Michael Lopez @StatsbyLopez
Data & Analytics @NFL, with stops at Skidmore (Asst Prof), Brown (PhD), UMass (MS), and Bates (Math, 🏈) statsbylopez.netlify.com Joined March 2012-
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This is a common mistake. If you want to learn how to not be like this reviewer, read lakens.github.io/statistical_in…
This is a common mistake. If you want to learn how to not be like this reviewer, read lakens.github.io/statistical_in… https://t.co/iphhKtqqQB
The Hornets are hiring Patrick Harrel as Charlotte’s new Vice President of Basketball Insights & Analysis, league sources told @YahooSports. Harrel comes from the NBA league office’s data science department, where he led game scheduling optimization.
RIP Joe Sims, former Lincoln-Sudbury (1987) and Nebraska (1990) standout defensive tackle. He was an 11th-round pick of the Falcons in 1991, played 5 seasons in the NFL, the last 4 for the Packers. gofundme.com/f/celebrating-…
Updated version of paper (w/ @DataWithBliss & @StatsbyLopez) has been posted to arXiv Some new figures, including distributions of our best estimate for HA in each league for 2023. Also, a new supplement is included, w/ some exploration of hierarchical models w/in this problem
Updated version of paper (w/ @DataWithBliss & @StatsbyLopez) has been posted to arXiv Some new figures, including distributions of our best estimate for HA in each league for 2023. Also, a new supplement is included, w/ some exploration of hierarchical models w/in this problem https://t.co/dqOrXbE0G7
In arguably their biggest game of the season, the Maple Leafs created just one high-danger scoring chance (and Mitch Marner scored on it). The Bruins had six high-danger scoring chances in Game 4.
Sources confirm data engineer James Oncea is next to David here
Basketball announcers should be forced to say if it’s a good play or a good shot before they see if it goes in
NEW: Casas, Ortiz, & Mo all have cast doubt that Ted really hit the red seat 502 feet away. We used new tech to answer an old question, and the answer is .. it's not 502 feet. It's more like 530. And it's real -- but it probably can't be repeated. --> mlb.com/redsox/news/te…
Today is the deadline to submit poster abstracts for presenting at this year's #CMSAC #FootballAnalytics Workshop on Saturday May 18th, please share the link with students working on football projects: stat.cmu.edu/cmsac/football… #sportsanalytics #NFL #NFLDraft
I am surprised to report that the 1st round was better predicted by the mocks this year than in years past
I am surprised to report that the 1st round was better predicted by the mocks this year than in years past https://t.co/rnk4lRXqn3
Despite 6 QBs in the top 12, team's didn't sway too far from consensus opinion in round 1 this year - only 6 players drafted outside the consensus top 32 players
Despite 6 QBs in the top 12, team's didn't sway too far from consensus opinion in round 1 this year - only 6 players drafted outside the consensus top 32 players https://t.co/vDbywAdgN6
Could calculate insanity by year: sum(abs(Obs-Exp)) Where Obs = Mock draft consensus No Exp = Actual draft No
Could calculate insanity by year: sum(abs(Obs-Exp)) Where Obs = Mock draft consensus No Exp = Actual draft No
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The whole series. It’s not really comparable to the other series.
I think Dallas and Vegas are the best two teams in the West, and possibly the league. This game is being played at an extremely high level.
Fond memories covering the great LS teams he was on for @metrowestdaily & the decision he & teammate Mike Croel made to attend Nebraska together. Right after the Natick-Flutie years, LS was the story. What a great time to be covering HS football. RIP Joe. @StatsbyLopez
RIP Joe Sims, former Lincoln-Sudbury (1987) and Nebraska (1990) standout defensive tackle. He was an 11th-round pick of the Falcons in 1991, played 5 seasons in the NFL, the last 4 for the Packers. gofundme.com/f/celebrating-…
@StatsbyLopez Matt Dodson in the top right
Joe Schoen: "You look good in the NY" 👏
@StatsbyLopez Here is my Chaos Factor. Taking the weighted average of difference from @jacklich10 consensus board (3/5 weight), total trade distance covered on draft night (players equaling 16 picks), and number of trades total. All values are above average in the Chaos Factor equation.
@UWMadisonSTATS @skdeshpande91 During my years as co-organizer of the math & sports session at the JMM, Sameer gave one of the two best student talks we ever had. The other was by @YAMiAM9 (who was a Skidmore undergrad at the time.) It's no surprise that Sameer and Derrick have been very successful!
It's high but not ludricrous. Teams allowed 23 or more uncontested attempts 492 (out of 1220 tracked games, so 2440 team games) times this season in the public tracking data.
@SethPartnow Isn't part of the issue the total count of open threes? How does 23 compare to league avg?
@PFF_Moo @StatsbyLopez @ericeager_ @SandoNFL (Of course, we have no idea what the new kickoff rules will mean for this.)
@PFF_Moo @StatsbyLopez @ericeager_ @SandoNFL Just a quick note on this discussion. I don't have all the numbers in front of me, but kickoffs are much, much more predictive from year to year than FG. An important part of discussing kickers. TB% Y-Y from 2018-2022 had a correlation of .48, for example.
For a deeper dive on the home advantage stats: @StatsbyLopez statsbylopez.netlify.app/post/playing-a…
Thank you to @TDMDAL @AlisonL @semills1 @SchuckersM for another successful BIG DATA CUP! Open source womens hockey data FTW! @HockeyAnalytics
#GoldRace Day 69 1) BUF 34 (32 gp) 2) OTT 34 (33 gp) 3) MTL 26 4) ARI 25 5) CBJ 22 6) CHI 21 7) ANA 20 8) S.J 14 We could have a pair of extremely exciting final games for Buffalo and Ottawa on Monday, or we could have graphs with lottery probabilities on them.
Girls, we CAN do anything 🥰
One of the best parts of this job over the last three years has been watching first hand the number of people who come up to @AlisonL on our tv set pre game and tell their story of how she’s inspired them to get in to hockey. Just brilliant.
This is a very painful choice but I think I have to take gold drafting. Having 82 exciting games for almost every team is more benefit to fans than making late regulation ties more exciting.
@IneffectiveMath You get one move only - Gold drafting or change the scoring system?
Thoughts: -This place is actually quite loud. Probably is a cool playoff atmosphere. -Danton Heinen is good. -The Bruins have played quite well since Dom at The Athletic elected to call them frauds. Did the Bruins take that personally?
@StatsbyLopez @friscojosh Yeah I liked Tom's code on the home field advantage GitHub, I set it up this way since we covered RAPM a couple weeks ago since this has a similar design matrix (including home field advantage is an exercise for the students)
Wow this is awesome. Shout outs to @StatsbyLopez @DataWithBliss and many others for breaking down the data from the XFL Kickoff
The 2024 @NFL season will feature a significantly different style of kickoff. Our data and analytics team has taken a deep dive into the numbers to analyze the rule change's potential impact. See what to expect on the Extra Point Blog: ops.nfl.com/3TIuJma