Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️ @ESYudkowsky
The original AI alignment person. Missing punctuation at the end of a sentence means it's humor. If you're not sure, it's also very likely humor. Joined June 2014-
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factorio 2 is coming out soon. if you work in frontier model research at open ai, anthropic, or deepmind and would like a free copy, I would be very happy to buy you one! please feel free to reach out. people don't do enough for you guys
@UnderwaterBepis @ESYudkowsky Evolution managed to "align" humans to human values. This is drawing the bullseye around the arrow.
I wish I had a WiFi-enabled combo microwave-refrigerator. No. Shut up. It would actually be useful! Leave food in the microwave-refrigerator overnight without it spoiling, start it heating in the morning before lurching out of bed.
From 1840 to 1850, private Britons cumulatively invested 40% of British GDP into the country’s first rail network Does anyone else find it weird how nobody ever writes about this? This would be the equivalent of US VCs spending like, $10 trillion dollars on a single thing today
There's a variant of Goodhart's law that applies to human value systems. These people presumably started out opposing animal cruelty, and they adopted "lower meat usage" as a decent proxy measure. But over time they internalized the proxy, and their moral values changed from…
There's a variant of Goodhart's law that applies to human value systems. These people presumably started out opposing animal cruelty, and they adopted "lower meat usage" as a decent proxy measure. But over time they internalized the proxy, and their moral values changed from…
there's this thing yudkowsky does in his fiction, and i haven't seen it many other places—a character makes subtle errors of reasoning, subtle enough that i often don't notice them, until later on when they realize when they got wrong and think of all the signs they...
I'm a housing accelerationist. We need to simultaneously repeal the Town and Country Planning Act, have the government build a million or so houses and sell them at below market rate, and shift taxes from income to land with LVT. Forget 'soft landings' and just destroy the…
The impression I'm getting from some OpenAI staff is that their view is something like: "OpenAI's 1200+ employees are, pretty much to a man, extremely committed to the nonprofit mission. Effectively all of us take existential risk from AI seriously, and would even be willing to…
The impression I'm getting from some OpenAI staff is that their view is something like: "OpenAI's 1200+ employees are, pretty much to a man, extremely committed to the nonprofit mission. Effectively all of us take existential risk from AI seriously, and would even be willing to…
This discourse about the functional form of AI progress doesn’t make any sense. Scaling laws don’t tell you anything about the rate of capability increase, only perplexity. E.g. the capability jump from .92 -> .90 perplexity might be >>> that from 1.02 -> 1.0, or it could be ≈.
@tszzl You guys are partially responsible for that. You released gpt-4 shortly after gpt-3.5, which made a lot of people think that progress is much faster than it is. In reality progress is still super fast, just not that fast.
I love when people who started thinking about AI around 1.5 years ago come onto the scene and say stuff like yeah it’s all incremental progress from here we hit the top
@ro____ha__ @DonaldH49964496 @rapid_rar @littmath What I'm saying is that an AI which sees that all measured red objects are heavy, and separately measures that all tested heavy objects are magnetic, will suspect that red objects are magnetic even if it's never tested that. There's like a hundred different systems that all end…
Primary endosymbiosis found! Tremendously important discovery which significantly updates estimates of the likelihood of evolution of eukaryotic cells, with implications for the great filter hypothesis and alien life. cc: @robinhanson @anderssandberg newscenter.lbl.gov/2024/04/17/sci…
I've seen a few people remark that it's ironic that the workers of OpenAI sided with their billionaire CEO over a non-profit board. But that misunderstands the board's intended purpose — never protecting OpenAI staff from its leadership, but rather protecting society from OpenAI…
The thing I found most disturbing in the board debacle was that hundreds of OpenAI staff signed a letter that appears to treat the old-fashioned OpenAI view "OpenAI's mission of ensuring AGI benefits humanity matters more than our success as a company" as not just wrong, but…
The thing I found most disturbing in the board debacle was that hundreds of OpenAI staff signed a letter that appears to treat the old-fashioned OpenAI view "OpenAI's mission of ensuring AGI benefits humanity matters more than our success as a company" as not just wrong, but…
🚨New paper🚨 Algorithmic Collusion by Large Language Models Joint w/@sarafish_& @RanShorrer LLM use is automating many business decisions. Pricing might be next (or is already). What if multiple firms decide in good faith to use off-the-shelf-LLMs for pricing? 1/3 #EconTwitter
this is what copyright has taken from us
What a strange world… All the major AI companies spending billions producing almost exactly the same results using almost exactly the same data using almost exactly the same technology, all flawed in almost exactly the same ways. Historians gonna be scratching their heads.
Robin Hanson @robinhanson
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0 Followers 25 Following? @hezi1024
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83 Followers 388 Following Here to challenge the status quo and shake things up. No room for sheepish fan clubs here. #OpinionsUnleashed #ShadesOfCritiqueλx.n̪̮̣̤o̮̬̪e.. @greydoubt
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15 Followers 139 Following have absolutely no idea what I’m doing • here to have a good time lolStephanie Goutos @LegallyInnovate
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0 Followers 2K FollowingDavid Almog @davidalmog25
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191 Followers 380 Following Experienced Owner with a demonstrated history of working in the individual and family services industry.PhD Econ @PhDEconUSA
8 Followers 535 FollowingRobin Hanson @robinhanson
90K Followers 656 Following Let’s skip witty repartee & discuss fundamental questions. Views are mine, not GMU’s or Virginia’s. Books: https://t.co/hpZgEm5DBI, https://t.co/iFs9C3J2EkBryan Caplan @bryan_caplan
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529 Followers 632 Following [email protected] is my mastodon . Sober.all that chronic illness jazz, 🦇🦇🦇, rock painting, queer stuff, nature & goth nonsense. They/she/heJulia Galef @juliagalef
117K Followers 501 Following Author of THE SCOUT MINDSET and host of the Rationally Speaking podcast@AskYatharth @ESYudkowsky @ESYudkowsky it looks like it still exists; would have looked harder but I thought it was dead. Might be missing a critical feature though suvie.com
@NeelNanda5 oh yeah seems great! lmk if you do so that i know how much to never say anything on the public internet ever again
@RatOrthodox I could try to make my work more useful for capabilities, if it helps!
@NeelNanda5 Probably not? Sorry. I’m not sure what you do exactly but I think you probably don’t count.
this offer also extends to various people working in semiconductors research!
@MatthewJBar do i hear estimates of FUTURE OBSERVABLES?? manifold.markets/asmith/will-20…
@MatthewJBar While you of course get more bayes points if that happens, I do think there is a legit thing that EY is defending against here. He does make some specific predictions about what critics would say in that situation, and I think they're pretty legit.
Most advice from unsuccessful people is bad - because they don't know how to win, because they've never won Most advice from successful people is bad, because they don't know how they won, because their success was vastly overdetermined. Think: dating advice from the…
Dating advice has an adverse selection effect: only losers and neurotics write about it The kings are just out there having a great time, wouldn’t occur to them to write about it because it’s distasteful, for losers, and unflattering George Best didn’t give a shit
@wanyeburkett my favorite of these is calling something a dem/rep "talking point"
The way most people think is that they have categories in their head, one of which is "trickle down economics" and those buckets have a valence and putting a thing in this or that bucket transfers the valence to that thing. This way you don't have to actually evaluate the effects…
Nearly three quarters of voters in New Jersey like the fact that they’re banned from pumping their own gas. It’s important to understand the extent to which normies just unthinkingly worship the status quo.
@ESYudkowsky @ro____ha__ @littmath Typo check, should be "thingies you multiply utilities by"? Also, I liked Keltham's explanation of this stuff 🙂
*yawns* *stretches* *chooses violence* You know, one way to look at student loan forgiveness is as an admission that all colleges made fraudulent representations as to the marketability of their degrees and thus forgiveness is appropriate under extant rules on fraud.
@Jackstilgoe was much more worried about large scale nuclear war then igniting the atmosphere at Trinity. That the absolute worst theoretical posit, which the theorists themselves thought unlikely, didn’t happen, does not seem a big strike against risk estimates from theory. …
@Jackstilgoe I would be genuinely interested in understanding the arg. better. There’s some critique of “theory alone” as a way of predicting technological risk. But my view is that nuclear bombs are extremely dangerous in exactly the way theory predicted. Oppenheimer himself …
@lastpositivist @mrohene Given this continuation of the chain, I think some charity of such sort is warranted.
@ESYudkowsky 4) Match my visualizations back to description to see if it's faithful. Test 1: Problem isn't raised to salience. Test 2: Again, doesn't help with original visualization. Test 3: As above. Test 4: Sorta works, but adding my sleep times to my visualization would be better.
@Omaddad @ESYudkowsky I looked this tech up, it's not what Yud wants. Those are just combos (fridge + microwave) he wants [fridge = microwave]. lol
@acidshill I loved how in @naominovik's Scholomance you can often see how wrong the protagonist's pessimistic thinking is vis-à-vis social interactions and how it makes perfect sense at the same time.