William Wohlforth @WCWohlforth
@dartmouth professor. International Relations. US foreign policy. grand strategy. Dartmouth Initiative for Global Security @DartmouthDickey. sites.dartmouth.edu/wwohlforth/ Hanover, NH Joined December 2021-
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Important article, but title should be "the talks that never came close to war termination." No solution to information prob, no solution to commitment prob, no territorial settlement even outlined. Big fan of @DrRadchenko and @scharap , but title ≠ contents.
Important article, but title should be "the talks that never came close to war termination." No solution to information prob, no solution to commitment prob, no territorial settlement even outlined. Big fan of @DrRadchenko and @scharap , but title ≠ contents.
In the hypocrisy sweepstakes, US is not exceptional.
In the hypocrisy sweepstakes, US is not exceptional.
The end of unipolarity harkens a return to geopolitics that we haven't seen since the Cold War. We can't tell the future but we do know what the general character of great-power competition under bipolarity looks like. 🧵
There are a lot of important debates about immediate-term challenges at #NATO75 , but @CarlaNorrlof 's 🧵⬇️ , is potent reminder of its utility in big picture of US interests. "Unfortunately," she notes, "losing NATO is the only sure way to reveal its true value"
Hah! This is awesome. Love these folks. x.com/intent/post?te…
Riffing on my colleague @BrendanNyhan , 8 years ago this day Paul Manafort-- whose associate Konstantin Kilimnik later ID'd in Senate report as RU intel agent--joined the Trump campaign, named campaign convention manager . . .
So happy to see this excellent paper--smart, wise reality check for disinfo doomsaying from @gavinbwilde Kudos to @TXNatSecReview for publishing this splendid piece.tnsr.org/2024/03/from-p…
The Liberal order sucks, save for the possible alternatives. My response to @PatPorter76 's provocative book on this issue: networks.h-net.org/node/28443/dis…
The Liberal order sucks, save for the possible alternatives. My response to @PatPorter76 's provocative book on this issue: networks.h-net.org/node/28443/dis…
Breaking my usual reluctatance to post on non IR related subject to retweet ⬇️. 💯!! 🎯!! They'll never do it of course, but one can dream.
Breaking my usual reluctatance to post on non IR related subject to retweet ⬇️. 💯!! 🎯!! They'll never do it of course, but one can dream.
Yes, but the thing is, even the most prominent advocates of seeking to push to negotiated settlement strongly urge need to sustain flow of arms/aid to UKR, which makes US Congressional lameness on this issue all the more outrageous.
Yes, but the thing is, even the most prominent advocates of seeking to push to negotiated settlement strongly urge need to sustain flow of arms/aid to UKR, which makes US Congressional lameness on this issue all the more outrageous.
38 months ago, Donald Trump's unprecedented effort to subvert a democratic election led to an insurrection at the US Capitol that sought to prevent the peaceful transfer of power. He no longer faces any challengers for the GOP nomination and could be president again in 320 days.
Gee, what are the odds that @DavidSacks, to say nothing of @elonmusk , will ever bother to read the careful argument, made by an actual realist scholar, in an actual peer reviewed journal, writing in 1992, for why it made sense for US to maintain NATO?
Gee, what are the odds that @DavidSacks, to say nothing of @elonmusk , will ever bother to read the careful argument, made by an actual realist scholar, in an actual peer reviewed journal, writing in 1992, for why it made sense for US to maintain NATO? https://t.co/4y9UrgUU15
1 takeaway from this hard-hitting convo: to think status quo (w/o US mil aid) is a stalemate is to indulge in complacency, wishful thinking.
1 takeaway from this hard-hitting convo: to think status quo (w/o US mil aid) is a stalemate is to indulge in complacency, wishful thinking.
I can't write like @NYurtsaba or @MattGallagher0 , but as a lover of books I can affirm I am loving DAYBREAK. Scenes I will never forget--and a page turner. Celebrating the day I pre-ordered this splendid novel.
I can't write like @NYurtsaba or @MattGallagher0 , but as a lover of books I can affirm I am loving DAYBREAK. Scenes I will never forget--and a page turner. Celebrating the day I pre-ordered this splendid novel.
Reminder that R did not win and is not winning. Recent RUSI report: "R's original plan had been to militarily occupy Moldova after concluding its operations in Ukraine. When the invasion of Ukraine failed, however, Moscow sought a mechanism to destabilise the Moldovan state."
Brilliant 🧵 from @ProfSaunders -- wise, sophisticated words re politics of foreign policy . . . .
Brilliant 🧵 from @ProfSaunders -- wise, sophisticated words re politics of foreign policy . . . .
I am a big Al Stam and @ProfPaulPoast fan, but disagree with this mechanistic approach to coding victory. Must compare outcome with political object. R sought imperial domination of ALL UK and a new Euro security order. If they get pink land below, it is a historic defeat.
I am a big Al Stam and @ProfPaulPoast fan, but disagree with this mechanistic approach to coding victory. Must compare outcome with political object. R sought imperial domination of ALL UK and a new Euro security order. If they get pink land below, it is a historic defeat.
Curious that academics routinely pontificate on burden sharing and allied free riding without ever consulting or mentioning the huge academic literature that tries to measure and explain it? For ex, this paper reviews 153 studies:tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…
To: Anyone contemplating OR fearing consequential revision of territorial status quo by military force . . . .: read this by Steve Biddle and get back to me:foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/how-ru…
Paul Poast @ProfPaulPoast
95K Followers 472 Following Tweeting to teach. International Relations and Foreign Policy. @UChicago Prof. @ChicagoCouncil Fellow. @WPReview Columnist.Patrick Porter @PatPorter76
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67 Followers 69 Following Consultant @ Bates White | Dartmouth ‘22 | Econ x securityFalse equivalence. In a democracy, people can voice their demands & effect policy change without violence. When they resort to illegal means (destroying property, attacks), they are NOT the same as people in a nondemocracy who have no other choice. Also, not a “brutal crackdown.”
If these were scenes in Russia, China, Iran or any Arab country, Western media would be calling the protesters heroes, and damning the government for mass arrests and brutal crackdowns, while calling for regime change. Since these scenes take place in the headquarters of the…
“The fundamental misperception at the center of this conflict is that PEN America sees itself as a free-speech organization, while the protesters see it as a channel to express their political views.”
BREAKING: PEN America has canceled its World Voices festival. The organization has been brought to its knees by the demand that it say the word "genocide." But who does this really hurt in the end? theatlantic.com/books/archive/…
One thing Fareed misses is the structure of the issue. In protests agst So African apartheid and climate, there was little significant *on-campus* opposition. In contrast, there is significant on-campus opposition to pro-Pal protests. Hence much more divisive for the community.
Why has the Gaza war spun colleges into chaos? Because campuses have weakened as actual communities, where people mingle, interact and get to know and trust each other. My latest column: cnn.com/2024/04/26/opi…
It was an honor to give my @AmericanAcademy lecture, "Dollar Signs: The Myth of American Decline & the Future of World Order," to a full house last night. Thanks to my dear friend @mhallerberg for the generous introduction & great discussion. Video here: americanacademy.de/videoaudio/dol…
A must-read essay by Ian Lustick revealing the lengths Israel's backers will go to silence anyone who challenges their narrative. Lustick is a remarkable scholar, and we should be grateful for his intellectual gifts, scholarly integrity, and courage. zenodo.org/records/110604…
OTD in 1986 absolutely nothing happened in Chernobyl. There was however a rapid, unplanned disassembly which resulted in the plant achieving its 10 year energy target in 2 nanoseconds that was according to the plan.
Thanks to @EvansRyan202 and to @TXNatSecReview for publishing our article, and to the whole editorial team for all their work and help!
In what I believe is a first, a @TXNatSecReview article was cited in Nature (yes, a news explainer but still very cool). Congrats to to @aa_gilli & co-authors nature.com/articles/d4158…
I sincerely hope that this is not the beginning of a wave of commencement ceremony cancellations.
USC cancels main commencement ceremony after protests, arrests ....this will spread and affect more schools axios.com/2024/04/25/usc…
Very happy to see that, after New Scientist, also Nature discussed our academic article on climate change and submarine warfare. Here is the link to the article: nature.com/articles/d4158…
Very glad and flattered to see this article by @jeremyhsu in @newscientist summarizing the results of our recent article "Climate Change and Military Power: Hunting for Submarines in the Warming Ocean". newscientist.com/article/242780…
Unleash the hounds! Next up with @AAKnopf 👇👇👇
My trolls believe 3 logically incompatible things: 1 Russia is surrounded by hostile alliance that intends to invade it 2 That alliance doesn’t have the ammo to do this 3. Russia must invade Ukraine to keep the alliance, that lacks the ammo to attack Russia, away from Russia
@loongkingdom Great for you. Now delete your twitter account since the platform is banned in the paradise that is China. What are you still doing here?
This is monumentally unhelpful. A direct conflict with none of these countries is pre-ordained, and, if you ask me, a high probability event. One does not need to agree with others to coexist and compete. The messianic implications here are absurd.
I was honored to participate in the @dartmouth dialog series and speak to students and faculty. During our conversation, we discussed the hard-earned lessons the US learned in our 20-year war, the strongest of which was the importance of civilian protection.
@yangyang_zhou @jaylyall_red5 @AJPS_Editor Congratulations, @yangyang_zhou!!
@kamilkazani There is no such narrative. Crackpots that peddle this garbage are routinely mocked and denounced in the West. There’s certainly nothing like this in any Western foreign policy. Why do you make up outrageous stuff like this?
Very glad and flattered to see this article by @jeremyhsu in @newscientist summarizing the results of our recent article "Climate Change and Military Power: Hunting for Submarines in the Warming Ocean". newscientist.com/article/242780…
a murder of crows a school of fish a fluffle of rabbits a barrel of monkeys a loneliness of small department chairs
👇👇👇 These apologists are vile.
I wish less of the folks driving activism in the literary community weren’t also apologists for mass rape and murder