Kevin Cole @KevinCole___
🏈 @Unexpected_Pts newsletter/pod. Previously Data Scientist @PFF, Director of Data & Analytics @RotoGrinders. Lifelong soccer fan since Nov 2022 unexpectedpoints.substack.com DMV Joined May 2014-
Tweets42K
-
Followers39K
-
Following1K
-
Likes34K
We are hiring an NFL Lead on the news team for this upcoming season come work with @UnderdogFantasy and the great Twitter team they've built. Awesome opportunity! Here is the link. DM me if you're going to apply. boards.greenhouse.io/underdogfantas…
This lends evidence to the overconfidence in player specific evaluation and also positional tiering. In theory, moving up to get the last player in a tier is good. In practice, teams haven't been able to do it espn.com/nfl/story/_/id…
In which @billbarnwell comprehensively addresses a bunch of (unfounded) arguments in favor of trading up, including "What if this player is really high on our board?" and "Our team can identify trade-up targets!" The underlined part here is remarkable! espn.com/nfl/story/_/id…
Argued about this on @taekcast with @KevinCole___ podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the…
Argued about this on @taekcast with @KevinCole___ podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the…
Every now and then I stumble upon an account on here that blew up in followers for a legitimately good, objective knowledge/take on a partisan subject that has descended into strong partisan takes in the same direction on everything. Bad feedback and audience capture is real
The future analytics wants
Would
Ian Hartitz @Ihartitz
165K Followers 1K Following @MBFantasyLife | President of the Cordarrelle Patterson fan club | In Drew Lock we trust | Great day to be great | The Fantasy Life PodcastComputer Cowboy @benbbaldwin
106K Followers 724 Following @ben_bot_baldwin | @nflfastR | @Open_Source_FB Danny's economist friend | bbaldwin206 at gmail dotcomTimo Riske @PFF_Moo
29K Followers 125 Following Mathematician, Data science @PFF. The simple-minded thinks everything that didn't happen couldn't have happened. Tweets/opinions are my own.Sam Monson @PFF_Sam
122K Followers 3K Following Irish NFL Analyst 🇮🇪 @PFF's Lead NFL Analyst Prematurely predicting decline Best IAFL DB in PFF History Co-host of @PFFNFLPodEric Eager 📊🏈 @ericeager_
39K Followers 3K Following VP @sumersports. Author. Luck is a 1st-order term and a bad teacher. Mentorship matters. SumerSports 2024 Draft Show on Sirius XM NFL Channel 88. Tweets expire.Adam Levitan @adamlevitan
194K Followers 1K Following Co-founder at @EstablishTheRun. Two-time FSWA award winner. Formerly Rotoworld, DraftKings.Tej Seth @tejfbanalytics
27K Followers 599 Following data science @sumersports | co-host of stats & scheme | games are played on the field, not on spreadsheets ॐJJ Zachariason @LateRoundQB
189K Followers 958 Following East Coast Dad™. Late-Round Fantasy Football creator. Host of the award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast & @LiveTheStreamFF. Pitt alum.Matt Harmon @MattHarmon_BYB
167K Followers 1K Following Football writer and analyst for Yahoo. Creator of #ReceptionPerception methodology for wide receiver evaluation. I did it my way.Denny Carter @CDCarter13
51K Followers 2K Following I write and podcast about the NFL. Host of the Dad Szn Show on YouTube, iTunes, Spotify. I've never been owned online. The enemy speaks kindly & holds a knife.Steven Ruiz @theStevenRuiz
46K Followers 1K Following I write about the NFL at the @ringer. watch the games.Steve Palazzolo @PFF_Steve
92K Followers 1K Following Head of Football Product at @PFF. Host of PFF NFL Podcast https://t.co/CdVMqlNrFS Also a former minor league pitcher IG: pff_steveAustin Gayle @austingayle_
37K Followers 2K Following Audience Engagement Manager @ringer @spotify | Formerly @PFF | #SDSUJosh Norris @JoshNorris
100K Followers 2K Following Football Content Lead @UnderdogFantasy | 100k YouTube https://t.co/NB8IxPW8Ob | AVFCDwain McFarland @dwainmcfarland
85K Followers 1K Following Fantasy Football @MBFantasyLife Utilization Report | Rookie Super Model Tweets are my ownAaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL
87K Followers 566 Following Chief Analytics Officer @FTNFantasy. Creator of DVOA. ESPN+ NFL analyst. Ex-radio DJ. AP All-Pro/MVP voter. I specialize in nuanced, ice-cold NFL takes.pete overzet @peteroverzet
43K Followers 2K Following thought leader, deposit king, creative lead @mbfantasylife, @underdogfantasy influencer, @shipchasing, @swolecast, lolz, gpp/best ball bro, https://t.co/SgIQzNCZKuWoodie Milam @WoodieMilam76
20 Followers 306 FollowingTrap Life @knowlin195
97 Followers 1K FollowingFalcons4Life @whqjskqo
1 Followers 72 FollowingAustin Huisinga @austinhuisinga
115 Followers 438 Followingbobby houser @bobbyhouser1
60 Followers 691 FollowingClint Siddons @soulrockstar
163 Followers 1K Following Musician, DJ, Song Writer, Poet, Dancer, Mentor, Dad, Contract Coach & Trainer... Renaissance Man created in His imageBubba @govtdude
2K Followers 5K Following A happy,conservative American,in spite of our problems. GO DAWGS! May The Lord bless and keep us all.Hayes Perkins @hperkinsw2
568 Followers 5K Following 34 Appalachian, Elder Millennial, WVU CFB #FinsUp @blaney Wx, probably in that order; he/him 🏳️🌈 Knight of the Golden HorseshoeAndreas Kreutzer, PhD.. @akreutzer82
547 Followers 2K Following Research Scientist at @CookChildrens | #openscience | #rstats | Runner | Triathlete | He/Him | views == mine | RT != endorsementJoe Roosland @JoeRoosland
30 Followers 235 FollowingMatt Dutton @mattdutton
231 Followers 3K Following Husband and father of five, software, technology, politics, conservative, grassroots, free market capitalist, music, stuffBig Kay @kay_big2267
0 Followers 25 FollowingMark @Mark365e7yt
84 Followers 682 FollowingJustin Hopson @JHopson11
65 Followers 831 FollowingSteelCityStats @SteelCityStats
25 Followers 30 Following Tired of the negative Steelers Media? True fans support our organization #HereWeGoJon Sjostrom @JonSjostrom
155 Followers 945 Following Buckeye forever! O H! Who Dey Nation! Presbyterian College '01RB @rbfalcons
30 Followers 480 FollowingRob Kimble @robkimble25
13 Followers 41 FollowingCarl Davis @carl_davis_
477 Followers 2K FollowingSoy un bot @LordPeridol
43 Followers 146 Following Soy una cuenta falsa, promovida por la mafia en el poder. #JuntosHaremosPrehistoriaBiggDogg @adam73112
61 Followers 291 FollowingKyle Hoskins @Aperient
162 Followers 736 FollowingMGillermans @MichaelRGillis
192 Followers 2K FollowingJoey Purvis @joey_pepperonii
123 Followers 844 FollowingHerr Schmidt (twit(t).. @HerrSchmidt_7
8 Followers 5 Following Lehrer für Geschichte, Erdkunde, Englisch, Informatik und Religion - Nebenher Quarterback für die Seattle Seahawks💚💙Brad Berreman @bradberreman24
1K Followers 2K Following ✍️: @SideLionReport, @FanSided,@CallToThePen, @GoingFor_2,@BrunoBoys,Substacks: All The Balls/Rock PediaHadrian's Press @press31012
26 Followers 352 FollowingChristopher Stock @Chris1211991
48 Followers 299 FollowingRichard Aquino @raquino101392
82 Followers 323 Followingmerch22 @merchan24177714
183 Followers 5K FollowingDavid Tillman @Birdwithteeth
6 Followers 297 Following Financial guy. Love reading, sports/analytics, music, current events, and all-around nerd.Bologna Macaroni @MacaroniBologn3
2 Followers 23 Following Sports are beautiful. I'll troll you if you deserve it. Say stupid sh*t and prepare to get punk'dChris Pracher @CPracher497
89 Followers 378 Following Interessen Politik (liberal),Wirtschaft, American-Football, Fußball, etc... Beruflich im Steuer- und Wirtschaftsrecht unterwegs...Henry Linney @Henry_Linney
30 Followers 57 Following Used to row. Support #QPR. Studying an economics degree at Manchester. YEAHHH BUDDYbuild your brand @_BuildYourBrand
17 Followers 389 Following Ask me anything , I’ll tell you the truthSteve G @stevegartnerpr
163 Followers 5K Followingdiesel @CPTDiesel
750 Followers 2K FollowingIan Hartitz @Ihartitz
165K Followers 1K Following @MBFantasyLife | President of the Cordarrelle Patterson fan club | In Drew Lock we trust | Great day to be great | The Fantasy Life PodcastComputer Cowboy @benbbaldwin
106K Followers 724 Following @ben_bot_baldwin | @nflfastR | @Open_Source_FB Danny's economist friend | bbaldwin206 at gmail dotcomTimo Riske @PFF_Moo
29K Followers 125 Following Mathematician, Data science @PFF. The simple-minded thinks everything that didn't happen couldn't have happened. Tweets/opinions are my own.Sam Monson @PFF_Sam
122K Followers 3K Following Irish NFL Analyst 🇮🇪 @PFF's Lead NFL Analyst Prematurely predicting decline Best IAFL DB in PFF History Co-host of @PFFNFLPodEric Eager 📊🏈 @ericeager_
39K Followers 3K Following VP @sumersports. Author. Luck is a 1st-order term and a bad teacher. Mentorship matters. SumerSports 2024 Draft Show on Sirius XM NFL Channel 88. Tweets expire.Adam Levitan @adamlevitan
194K Followers 1K Following Co-founder at @EstablishTheRun. Two-time FSWA award winner. Formerly Rotoworld, DraftKings.Tej Seth @tejfbanalytics
27K Followers 599 Following data science @sumersports | co-host of stats & scheme | games are played on the field, not on spreadsheets ॐJJ Zachariason @LateRoundQB
189K Followers 958 Following East Coast Dad™. Late-Round Fantasy Football creator. Host of the award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast & @LiveTheStreamFF. Pitt alum.Matt Harmon @MattHarmon_BYB
167K Followers 1K Following Football writer and analyst for Yahoo. Creator of #ReceptionPerception methodology for wide receiver evaluation. I did it my way.Denny Carter @CDCarter13
51K Followers 2K Following I write and podcast about the NFL. Host of the Dad Szn Show on YouTube, iTunes, Spotify. I've never been owned online. The enemy speaks kindly & holds a knife.Steven Ruiz @theStevenRuiz
46K Followers 1K Following I write about the NFL at the @ringer. watch the games.Steve Palazzolo @PFF_Steve
92K Followers 1K Following Head of Football Product at @PFF. Host of PFF NFL Podcast https://t.co/CdVMqlNrFS Also a former minor league pitcher IG: pff_steveAustin Gayle @austingayle_
37K Followers 2K Following Audience Engagement Manager @ringer @spotify | Formerly @PFF | #SDSUJosh Norris @JoshNorris
100K Followers 2K Following Football Content Lead @UnderdogFantasy | 100k YouTube https://t.co/NB8IxPW8Ob | AVFCDwain McFarland @dwainmcfarland
85K Followers 1K Following Fantasy Football @MBFantasyLife Utilization Report | Rookie Super Model Tweets are my ownAaron Schatz 🏈 @ASchatzNFL
87K Followers 566 Following Chief Analytics Officer @FTNFantasy. Creator of DVOA. ESPN+ NFL analyst. Ex-radio DJ. AP All-Pro/MVP voter. I specialize in nuanced, ice-cold NFL takes.pete overzet @peteroverzet
43K Followers 2K Following thought leader, deposit king, creative lead @mbfantasylife, @underdogfantasy influencer, @shipchasing, @swolecast, lolz, gpp/best ball bro, https://t.co/SgIQzNCZKuMichael Millerman @M_Millerman
29K Followers 2K Following Offering courses and tutoring on Leo Strauss, Plato, Aristotle, Heidegger, Nietzsche, Dugin, Carl Schmitt, and others. Join now. https://t.co/qhOau7Dh68Amit Varma @amitvarma
79K Followers 3K Following Writer & columnist. Podcaster at https://t.co/clnwAyuGM8 Blogger at India Uncut. Two-time winner of the Bastiat Prize for Journalism (2007 & 2015).Tom Chivers @TomChivers
58K Followers 1K Following "Far too nice to be a journalist": Terry Pratchett. Lead writer, Flagship. Semafor. chiversthomas(a)gmail. Third book, Everything is Predictable, out AprilCavan Sullivan @sullivan_cavan
816 Followers 30 Following Philadelphia Union U15 | YSCacademy | 🇺🇸🇩🇪Chris Gill @chrisgill_UK
1K Followers 1 Following ⚽️ Sports analysis, sports business & working in sport 🎙️ Interviewing cool people over on my Podcast 💻 Founder of @InPlaySports_Footy Club FC @WorldCupPopUp
183 Followers 382 Following Footy Club FC is a social soccer club that hosts fun watch parties that build camaraderie among Maryland ⚽️ fans.The Purist @ThePurist_
29K Followers 229 Following YouTube channel for football enjoyers. Blending the art and science of football. Following FC Barcelona. Enquiries: [email protected]The Athletic Soccer @TheAthleticSCCR
50K Followers 170 Following Here for every soccer story that matters. 📲 https://t.co/2ZOAZTmUsE | ❓ https://t.co/Akia57HZgnTom Bogert @tombogert
77K Followers 2K Following ⚽️ MLS and USMNT Insider for @TheAthletic 🎙: @extratime 📸 IG: Tom_Bogert 🎥 YouTube: TomBogert Words have appeared: @MLS @guardian, @BRFootball & moreScott Kacsmar @ScottKacsmar
22K Followers 971 Following NFL writer (PFWA). Likes: Film/TV, stats, cats, common sense, honesty. Dislikes: Overrated QBs, tribalism, nepotismSeth Stephens-Davidow.. @SethS_D
16K Followers 2K Following NYT bestselling author (EVERYBODY LIES & DON'T TRUST YOUR GUT); Harvard econ PhD; data nerd.Kris O'Hare @KrisOhare26
1K Followers 1K Following Sports Psychologist |Football Coach@UEFA Pro, Masters in coaching and psych @Villarreal CF. Specialized in Football cognitive training Development.René Marić @ReneMaric
48K Followers 2K Following Head of Coaching & Playing Idea @FCBayern & U19 Head Coach | @Spielvrlagerung | AsstMng @LUFC @BVB @Borussia @RedBullSalzburg | UEFA-Pro’22 UEFA-YL'17 | PsyMScSeth the Data Scienti.. @SethDataScience
146 Followers 211 Following Data Scientist | Football Nerd | Bills Fan Portfolio: https://t.co/SAzcCxRBpfJon Mackenzie @Jon_Mackenzie
81K Followers 2K Following Writer and presenter @TifoFootball_. Nooticer. Not CEO of AS Monaco.Thomas Gronnemark @ThomasThrowin
24K Followers 988 Following ⚽️ Football Throw-in coach 🏆 Champions League and Premier League winner ⚽️ See my Throw-in Coaching, Online Courses and free drills here ⬇️Laurie Shaw @EightyFivePoint
12K Followers 574 Following Director of Football Data at City Football Group. Former lecturer and research scientist @Harvard, astrophysicist @Yale and policy advisor @HMTreasury.David Sumpter @Soccermatics
33K Followers 2K Following Professor of Applied Maths and Author. Co-founder and data scientist at Twelve football.Mark Carey @MarkCarey93
17K Followers 2K Following Data Analyst for @TheAthleticFC | PhD in Psychology | Co-host of the Football Fanalytics Podcast @fanalyticspod ⬇️Zach Higginbotham @CoachZach32
3K Followers 2K Following Director of Sport Science @ Michigan Football “Waste no more time arguing what a good man should be. Be one.”Stephen @SRFootball_
4K Followers 425 Following football analysis academic | currently MMU & MUFC | views my ownJesse Davis @jessejdavis1
2K Followers 452 Following Professor @KU_Leuven researching AI, machine learning, data mining and sports. Co-founder of @Activ84Health & @runeasi_aiTraining Ground Guru @ground_guru
63K Followers 4K Following The Teams Behind The Teams | Elite Insights | Podcast: https://t.co/wH0nLaaSlp | Contact: [email protected]Daniel Jiang @danielrjiang
699 Followers 1K Following Research Scientist @Meta, Adjunct Professor at University of Pittsburgh. PhD from @Princeton ORFE. Decision making under uncertainty.Matt Chang @mpchang17
79 Followers 66 FollowingKat Dai @katdaikatdai
122 Followers 82 FollowingRobbie Dunne @robbiejdunne
6K Followers 597 Following Irish lad in Madrid missing the bog. Front end web development and all sorts of data viz for @optaanalystus. One half of @lapausa_pod.Michael Cox @Zonal_Marking
291K Followers 1K Following @TheAthleticFC. Also author of Zonal Marking (https://t.co/fS2lRhH2ml) & The Mixer (https://t.co/YRVIYgWjWp).Ryan Benson @RyanRyanBenson
2K Followers 2K Following Data Journalist for @OptaAnalyst ⚽️📝 | Once of @StatsPerform News | Doesn't like sand, does like rock music and beerAurel Nazmiu @AurelNz
6K Followers 879 Following Senior Data Scientist @TwentyFirstGrp. Views are my own.Tiotal Football @TiotalFootball
5K Followers 642 Following same name at bsky. Front office theory & soccer metaphysics at https://t.co/30pwEwFUtg. Markets aren’t nature. Post Script Podcast pinned.Pirate Wires @PirateWires
59K Followers 8 Following technology, politics, culture get the free daily newsletter 👉🏻 https://t.co/eAh13J2v0fDavid Helman @davidhelman_
158K Followers 3K Following host of the @nflonfoxpod; NFL & Cowboys coverage for @foxsports. tell me about your favorite sandwich spot.Michael Caley @MC_of_A
42K Followers 2K Following I host the Double Pivot Podcast (@doublepivotpod) and I write the Expected Goals newsletter I do local politics with @newkingsdems he/him (mcofa79 at gmail)Greg Olsen @gregolsen88
508K Followers 285 Following Husband/ Dad, Former 🏈 player, CHD ❤️ Advocate, ⚾️ Coach @carolinarevs 🎙@youthincTwenty First Group @TwentyFirstGrp
14K Followers 372 Following Groundbreaking sports intelligence. Driving sporting success and unlocking commercial value.Ali Tweedale @alitweedale
5K Followers 744 Following Football data journalist @OptaAnalyst. Formerly @CoachesVoice @TelegraphSport @WhoScored. @theofficialfwa member. @FBeyondBorders mentor.Kevin Kelley @coachkelley1
15K Followers 601 Following 9x st champ @sharpfootballanalysis Ark Sports Hall of Fame D1& HS coach, TV&Radio, rarely punted; HBO Real Sports,ESPN, DM if need spkr “thinking differently”Jamie Kemp @jamiemkemp
5K Followers 994 Following ⚽️ editor at opta (@statsperform), 🇪🇸 @lapausa_podAdam Bate @ghostgoal
28K Followers 2K Following Football journalist for Sky Sports. Email: [email protected]Rory Smith @RorySmith
238K Followers 2K Following Chief Soccer Correspondent for @nytimes, author of Expected Goals, which you can order here: https://t.co/CvBTwRzAl2The Big Interview @GHpodcast
9K Followers 325 Following @bumpergraham one on one with the biggest names in football.Andrew Rogan @AndrewRogan12
172 Followers 114 Following Baltimore Ravens | Middlebury College '19 | Bleed a while.@KevinCole___ @benbbaldwin It's a classic false dilemma. "If you say positional value matters in the draft, it means players don't matter for you and you draft only positions" It's tiresome
@KevinCole___ Yeah, I think it's most likely just another variant of teams being too confident in their ability to evaluate talent (and that overconfidence in the own ability to evaluate talent is something that a lot of fans and analysts also fall victim to)
@KevinCole___ Who was it this time? Name names, Kevin! 😏
In which @billbarnwell comprehensively addresses a bunch of (unfounded) arguments in favor of trading up, including "What if this player is really high on our board?" and "Our team can identify trade-up targets!" The underlined part here is remarkable! espn.com/nfl/story/_/id…
This is the 0.1% of the piece I'd quibble with- I'm not sure we've seen evidence that this is actually a good idea. "Less bad" and "Actually good" aren't quite same
@DavisMattek @taekcast @KevinCole___ Can't wait to listen. Y'all are always a fun duo to bounce off one another
Argued about this on @taekcast with @KevinCole___ podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the…
The more I think about it, the ATL pick boils down to: 1. How you view Penix 2. How solid does a team’s QB situation have to be for them *not* to draft a guy? If you think Cousins is shaky enough to justify a shot despite his $…you gotta believe NYG should’ve gone QB, right?
@KevinCole___ I’m very much a theory over practice person and would rather talk in abstractions then concrete examples I’d take a guess you’re similarly minded Most aren’t which makes it difficult My thought is tweeting out ample examples of FA vs pick might eventually drill it in
@KevinCole___ Completely agree with this, twitter is not made for long form content and it requires long form content to really dig in I definitely am one to over explain so not the best to explain how we can do this But I think there’s a way to do it with examples that gets the point across
@KevinCole___ "We draft players not positions" also doesn't make sense if you think about it for more than 1.5 seconds. Players play positions...
@Clevta @KevinCole___ “the roster world is just flat to them” Such a great line
@KevinCole___ I think this one is better. Just draft more 'sure things'
@KevinCole___ Right, so the top tier FA’s that are available are a bad market cost-benefit acquisition vs a high draft pick. But is the cost-benefit of short term tier2 premium position a better acquisition than force-feeding a high market FA and/or force-feeding a draft pick?
@KevinCole___ Agreed, that’s a straw man argument. “I’d rather hit on this guy than miss on that guy” was never the point
No. If PFF was sticking to the quote and asking if they could have the best duo in a few years? Yes, for sure. But to say they have the best duo right now before the rookie has played a single snap is beyond laughable.
And in 2019 they drafted Mecole Hardman over him. This is the type of stuff why I would never freak out about the Bills trading down with them so that they could select Xavier Worthy. It's a crapshoot, after all.
REPORT: The Kansas City Chiefs reportedly called the Seattle Seahawks about a possible DK Metcalf Trade during the NFL Draft.
This is a phenomenal approach. I would grade teams' "drafts" without the position column and only using trades made recently not including players.
@KevinCole___ people really don't handle probability well. things that have a 1% chance of happening, do in fact happen from time to time. usually about 1 in every 100 times.
@KevinCole___ Lol I can imagine the scenario being played out in the draft where staffers are wrong. Low profile firing