Zeke Hausfather @hausfath
"A tireless chronicler and commentator on all things climate" -NYTimes. Climate lead @stripe, writer @CarbonBrief, scientist @BerkeleyEarth, IPCC/NCA5 author. theclimatebrink.com San Francisco Joined July 2008-
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Happy 70th birthday to the photovoltaic cell, demonstrated on April 25, 1954. NYT: "the beginning of a new era, leading eventually to the realization of one of mankind's most cherished dreams - the harnessing of the almost limitless energy of the sun" nrel.gov/docs/fy04osti/…
Vaccines are miraculous.
Vaccines are miraculous. https://t.co/7wuXYgj4j6
A “digital twin” is just a pretentious name for a model.
Good news on permitting reform! The Department of Energy is giving a categorical exclusion from NEPA environmental review to: - transmission projects that use existing rights of way - solar projects on disturbed lands - energy storage projects on disturbed lands
We've got a new paper in @CommsEarth led by Jan Esper and Jason Smerdon. We argue that the IPCC's focus on a single Common Era temperature reconstruction was an 'insufficient summary of our understanding of temperature variability' and we provide a broader context
We've got a new paper in @CommsEarth led by Jan Esper and Jason Smerdon. We argue that the IPCC's focus on a single Common Era temperature reconstruction was an 'insufficient summary of our understanding of temperature variability' and we provide a broader context
To supply low-carbon power to a grid via nuclear, solar, wind, or grid batteries, how much material must we dig up to build those power plants? Answer: far less than for fossil fuels, with nuclear needing the least mining. New @TheBTI report by my team: thebreakthrough.org/issues/energy/…
In scenarios that "limit warming to 1.5°C (>50%) with no or limited overshoot", to use IPCC speak, most scenarios go over 1.5°C and return later... These scenarios also have radical emission reductions starting in 2020 & large-scale use of Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR). 1/
To be clear: rooftop solar PV is NOT the problem. The problem is BAD RATE DESIGN that does not convey what electricity actually costs—and thus what the value of self-generating with solar or saving energy with efficiency or shifting consumption with smart devices is worth! Fix…
To be clear: rooftop solar PV is NOT the problem. The problem is BAD RATE DESIGN that does not convey what electricity actually costs—and thus what the value of self-generating with solar or saving energy with efficiency or shifting consumption with smart devices is worth! Fix…
CDR talk and eggplant pizza at @ModernApizza with @FreyaChay @hausfath and @mtyka. 😋
.@BorensteinS estimates that soaring retail rates, poor rate design & rapidly growing rooftop solar adoption in California combine to shift ~$3.8 billion from bills of solar adopters to those without solar, increasing their rates 5.7-7¢/kWh. 😯 energyathaas.wordpress.com/2024/04/22/cal…
Since a lot of folks seem to be misinterpreting this @CarbonBrief graph, a quick explainer: Yellow line is the Biden administration target. Blue line is the modeled effects of policies (e.g. the IRA) passed in Biden’s first term. We need stronger policy to bridge the gap.
Since a lot of folks seem to be misinterpreting this @CarbonBrief graph, a quick explainer: Yellow line is the Biden administration target. Blue line is the modeled effects of policies (e.g. the IRA) passed in Biden’s first term. We need stronger policy to bridge the gap.
NEW – State of the climate: 2024 off to a record-warm start | @hausfath Read here ➡️ buff.ly/4ddZrfZ
Biden already officially set the US target to zero by 2050. The Bipartisan Infrastructure Law & Inflation Reduction Act doubled expected emissions reductions by 2030 & moved us from the red line to the blue line. Now we need more action to get us to the target yellow zero line.
Summer 2021 heat wave in the Pacific Northwest 'was 59% longer, 34% larger and had 6% higher maximum amplitude than the same event' without climate change nature.com/articles/s4324…
1/4 While we expect the permafrost region to be a significant GHG source as the planet warms, we know little about the region's current net GHG balance Justin Ramage et al. have just done that, a full analysis of sources and sinks of CO2, CH4, and N2O fluxes for 2000-2020
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1K Followers 416 Following Co-Founder @co2 @TIME. Conservationist 🌏 #ClimateAction #NatureNow #Meditator 🧳 Traveler 🦥 Views are my own.@hausfath It can only be referred to as a digital twin if it comes from the digit'al region of France...otherwise its just a sparkling model
@hausfath I feel like maybe 1% of people who use the term "digital twin" have a good practical idea of what it means, but the other 99% just get a buzz off the feel of the words in their head. Everyone else is honestly trying to work out what it means based on what those people are saying.
I can’t believe it happened — this is a dream come true for me. I finally got to host an emergency podcast: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/shi…
@hausfath a particularly well validated model
Happy 70th birthday to the photovoltaic cell, demonstrated on April 25, 1954. NYT: "the beginning of a new era, leading eventually to the realization of one of mankind's most cherished dreams - the harnessing of the almost limitless energy of the sun" nrel.gov/docs/fy04osti/…
70 years ago today in the @nytimes:
Happy 70th birthday to the photovoltaic cell, demonstrated on April 25, 1954. NYT: "the beginning of a new era, leading eventually to the realization of one of mankind's most cherished dreams - the harnessing of the almost limitless energy of the sun" nrel.gov/docs/fy04osti/…
Interesting study of the effects of climate laws on emissions. One could quibble with the econometrics, but it's interesting that someone is trying to estimate this at scale. Reminds me of your earlier debate on here, @RogerPielkeJr & @AukeHoekstra. nature.com/articles/s4155…
@hausfath I prefer to use it for a successful whole brain emulation of somebodys brain. But I agree that it is mostly used as a pretentious synonym for "model".
@hausfath It does provide more context than the general model term, but agree that it is very buzzwordy.
Good news! There are many qualified climate experts who donate their time on social media, doing public outreach and education. Follow them! Generous experts always beat “influencers” on these complex, nuanced topics. My favorites include @KHayhoe @hausfath @CarbonBrief …
Vaccines are miraculous.
Vaccines * Saved 154 million lives from 1974-present * 146 million of those were kids under 5, 101 million infants * Total years of life saved is 9 *billion* * Measles vaccine alone saved 93.7 million lives vox.com/future-perfect…
@hausfath I've tried hard to figure out what people are trying to mean when they say digital twin but coming to the same conclusion. Maybe would add 'realistic model' to your statement. Becomes an actual issue when it makes its way into funding calls etc.
@hausfath You forgot to include that Disney screengrab of the guy with swords pointing at his neck
Any time I use the phrase "gobsmackingly bananas" please know that it is borrowed from Zeke Hausfather @hausfather, who rightfully adopted it as the most accurate scientific expression of recent global temperature data. x.com/hausfath/statu…
The first global temperature data is in for the full month of September. This month was, in my professional opinion as a climate scientist – absolutely gobsmackingly bananas. JRA-55 beat the prior monthly record by over 0.5C, and was around 1.8C warmer than preindutrial levels.
@hausfath I would agree and say the term is used VERY inconsistently. But I've noticed that many policy makers get the right idea (somewhat) if I use this term, while the term model (and agent-based model) often doesn't mean anything to them.
@hausfath I admit digital twins are a hype, and we should ignore the hype. But I do think that more and more sensory and demographic data becoming available makes it interesting to recreate an area in the computer with all that richness, to only then create scenarios.
Yep. Lots of room for debate on policy, but the basic fact that humans are causing global warming through our greenhouse gas emissions could not be clearer.
Pretty remarkable how almost every “alternative” explanation (solar activity, volcanoes, aerosols, etc.) for climate warming actually has a *negative* impact on temperatures since 1850, or is neutral.