Emma Ashford (@emmamashford.bsky.social) @EmmaMAshford
Senior Fellow @Stimsoncenter. Columnist @ForeignPolicy. Adjunct @GeorgetownCSS. Working on a book on US grand strategy for a multipolar world. All views mine. emmamashford.substack.com Washington, DC Joined September 2014-
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In a ‘meat grinder’ of a war, Russian and Ukrainian casualties rise wapo.st/4be4JpQ Rob Lee: “The manpower situation is the growing problem....And if that’s not fixed, then this aid package is not going to solve all Ukraine’s issues.”
Still zero word on what US commitments to Saudis under this defense pact would entail.
Still zero word on what US commitments to Saudis under this defense pact would entail.
Stuff like this is why the much-maligned “across the board cuts” are Actually Good. They will force policymakers to consider strategy and prioritization.
Stuff like this is why the much-maligned “across the board cuts” are Actually Good. They will force policymakers to consider strategy and prioritization.
One of the fascinating things about the Gaza war is how it somewhat cuts across existing ideological divides like "hawk/dove," and is much more based on a person's specific ties to or feelings about the conflict itself. Case in point: theatlantic.com/international/…
Applies across the board: the Biden administration stakes out ambitious, primacist objectives in Asia, Europe, and the Middle East simultaneously and then desperately tries to avoid escalation while hoping for cooperation from the same countries it treats as adversaries.
Applies across the board: the Biden administration stakes out ambitious, primacist objectives in Asia, Europe, and the Middle East simultaneously and then desperately tries to avoid escalation while hoping for cooperation from the same countries it treats as adversaries.
Honestly, a key reason our foreign policy is so broken and a-strategic is that congress thinks the Biden administration is doing too little on defense spending. But they're not proposing redirecting funds, or reprioritizing, but just busting through the budget caps!
1. This is quite a scoop, @SalehaMohsin et al. 2. The notion that the US should consider coercive measure to compel foreign states to use the $ is absolute insanity. This isn't how markets work & reflects a fundamental understanding of how & why the $ is king in the 1st place.
1. This is quite a scoop, @SalehaMohsin et al. 2. The notion that the US should consider coercive measure to compel foreign states to use the $ is absolute insanity. This isn't how markets work & reflects a fundamental understanding of how & why the $ is king in the 1st place.
Nonsense like this is an impediment to thoughtful policy-making: foreignaffairs.com/china/axis-uph…
Honored to discuss contemporary security issues @pritzkerlibrary with great thinkers like Geoffrey Till, @ProfPaulPoast, and @EmmaMAshford tomorrow in Chicago. I am speaking in the afternoon. It looks to be a fascinating dialogue.
Scenes out of The University of Texas–Austin last night were shocking. Let’s be clear: Using government force to suppress peaceful protest is un-American, especially in places where it should be sacrosanct— a public university like UT Austin. 🎙️: @1AMorey
"Our Europe is mortal. It can die. It all depends on the choices we make, and those choices need to be made now," said Macron before (I assume) taking a deep drag from his Gauloise cigarette. bbc.com/news/world-eur…
'American officials, notably Brett McGurk, Biden’s coordinator for the Middle East and North Africa, continue to hold a quixotic belief in the imminence of a Saudi-Israeli deal that calls into question their reading of regional dynamics.'
'American officials, notably Brett McGurk, Biden’s coordinator for the Middle East and North Africa, continue to hold a quixotic belief in the imminence of a Saudi-Israeli deal that calls into question their reading of regional dynamics.'
Yet again, @mcsweeneys nails it. mcsweeneys.net/articles/a-mes…
If true (?) this is a very bad idea. Either the US embraces being an energy exporter, or not. Over-engineering where exports end up is misguided. And it undercuts a unique strength of US energy exports: flexibility. foreignpolicy.com/2024/04/23/uni…
FEATURE: If you've wondered how TSMC's venture into Arizona is going, our reporting over the past four months will answer all your questions and more (and probably make you laugh, too) Incredible story by @violazhouyi! restofworld.org/2024/tsmc-ariz… @restofworld @mvzelenks #longread
This line re: the aid package = journalism's major malfunction: "It capped an extraordinary political saga that raised questions about whether the United States would continue to play a leading role in upholding the international order and projecting its values globally." (1/5)
Ah, yes. The George F. Kennan Roundtable series welcomes Victoria Nuland to talk about why the U.S. needs to fight wars on three different fronts. 🥴 On the upside, Kennan is spinning in his grave so fast we've probably solved our renewable energy problem.
I feel the need to remind progressives in particular that these are the same smear tactics used against opponents of Iraq, or of continuing the war on terror. By all means, let's debate the merits of Ukraine aid! But this rhetoric just makes us all worse off in the long-run.
Paul Poast @ProfPaulPoast
95K Followers 472 Following Tweeting to teach. International Relations and Foreign Policy. @UChicago Prof. @ChicagoCouncil Fellow. @WPReview Columnist.Patrick Porter @PatPorter76
22K Followers 2K Following Prof, Int Security, @unibirmingham. Snr Assoc Fellow @RUSI_org. Adjct Scholar @CatoFP. Snr Research Fellow @RANDEurope. Realist. Strategy, history, IR. 🇦🇺🇬🇧Sergey Radchenko @DrRadchenko
69K Followers 3K Following Historian of the Cold War and after. Wilson E. Schmidt Distinguished Professor @KissingerCenter @SAISHopkins.Stephen Wertheim @stephenwertheim
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28K Followers 384 Following Online magazine of the @Quincyinst promoting diplomacy and military restraint. Send tips, pitches, and ideas to PitchRS@ https://t.co/1PdHsgIP99Ben Friedman @BH_Friedman
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69K Followers 3K Following Historian of the Cold War and after. Wilson E. Schmidt Distinguished Professor @KissingerCenter @SAISHopkins.Stephen Wertheim @stephenwertheim
27K Followers 2K Following America in the world, past, present, and future. Senior Fellow, @CarnegieEndow. Visiting Lecturer, @PrincetonSPIA. Historian and author of @TomoTheWorld.Blake Herzinger @BDHerzinger
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69K Followers 3K Following EVP at @CIPolicy. Former foreign policy advisor for @SenSandersAnkit Panda @nktpnd
81K Followers 1K Following Nuclear policy, Asia, missiles, & space. Stanton Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; Author of ‘KIM JONG UN AND THE BOMB’ (Hurst/Oxford)Dr. Jeffrey Lewis @ArmsControlWonk
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10K Followers 593 Following @DefPriorities, syndicated foreign affairs columnist for the Chicago Tribune. Writer for Newsweek, the Examiner and the Spectator. Adopted citizen of Mexico.Justin Logan @JustinTLogan
5K Followers 836 Following Director of defense and foreign policy studies, @CatoFP. Review wines at @WinesFromLatAm.Gregory Brew @gbrew24
18K Followers 4K Following Analyst, Iran and Energy @EurasiaGroup. Formerly @ISSYale. Author of "The Struggle for Iran" and "Petroleum and Progress in Iran." Views my own.Quincy Institute @QuincyInst
33K Followers 4K Following The Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft works to build a world where peace is the norm and war is the exception. News & analysis @RStatecraftDavid Burbach (also @.. @dburbach
15K Followers 1K Following Prof of International Relations & National Security. Space, nukes, civil-military. Cats. At Naval War College but only personal tweets; do NOT represent DODResponsible Statecraf.. @RStatecraft
28K Followers 384 Following Online magazine of the @Quincyinst promoting diplomacy and military restraint. Send tips, pitches, and ideas to PitchRS@ https://t.co/1PdHsgIP99Ben Friedman @BH_Friedman
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24K Followers 935 Following working on myself (figuring out all the ways I’m better than everyone who has wronged me.) she/her, follows/RTs =/= agreement. please publish my book.William Martin @wsmartin218
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7K Followers 4K Following Researching and teaching about security in #Russia & #women and #war in @InterpolAber at @AberUni Also at @jgmaber.bsky.socialA.J. Manuzzi @AJManuzzi
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1K Followers 1K Following I research/write about Pentagon waste & outsize corporate influence on national security policy. | Prev @POGOwatchdog @FCNL | Views are mineMichelle Newby @NerdFp
37 Followers 591 Following Programs Director @defpriorities | Interests: international relations, space, science fiction, remote work, and how to live the best life.Bret Devereaux @BretDevereaux
43K Followers 412 Following Ancient & military historian specializing in the Roman economy and military. PhD @UNChistory. More impressive credential is that I have beaten Dark Souls.Brad Setser @Brad_Setser
98K Followers 953 Following CFR senior fellow. Views are my own. Retweets are not endorsements. Writes on sovereign debt and capital flows.Wilson Beaver 🇺�.. @WilsonCBeaver
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2K Followers 3K Following Professor, UVa. Author: A World Safe for Commerce (Princeton UP, 2024); Economic Interdependence and War (PUP, 2015); Origins of Major War (Cornell UP, 2000).Kate O'Keeffe @Kate_OKeeffe
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10K Followers 793 Following Hi! I’m the IISS Director of Strategy, Technology and Arms Control and a Survival Contributing Editor🇫🇮 🇸🇪🇺🇦 Ei koskaan enää yksinECFR US @ECFRStates
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841 Followers 774 Following Public policy podcast producer | Genealogist/family historian | Georgetown | #PantsuitPoliticsCommunity | MPP, MA in History | #Redleg Master Gunner | He/Himunusual_whales @unusual_whales
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360K Followers 52K Following Sr. White House reporter for Bloomberg News. Reporting what I know, not what I think. Email me: [email protected] 💕IowaSweet Meteor O'Death @smod4real
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80K Followers 1K Following President of @refugeesintl. Former lead for COVID (46) & disaster relief (44) @USAID. Humanitarianism, baking, biking. Personal account.🏊♂️🚴♂️🏃♂️Tom Wright @TomWrightAsia
40K Followers 3K Following Co-founder @projectbrazen. THE PROFESSOR. 11/27 https://t.co/JM6YPSfXfTI don't usually do media criticism on this platform, but the "coverage of the war in Gaza : coverage of campus protests about the war" ratio at the moment is not what I think it should be.
Just got the news that I am promoted to full professor...
Yes- that triple divide describes the foreign policy spectrum more impartially than the often false, self-serving internationalist-isolationist binary.
Although I don't love the "internationalist vs. isolationist" binary analytically. I think the primacist-prioritizer-restrainer spectrum is more penetrating based on the key question: What role does the U.S. need to play in the world? H/t @ecfr 2/
Dunno if William and Mary has an encampment but if they do I guarantee you they’re studying in those tents
The four most foreboding words in English: “unexpected partner Lindsay Graham”
NEW: A deeply reported look at the Biden admin’s high-stakes negotiations that would normalize diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia & Israel & new reporting on the unexpected partner they've found in Lindsey Graham w/ @kylieatwood @Phil_Mattingly cnn.com/2024/04/24/pol…
This gets me. Anti-Semitism is terrible but it isnt illegal to hold anti-semitic views in America nor should it be. What is illegal is breaking the law - vandalism, threatening lives, destroying property, etc. Breaking the LAW should not be tolerated. Thought & speech must be.
Arrests being made right now & will continue until the crowd disperses. These protesters belong in jail. Antisemitism will not be tolerated in Texas. Period. Students joining in hate-filled, antisemitic protests at any public college or university in Texas should be expelled.
As a few folks have asked why I’ve been so quiet lately (especially given the news!), I thought I’d just write and confirm that it is for the best of possible reasons. See everyone when I’m back in the working world mid-May…
I know we all gloss over it but it is genuinely darkly hilarious that someone named a missile "attack-'ems."
Interesting exchange between @RaviReports & @MatthewKroenig @ForeignPolicy. I'll have to read the book ('We Win You Lose'), but I struggle to see how Trump's foreign policy had any throughlines aside from chaos. foreignpolicy.com/live/trump-for…
@EmmaMAshford My like endorses your quip, not Nuland's thesis. As you were..
This is a great example of bad faith reporting. There’s been a guy hanging outside Columbia *for years* with a sign that says the Jews did 9/11. Was that also representative of anti-Semitism at Columbia? Welcome to New York City, for chrissake.
One sign here at the Columbia protest. This man is ranting about Jews controlling the universe. He has a black face mask on.
oh, and this is the NYT story from which that graf in the first post was excerpted. nytimes.com/2024/04/23/us/…
Oh yeah, let's not forget this package is "projecting its values globally." But not always in the way we might think... Numbers from @natpriorities & photo via @nytimes. (5/5)
What did it rescue... or "uphold"? Is it a righteous defensive by Ukraine or a (less righteous) offensive by Israel? Is it wars of territorial dispute? Nope, it's an entire international order! What do you mean, 'what does that phrase mean?'? Go back to the kids' table. (4/5)
The suspense! an "extraordinary political saga"! Or was it just the very ordinary sausage-making and deal-cutting bw competing interests? As two of my old profs wrote, horse-race policy coverage depresses learning and activates cynicism. (2/5) electionstudies.org/wp-content/upl…
The teleological determinism! The package "capped" the saga -- an inexorable conclusion to the dramatic narrative. The beleaguered-but-ultimately -heroic white knight (🇺🇸) to the rescue! Phew.😮💨(3/5)
This line re: the aid package = journalism's major malfunction: "It capped an extraordinary political saga that raised questions about whether the United States would continue to play a leading role in upholding the international order and projecting its values globally." (1/5)
It's hard not to feel that if the youthful protesters directed their efforts at their congressional delegations rather than university presidents, they might make more of a difference in the urgent task of ending Israel's killing in Gaza. But, of course, it's their choice.