Louis Harreau @LouisHarreau
ECB watcher, practicing European, owner of an overly-enthusiastic fluffy dog. Joined May 2014-
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As Mario Draghi once said, the euro is like a bumblebee. This is a mystery of nature because it shouldn’t fly but instead it does. Congratulations to the amazing @ecb staff for making it fly, and the best of luck for the next 25 years.
Crédit Agricole: «We expect the ECB to hike by 50bp and settle on a small acceleration of QT to EUR20bn a month on average». Call is on minority camp and notes 25bps is highly possible.
🚨 Monthly Bulletin! #1 Investors express their high level of satisfaction with the French debt market #2 ECB’s mon. pol under duress, or how it radically, abruptly and immediately changed its reaction function in order to submit to its price stability mandate (by @LouisHarreau)
It’s only called QE if it comes from the French region of QE, otherwise it’s called sparkling technical adjustments.
Say what you want about Lagarde, but she is very good at unanimity
Say what you want about Lagarde, but she is very good at unanimity
10 years ago, on the minute
10 years ago: "within our mandate, within our mandate…” Happy Whatever-it-takes day to those who observe! 🇪🇺
“Italian politics is like a bumblebee. This is a mystery of nature because it shouldn’t fly but instead it does.”
Hi @ecb Will you publish the account of the 15 June ad hoc meeting, like you did for the 18 March 2020 one?
Hi! My name is What? My name is Who? My name is Chika-chika TPM *ECB NEW TOOL CURRENTLY NAMED TRANSMISSION PROTECTION MECHANISM
Frederik Ducrozet @fwred
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779K Followers 130 Following The European Central Bank is the central bank for Europe's single currency, the euro. Its main task is to maintain the euro's purchasing power.Brad Setser @Brad_Setser
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51 Followers 52 FollowingHrvatska narodna bank.. @HNB_HR
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193 Followers 110 Following Editor in Chief at Econostream Media, reporter on ECB, other European central banks and debt issuersVictor Warhem @victor_wrhm
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116 Followers 761 Following Digital comms @ecb. Views my own, retweets = interesting 🇪🇺🇩🇪La France renouera le 19 juin avec la procédure européenne pour déficit excessif. Les autres pays de l’Union tiennent à ce que Paris n’ait plus de traitement privilégié. Le gouvernement doit préciser cet été comment faire le gros de l’effort en 2025 👇 lopinion.fr/international/…
Among sell-side research, BNP Paribas is vastly underrated in my opinion.
@FrancoisGeerolf @jmvittori @SoumayaKeynes Vieux problème cae-eco.fr/Les-economiste…
Des gants de Grace Kelly à ceux de l'armée, de la prospérité au dépôt de bilan, Maison Fabre, ganterie depuis quatre générations à Millau, fête ses cent ans cette année #AFPTV ⤵️
I just look at shale production charts like this from time to time and think, "This is going to be so bad, and no one outside energy understands it."
Morningstar DBRS Confirms Italy At BBB (High), Stable Trend dbrs.morningstar.com/research/43164…
We all know Greece is now back to investment grade, years after the drama of the Eurozone crisis and PSI on govies. But I guess someone still has painful memories of Greek debt: *ECB asking Greek banks to apply the calendar provisioning on defaulted state guaranteed loans
Un papier sur le dilemme budgétaire français et quelques pistes pour en sortir.
Dans la macrocrise, la dette et le déficit français ont explosé. Mais la France a encore le choix de sa crise: nationale si elle consolide ses finances publiques—européenne si elle s’y refuse. Nous publions une perspective de fond signée @Shahinvallee. legrandcontinent.eu/fr/2024/04/26/…
Transcript: Interview with ECB Governing Council Member Mário Centeno on 17 April 2024 #ECB #centralbanks #monetarypolicy econostream-media.com/news/2024-04-2…
ECB CUTS THIS YEAR COULD EXCEED 100 BPS: CENTENO TO ECONOSTREAM
🇨🇭The SNB raises minimum reserve requirement for banks from 2.5% to 4%. "Since sight deposits which are held by banks to meet minimum reserve requirements are not remunerated, the interest costs for the SNB will be reduced". snb.ch/en/publication…
ECB Governors Fear Fed-Style 'Dot Plot' Would Invite Political Pressure, Sources Say - MS marketscreener.com/quote/currency…
ECB VILLEROY: OPEN TO RATE CUTS AT EACH MEETING AFTER JUNE
CHANSONS POP ET BIBLE ? C'est parti. 🧶 "J'irai où tu iras (ouh ! ouhouhou !) Mon pays sera toi ! (ouh ! ouhouhou !)" (Céline Dion) "Où tu iras, j'irai, où tu demeureras, je demeurerai; ton peuple sera mon peuple et ton Dieu sera mon Dieu." (Livre de Ruth)
I very much agree with Schnabel - @Shahinvallee and I proposed an ECB dot plot in 2022. It’d tilt the nature of the discussion in the ECB’s boardroom from the pursuit of consensus to that of the most convincing view. And boost communication transparency. cer.eu/insights/europ…
Isabel Schnabel says European Central Bank could benefit from Fed-style ‘dot plot’ ft.com/content/b90f22… via @FT
Fed securities today are about $7t. After the imminent taper, QT looks to be about 45b a month. So this projections implies QT could run for another 1 to 2 years. Just their best guess of course.
NY Fed's SOMA projections have been released. They see the B/S bottoming at $6-6.5T newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/m…
The ECB is seen forgiving Italy its fiscal sins, if needed @Reuters @gavinjones10 @FranCanJourno reuters.com/world/europe/e…