Tarric Brooker aka Avid Commentator 🇦🇺 @AvidCommentator
Journalist & Analyst Contributor for @newscomauHQ Help support my content https://t.co/07fo3eHZLI My opinions are my own avidcom.substack.com Australia Joined August 2018-
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Services sector employment index in the 8th largest economy in the world falls into contraction.
Services sector employment index in the 8th largest economy in the world falls into contraction.
'Coalition looks to turbocharge super withdrawals, easy loans in battle for first home buyer votes' Translation: The LNP want to pump housing prices higher while trying to win political brownie points smh.com.au/politics/feder… h/t @altankahn
Dutton is set to follow the path taken by Canadian Conservative Opposition Leader Pierre Poilievre by linking migration to housing completions. I hope the LNP actually does the math to account for empty homes and actual net additions to housing stock.
Dutton is set to follow the path taken by Canadian Conservative Opposition Leader Pierre Poilievre by linking migration to housing completions. I hope the LNP actually does the math to account for empty homes and actual net additions to housing stock.
5.5 trillion Yen worth of intervention estimated to have been conducted by the BOJ. As far as currency intervention goes ~$34bn USD is a pretty large showing for a single day. But in the context of $1.3 trillion in Forex reserves, they have more ammo.
5.5 trillion Yen worth of intervention estimated to have been conducted by the BOJ. As far as currency intervention goes ~$34bn USD is a pretty large showing for a single day. But in the context of $1.3 trillion in Forex reserves, they have more ammo.
There is argument to be made that on a per household level (total mortgaged households vs total private renters), the additional cost of higher rents has taken more cash out of household budgets than rate rises. A largely forgotten sacrifice.
This really puts into context the strength of the recovery seen outside of China's manufacturing sector.
This really puts into context the strength of the recovery seen outside of China's manufacturing sector.
Imagine for a moment Morrison or Dutton attended a rally for Trump or Xi in Australia, then got up and enthusiastically said that Trump or Xi was "the boss". It was silly then and it looks even more silly now.
Imagine for a moment Morrison or Dutton attended a rally for Trump or Xi in Australia, then got up and enthusiastically said that Trump or Xi was "the boss". It was silly then and it looks even more silly now.
'India's Modi government operated 'nest of spies' in Australia before being disrupted by ASIO' "He's the boss!" Anthony Albanese speaking about Modi during a rally for the Indian PM in Sydney last year abc.net.au/news/2024-04-3… via @ABCaustralia
Chengdu has had one of the healthiest housing markets in China. As I wrote last year, the removal of purchase restrictions there would be viewed as a very negative signal not just for the local market but for China overall. The restrictions were just removed…
Australia Post tells me that the increase in the cost of postal services is totally justified..... Chart: @Mark_Graph
Hey .@SydneyAirport - can you DM where a piece of unclaimed baggage could be - Menzies handled it but phone number remains busy constantly. Pls Help. Missing a set of prosthetic legs…🦿🦿
Australian retail spending (ex-food) on a rolling 12 month basis (ex-pandemic) has recorded its weakest result since records began in the early 1980s. And figure doesn't factor in inflation or population growth. More on that next week.
USDIDR, USDTHB, USDTWD & USDKRW all are consolidation patterns within a bullish structure. For now, USDJPY is in a consolidation phase. If this BOJ intervened and meant business, they would slam today's market.
When it comes to real household disposable income, Australia is very much an outlier to the downside. Chart: CBA
ABS Retail Sales - March - Seasonally adjusted -0.4% MoM vs +0.2% exp, +0.8% YoY - Trend 0.0% MoM, +1.1% YoY Broad based falls in every category except food. Sizable falls in Victoria and NSW in particular. Household goods sales fell to the lowest level since September 2021,…
AS EXPECTED - and on a Sunday before a holiday in Japan. Ha! Now, read Weston's worry below. Mine too. This is not Sept/Oct 2022 when Japan did multiple yen interventions for 1st time since 1998. Then with COORDINATED Central Bank help: Fed/Treasury/SNB/PBOC... to the tune of…
AS EXPECTED - and on a Sunday before a holiday in Japan. Ha! Now, read Weston's worry below. Mine too. This is not Sept/Oct 2022 when Japan did multiple yen interventions for 1st time since 1998. Then with COORDINATED Central Bank help: Fed/Treasury/SNB/PBOC... to the tune of…
This is really not good news for China. The hope among policymakers is that the relaxation or outright removal of various home buying restrictions in upper tier cities could reignite demand.
This is really not good news for China. The hope among policymakers is that the relaxation or outright removal of various home buying restrictions in upper tier cities could reignite demand.
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US gonna blow up rest of world thru our deficits. Just like late 60s they 80s. We are bigger now than we were then. Fun times.
YELLEN: CONCERNED ABOUT 'WHERE WE'RE GOING' WITH US DEFICIT
US Treasury Secretary Yellen: I am concerned about where we're going with the US deficit. My take: Maybe running the highest deficit ever as a percentage of GDP with unemployment this low was a mistake? 🤔
Hang on...who's taking us there...!? *YELLEN: CONCERNED ABOUT 'WHERE WE'RE GOING' WITH US DEFICIT
@AvidCommentator @altankahn Considering the liberals are meant to be the ‘great economic leaders’ in this country, it’s a wonder that they struggle to understand that any scheme that puts more money into the housing market will result in increased house prices.
Texas service sector employment reading falls to the lowest since 2020
Canadian economy on track for it’s 7th consecutive per-capita decline. Fairness for every generation!
Canadian economy on track for it’s 7th consecutive per-capita decline. Fairness for every generation!
Chicago PMI below 40… no bueno…
Sticky core inflation... The US Employment Cost Index rose by 1.2% in the first quarter of 2024, accelerating from a 0.9% increase in the previous three-month period and beating the market consensus of a 1% growth. Employment costs rose the most in one year, as wages and…
@AvidCommentator @altankahn They should be following housing policy of the Canadian conservatives. Something to appeal to a generation locked out of housing. This is just dumb. Many of us under 30 don't have much super at all.
@AvidCommentator @altankahn withdrawing super for housing is the single most ridiculous thing thats ever been proposed.
@AvidCommentator @altankahn Linking migration to housing is a great idea and then they come out with this shit! I just can't vote for them. Hopeless party
@levelsio @AvidCommentator lots of similarities with Aus and Europe. Lucky we have dirt lol 😆
Housing policy: Coalition looks to turbocharge super withdrawals, easy loans in battle for first home buyer votes All of your super. Told you it was coming plus more relaxing of lending standards. Leveraged! @AvidCommentator @ValorWealth smh.com.au/politics/feder…
@AvidCommentator You can hear the money being sucked out of the economy, especially that lowest quintile who are most likely to be private renters.
@AvidCommentator Doesn't matter what they say though does it. Albo said this 3 years ago:
@AvidCommentator Well then...
@AvidCommentator There also needs to be consideration to where people want to live. An empty house in Katherine isn’t the same as an empty house in Canada Bay.
@AvidCommentator Does aaaaaanybody trust he will follow through with it?
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