Seth J. Hill @seth_j_hill
Professor, Department of Political Science, University of California San Diego. Book: Frustrated Majorities, https://t.co/ihUXMQpkww sethjhill.com San Diego, CA Joined April 2014-
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Frustrated Majorities: How Issue Intensity Enables Smaller Groups of Voters to Get What They Want, @seth_j_hill @CUP_PoliSci | Reviewed by @zack_albert123 at doi.org/10.1093/psquar…
Could the US send a Navy hospital ship to Mediterranean and evacuate civilians from Shifa hospital?
Non-presidential party lawmakers talk about the president more than co-partisans and this affects out-party constituents’ opinions about MOCs. Check out the summary on the @AJPS_Editor blog or read the whole thing!
Non-presidential party lawmakers talk about the president more than co-partisans and this affects out-party constituents’ opinions about MOCs. Check out the summary on the @AJPS_Editor blog or read the whole thing!
Meet the symposium speakers! Profs @seth_j_hill and @pamelamban (@UCSanDiego) will present their paper, "Efficacy of Congressional #Oversight." @JoeColetti, Oversight Staff Director of @NCLeg, will provide feedback based on his experiences!
Meet the symposium speakers! Profs @seth_j_hill and @pamelamban (@UCSanDiego) will present their paper, "Efficacy of Congressional #Oversight." @JoeColetti, Oversight Staff Director of @NCLeg, will provide feedback based on his experiences! https://t.co/0ylIIerjae
I'm happy to be able to share a new working paper with @jengaude, @seth_j_hill, @ThadKousser, @MindySRomero, and @laurapuribe showing that federalism and polarization interact to produce significant nationalized distrust in elections. LINK: osf.io/x9zg5
I am back on the market this fall looking for a permanent position! My research covers public opinion, representation, and elections, and I have teaching experience in American Politics, Canadian Politics, Public Policy, and Quantitative Methods at the grad and ugrad levels.
I am back on the market this fall looking for a permanent position! My research covers public opinion, representation, and elections, and I have teaching experience in American Politics, Canadian Politics, Public Policy, and Quantitative Methods at the grad and ugrad levels.
Now in print, with @mollyeroberts, "Acquiescence Bias Inflates Estimates of Conspiratorial Beliefs and Political Misperceptions" @polanalysis doi.org/10.1017/pan.20…
Denver minimum wage up 55% since 2019. Denver homeless population count up 32% in 2023. sethjhill.com/blog/2023/08/1…
Congratulations Drs @lockhartm @CassidyReller and Farver! youtube.com/watch?v=ZFtyh-…
Updated "Minimum Wages and Homelessness" osf.io/z2fqj - New fig A2 shows dose-response among coastal cities only (below) - New table A7 shows results hold with (possibly post-treatment) controls for local rental prices. - Revised time window for stacked model.
How Congress can reinvigorate representative democracy, opinion @thehill thehill.com/opinion/campai…
Would be interesting to try! thehill.com/opinion/campai…
🚨 New paper out in @LSQjournal! 🚨 How do general election incentives impact primary election behaviour? We combine a formal model with donor, candidate, and voter data to show who responds to incentives and why (w/ @seth_j_hill). doi.org/10.1111/lsq.12…
Misperceptions likely less widespread than surveys suggest. Online first with @mollyeroberts. CC @polanalysis @BrendanNyhan @dhopkins1776 @SamaraKlar @doug_rivers doi.org/10.1017/pan.20…
So fun to discuss my book on one of my favorite podcasts! @ProfWillHowell podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/why…
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Faculty reading group. Today's papers Moderates by variously @seth_j_hill @benlauderdale @CTausanovitch. Today's location, a place without moderation, @Costco. #$1.50footlong.
孔子说，邦无道，要么“如矢”，要么“卷而怀之”。我觉得这是知识分子的底线。 Confucius said, when the state is unrighteous, one has two choices: face it “like an arrow” or “hide knowledge and retreat.” I think this is the very bottom line for intellectuals.
Join @seth_j_hill, author of Frustrated Majorites, for an @APSAtweets Author Meets Critics session for his recent title on August 31st. Learn more here: 📚 ow.ly/Q1YW50PEnYB #APSA2023
🚨 New paper out in @LSQjournal! 🚨 How do general election incentives impact primary election behaviour? We combine a formal model with donor, candidate, and voter data to show who responds to incentives and why (w/ @seth_j_hill). doi.org/10.1111/lsq.12…
"Because candidates for office are more certain of winning the votes of those who care intensely, they sometimes side with an intense minority over a less intense majority" --- an important and subtle issue for democracy!
Thrilled to report my book Frustrated Majorities is now available. (fixed link) amazon.com/dp/1009167685/… I offer an explanation for what I call frustrated majorities -- a majority of eligible voters who prefer one policy that is not reflected in law.
Congratulations @seth_j_hill!! This book not only makes an important argument about why popular things don’t happen — it also has a GREAT jacket design! If you enjoy thinking about American politics you should read Seth’s book!
Thrilled to report my book Frustrated Majorities is now available. (fixed link) amazon.com/dp/1009167685/… I offer an explanation for what I call frustrated majorities -- a majority of eligible voters who prefer one policy that is not reflected in law.
Essential reading for any political scientist tasked with the annual Thanksgiving dinner table lecture of why government "won't just do what people want it to..." I'm excited to read and cite what I'm sure is a great addition to the representation canon.
Thrilled to report my book Frustrated Majorities is now available. (fixed link) amazon.com/dp/1009167685/… I offer an explanation for what I call frustrated majorities -- a majority of eligible voters who prefer one policy that is not reflected in law.
Frustrated Majorities by @seth_j_hill Issue intensity explains why some politicians propose policies that frustrate majorities and some voters do not participate in politics. ow.ly/EUjN50Kr5fN
Our findings on the importance of moderates in elections echo findings in this great paper from @dhopkins1776, @seth_j_hill, & Huber that shows that conversion of swing voters, rather than turnout changes, "remains a crucial component of electoral change." science.org/doi/full/10.11…
We find that moderates are particularly important for electoral selection and accountability. Among those who switched between the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections, 65% are moderates, 32% are not described by a single left–right ideological dimension, and 3% inattentive.
Our paper "Moderates" is out in FirstView in the @apsrjournal. We show that many Americans hold genuinely moderate policy positions. These voters are especially consequential for electoral selection and accountability.
#OpenAcccess from @apsrjournal - Moderates - ow.ly/8p4v50KAFyn - ANTHONY FOWLER, @seth_j_hill, JEFFREY B. LEWIS, @CTausanovitch, @vavreck & @cwarshaw #FirstView
Important research on how to improve surveys measuring misperception and conspiracy belief
New work with @mollyeroberts: American endorsement of conspiracy theories is smaller than you think sethjhill.com/blog/2021/12/0… </1>
opened up editorial manager to work on a review due today, only to discover that i've already submitted the review. a win for my to-do list, a loss for my sanity.
Cool to read @seth_j_hill's theory of preference intensity, which is credibly signaled through costly political action (explained more in his forthcoming book) Interested in overlap w/ @LaGina_Gause's theory "Revealing Issue Salience via Costly Protest": app.box.com/s/05wzlgf4412o…
Online first @The_JOP : "A Theory of Intensity, Electoral Competition, and Costly Political Action" journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/71…
A model of why candidates support policies favored by an intense minority over those favored by a less intense majority; also explains why & how political minorities engage in costly political action #polisciresearch journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/71…
Online first @The_JOP : "A Theory of Intensity, Electoral Competition, and Costly Political Action" journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/71…
Hi! Let's discuss Seth Hill's paper "A Theory of Intensity, Electoral Competition, and Costly Political Action," (forthcoming in JOP) which offers some predictions about costly political expression from a useful signaling model: (1/7) sethjhill.com/SJH_IntensityT…
hey guys, teaching question: my ugrads are calculating the first raw moment of a random distribution. Thinking of providing extra teaching assistance to those who have a tougher integral, but maybe that's unfair. in short, should this benefit be means-tested?
Some news: I am moving to the University of Chicago: Political Science / Harris. I am thrilled beyond belief to be joining two amazing groups of scholars. I’m sad to be leaving friends. I have written a few words about the decision. scottgehlbach.net/im-moving/
nice, @seth_j_hill
New @seth_j_hill and Huber in @AJPS_Editor on the problems with using citizen survey responses - which fluctuate substantially when more information is provided - as a representational benchmark for legislative votes onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.11…
Huge, exciting news! My friend @StephanieCarrie’s script was named to the @theblcklst! Congrats to Steph & @franklinleonard for including her! @cwarshaw @sissenberg @seth_j_hill @RyanDEnos @johnmsides: Max & Ian’s Mom made the list of lists!!
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