Ryan Brill @RyanBrill_
Applied Math PhD student @Penn. Statistics, Probability, Sports. Joined July 2021-
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📣Call for Submissions Are you a high school, undergraduate or graduate student doing research in #sportsanalytics? ⚾️🏀⚾️🏒 Submit your work by 4/20 for the spring edition. Don't miss this chance to showcase your #research! Learn more here: whr.tn/student-resear…
Join us at the #SABRanalytics Conference on March 8-10 in Phoenix to hear research presentations from @Cran_Boy, @KinaTraxInc, @JeremyLosak, @connorbturner, @levi_bognar, @RyanBrill_ and more. Check out the full schedule: sabr.org/analytics/pres… @SportsInfo_SIS
analytics, have some humility
📢📢 Ladies and gentlemen, the 2024 Big Data Bowl #BigDataBowl 📢📢 kaggle.com/competitions/n…
NESSIS talk “Analytics, have some humility: a statistical view of 4th down decision making” is now on YouTube, m.youtube.com/watch?si=SoyD8…. Working on the paper…
Call for Submissions📢 🏈⚾️🏒⚽️ Calling all high school, undergraduate, & graduate students! Submit your research by 11/10 for the fall edition. Don't miss this chance to showcase your sports analytics research work! Learn more here: whr.tn/student-resear…
All of these 4th down bot takes should include a disclaimer: *Inappropriate use of flawed model for decision making that fails to appropriately account for uncertainty (@RyanBrill_ gave my favorite talk at #NESSIS yesterday, can't wait to read the paper!)
All of these 4th down bot takes should include a disclaimer: *Inappropriate use of flawed model for decision making that fails to appropriately account for uncertainty (@RyanBrill_ gave my favorite talk at #NESSIS yesterday, can't wait to read the paper!) https://t.co/WPvivEqHLD
Football going through its “analytics guys dismissing coaches coming back around to realize sometimes their simplistic claims weren’t absolute” moment like some baseball folks have on some things?
Football going through its “analytics guys dismissing coaches coming back around to realize sometimes their simplistic claims weren’t absolute” moment like some baseball folks have on some things?
This is an outstanding point by @RyanBrill_ NFL expected points models are all subject to selection bias. Better offenses make the red zone more often, so inferences on red zone tendencies overfit to better teams
@DannyPage @RyanBrill_ The best talk I've seen in a long time
"We don't really know what the best decision is" -@RyanBrill_ making a point that sports data scientists should echo far more often #NESSIS
I am new to conformal prediction. Anyone aware of conformal inference for the conditional expectation function f(x), rather than prediction sets on the label y? Here, y = f(x) + epsilon.
Two summers ago, I wrote a research paper with @RyanBrill_, a PhD at the University of Pennslyvania, in which we built a model to predict the NFL MVP Since then, our model has been 100% correct predicting the MVP since 2017. If the 2022 NFL Season ended today, Mahomes wins MVP
Tej Seth @tejfbanalytics
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Ron Yurko @Stat_Ron
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164 Followers 291 Following @mariners analytics, previously @newbalance and @trackmanbb and boston 🇨🇦🇺🇸
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283 Followers 504 Following Product Manager, Baseball Data Platforms, MLB; Davidson Wildcat; New Yorker
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42 Followers 371 Following @njit ⚔️ | data science | baseball apologist | Mark 8:36
Sports By Storm @SportsByStorm
157 Followers 604 Following A (mostly) baseball blog from a lawyer. Subscribe now for free at the link below.
Evan Bakota @EvanBakota
228 Followers 377 Following Stockton Alum | Aspiring Football/Baseball Nerd | Former: @SCMiners @PerfectGameUSA @SIS_Baseball
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39 Followers 5K Following Hi I'm Rais. I'm mainly focussing on Math and Science lifelong. There is a lot to discover in these fields and my mind is always blown by all the cool things.
Jacob Goldstein @JacobEGoldstein
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james 🦕 (father of.. @JimboExotic
3K Followers 4K Following as seen on @complex. say no to antisocial social club say yes to antipasto pasta salad. my daughter is an AKC grand champion
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NFL Polls @NFLPollsAccount
264 Followers 2K Following Yet another NFL gimmick account. We poll NFL fans about players, trades, signings, and everything else! Send a DM if there is a poll you want to see
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32 Followers 5K Following
Tej Seth @tejfbanalytics
27K Followers 599 Following data science @sumersports | co-host of stats & scheme | games are played on the field, not on spreadsheets ॐ
Eric Eager 📊🏈 @ericeager_
39K Followers 3K Following VP @sumersports. Author. Luck is a 1st-order term and a bad teacher. Mentorship matters. SumerSports 2024 Draft Show on Sirius XM NFL Channel 88. Tweets expire.
Michael Lopez @StatsbyLopez
28K Followers 695 Following Data & Analytics @NFL, with stops at Skidmore (Asst Prof), Brown (PhD), UMass (MS), and Bates (Math, 🏈)
Computer Cowboy @benbbaldwin
106K Followers 723 Following @ben_bot_baldwin | @nflfastR | @Open_Source_FB Danny's economist friend | bbaldwin206 at gmail dotcom
Mina Kimes @minakimes
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Kevin Cole @KevinCole___
39K Followers 1K Following 🏈 @Unexpected_Pts newsletter/pod. Previously Data Scientist @PFF, Director of Data & Analytics @RotoGrinders. Lifelong soccer fan since Nov 2022
Ron Yurko @Stat_Ron
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Benjamin Robinson @benj_robinson
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43K Followers 2K Following Mathematician and freelance data visualization with focus on NHL. [email protected]. Subscribe for early access to charts at https://t.co/RtXXerRl3I. He/him.
Robby @greerreNFL
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Carlie @quarkyhockey
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Conor “GO BLUE” M.. @ConorMcQ5
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Brendan Kumagai @BrendanKumagai
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2K Followers 91 Following Building the network of people and open-source sports data packages to foster more diversity and inclusion within sports analytics. Contact @saiemgilani for Q's
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Andrew Gelman et al. @StatModeling
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casey_caprini @casey_caprini
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Our own Assistant Professor Sameer Deshpande harnesses advanced statistical techniques to better understand the world of sports. In our new Q&A, Desphande talked about his sports analytics research, his 3 years at the UW, and lots more. ⚾ 📈 Read on: ow.ly/QsPF50RoeiU
Finished up my #sportsanalytics methods course today with final project presentations and some betting content (nice materials @UnabatedSports), but one group had this as their final slide (photo by @qntkhvn) - I love my job
My time with the Wizards and Mystics has come to an end. It has been an amazing three years. I will miss the people the most, and can’t wait to see what great things they will do. Not sure what my next adventure is, but I’m sure it will be exciting.
Tyler Glasnow made it very clear why pitchers were getting injured 2 years ago. It’s not the pitch clock Nor even joking, this is all Trevor Bauer’s fault
Live MLB win prob reaches a new milestone today. It will be featured frequently on our on-screen scorebug. Some WPA-based content and analysis could also make an appearance. Here's a thread that explains what goes into it from when it debuted on our digital products.
Excited to announce ESPN's MLB live win probability is now live on our website and app. You've probably seen it on selected game broadcasts, and now it's running live for every game. There are a few cool features you should know about...
Excited to visit @imate_unam to talk about some new work on BART. Had a chance to explore the amazing anthropological museum. Thanks @alequintos for the invitation!
¡HOY en el Seminario de #ProbaYProcEstoc #CU! 🌟 Sameer Deshpande, University of Wisconsin-Madison 📝“Beyond axis-alignment: Realizing the power of Bayesian additive regression trees in general…" 📆 mie 20 mar 2024 ⏰17 h 📍 Salón S-105 @fciencias ⚠️ matem.unam.mx/actividades/se…
@billjamesonline @RyanBrill_ calculated Koufax’s ‘66 season was the best statistically by any pitcher using his new metric GridWAR at the most recent @sabr analytics conference. He might be on to something…
Congrats on 10 years to the awesome @WMoneyball crew! I've been listening for over 7 years now since before I started my PhD, and have been fortunate to be a guest multiple times - easily my favorite moment was my first appearance which was live in the studio! (w/ peak PhD hair)
🎉10-year Anniversary Show🎉 Tune in as @bcmassey, @Tastierkakes, @adiwyner and @ebradlow reflect on a decade of Wharton Moneyball, assess where Sports Analytics are today and look forward to what the next ten years may hold! Listen HERE:👇👇👇podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the…
🎉10-year Anniversary Show🎉 Tune in as @bcmassey, @Tastierkakes, @adiwyner and @ebradlow reflect on a decade of Wharton Moneyball, assess where Sports Analytics are today and look forward to what the next ten years may hold! Listen HERE:👇👇👇podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the…
Marc went from winning the Big Data Bowl to two Super Bowl titles. Which is a bigger deal? Who's to say. #BigDataBowl
Here's Mike Frazier and Marc Richards of the Super Bowl champs, frolicking amidst the confetti
Very excited about this paper w/ the incredible @soumy_aghosh, Stan Nguyen, and @ta_broderick. We present some simple examples highlighting the fact that posterior approximations with higher test log-likelihood may not always be more accurate. 1/10
Are you using test log-likelihood correctly? Sameer Deshpande, Soumya Ghosh, Tin D. Nguyen, Tamara Broderick. Action editor: Michael Gutmann. openreview.net/forum?id=n2Yif… #likelihoods #likelihood #comparisons
EVERY shot 😅📍🎯
If your QB isn't on a rookie deal or a top 5 talent you've basically got no shot in the NFL. If he's not worth a market deal and you even tag him you've got no shot, just a razor thin margin for error.
What does conformal prediction actually guarantee? I predict it’s not what you want. argmin.net/p/cover-songs
@beenwrekt @lauraalbertphd @beenwrekt you might be interested in arxiv.org/abs/2311.03490 by @RyanBrill_ et al.
Luke Stancil, Naomi Consiglio and I estimated a touch-by-touch point win probability model for women's college volleyball. We measured core skills (serve, receive, set, attack, block, dig) all on the scale of Points Gained. The preprint is now on arXiv: arxiv.org/abs/2402.01083
Greg Olsen is the best
The biggest criticism used against “analytics”, is that it doesn’t take into account the team or situation Michael Badgley career 48+= 45% Why doesn’t the “take the points crowd” include these pieces of info? Early in game SF elected to attempt FG on 4th down. Moody missed 🤷♂️
The biggest criticism used against “analytics”, is that it doesn’t take into account the team or situation Michael Badgley career 48+= 45% Why doesn’t the “take the points crowd” include these pieces of info? Early in game SF elected to attempt FG on 4th down. Moody missed 🤷♂️
Anyway a year later and this is still Good and Correct
Any QB ranking that doesn't have Mahomes and Allen at 1 and 2 is just wrong
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