Christopher D. Long @octonion
SumerSports - NFL analytics and roster optimization. Ex-San Diego Padres, Detroit Tigers, Houston Rockets. Google Foobar winner. He/him. [email protected] angrystatistician.blogspot.com Versailles, KY Joined September 2009-
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Interesting - it's illegal to throw darts underhand in official competitions. Does anyone know why?
Decided to take Christopher up on his proposal and I like the results. Here are my 2024 Top 5 Mocks using the method below: 1. @ChrisTrapasso - CBS Sports 2. @1TimMurray - VSIN 3. Alpha Football (mock from 3/20!) 4. @Danny_Heifetz - The Ringer 5. @4WhomJBellTolls - Football Guys
Decided to take Christopher up on his proposal and I like the results. Here are my 2024 Top 5 Mocks using the method below: 1. @ChrisTrapasso - CBS Sports 2. @1TimMurray - VSIN 3. Alpha Football (mock from 3/20!) 4. @Danny_Heifetz - The Ringer 5. @4WhomJBellTolls - Football Guys
They should start a service where you can watch your favorite team in your home
There's someone on Audible who has published over 3000 audiobooks in the last 10 days - all written by AI and all narrated by AI.
I don't remember if I already shared this, but Klaas Landsman has written a very nice book on the #mathematics of #GeneralRelativity and published it as open access. You can buy or freely download the book from library.oapen.org/handle/20.500.… #OpenAcces
@octonion You can also view this problem as randomly killing a person in the circle, with an immunity wave travelling at an average speed of 1.5 people per turn so in the asymptotic limit i->∞ the probability tends to an expression of the form pᵢⱼ -1/i ∝ sin(2π(j-3i/2)+φ)
It'd be interesting if twice the number of electrons in the universe (to account for positrons) times the estimated lifespan of the universe was roughly equal to the proposed half-life of an electron, but the math doesn't work out.
An interesting variation of Zeno's arrow paradox is to assume space is discrete, and then ask how the arrow "knows" to move from one location to the next. But that's getting close to asking questions like how electrons all "know" to have the same charge.
Infinite regress paradoxes in philosophy, while superficially similar to Zeno's paradoxes, seem much more sophisticated to me.
Zeno's arrow paradox seems particularly weak, as it's implicitly assuming that the only attribute an arrow has at any particular moment is position. Of course, it also has attributes such as velocity and acceleration. Isn't that the simplest resolution?
Since this topic is creating a lot of discussion now: one example of this extreme discipline is what Black orgs in the 60s called "tolerance trainings." They'd train protesters through simulations of racist harassment until they developed the self-control not to react violently.
Since this topic is creating a lot of discussion now: one example of this extreme discipline is what Black orgs in the 60s called "tolerance trainings." They'd train protesters through simulations of racist harassment until they developed the self-control not to react violently. https://t.co/vhcjeIPZ63
Here's my code for the random Josephus problem. Written in Sage, but it's essentially Python if you don't care about exact calculations. github.com/octonion/puzzl…
Branded editions of the Münchhausen trilemma.
Today I gave a tutorial about one of my favorite subjects, automatic differentiation. Cause everyone wants to do deep learning but no one wants to get down and dirty computing gradients. Unless maybe you do? gdalle.github.io/AutodiffTutori…
It seems really counterintuitive to me that for the random Josephus problem with 9 people you should stand in position 8 to maximize your survival probability. Or position 25 with 27 people.
Looks like we have multiple new sequences for the OEIS. Search: seq:2,4,10,28,78,215,590 Sorry, but the terms do not match anything in the table.
To answer my original question, highest survival occurs at position 13 with 41 people (!). p = 29652059411208942631142072353681690290636695207/815915283247897734345611269596115894272000000000 p ~ 0.0363420811204487
To answer my original question, highest survival occurs at position 13 with 41 people (!). p = 29652059411208942631142072353681690290636695207/815915283247897734345611269596115894272000000000 p ~ 0.0363420811204487
jesus christ
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Michael Lopez @StatsbyLopez
28K Followers 695 Following Data & Analytics @NFL, with stops at Skidmore (Asst Prof), Brown (PhD), UMass (MS), and Bates (Math, 🏈)
Mike Lawler @mikeandallie
13K Followers 160 Following former math professor, current math and ultimate frisbee enthusiast. Love making fun math videos with my kids.
Plus EV Analytics @PlusEVAnalytics
24K Followers 453 Following Actuary. Gambler. Pragmatist. Canadian. Small data specialist. Instructor “Art of Sports Betting Analytics” https://t.co/8cxdAMuYbu
Kevin Cole @KevinCole___
39K Followers 1K Following 🏈 @Unexpected_Pts newsletter/pod. Previously Data Scientist @PFF, Director of Data & Analytics @RotoGrinders. Lifelong soccer fan since Nov 2022
Daniel Litt @littmath
37K Followers 871 Following Assistant professor (of mathematics) at the University of Toronto. Algebraic geometry, number theory, forever distracted and confused, etc. He/him.
Rufus @RufusPeabody
51K Followers 746 Following Pro sports bettor. Co-founder @UnabatedSports and @MasseyPeabody analytics. Co-host @BetTheProcess. Rufus is a dog's name.
Anchorage Man @SethPartnow
39K Followers 2K Following Director of North American Sports @statsbomb Words @TheAthletic Author: “The Midrange Theory” Previous: Director of Bball Research @bucks
Chelsea Parlett-Pelle.. @ChelseaParlett
38K Followers 921 Following 📊Statistician, 👩🏻🏫Data Science Prof, ✍️Stats Communication. #statistics #scicomm #datascience #statstiktok 👩🏻💻 she/her
James Marsh @JamesMarsh79
4K Followers 3K Following “Only proles and animals are free". \\V// #RWRI... owner - #hashtagcoffee 👇https://t.co/JFLirrYBkq #failingsoloprenuer #tailhedging #options
Lee Sharpe @LeeSharpeNFL
13K Followers 405 Following He/him | https://t.co/O7VysPMTBV | Developer @nflseedR | Game data @nflfastR | Former Betting Analyst @PFF | Go Bears
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21K Followers 1K Following Analysis and insight @SynergySST || Approaching analytics from straightforward and fun directions.
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48K Followers 1K Following CEO, StatsBomb Contact: [email protected] (Please do not send me business DMs. They just get lost in the deluge.)
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19K Followers 518 Following Mathematical bohemian par excellence. It’s all just a tool, pick one, punch out, cash your cheque.
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𝐒𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐢�.. @SrinivasR1729
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"your cat will eat you when you die" yeah but he shows infinite grace by making no attempt in the meantime. leave him alone
bloody press vests laid outside the white house correspondents’ dinner for all the palestinian journalists killed
I'm going to put my thoughts in this thread 🧵 as i go with the Rabbit R1 Some backstory you should know: - I ordered the rabbit as soon as the launch video ended; even if the thing sucked, it felt like $200 was a worthwhile investment to try something like this - i'm optimistic
Pet me wile you’re bros play grand theft Otto
IMO Barbie was…not very good…and Oppenheimer was excellent.
Just watched Barbie and Oppenheimer back to back on a flight from Paris to Toronto. Ready to post some scorching Barbenheimer takes a year too late.
@StJamesStJames GM Terry Fontenot - 21 years as a scout/executive 1- Super Bowl win HC -Raheem Morris 26 years as a Coach in college and the NFL. 2- Super Bowl championships Explain to the people how these are DEI hires outside of the fact that you have a problem with them being black
The outrageous thing about that pick wasn’t drafting Michael Penix Jr. it was drafting Penix. right after guaranteeing Kirk Cousins $100 million. So, even by this racist’s arithmetic, the biggest winners in DEI are white men who nobody really thinks are that good at their job.
Sammie: no more silly chores Sissy. The homes being clean enoughs.
A new variant of avian influenza emerged: one that can infect many different species and could be highly pathogenic in humans. 🖊️ Tim Flannery & James Kempton newstatesman.com/the-weekend-es…
Today we celebrate a major achievement for the quantum industry. Together, Microsoft and Quantinuum have demonstrated the most reliable logical qubits on record. How this breakthrough will help us get closer to advancing science and solving meaningful problems.
Harpo enthusiastically endorses the crochet catnip eggs made by @SaMindy4, which help pay for supplies for her diabetic kitty. #Caturday #CatsOfTwitter #CatsOfX #TuxieGang
Decided to take Christopher up on his proposal and I like the results. Here are my 2024 Top 5 Mocks using the method below: 1. @ChrisTrapasso - CBS Sports 2. @1TimMurray - VSIN 3. Alpha Football (mock from 3/20!) 4. @Danny_Heifetz - The Ringer 5. @4WhomJBellTolls - Football Guys
What you really want to use is some type of nonparametric correlation between the predicted and actual ranks. Even better, you should account for getting the top picks right as far more valuable than getting the bottom picks right. Something like a weighted Spearman.
From our NFL Draft coverage: Thanks to a tip from @TomPelissero, we stumped the truck!
kind of weird / basic thought: once you move from graphs to weighted graphs, the notion of an 'edge' almost disappears, in the sense that the question just becomes "how much of an edge is there?" (which is understandably a more robust notion, in some ways).
It’s hard to compete with this
There are Lions everywhere! Thanks to the Michigan Humane (@mhumane). Say hi to Oatmeal.
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