Jon Lieber 🇺🇸 @lieber2k
Factoid enthusiast, houseplant assassin. MD for US @eurasiagroup. Once upon a time worked in the House, Senate, and WH. Optimistic but not naive. Washington, DC Joined April 2009-
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Campus protests are a preview of what could come on the streets of Chicago for the DNC, creating an opening for Trump to double down on his message that it is Biden who is the "chaos candidate," says @EurasiaGroup's @lieber2k. US Politics #In60Seconds
Ever since @AjitPai shut down the internet in 2017, it's been impossible for advocates to get the word out on how important net neutrality is, which is why you never hear about this any more. Glad the FCC is still focused on fixing it! bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Lots of CHIPS back-patting going on in Washington, but the TSMC effort is starting to look like the Fyre Festival of industrial policy restofworld.org/2024/tsmc-ariz…
Why take them perfect when you can have the good.
Why take them perfect when you can have the good.
Not sure what kind of cultural marker "enjoys Jon Stewart's revival" is, but I'm here for it. youtu.be/zqkf2U5jcE0
The key story to watch in US politics this week: Trump's trials. @EurasiaGroup's @lieber2k will be keeping an eye on independent voters' reactions. Will Trump's argument that the criminal charges are politically motivated resonate with them? US Politics #In60Seconds
Eurasia Group’s Head of Research, @lieber2k, hosted a US Elections breakfast for clients with @cgarman70, Managing Director for the Americas, in São Paulo last week.
Could abortion be the wildcard issue that helps Biden overcome his dismal polling? @EurasiaGroup analyst @lieber2k unpacks what Florida's abortion rulings mean for the 2024 US election. US Politics #In60Seconds
Old enough to remember the Republican assault on the professional civil service.
The dominance of anti governance ideology in the US is so strong that even the pro-government party is hobbling it. nytimes.com/2024/03/25/us/…
Good analysis here. I frequently hear people worry about the Senate turning into the House (younger members, more partisan, weaker filibuster), so it is sort of ironic that instead the House has turned into the Senate. wsj.com/politics/why-m…
People care about levels, not rates. wsj.com/economy/consum…
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Millenials!
What a sad failure of our developmental infrastructure If there are any 12th graders out there who are reading and want to take my word for it: the world is way better than it seems, and is more than good enough to be a suitable backdrop against which you find and create meaning
By announcing his intent to step down as Senate Minority leader, Mitch McConnell was acknowledging it's time he passed the torch. It's exactly the speech the Dems hope Biden will give (but know deep down he won't), says @EurasiaGroup expert @lieber2k. US Politics #In60Seconds
Huge loss. If Democrats hated Mitch McConnell as GOP leader, wait til they see the ones who come next. As for Republicans, well, this is good news only if you like how the GOP House functions & want more of that. McConnell has been GOPs most effective Congress leader in decades.
Huge loss. If Democrats hated Mitch McConnell as GOP leader, wait til they see the ones who come next. As for Republicans, well, this is good news only if you like how the GOP House functions & want more of that. McConnell has been GOPs most effective Congress leader in decades.
Imagine how ignorant of life in Iran and China you’d have to be to actually believe this.
Imagine how ignorant of life in Iran and China you’d have to be to actually believe this.
A #ValentinesDay story: during games, then-San Francisco @49ers quarterback and @NFL legend @JoeMontana would call his wife on the sideline phone after realizing that one could dial external numbers. “I’m calling you to say I love you.” youtu.be/zaayiyj2hJI?si…
ian bremmer @ianbremmer
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40K Followers 14K Following CNN Exec Editor, former SAsia reporter | Friend of facts, science | Random RTs may be pass throughs (not Rxs); likes may be bookmarks | Cover: Legacy Blue CheckI'm old enough to remember when repealing #NetNeutrality literally killed 1 in 3 Americans
Ever since @AjitPai shut down the internet in 2017, it's been impossible for advocates to get the word out on how important net neutrality is, which is why you never hear about this any more. Glad the FCC is still focused on fixing it! bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Sorry. I've thought about it a bit and I'm wrong. Robots are boring, and this is extremely funny.
At no point in this video from the Jimmy Buffett tribute at the Hollywood Bowl can you possibly predict who they will show next
@lieber2k FWIW,I’m sure the WH would welcome GOP attacks on raising the cap and having an extended discussion of Social Security including RSC proposal to raise retirement age.
Here is the same chart, but instead of looking at actual release values, it compares the forecasts to the revised NFP values:
@lieber2k x.com/stevenjduffiel…
Remember, it's wrong to allow a vote on a bill supported by 3/4 of a legislative body. (We worried that the Senate would turn into the House; meanwhile, the House went to work turning itself into the Senate.)
This is going to be the best election ever. Trump will be leading in the polls because of immigration chaos and then he will try to make the election a referendum about Stop The Steal and start losing and then Biden will mumble incoherently and fall down some stairs and the…
Dredging back up the Kavanaugh accusations is the single best thing Dems could do to push me into voting for Trump.
Gunfire on 7th & G St NE at 7pm, 3-4 shots. Had to run for cover with my kids coming back from soccer practice. The last time that happened to me I was... in Gaza. What's going on in DC @MayorBowser?
bespoke mosaic tile floors are absurdly labor intensive. and this is *skilled*, artisanal, artistic labor. if you want to buy that you still can--it's just expensive as hell, because that person won't accept the wages of a serf circa 500 CE!
"A dream. It's perfect": Helium discovery in northern Minnesota may be biggest ever in North America - CBS Minnesota cbsnews.com/minnesota/news…
@IAmCaseStephens How have you never read a book that made you cry? I've read TONS of books that have made me cry. Yes..."Where the Red Fern Grows" is certainly at the top of the list, but I'd also hasten to add "The Bridge to Terabithia" to that list. That was the first book to make me cry.
It must be exhausting to spend a full 3 years searching for so many different esoteric datapoints to show inflation is low, regardless of what is happening to actual inflation.
One reason I think the hot price numbers for January are probably a blip: the Atlanta Fed business inflation survey is taken mid-month, and you'd think businesses would notice if inflation were surging. In fact, January was down
A #ValentinesDay story: during games, then-San Francisco @49ers quarterback and @NFL legend @JoeMontana would call his wife on the sideline phone after realizing that one could dial external numbers. “I’m calling you to say I love you.” youtu.be/zaayiyj2hJI?si…
“Sure, I’ve made plenty of mistakes over several decades, but I’ve gotten a lot of awards and my friends agree with me. And as everyone knows, the appeal to authority is one of the most powerful arguments one can make. QED: I *am* science.”
POV: You just realised that Putin isn't a based destroyer of woke NATO but a crazy old fascist fuck who lives in alternative history.
Nobody else has the balls to say it, but on a deep level, Egypt is kind of Mexico. Punches below its weight economically? Check. Border situation? (Check, and why Biden conflated them probably.) Too hot? Check. Conqured by a Napoleon? Check. Pyramids? You know that's a check.
Contrarian take: Today’s report dramatically lowers expectations of Biden’s abilities, lowering bar for what he needs to do to “succeed” in upcoming appearances. E.g., SOTU home run is much easier now.
Biden: As many of you know, this was an exhaustive investigation. Going back literally more than 40 years. I went forward with a five hour in-person interview on October 8 and 9 last year. I was in the middle of handling an international crisis.