50RfkgW
Very quietly, RFK Jr.’s average vote share in national polls has been shrinking in since he announced his independent bid in October: Oct: 13.2% Nov: 13.5% Dec: 11.2% Jan: 9.7% Feb: 11.3% Mar: 9.9% Apr (so far): 8.0%
Very quietly, RFK Jr.’s average vote share in national polls has been shrinking in since he announced his independent bid in October: Oct: 13.2% Nov: 13.5% Dec: 11.2% Jan: 9.7% Feb: 11.3% Mar: 9.9% Apr (so far): 8.0%
🧵For those looking for teaching or background resources, here are some @goodauth posts to help put this weekend's events in the Middle East in context. First, @carsonaust on escalation control between adversaries, from the aftermath of Oct 7: 1/ goodauthority.org/news/will-the-…
Good reminder that non-college whites are not a monolith — many of them are not “working class” at all! — which has implications for how campaigns target and the press should cover them. Also, good myth-busting about the supposed vanishing relationship between wealth & voting R.
Good reminder that non-college whites are not a monolith — many of them are not “working class” at all! — which has implications for how campaigns target and the press should cover them. Also, good myth-busting about the supposed vanishing relationship between wealth & voting R.
I have a new @FiveThirtyEight piece out, "The less you vote, the more you back Trump." It reports a striking finding from a new NORC survey: more frequent voters are more pro-Biden & less frequent voters are more pro-Trump. 1/2 abcnews.go.com/538/vote-back-…
🧵on a few interesting nuggets from our story this week on lessons from our 50K YouGov polling sample (economist.com/united-states/…): (1/x)
Very interesting thread.
Jake M. Grumbach @JakeMGrumbach
26K Followers 4K Following policy, $, political economy of race // 70-80s soul, 90s hip hop // #DubNation // proud product of miscegenation // Berkeley prof. formerly: UW, Princeton CSDPG Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris
118K Followers 528 Following editorial director of data analytics @abc news + 538. author of STRENGTH IN NUMBERS: how polls work and why we need them https://t.co/c8nxYdnpks.Matt Grossmann @MattGrossmann
33K Followers 3K Following Michigan State political scientist & @ippsr Director; @hookedlansing Co-owner; Pod: @niskanencenter Science of Politics; Next book: Polarized by DegreesBrendan Nyhan (@Brend.. @BrendanNyhan
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37K Followers 5K Following Assistant professor @Stanford political science. Faculty director of Program on Identity, Democracy, and Justice. Bluesky: https://t.co/KhaoFVZaoKMatt Glassman @MattGlassman312
29K Followers 1K Following Now @GAIGeorgetown. Then @CRS4Congress. Always: House procedure nerd. https://t.co/QdUQ2l2pBd Poker/bridge/Oh Hell tweets @mattg312cardsNolan McCarty @Nolan_Mc
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95 Followers 2K Following I like the color green, friends, television, and board games. I miss my buddy, Simon. I have two other buddies named Inky and Ellie.Milan Vaishnav @MilanV
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513 Followers 3K FollowingSam 7hrworkday4daywor.. @samuel_kenyon
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371 Followers 2K Following Physician somewhere , Stock & Options Trader, Keto & Lifting Weights. Interment Fasting fan. Envision Physician’s : intensivist & pulmonologistMindy Fischer Writer @mindys4Biden
20K Followers 19K Following Free-lance Writer. Educated lover of the F-word. & Yes, I AM one of those GD bleeding heart liberals. Buy me a coffee or malbec at https://t.co/cX3x3SFB1UTMC @CheyneMcT
16 Followers 685 Following Best ideas win in my world - but show me the evidence & verify the credible source. Colorado ↔️ Connecticut ↔️ California ↔️ Chicago = Centrally-Coastal🌄🌇🌅sara gong @notsaragong
20 Followers 848 Following currently @blueroseorg. nyc, from las vegas. 🏙️☀️🌈Chip McNamara @mcnamara33
170 Followers 796 FollowingWill Swain 🇺🇦 �.. @swain241
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308 Followers 2K Following Sometimes the greatest freedom is to believe in yourself.Wednesday's Child @tiwaamisu
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73 Followers 233 FollowingJay Kleinman @jaybekay1
55 Followers 338 Following Seeker of truth. Defender of the downtrodden. Eater of pasta.Andy @andyfarkas
146 Followers 322 FollowingM L C @ChiCyph80
2K Followers 952 Following Sports loving (Go Blue!), Vodka consuming social butterfly Dem voter, Chicago lover, and proud member of LGBTQ & ET TwitterThomas Zimmer @tzimmer_history
63K Followers 3K Following Historian @Georgetown - Democracy and Its Discontents - Podcast: @USDemocracyPod - Newsletter: Democracy Americana https://t.co/icbS5V67kYPolicy Dispatch @PolicyDispatch
345 Followers 1K Following A biweekly podcast from @Foresight_CE delving into the key policy & regulation that underpins the global #energytransition. Newsletter: https://t.co/Z2FnzznxmOJulia Meier @Julia_Meier0
685 Followers 3K Following 🌈 Exploring life's adventures one tweet at a time! 🚀 enthusiast | 📚 Lifelong learner | Spreading good vibes and positivityMichael Strawbridge @MjStrawbridge
2K Followers 695 Following Rutgers PhD Candidate | APSA MFP | RBSI | McNair| Black Politics| Political PsychologySineymike @sineymike
8 Followers 194 FollowingAlexandre Chirat @AlexandreChirat
1K Followers 1K Following MCF en #Économie | @UParisNanterre | @EconomixU - Political economy - History of economic thoughtVincent Pons @VinPons
6K Followers 3K Following Associate Prof @HarvardHBS. Affiliate @nberpubs @cepr_org @jpal. Cofounder @Explain_Data. Column @LesEchos. Political economy, development, tech.Jake M. Grumbach @JakeMGrumbach
26K Followers 4K Following policy, $, political economy of race // 70-80s soul, 90s hip hop // #DubNation // proud product of miscegenation // Berkeley prof. formerly: UW, Princeton CSDPG Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris
118K Followers 528 Following editorial director of data analytics @abc news + 538. author of STRENGTH IN NUMBERS: how polls work and why we need them https://t.co/c8nxYdnpks.Matt Grossmann @MattGrossmann
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37K Followers 5K Following Assistant professor @Stanford political science. Faculty director of Program on Identity, Democracy, and Justice. Bluesky: https://t.co/KhaoFVZaoKMatt Glassman @MattGlassman312
29K Followers 1K Following Now @GAIGeorgetown. Then @CRS4Congress. Always: House procedure nerd. https://t.co/QdUQ2l2pBd Poker/bridge/Oh Hell tweets @mattg312cardsNolan McCarty @Nolan_Mc
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3K Followers 731 Following Political Scientist researching Congress and elections. David Simon called me “fucknuts.” He/him.David Karol @DKarol
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491K Followers 6K Following Columnist and chief data reporter @FinancialTimes | Stories, stats & scatterplots | Senior fellow @LSEdataScience | [email protected]Jan Zilinsky @janzilinsky
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568 Followers 687 Following Assistant Professor of Political Science at @UHPoliticalSci, @PUPolitics PhD, @CSERI_UPenn Postdoc. Research on AAPI politics, immigration, REPClaudia Deane @c_deane
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9 Followers 33 Following Honors Associate Professor of Communication @Umass | Fmr Fellow @ShorensteinCtr @Harvard | @AnnenbergPenn alum | Public Opinion | Media Effects | PrejudiceThe Tennessee Holler @TheTNHoller
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696 Followers 353 Following Politics professor at Princeton studying political behavior and inequalityDerek Holliday @d_e_holliday
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331K Followers 4K Following The place to get the latest Nashville & Middle Tennessee news. Questions/news tips? 📨[email protected]Broadstreet Blog @BlogBroadstreet
3K Followers 992 Following Broadstreet is a blog dedicated to the study of historical political economy (HPE).Chris Jackson @jcbjackson
2K Followers 1K Following Ipsos pollster and public opinion researcher. All polls here: https://t.co/juaoJeUiD9Carlisle Rainey @carlislerainey
2K Followers 775 Following 👋 plaudit-winning author 🆕 sharing social science and methods 🧪 thoughts on #openscience 👨🏫 political scientist at FSU 💪 proponent of p-valuesSplit Ticket @SplitTicket_
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7K Followers 3K Following Politics editor for Opinions at The Washington Post. First New York Times blogger. Last New York Times game critic. KC-NOLA-DC-NYC-RI @suellentrop.bsky.socialJennifer hochschild @Jenniferhochsc2
1K Followers 2K Followingpollcat @pollcat
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829 Followers 460 Following Prof. Poli-Sci, CU-Boulder; Director, CU-American Politics Research Lab; Fellow, Inst. of Behavioral Science, CU-Boulder. Opinions my own. RT!=endorsement.Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17
44K Followers 2K Following @cal alum + lecturer; AI/software engineer; elections + modeling @SplitTicket_. Chelsea ⚽, Sharks 🏒, Giants ⚾. ✉️ [email protected]. views my own. he/himCRFB.org @BudgetHawks
19K Followers 5K Following The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget is a nonpartisan group of budget experts concerned about this nation's fiscal future. https://t.co/e8R4vf8v9SJon Favreau @jonfavs
1.4M Followers 2K Following The other one. @PodSaveAmerica, @CrookedMedia, https://t.co/mKXKFl0EF4, https://t.co/zvWhe0ETFEAndy Hall @ahall_research
3K Followers 1K Following Davies Family Professor of Political Economy, Stanford GSB. I use data to study democracy, governance, and tech & society.Bernard Tamas @bdtamas
134 Followers 231 Following Professor of Politics | Dad & Husband | Author of book on US Third Parties https://t.co/44zo71YlZb | Coined the term "asymmetrical disproportionality" (he/him)Jeff Blehar is *BOX O.. @EsotericCD
74K Followers 509 Following Polls, politics, postpunk. Co-host of @Political_Beats and Friendly Writer at @NRO. Dedicated to you, but you weren't listening.Stata @Stata
33K Followers 4K Following Statistical Software for Data Science. French: @Stata_fr Spanish: @Stata_es Support: [email protected]Stacie Goddard @segoddard
3K Followers 1K Following Professor of Political Science Wellesley College. Faculty Director, the Albright Institute. @[email protected]Lauren C. Bell @rmcpsci
606 Followers 909 Following Randolph-Macon College political scientist, professor, administrator. Congress, courts, dogs, and pretty pictures.Rachel Porter @rachel__porter
2K Followers 1K Following Assistant Professor in Department of Political Science @NotreDame || Faculty Fellow with the @lucy_institute || @UNCPoliSci @PolsUGA ||NCAPSA @ncapsa
237 Followers 318 Following The National Capital Area Political Science Association (NCAPSA) brings together DC-Area political scientists working in academic and applied settings.Our first meta paper is out!! This paper combines our first 110 completed reproductions/replications. This is joint work with 350+ amazing coauthors. We summarize our findings below. econpapers.repec.org/paper/zbwi4rdp…
@johnmsides Tapping the sign again
Every time there's a shocking, counterintuitive, dramatic poll finding your first reaction should probably be "let's see if that holds up in another poll"
The 17 year old is heading to college in August. So, to my friends @VandyPoliSci and @VanderbiltEcon, I am available to give a talk, attend a conference, or serve as a discussant absolutely any time.
The conventional wisdom is that people become more conservative as they age. That was true among older folks (born before 1950). But among younger birth cohorts, their mean ideology has moved to the left since 2008. Those moves are especially large among younger adults.
This paper, @eitanhersh, is in my top 4 election science papers I regularly share w/ interested people. Alongside: @emilyrongzhang 22 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf… @ArielRWhite 22 (this needs to be pub'd ASAP) arwhite.mit.edu/sites/default/… @jshochberg99 22 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
@smotus Hey @johnmsides, I think we've finally topped "lost his sentence."
A couple points to note on the excellent @Nate_Cohn's piece today on millennials. (1) the generational lean of millennials/gen Z is ahistorically Dem in absolute terms (2) the typical aging shift right doesn't erase the sheer size of the partisan gap nytimes.com/2023/06/01/ups…
Yeah, I'm with @dcoxpolls here. This is Cooperative Election Study data. Broken down by birth cohorts. Two-party vote share for the Republican in every election from 2008 through 2020. Aside from the 1985-1989 cohort, I don't see a ton of change over time.
I remain... unconvinced. nytimes.com/2023/06/01/ups…
In explaining immigration attitudes, there's long been a division between economic explanations and cultural explanations. But follow others including @johnmsides, Tesler & @vavreck, we think a credible explanation is that these two factors aren't alternatives.
One of my favorite @monkeycageblog posts, by @johnmsides, on social science funding: washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-ca…
I tried to explain the roots of today's partisanship by looking at lots of polling and research from people like @rp_griffin, @johnmsides, @LilyMasonPhD, and others.
@johnmsides Looks like it was "Democrats/Republicans" from 64 to 76. It was "Democratic/Republican Party" in '78'. They did _both_ in '80 & '82. Then it stayed with "Democratic/Republican Party" from '84 on. Probably no more than a point lost by going to Party--less than the mode change.
I'm using my @washingtonpost subscription to gift this article by political scientists @johnmsides @CTausanovitch & @vavreck so you can read it without a subscription. wapo.st/3LpsUpq
Did anyone tell at @johnmsides that once we know that you can play the organ like this, that you turn into Daedalus and can never leave @stbsnashville?
I think this is the one-stop solution to "what to add to my syllabus" that I have been looking for. monkeycagetopicguides.org
@johnmsides @DKarol @davidshor Here's behavior: x.com/ryanburge/stat…
And this isn't just restricted to religious belonging. It's also true of religious behavior as well. The less educated are more likely to report that they "never" or "seldom" attend religious services compared to those with higher levels of education.
In particular, I want to thank my committee Henry Hale, Eric Kramon and @johnmsides for their tremendous support since my first day at GW. They took a chance on me and showed me what it means to be an excellent and kind scholar, which is what I aspire to be.
This is exactly the topic that @cwarshaw @johnmsides and I are working on for our AAPOR paper this year. More to come on this front.
@jon_m_rob Also! Elections eventually have a "ground truth" to validate against. Issue polls don't (unless you live in CA lol). Anyways, good thread!
Grateful to @johnmsides & TMC’s new editors @vladmedenica, @BrownPhDGirl & @christophestout for shepherding the piece & offering valuable feedback. Shout out to @maneesh_arora for encouraging words. And to @dadakim for planting the seed. Still plotting out that piece we discussed
This semester, I co-taught the largest class in Vanderbilt’s history (N=820+) on U.S. elections. It was *wild*. It only worked thanks to engaged students and spectacular TAs. Then a student sent us this photo of a custom-made sock. This may be the peak of my teaching career.