Keith Schumann @KeithWSchumann
Interested in talking about the present future of global politics, economics, and entertainment and culture. Joined April 2012-
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Harris was a good candidate, people just hated inflation more than they liked her.
#New Favorability poll 🔵 Harris +4 (50/46) 🔴 Vance -5 (42/47) 🔴 Trump -6 (46/52) Lake research - 11/18 - 800 LV
In @Civiqs polling, Trump is 35-61 fav/unfav among 18-29 year olds. Maybe let's wait for some more data before we hot-take this one.
German foreign policy think tankers seem to have almost nothing to say about the ICC's announcement today, even as they continue to tweet about Russia and Ukraine, i.e. exactly as I argued in this piece published in April. open.substack.com/pub/theideasle…
In the 37 competitive House districts where we have near-final presidential election results: • Dem incumbents are outperforming Harris by an avg of 5.9 points (or a median of 6.1 pts) • Dem non-incumbents are outperforming Harris by an avg of 0.5 pts (or a median of 1.4 pts)
Trump's mandate? It's very shallow. Trump's now under 50% in the popular vote. His margin ranks 44 of 51 since 1824. Weak coattails: 4 Dems won for Senate in states Trump won. (It was 0 in 2016 & 2020.) The GOP is on track for smallest House majority since there were 50 states.
Trump to name Brendan Carr--a massive champion for Elon Musk and his Starlink system--as chairman of the F.C.C. which controls orbital access by space communications companies in the US.
No one like exponsive borger. No exponsive borger and 2020 is probably Harris's floor.
More than electoral lessons, I do hope everyone involved learns some policymaking lessons for next time. Blaming The Groups for the election strikes me as self serving deflection from politicians who forgot they have agency, but there are clearly real institutional problems here
Some soul searching is very warranted and there’s lots we could improve on as a party, but also I believe we could learn zero lessons and win in 2028 just on anti incumbent sentiment (assuming we have real elections)
We may be overthinking a 49-48 election.
If AOC tweeted this it would run nonstop on Fox News and it would spawn countless think pieces.
❌ BAN FLUORIDE ❌ BAN PARABENS ❌ BAN FOOD DYES ❌ BAN HIGH-FRUCTOSE CORN SYRUP It’s time to Make America Healthy Again!
In this, Democrats now have a somewhat unique position for them. They are *extremely* well positioned as a party downballot thanks to their incredible 2018 and 2022 midterms. Go back to 2014 now and compare — it’s extremely stark. Not a consolation for losing, but not nothing.
The chef's kiss is unions demanding that Biden give them pension bailouts, spending, tariffs, Buy America rules, tighter Davis-Bacon regs, etc - which are all inflationary - and then complaining that Democrats are out of touch on grocery and gas prices. That's some chutzpah.
Publicly demanding a cover up of a Republican-led ethics investigation into the Attorney General nominee doesn’t suggest much confidence that it will exonerate Gaetz
NEW : Mike Johnson urges Ethics panel to not release report on Matt Gaetz, an unprecedented move since investigation is supposed to be separate from speaker’s office “I’m going to strongly request that the Ethics Committee not issue the report" Johnson tells @alisonkmain
The nation’s finest health care institutions are being reduced to delivering basic personal hygiene information
Fluoride, a mineral that occurs naturally in many foods and water, helps prevent tooth decay. Fluoride reverses early decay and remineralizes your tooth enamel. While fluoride can be harmful in large quantities, it’s difficult to reach toxic levels due to the low amount of
I'm not sure people fully realize that the GOP's attacks on trans student athletes largely originated from social conservatives searching for a new target after their defeat on gay marriage "We threw everything at the wall" Terry Schilling said vox.com/policy/385549/…
Idk why Trump always gets a pass for his very extensive record of antisemitic statements and behavior
-HHS secretary who says covid was designed to not infect Jews -SecDef with Deus Vult tattoo -AG who voted against the Antisemitic Awareness Act because it said Jews didn't kill Jesus, pushes Great Replacement Theory, invited a Holocaust denier to the SOTU.
I’d go one farther: trump is an amalgamation of protest votes, which are contradictory in many ways
Best way to understand the RFK and Tulsi appointments is that Trump assembling a government based on his electoral coalition and Tulsi and RFK Jr are essentially small party leaders
honestly just depressing how so many people think the mere existence of a trans person is some sort of moral transgression equivalent to being a literal pedophile
Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) is answering reporters’ questions about Gaetz by holding up a photo of Rachel Levine, an assistant HHS secretary, and asking reporters “did you ask Democratic senators about this?”
The thing about Deliverism is it only works if you deliver what people care about. Manufacturing and energy jobs etc are great in the areas Biden’s policies targeted but not when grocery prices are up 30% over 3 years and liberals have failed on housing (in cities they control!)
Trump transition team had a meeting today to discuss sexual assault allegations against Sec of Defense nominee @PeteHegseth (he denies it) vanityfair.com/news/story/pet…
Find me on BlueSky as... @itsdlevy
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