Dr. Robert Rohde @RARohde
Chief Scientist @BerkeleyEarth. Physics PhD & data nerd. Usually focused on climate change, fossil fuels, & air quality issues. Zurich, Switzerland Joined January 2017-
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In 50 years, I wonder where classic car enthusiasts will get their gasoline? Cause, by then, there won't be any gas stations left.
It's mid-April. Time for some seasonal cooling. El Niño is ending. Time for some interannual cooling. Nope. Let's set a new record high for daily ocean-average surface temperature. 😬
Golden Rice – rice with genes added to help produce vitamin A – has been seen as a way to save 100s of thousands of impovrished children, mostly in SE Asia, from blindness and death. But Greenpeace and others so fear this technology that they'd rather see children die.
Golden Rice – rice with genes added to help produce vitamin A – has been seen as a way to save 100s of thousands of impovrished children, mostly in SE Asia, from blindness and death. But Greenpeace and others so fear this technology that they'd rather see children die.
The first quarter of the year is off to an exceptionally warm start, as I discuss in a new Q1 State of the Climate Report over at @CarbonBrief: carbonbrief.org/state-of-the-c… ⬆️ Warmest Jan, Feb, March, and April (to date) by ~0.1C ⬆️ 2024 on track to be warmest or second warmest year
No matter if you love or hate Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS), I think it is quite fair to say that it is one technology which has never lived up to expectations... Blue: current capture capacity Purple: Net Zero 2050 pathways iea.org/topics/cop28-t…
“Today, the Federal Trade Commission issued a final rule to promote competition by banning noncompetes nationwide, protecting the fundamental freedom of workers to change jobs, increasing innovation, and fostering new business formation.” ftc.gov/news-events/ne…
LLMs are great at predicting what human writing should sound like, but lack any deeper objective sense of truth & falsity. The next big gains probably won't come from better training word predictors, but from connecting LLMs to better representations of external reality.
LLMs are great at predicting what human writing should sound like, but lack any deeper objective sense of truth & falsity. The next big gains probably won't come from better training word predictors, but from connecting LLMs to better representations of external reality.
The 12-month moving average of global mean temperatures has now moved slightly above 1.6 °C (2.9 °F).
The first three months of 2024 have been very warm, but the second-half of 2024 is expected to cool modestly. We currently estimate a 59% chance that 2024 is ultimately warmer than 2023, with near certainty (99% chance) that it is either 1st or 2nd warmest measured year. 9/
March 2024 Temperature Update Nominally the warmest March since direct measurements began, though by a tiny margin (essentially ties March 2016). El Niño declines, expected to end in coming months. Very likely 2024 becomes the 1st or 2nd warmest year. berkeleyearth.org/march-2024-tem…
Theres an important new study from many of the leading researchers on paleoclimate and climate sensitivity. They provide a new, more robust estimate of climate sensitivity from the last glacial maximum, suggesting a sensitivity of 2.9C (95%: 2.1 to 4.1C) science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
As climate change progresses, there will be both economic winners & losers. How many of each is hotly debated, but studies like this new one in Nature tend to conclude that only current cold regions (in blue) have net benefits from high warming. nature.com/articles/s4158…
The recent deadly heatwave in the Sahel and West Africa with temperatures above 45°C would not have been possible without human-caused climate change 📈 Our study highlights the urgent need for heat planning and preparedness across the region. 🧵
While there are some committed actors, a lot of climate change politics can still be described as empty promises that are withdrawn after years of doing nothing.
While there are some committed actors, a lot of climate change politics can still be described as empty promises that are withdrawn after years of doing nothing.
Two things happened on the @California_ISO grid last night. 1) Battery storage discharge went over 6GW for the first time AND 2) Batteries were the largest source of supply.
Zeke Hausfather @hausfath
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1K Followers 173 Following NASA GISS Climate Impacts Group co-Director making info useful to people and systems at risk; IPCC WGI CLA + SYR; Columbia University; AgMIP Science Coordinator@Sobes39 @tonydunc @CameronRuggles @AvgHonkey @RARohde @laramidian I’m not telling anyone what to do. I own and run multiple diesel tractors. They are loud, they stink, they need attention and fuel and I love them. I would love them more with an electric motor. I can make electricity easily; I don’t know how to make fuel.
@RARohde I wonder if gas distribution will become a service that luxury/performance car dealerships and aftermarket shops will take on (and charge through the nose for). I agree with the other commentor about Norway being the canary for this.
@RARohde Gasoline will probably be distributed pretty much the same way it was when motorcars first appeared. In metal tins, delivered directly to the ICE car owners home. Only difference is the delivery company will be using electric trucks instead of horse drawn carriages.
@RARohde Maybe…5 gallons at a time from the auto parts store.
@RARohde Of course when ICE cars began, there was no refueling infrastructure. They had to buy petroleum at the chemists (drug store / druggists for US cousins). It could go full circle?
@Gravityripple1 @RARohde You missed the point. Sure there will be gasoline. But where will you buy it? Roadside service stations (or whatever you call them) will not be economically viable in large numbers as the demand will have sunk.
@AlanWilkinsonNZ @RARohde The point goes straight by some of you commentators doesn’t it? Yes gasoline will still exist. But where will you obtain it? There will not be the demand for so many gasoline pumps. So they will close to a limited few.
@AvgHonkey @RARohde @laramidian Tractors are a great EV use case that will expand rapidly. Battery Mass not an issue Instant torque High HP Aerodynamics not a factor 14 hours run time, 8 with field mower Low maintenance Never far from a charger Can double as a power backup
@AlanWilkinsonNZ @RARohde And that is the point. There will not be a sufficient market to enjoy motoring with gasoline. It will largely be bring your own or plan trips around scarce suppliers.
@RARohde In the future, you won't say 'electric car' You'll just say 'car' x.com/profraywills/s…
In the future, you won't say 'electric car' You'll just say 'car' Even the classic ones'll be electric ⚡️Electric vehicles⚡️ Here's a few posts on #EVs I prepared earlier😎 A virtual #EVstrategy in a convenient search string😬 #Auspol What's your fav? x.com/search?q=profr…
Hasn't been a good controversy on this website in a while, thinking of tweeting a photo of my kids strapped into their carseats.
@RARohde “That will never happen” - Blockbuster CEO
@RARohde Local micro craft refineries will be all the rage. Bearded hipsters will mix up whatever octane you desire
@RARohde Thanks for this! I have not had time to dive into the subject.
@Sirius87520919 @RARohde Rule 1 for being a Russian twitter troll- When you tell someone they are wrong- make sure they are not a global expert in that subject matter...
Now that it's official: I've been awarded the Simons Emmy Noether Postdoctoral Fellowship at @Perimeter, where I'll spend three months working with @AstroKatie! I'm thrilled!! 😁 perimeterinstitute.ca/news/meet-2024…
@RARohde @Sirius87520919 Would be interesting to see an update of this, if it's not too much trouble. x.com/rarohde/status…
Unfortunately, this crude climate analogs method does come with considerable noise. Nonetheless, the recent period does stand out, consistent with what one might expect from reductions in sulfur pollution. (Shown here as the difference between observed and expected.) 15/