Ron Yurko @Stat_Ron
Assistant Teaching Professor @CarnegieMellon @CMU_DietrichHSS @CMU_Stats (PhD '22, BS '15), #CMSACamp, #CMSAC, @OpenSrcSports, prev: @Pirates @ZelusAnalytics stat.cmu.edu/~ryurko/ Pittsburgh, PA Joined March 2013-
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Related to my comment from earlier - why are the best teams the "worst" at positional value? Maybe that's intentional and justified...
Related to my comment from earlier - why are the best teams the "worst" at positional value? Maybe that's intentional and justified... https://t.co/4NULvWmgdw
Nor is it exclusive to football.
A few things in favor of the Penix selection 1. With Cousins at QB it is unlikely the #Falcons are in a position in 25 or 26 to draft a QB so this may be their best option for a long term answer 2. His option year will be devalued due to potentially not playing 3. They could…
Very curious to see where Caleb Williams goes in fantasy drafts next year... will probably be drafted way too early for a rookie QB
Very curious to see where Caleb Williams goes in fantasy drafts next year... will probably be drafted way too early for a rookie QB
"The Penix pick was fine but the Kirk Cousins signing process was flawed and even so it was a glorified 2-year deal that you can probably trade out of next offseason with the main negative of costing your rich billionaire owner money he won't miss that much"
I’m excited to be one of the speakers at this. Submit your poster proposal here.
I’m excited to be one of the speakers at this. Submit your poster proposal here.
Today is the deadline to submit poster abstracts for presenting at this year's #CMSAC #FootballAnalytics Workshop on Saturday May 18th, please share the link with students working on football projects: stat.cmu.edu/cmsac/football… #sportsanalytics #NFL #NFLDraft
Not wasting any time here: @Unexpected_Pts "2024 NFL Draft First-Round Analytical Review" open.substack.com/pub/unexpected…
Troy Fautanu at no. 20 and Quinyon Mitchell at no. 22 are insane values
If we combine the value lost by the Vikings' two trades (earlier deal with Texans to get to 23, then deal to move from 23 to 17), they burned the equivalent of an extra mid-first-round pick. In other words: they basically spent *two* mid-firsts on Dallas Turner.
Steelers select OL Troy Fautanu with the No. 20 overall pick. Fautanu allowed just 2 sacks and 2 QB hits in true pass sets in his college career, per @PFF. This is the 4th straight year Pittsburgh has drafted an offensive player with a 1st-round pick.
With the 20th pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Pittsburgh Steelers select: Troy Fautanu, OL, Washington
That's crazy
Michael Penix will be 27 years old in the first season where Kirk Cousins doesn't have guaranteed money, but hey the QB succession plan probably needs to be more common
Playing I spy again in NFL draft rooms - if you some analytics folks, give them a shout out below Last years thread here
Playing I spy again in NFL draft rooms - if you some analytics folks, give them a shout out below Last years thread here
It's almost as if the Falcons are NOT planning on starting Kirk Cousins when he's 38/39 years old...
WOW - what a move by the Falcons, and good for Michael Penix Jr
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Whats in your backpack that would keep you from getting drafted? I’ll go first: at least eight stroopwafels from flights as long ago as 2021 that I’m hanging onto “just in case”
Sometimes you talk about Malik Nabers, sometimes you sit by as @Danny_Heifetz throws 95 MPH for 9 innings: *bad team paternalism *fandom nepotism *Is ATL, DEN, or NYG the most fun QB room? *Buying a Drew Lock shirt *Tommy Devito = breakthrough athlete *truth truther?
NEW: Casas, Ortiz, & Mo all have cast doubt that Ted really hit the red seat 502 feet away. We used new tech to answer an old question, and the answer is .. it's not 502 feet. It's more like 530. And it's real -- but it probably can't be repeated. --> mlb.com/redsox/news/te…
Nor is it exclusive to football.
The beliefs about the value of draft picks & GM overconfidence comes from evidence formed across decades by lots of different people using lots of different methodologies & reaching the same conclusions. And these beliefs are not exclusive to the public analytics community, fwiw
A few things in favor of the Penix selection 1. With Cousins at QB it is unlikely the #Falcons are in a position in 25 or 26 to draft a QB so this may be their best option for a long term answer 2. His option year will be devalued due to potentially not playing 3. They could…
I did the same thing but it said "I will be writing about running back speed scores from my mom's basement" x.com/john_keim/stat…
Daniels said he wrote "I will play in the NFL" on a piece of paper and posted it on his bedroom wall. He said he was around 7 years old.
PSA: You're probably underestimating how much the landing spot of a QB determines his NFL success.
Looks like a 49er
High school coaches: do players use them in game at the HS level? This could be a face-mask in hockey thing where players who grow up with it will be more likely to use it game I’m increasingly impressed by the NFL on how they are leading from the front in terms of player…
NFL players will be allowed to wear the protective Guardian Cap over their helmet in games this season if they would like to, the league announced.
Maybe everyone doesn't fully appreciate the value savings for a rookie QB that hits. Penix is going to make $5.7M per year. Trading Kirk next offseason and taking a $37.5M cap hit hurts the cap some but not a death blow
"The Penix pick was fine but the Kirk Cousins signing process was flawed and even so it was a glorified 2-year deal that you can probably trade out of next offseason with the main negative of costing your rich billionaire owner money he won't miss that much"
To reduce player risk and continue driving innovations in equipment technology, Guardian Caps have been authorized for in-game use this season. Hear more from @NFL Chief Medical Officer, Dr. Allen Sills: ops.nfl.com/4befCYE
Them too. Dallas is a very underrated at this.
here is the post day 1 recap of the NFL draft with @bruchhaussports, @Ben_R_Brown_ and @arjunmenon100: •youtube: youtube.com/watch?v=hM7-YC… •spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/5whKOx…
I’m excited to be one of the speakers at this. Submit your poster proposal here.
Today is the deadline to submit poster abstracts for presenting at this year's #CMSAC #FootballAnalytics Workshop on Saturday May 18th, please share the link with students working on football projects: stat.cmu.edu/cmsac/football… #sportsanalytics #NFL #NFLDraft
Not wasting any time here: @Unexpected_Pts "2024 NFL Draft First-Round Analytical Review" open.substack.com/pub/unexpected…