Aaron Strauss @aaronstrauss
Using evidence-based strategies to re-elect Biden; Dad x2; feminist; goalkeeper. Fmr Exec Dir @AnalystInst; also ex- @DCCC, @Google. https://t.co/NexhTrOjYU aaronstrauss.net Joined March 2009-
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I often encourage folks to "embrace the uncertainty" -- this @beccasiegel talk is fantastic on this score and should be required watching for anyone entering political polling/analytics. We are lucky to have her.
I often encourage folks to "embrace the uncertainty" -- this @beccasiegel talk is fantastic on this score and should be required watching for anyone entering political polling/analytics. We are lucky to have her.
🚨🚨 New from TIME Mag interview with Trump. He's for the gov't being able to "monitor women's pregnancies and prosecute those who violate abortion bans" time.com/6972021/donald…
@KloopStef Radio was a big destabilizing force both in the US and abroad. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_R._B… Nearly becoming governor and only being kept out due to voter fraud is probably the funniest example.
Helpfully there is actual evidence that these types of (TV) advertising spillover effects don't really exist from one candidate to another chriswarshaw.com/papers/adverti…
Helpfully there is actual evidence that these types of (TV) advertising spillover effects don't really exist from one candidate to another chriswarshaw.com/papers/adverti… https://t.co/YSeQPI0Ajq
President Biden: If Trump's stock in his Truth Social company drops any lower, he might do better under my tax plan than his
Having computer scientists study the persuasiveness of LLMs -- not great. Red flags for me that study is not high quality: 1. w/in subjects design 👎 2. no hot-button issues w/ priors 3. in real life non-experts don't persuade 4. Surge AI as data source anthropic.com/news/measuring…
Super excited to announce new openings for SOFTWARE ENGINEERS ahead of the 2024 cycle. This is a great opportunity to work on cutting edge machine learning problems for the biggest groups in the Democratic party!
Hi Elon! The post you're quote-tweeting seems to suggest that, based on Social Security Administration data, 220,731 illegal immigrants have registered to vote in Arizona since January 1, 2024. A few things if I may be so bold (since I have easy access to Maricopa County's data…
Hi Elon! The post you're quote-tweeting seems to suggest that, based on Social Security Administration data, 220,731 illegal immigrants have registered to vote in Arizona since January 1, 2024. A few things if I may be so bold (since I have easy access to Maricopa County's data…
And it's not just visits and calls. Prison-tech companies have convinced jails and prisons to eliminate mail and parcels. Letters to prisoners are scanned and delivered their tablets, at a price. 19/
Here’s @JerusalemDemsas with the reporting everyone has been waiting for on the Defense Department’s bizarre role in helping to kill a bipartisan housing bill in Arizona. theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
In the 35 years after the Roe ruling, the American public settled into a "wishy-washy" equilibrium on abortion where Roe v Wade was popular but most abortion restrictions were also popular. But the last 12 years have changed the politics on this issue enormously! Public…
A reminder that this is the Republican platform in 2024:
I got to know Annie a bit and loved how down to earth she is for a public official. New Hampshire was lucky to have her in Congress. Godspeed, Congresswoman!
I got to know Annie a bit and loved how down to earth she is for a public official. New Hampshire was lucky to have her in Congress. Godspeed, Congresswoman!
BREAKING: Democrat @MarilynForAL has defeated Republican Teddy Powell, who just conceded in the special election for Alabama House District 10, a Huntsville-area swing district, by what looks like will be a pretty big margin (district was Trump +1, Doug Jones +5 in 2020)
This should be watched by :gestures broadly at everyone:
This should be watched by :gestures broadly at everyone:
First insulin — now inhalers. $35/month. Instead of $350-650. Thanks, Brandon.
It is beautiful to see how many tributes are from my generation. Hal was already a legend when we started our careers. But he took time to teach us, meet with us, and brainstorm experiments with us. I didn't know him well, but that makes his kindness all the more laudable.
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
542K Followers 2K Following Slow Boring, cohosting https://t.co/wxUj3JFSFf, Bloomberg columnist
Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy
66K Followers 2K Following Polling editor @CNN; keeping (cross)tabs on public opinion and the news. LA native, formerly @HuffPost. I like puns.
Tom Bonier @tbonier
96K Followers 991 Following CEO @thetara_group, Sr Advisor @TargetSmart, former @HowardU, @claritycampaign, @ncec1948, @SEIULocal500. DM inquiries
David Weigel @daveweigel
566K Followers 13K Following Covering politics for @semafor. Alum: @washingtonpost, @business, @slate. [email protected]. Buy my book: https://t.co/6sWfZ4MNgH
Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17
44K Followers 2K Following @cal alum + lecturer; AI/software engineer; elections + modeling @SplitTicket_. Chelsea ⚽, Sharks 🏒, Giants ⚾. ✉️ [email protected]. views my own. he/him
Senior PowerPoint Eng.. @ryxcommar
42K Followers 3K Following Risk manager @AlamedaResearch. | Prev: QA engineer at Knight Capital Group | he/him | https://t.co/Z2YNAksZLO
Michael McDonald @ElectProject
90K Followers 589 Following Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections.
Jonathan Robinson �.. @jon_m_rob
6K Followers 5K Following Always: progress & data-driven. ex-@Catalist_US. R's Dude. J's Dad. @benj_robinson's twin. @AffordablePAC YIMBY. Mensch
b bennett | 500+ conn.. @thebmbennett
6K Followers 4K Following data director @workingfamilies prev: @sunrisemvmt. waffle house ambassador & David Byrne fan account. budding organizer. she/her, born n raised on a holler
Jake M. Grumbach @JakeMGrumbach
26K Followers 4K Following policy, $, political economy of race // 70-80s soul, 90s hip hop // #DubNation // proud product of miscegenation // Berkeley prof. formerly: UW, Princeton CSDP
John Hagner @JHagner
4K Followers 515 Following Director of Sales and Business Development @Civiqs. Intense amateur patissier. The Floor S1 Contestant.
Carlos Odio @carlosodio
5K Followers 3K Following Co-founder, @EquisResearch | Film Twitter lurker | Alum, @neworganizing, @barackobama | Not a pollster I just poll a lot
Ben Wikler @benwikler
157K Followers 6K Following Chair, Democratic Party of Wisconsin / @WisDems. Husband and dad of three amazing kids and one glorious doggo, Pumpkin.
johannes fischer @johannes_ff
2K Followers 3K Following 🌹 build models, software, and do polling for democrats. https://t.co/XKVn3wJGIG
Eric Levitz @EricLevitz
42K Followers 3K Following Think out loud for https://t.co/1Dbt4zwdm2. [email protected] https://t.co/0pFwy0400C
John " https://mastod.. @johnlray
3K Followers 252 Following Pollster, consultant, all the things people love about politics
Drew Savicki @DrewSav
41K Followers 6K Following Politics, elections, stuff. CT-IL-NC. Bad speller. KISS fan, all around pop culture guy. Be prepared for bad food takes #ActuallyAutistic🧙♂️🗺️ He/Him
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
472K Followers 1K Following chief political analyst, @nytimes. writing about elections, public opinion and demographics for @UpshotNYT. polling and needling. PNW expat.
Xenocrypt @xenocryptsite
10K Followers 6K Following Politics, math, etc. GitHub pages page: https://t.co/fBpQtqLvYl Medium: https://t.co/1gnQzJWJQ5 Blogspot: https://t.co/ACCsP5BP6R @[email protected]
Jesse Ferguson @JesseFFerguson
48K Followers 9K Following Writes thoughts/Tweets feelings. Dem Strategist for causes, campaigns & candidates. Prev. Dep Press Sec. Clinton '16, DCCC IE Dir., DCCC Dep ED/CommDir. W&M'03
Bertie Lasker @BertieLas
41 Followers 5K Following
joyce katherine @joycekatherin18
39 Followers 715 Following
Samuel Hammer @h33023
55 Followers 240 Following
Tad Rupp @TadRupp
669 Followers 1K Following Partner @TargetedVictory “housed in a gleaming skyscraper in Arlington.” -WaPo
Jean @ErebusCafe
39 Followers 556 Following
Alaina Haworth @alaina_haworth
4K Followers 4K Following Unapologetic morning person & cold-caller | electing Dems with @BearstarCA | previously @danielsgoldman, @TerryMcAuliffe, @DCCC, @KamalaHarris
Joaquin @joaquinhguerra
2K Followers 4K Following Founder Más Power Group. I help causes build people powered movements & campaigns for social change y más power. #DaleGas #tejano #allthingsequity
Dorathy Taliferro @DorathyT32379
82 Followers 5K Following
Andrew Smith @aunt_drew
323 Followers 917 Following
Adriana Levandoski @levandosk_adria
45 Followers 5K Following
Stefanie Dewulf @dewulf_ste80560
100 Followers 5K Following
Corbin Verschaeve @CorbinMichaelV
101 Followers 580 Following
Derek Johnson @derekjESQ
93K Followers 3K Following All things are possible; the world is change. Managing Director, Research Collaborative. Formerly, @globalzero. Made in Iowa with parts from #Iran. he/him 🇦🇲
Maddie Kriger @MaddieKriger
800 Followers 885 Following Figuring out what I want to be when I grow up @kennedy_school. Alum of @climatepower🌎, @prioritiesusa🗳, @hillaryclinton➡️ + @northwesternu😻.
Cindy Mathew @cindykmathew
99 Followers 534 Following
Reformed Hooker foe J.. @GullahRehabbed
4K Followers 4K Following Pronouns: Daddy/Sir | Autistic | DATA IS MY LIFE! | Geechee | Gen X! | Demographics Are Destiny | #BidenHarris2024 | ✊🏾🏳️🌈&Bougie | Parody & Satire
francjd @francjd
644 Followers 5K Following The enemy at last was plain in view, huge and hateful, all disguise cast off. It was the Modern Age in arms. There was a place for him in that fight.
Josh Boak @joshboak
5K Followers 2K Following @AP White House, politics and economics writer, flaneur, father.
Roseanne Barr’s Pen.. @CaptPeteRider
206 Followers 2K Following Insert pompous crap about myself here.
Tim Schultz @Tim1AP
735 Followers 3K Following President, @1APonline. Graduate of @KState & @GeorgetownLaw. Protecting the rights of people of all faiths while thinking way too much about youth baseball.
Julia Johnson @juliaajohnson_
4K Followers 3K Following Covering the Senate for Fox News Digital 🤓🏛️ @FoxNews @FoxNewsPolitics TIPS: [email protected]
BigTentUSA @BigTentUSA
612 Followers 1K Following We are building a broad prodemocracy coalition of moderate women (and men) who refuse to be bystanders in democracy. @bigtentusa on threads, substack, https://t.co/FjadmLRp2F
sara gong @notsaragong
20 Followers 848 Following currently @blueroseorg. nyc, from las vegas. 🏙️☀️🌈
Aura Edgar @AuraEdga
52 Followers 5K Following
Aleya Bustillo @AleyaBusti35804
82 Followers 5K Following
Araceli Chlebek @chleb_arac
36 Followers 5K Following
Elvera Zimmermann @ElveraZimm37013
37 Followers 5K Following
Clare Baierl @clarebaierl
58 Followers 111 Following Award-winning Journalist. Born in Minnesota, Based in NYC. Graduate of The New School, BA in Journalism + Design.
Marley Renigar @marl_renig
42 Followers 5K Following
Elodie Nine @NinElodi
58 Followers 5K Following
Lillie-mae Taliulu @TaliuLillie
59 Followers 5K Following
Olivia Simkins @OliSimkin
73 Followers 5K Following
Chasidy Mandolini @ChasMandolin
94 Followers 5K Following
Venessa Zarilla @v_zarill
55 Followers 5K Following
Niki Chavera @ChaveraNik53253
39 Followers 5K Following
Inocencia Uvalle @InocenciaU30156
52 Followers 5K Following
Oddball @oddballio
291 Followers 644 Following We’re not just another agency – we’re a strangely human force driving innovation in government digital services.
Juliane Marcinkiewicz @JulianeMar64070
78 Followers 5K Following
Marcelina Barren @BarrMarceli
54 Followers 5K Following
Tyler Green @tylercgreen
1K Followers 4K Following Empowering America’s workers @USDOL | Campaigns in AZ, NC, NH, PA, VA and WI, including @NHforWarren | Pittsburgher in DC | (Views are my own)
Phil McNamara @philindc
3K Followers 4K Following Proudly serving in Biden Admin @usdot. Former Govt Rel @pewtrusts. Former @dnc. Former Obama Admin @DHSgov. I love popcorn and the Oxford comma.
Jim Crumley @JimCrumley
950 Followers 2K Following President and CCO B2One, a one-to-one marketing agency
Jacki Burgeson @BurgesonJa15473
94 Followers 5K Following
Carissa Oconnell @cari_oconne
52 Followers 5K Following
GOSEface Killah @RodMahoney
1K Followers 872 Following Indie music snob, beer connoisseur, gummi bear aficionado, baseball fanatic and a FSU Seminole. Covering baseball over at Tomahawk Nation.
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
542K Followers 2K Following Slow Boring, cohosting https://t.co/wxUj3JFSFf, Bloomberg columnist
Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy
66K Followers 2K Following Polling editor @CNN; keeping (cross)tabs on public opinion and the news. LA native, formerly @HuffPost. I like puns.
Tom Bonier @tbonier
96K Followers 991 Following CEO @thetara_group, Sr Advisor @TargetSmart, former @HowardU, @claritycampaign, @ncec1948, @SEIULocal500. DM inquiries
David Weigel @daveweigel
566K Followers 13K Following Covering politics for @semafor. Alum: @washingtonpost, @business, @slate. [email protected]. Buy my book: https://t.co/6sWfZ4MNgH
James Medlock @jdcmedlock
102K Followers 2K Following Tax enthusiast. Hyperinflation doubter. Soc dem in the streets, market socialist in the sheets. 🧦🏗️
Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17
44K Followers 2K Following @cal alum + lecturer; AI/software engineer; elections + modeling @SplitTicket_. Chelsea ⚽, Sharks 🏒, Giants ⚾. ✉️ [email protected]. views my own. he/him
Senior PowerPoint Eng.. @ryxcommar
42K Followers 3K Following Risk manager @AlamedaResearch. | Prev: QA engineer at Knight Capital Group | he/him | https://t.co/Z2YNAksZLO
Michael McDonald @ElectProject
90K Followers 589 Following Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections.
Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot
61K Followers 3K Following Senior editor and senior elections analyst @FiveThirtyEight. Don't call me Nate!
Matthew Zeitlin @MattZeitlin
56K Followers 3K Following correspondent @heatmap_news matthew at heatmap dot news
James Surowiecki @JamesSurowiecki
74K Followers 421 Following Author of The Wisdom of Crowds. Contributing writer for Fast Company. Editor at The Yale Review. I wrote The Financial Page for The New Yorker.
Taniel @Taniel
129K Followers 837 Following Daniel Nichanian. Editor-in-chief and founder of @BoltsMag. (Follow us!) And here's everywhere else you can find me: https://t.co/3h3lUA8v3Q
Jonathan Robinson �.. @jon_m_rob
6K Followers 5K Following Always: progress & data-driven. ex-@Catalist_US. R's Dude. J's Dad. @benj_robinson's twin. @AffordablePAC YIMBY. Mensch
Molly @MamaWeasleyy
5K Followers 693 Following med/STEM in a previous life. wife+mom. I got 100s of kids in covid vax trials. Lady Whistlevax. fantasy romance reader. anti-hate protrans she/her
b bennett | 500+ conn.. @thebmbennett
6K Followers 4K Following data director @workingfamilies prev: @sunrisemvmt. waffle house ambassador & David Byrne fan account. budding organizer. she/her, born n raised on a holler
Jake M. Grumbach @JakeMGrumbach
26K Followers 4K Following policy, $, political economy of race // 70-80s soul, 90s hip hop // #DubNation // proud product of miscegenation // Berkeley prof. formerly: UW, Princeton CSDP
Jonathan Chait @jonathanchait
204K Followers 735 Following Writer for New York magazine. Tweets with links are intended as prompts to read the linked story, not self-contained arguments substituting for the linked story
Jerusalem @JerusalemDemsas
37K Followers 1K Following yes, like the city | staff writer @TheAtlantic | [email protected] | she/her
Emily Lim Rogers @elimrogers
1K Followers 866 Following assistant professor at duke cultural anthro, work on the politics of biomedical knowledge. dog dad, analysand, lesbian larry david.
VEST_Team @vest_team
2K Followers 24 Following Voting and Election Science Team @electproject, Steve Gerontakis, @BrianAmos, & @michalmigurski
Kevin Banda @KevinKBanda
5K Followers 5K Following Senior researcher at @statesunited. Political scientist. Quantitative researcher. Survey scientist. Spiritual weapon is pizza. Opinions are my own.
BigTentUSA @BigTentUSA
612 Followers 1K Following We are building a broad prodemocracy coalition of moderate women (and men) who refuse to be bystanders in democracy. @bigtentusa on threads, substack, https://t.co/FjadmLRp2F
Christian Christensen @ChrChristensen
37K Followers 3K Following American. Professor at Stockholm University. Ph.D. University of Texas at Austin. Write about journalism, politics, culture. Tweets are mine alone.
Randall Eliason @RDEliason
18K Followers 2K Following White collar crime prof @GWLaw, columnist for NYT and WaPo, former federal prosecutor, blogger, singer. Legacy blue checkmark! https://t.co/WLq3tQm2nZ
Yulia Navalnaya @yulia_navalnaya
369K Followers 1 Following
Alice Wong 王美華 @SFdirewolf
80K Followers 4K Following Disabled oracle. Founder, @DisVisibility. Editor, DISABILITY INTIMACY pre-order https://t.co/HUW0gq4JTd Available April 30, 2024
Jen Cox @Jen_E_Cox
422 Followers 406 Following Mom, Arizonan, Team @JoeBiden & @CaptMarkKelly. Alum of @DanKildee, @DCCC, @GabbyGiffords and @RonBarberAZ
Will Packer @willpacker
407 Followers 1K Following Working on making America fair, for once. Frmly strategy at Avalanche Insights. Make music as Night School. Play tennis much. Detective @iamdetectivewill (ig).
cinyc @cinyc9
11K Followers 907 Following Maps and politics and stuff. Usually, it's just maps. Disclosure: Conservative Republican. Maps: https://t.co/zKDAwsogJY.
Gabrielle Blair @designmom
132K Followers 1K Following Author of #EjaculateResponsibly: https://t.co/xzfCrtdfyR Life in France. Mother of 6. @designmom on IG Newsletter: https://t.co/Ufoj2xkFAo Link list: https://t.co/BhcTAVrtpy
J. Toscano 🇺🇸�.. @JToscano
2K Followers 5K Following Admaker/strategist/storyteller for progressive Dems & good causes like @VoteVets #CLIMATE Run/ride/read/write. 🇺🇸🇺🇦
Adam Carlson @admcrlsn
9K Followers 2K Following Recovering political pollster (formerly @gsg), current market researcher, and election nerd. Spreadsheets help me relax. Views are my own.
John Aziz @aziz0nomics
43K Followers 1K Following British-Palestinian musician, peace activist, & analyst of Middle East politics & history. Bylines: @TheAtlantic, @thedispatch, @foreignpolicy, @JewishChron
Andy Beshear @AndyBeshearKY
121K Followers 320 Following Father · Husband · Son · Governor of the Commonwealth of Kentucky · Committed to setting a positive tone and fighting for all our families.
Elizabeth Spiers @espiers
81K Followers 10K Following if you’re inclined, follow me on threads and bluesky and/or subscribe below.
Jim Messina @Messina2012
120K Followers 907 Following Obama '12 Campaign Manager. Frmr WH Dep. Chief Staff. Montanan. Board @Blockchain, @LanzaTech, @Vectra_AI, Fortera, @USSoccerFndn. @LUFC minority owner #MOT!!!
AJ Kahle @ajkahle
538 Followers 374 Following Co-founder/CEO at @winnable_app. Political data and technology. Former @270strategies @BarackObama
Andrew Beckler @BecklerA
137 Followers 3K Following
Brianna Wu @BriannaWu
160K Followers 8K Following Executive Director of @rebellionpac. Former Candidate for US House in MA. Software engineer. Bond dog proponent. 🏎🏍🏃🏻♀️🎮 [email protected]
Black in AI @black_in_ai
45K Followers 324 Following A place for sharing ideas, fostering collaborations and discussing initiatives to increase the presence of Black people in the field of Artificial Intelligence.
Data Science JEDI Out.. @DataSciJedi
1K Followers 598 Following Justice, Equity, Diversity, & Inclusion (JEDI) Outreach Group of the American Statistical Association @AmstatNews. Become a member at https://t.co/Byh7Cajtdi
Lauren Harper Pope @laurenhpope
3K Followers 2K Following Co-Founder @thewelcomepac🍍 Alumna of @UofSC Writing about things @ https://t.co/DgBsK3Zad9
Pessimists Archive @PessimistsArc
91K Followers 69 Following Exploring technophobia and moral panic through the ages. A litany of shameful cynicism and spite. Curated by @louisanslow
Beff Jezos — e/acc .. @BasedBeffJezos
102K Followers 2K Following chief accelerator & founder @ e/acc // thermodynamic priest // Kardashev gradient climber // memetic warlord // building @extropic_ai
Biden-Harris HQ @BidenHQ
341K Followers 4 Following Just the facts, Jack. We’re on the other website, too: https://t.co/9Z2jW1VQ7a
2RawTooReal @2RawTooReal
69K Followers 2K Following Disclaimer: I use Parodies & Satire for political Response (To support my content Cashapp: $2RawTooReal & Venmo: Kenny2rawtooreal)
Amy Rao @amy_rao
448 Followers 585 Following Human Rights Watch, Co-chair of the Board The Schmidt Family Foundation, EVP
Nick Hutchins @nicholasrhutch
13K Followers 1K Following head of comms & digital, @swingleft + @votefwd / silly but smart / "the original tweeter" -Washingtonian / predicted cause of death: Tennessee + Virginia sports
Lose Cruz @LoseCruzPAC
9K Followers 2K Following Ted Cruz abandoned Texas and betrayed America. It's time to #LoseCruz. Join our fight: https://t.co/MX4rTlTxcx
Crystal Caragine @CaragineCrystal
92 Followers 223 Following Deputy Director of Data Science @WPAIntel. Formerly @TheDataTrust. Washington University in St Louis. Dog mom. Catholic. 🐘
Gabe Amo @gabeamo
7K Followers 3K Following Congressman from Rhode Island’s 1st Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives. For official activities, my account is @RepGabeAmo.
Lindsey Schuh Cortes @CortesSchuh
82 Followers 302 Following
Chagai Weiss @chagai_weiss
2K Followers 1K Following Postdoc @StanfordKingCtr. Previously @uwpolisci @MiddleEast_HKS. Researching intergroup relations, conflict, and experimental methods
Faine Greenwood @faineg
15K Followers 16K Following researches: civilian drones, mapping, humanitarian tech, privacy. find me on BlueSky and at @[email protected].
Massachusetts Institu.. @MIT
1.3M Followers 587 Following The Massachusetts Institute of Technology is a world leader in research and education. Related accounts: @MITevents @MITstudents @MIT_alumni
Sara Schreiber @SchreiberSara
628 Followers 754 Following
David Fleischer @DeepCanvassDave
100 Followers 128 Following
Vote No In August: Pr.. @VoteNoInAugust
1K Followers 14 Following A citizen-driven, grassroots, non-partisan coalition representing Ohio voters that have come together to protect the sacred principle of one person one vote.
Elaine Kamarck @EKamarck
6K Followers 289 Following Senior Fellow @BrookingsGov & Founding Dir. Center for Effective Public Management. Senior Editor at #FixGov blog. RTs≠Endorsements
Mike Smith @mikesmith_DC
3K Followers 1K Following President @HouseMajPAC. @DCCC, @TeamPelosi, and @HillaryClinton '16 alum. Dog parent to Mollie & Billy.
Ron DeSantis's jet (T.. @DeSantisJet
20K Followers 13 Following Tracking Ron Desantis's Jet / Florida State Gov't Jet (N943FL) Using public ADS-B Data by @Jxck_Sweeney Delayed by 24 hours to comply with Twitter Rules
Jessica Tarlov @JessicaTarlov
165K Followers 970 Following Head of Research @Bustle, Co-host @thefive, defender of Democrats, and Cleo’s mom most importantly
InteractivePolls @IAPolls2022
125K Followers 150 Following 🗳️ Polling and Prediction Markets Aggregator 📊 Live, unbiased 2024 election forecasts: https://t.co/rDzcdHFUG2
David Thorstad @DavidThorstad
734 Followers 162 Following Philosopher (Vanderbilt). I like bounded rationality, inquiry, and dogs. Seriously, DM me your dogs.
Leah Litman @LeahLitman
83K Followers 2K Following Prof. @Umichlaw. Con law & fed courts. Cohost @StrictScrutiny_ co-founder @womenknowlaw. tweets about courts, democracy, my dog, Taylor Swift, & reality TV.
Looks like Tim Kennedy's going to win the Niagara County portion of #NY26 by around 10 points if the current results hold. Big overperformance in that part of the district, which backed Trump by 6 and the 2022 Congressional Republican by 4.
@ViralDonutz @Captain_Quark @cconces @JosephPolitano Those teenagers should be playing video games inside like God intended
.@beccasiegel, Senior Adviser on the Biden campaign gave a fun talk on Presidential campaigns & analytics. Fun chart showing some 2020 forecasts (and talk about age imputation in Wisconsin...a nerdy delight) youtube.com/watch?v=JSRX3j…
Western Massachusetts also really stands out on maps of lesbian couples, but you can also clearly spot Burlington, Provincetown, Ithaca, and Rehoboth
Classic newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/e…
Democrats everywhere & Pennsylvanians are forever in your debt, @AJentleson! Thank you for taking good care of the big guy.
New in Inside Congress: Fetterman chief of staff @AJentleson is moving to a role as senior advisor. Deputy chief of staff Krysta Juris will take over Both are Harry Reid alums. Spox says this was a "planned shift" politico.com/newsletters/in…
Climate NIMBYism delays & kills clean energy projects all because liberals are worried about preserving costly environmental review legal delays for fossil fuel projects that aren't even close to the majority of the delays
@ArnabDatta321 @EnergyLawProf @mattyglesias It's so perverse that the strictest level of environmental review disproportionately slows down clean energy projects. From 2012-2018: 60% of all environmental impact statements for energy projects were for transmission/solar/wind/hydro/etc Only 24% were for fossil fuels.
I'm a 58 year old, college-educated, white male from NM. I'm a moderate Democrat who supports more renewable fuel use, supports hiring more police, opposes banning assault rifles, and supports a $15/hr min wage. I voted for Joe Biden in 2020.
I condemn Hamas' terrorism. I decry Netanyahu's cruelty and brutality. It might be simpler — more convenient — to "pick a side." But it wouldn't be right. It wouldn't be truthful. Nuance sides us with the innocent — Israelis and Palestinians alike, who deserve peace.
@davidshor @opinonhaver Reminds me of the Oregon Medicare Experiment. People were better off (disappointing the right) but the program did not pay for itself and was just expensive (disappointing the left).
I've been trying to step away from this entire discourse because it's almost completely unproductive, but if you fly a Hezbollah flag you deserve contempt and you are not a human rights activist.
Has come up a few times lately so wanted to mention again: on q of whether pol preferences affect residential choices, I wish there was more awareness around this paper -- direct test and imo best evidence we have. Also in support of this idea, unlike much of current consensus
@jon_m_rob I mean that putting endorsements on the ballot seems like poor survey design!
Interesting idea, but the steelman against it is that it seems like a subsidy to organized groups of very engaged and invested individuals and disempowers candidates appealing to a broad swath of voters
The idea of adding on-ballot endorsements is popular in NYC manhattan.institute/article/pollin…
Kahneman, Vinge, and Dennett within one month.
Daniel Dennett (28th March 1942 - 19th April 2024) RIP Dennett on how to criticise wisely
I will admit I never really understood the big deal with birds until one of them let me get close enough to open up and reveal it was seven feet across and could kill me in a second if it wanted to
Hey you! You should check out this cool new paper. "War Causes Religiosity" The authors scraped web images of hundreds of thousands of gravestones of deceased U.S. Americans. People who were randomly drafted into war are at least 20% more likely to have religious gravestones
We are actually making progress on tackling climate change! We have managed to basically halt the previously inexorable rise of CO2 emissions. The energy of the future is solar.
The amount of warming Earth is projected to face in coming decades has DROPPED since 2015. “If we don’t talk about what has been accomplished, we are disempowering and discouraging people from taking action,” @KHayhoe says. ciphernews.com/articles/how-w… via @CipherClimate
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