Robert Duval @Cessnadriver50
A Journal. Markets, Life, Faith. A student of economics, history, and the human condition. Not Advice, ever. No DM’s from me, Ever. Great White North. Joined June 2009-
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Get the sense that we talk about on-campus harassment and intimidation differently when the subjects are Jewish students? In 2017, an anonymous jerk put flyers with a Confederate flag and cotton around American University's campus. They read "Huzzah for Dixie" or similar. 🧵
“Harpers fault” (9 years after Harper) 🤔
Enter a sector when there is little public interest, exit when it gets like this (manic)
Enter a sector when there is little public interest, exit when it gets like this (manic)
Secular bull market in electricity.
Working. Nice week for the value areas I am focused on. Bonus, did another short trip.
Working. Nice week for the value areas I am focused on. Bonus, did another short trip.
This is Twitter. Twitter is free. I don’t quote individual stock names (my focus) for this same reason.
This is Twitter. Twitter is free. I don’t quote individual stock names (my focus) for this same reason.
Just because the economy is tough for a wide swath of consumers (inflation, rates, housing) doesn’t mean that translates to an easily shortable stock market. Data points, even correctly analyzed, don’t equal a successful trade. Expensive lesson I hope I have learned.
Not a huge fan, but this is absolutely the right way to think about it, 98% of the time. Not shorting, but learn sector rotation. cnbc.com/id/43259137
Just read someone (very big name) I unfollowed sometime back, realized why I unfollowed them. Nonstop posts victory lapping calls and promoting their paid service. Barf. And I highly doubt truthful.
Oil, gold, copper, defensives, touch of clean energy....
YELLEN: WE'RE ON DOWNWARD PATH FOR INFLATION
Bob Kraft on CNBC: “Today’s colleges teach students what to think instead of how to think.” Truer words rarely spoken.
Is the beginning of a new wave of mining mega mergers? Scoop from my colleagues @DNair5 @tbiesheuvel @crystalttc bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
If you are a #natgas bull, you are really an AI datacenter bull. If you break down IHS's latest outlook to 2028, you will notice a startling figure... power burn. If AI is going to take off, we are going to see higher power burn. The fact that IHS is forecasting -6 is crazy.
BlackRock $BLK says that copper needs to rise from $9,900 per today to $12,000 to incentivize more mining investments... $FCX $SCCO $FQVLF
Will the US election be about weakening the dollar? forexlive.com/news/will-the-…
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@theJagmeetSingh Says the guy who’s keeping him in power and votes yes to every policy.
@Cessnadriver50 @dampedspring Agreed. Listen to Russell Napier (among others,) obviously the best way to deal with the national debt is slow-motion default-via-high-inlation, rather than outright (Depression-style) debt-deflation.
@Cessnadriver50 Bernie Madoff offered +12.5% annually. He couldn’t even make it in this tax payer funded tech monopoly weighted market. You’re witnessing the communistic buyout of America. And American leaders are enriching themselves by selling America out.
@SantiagoAuFund a lot of people are getting angrier and angrier and we haven't even started yet.
@Cessnadriver50 The reason interest for promotions like this are down is bc the stock market $SPY is now funded by the taxpayer and acts as the modern day savings account.
Is stagflation bullish or bearish bonds… who the fuck knows. If the path exiting stagflation is through spending, the market may not like equities capex heavy future. That money likely finds solace in places where multiple compression isn’t hurting them.
Time for Japan to do something silly with the yen?
Lol ripped that sucker
SHOHEI OHTANI 119-MPH OFF THE BAT AND 450 FEET HOLY SHIT
The more and more I think about this headline, something is absolutely in the works… Plaza Accord 2.0
JAPAN FINANCE MINISTER SUZUKI: AT MEETING WITH YELLEN, AGREED TO COMMUNICATE CLOSELY ON FX
Keep an eye on the dollar. They trash the dollar via "government cooperation" assets are gonna to vertical. Literally everything
*US, CHINA DISCUSS NEW EM DEBT PLANS TO AVOID WAVE OF DEFAULTS
note: Capex -- only 1 energy/commodity name in the top 10... rest are consumers of energy. Next phase of AI boom will be energy (and commodities)
'Led by AI, the top 10 companies by capex spend accounted for 29% of total capex in 2023. Similarly, just ten firms accounted for 54% of total R&D spend.' dailychartbook.com/p/daily-chartb… via @dailychartbook
It's been a heck of a last nine months. After calling the top in July and the bottom on Halloween based on the QRA, we blew it big time. We "sold all assets" into what we thought was a big rally in late November. It was an awful call and we have been in drawdown through Mar…
@jaimekr I’m old enough to remember when draping the Terry Fox statue with a Canadian flag during a protest was considered “desecration” and leftist Canada lost their mind. Where’s the outrage now?
I am grateful that @BrazosPress will release my latest book in November. I am honored to share my study, experience and heart and grateful for the opportunity to send a most urgent message to the church.
I am grateful for your outpouring of support to the announcement of my new book. It is a grievous failure of those who claim to be the people of God when they not only fail to be a sanctuary for the traumatized, but also create the need for one.
I am grateful that @BrazosPress will release my latest book in November. I am honored to share my study, experience and heart and grateful for the opportunity to send a most urgent message to the church.
I’m still going to @OrangeLeaders conference after the announcement regarding the Founder & CEO’s resignation. Here’s 5 reasons why: 1. Their process has been transparent and swift. 2. The people identified and involved have confessed and are openly repentant.
@rev_cap Or there will be (closet) YCC and the bond market never breaks…
Traders at 3:45 am et before premarket open on Monday after a 6pct decline in the $SPY and a week full of rate volatility, country bombings, and lowered earnings projections…