Jim Blagden @jim_blagden
Associate Director @Moreincommon_ | Formerly @ukonward | Expect maps and graphs London, England Joined July 2019-
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This is why the Conservatives need to care much more about aspiring homeowners Far too many younger people stuck on the renting treadmill. If you're the kind of person who wants to buy a home at a reasonable price, who do you vote for?
This is why the Conservatives need to care much more about aspiring homeowners Far too many younger people stuck on the renting treadmill. If you're the kind of person who wants to buy a home at a reasonable price, who do you vote for?
50% of Northerners think Labour better represents the interests of people in the North - only 16% said the Tories But this isn't offset by a positive brand among Southerners. Only 36% think Tories better represent the South's interests This is 'worst of both worlds' territory
50% of Northerners think Labour better represents the interests of people in the North - only 16% said the Tories But this isn't offset by a positive brand among Southerners. Only 36% think Tories better represent the South's interests This is 'worst of both worlds' territory https://t.co/dFgaECcAmg
Good thread. I agree with the benchmarks - Reform should be hitting at least high teens, probably mid 20s in Blackpool S or Qs need to be asked about their capacity to realise the support shown in polls (either because they can’t organise or because polls are overstating them)
Good thread. I agree with the benchmarks - Reform should be hitting at least high teens, probably mid 20s in Blackpool S or Qs need to be asked about their capacity to realise the support shown in polls (either because they can’t organise or because polls are overstating them)
Under-appreciated point about this: The map here is a good halfway point between the standard constituency map (which makes it hard to see cities properly) and those awful hex maps that put Croydon next to Worthing
Under-appreciated point about this: The map here is a good halfway point between the standard constituency map (which makes it hard to see cities properly) and those awful hex maps that put Croydon next to Worthing https://t.co/GGv0YBKFRI
Not convinced. Labour’s super-progressive base is inefficiently distributed, stacking up in seats that are already safe Labour is right to focus on winning over 2019 Tory voters rather than worrying about losing even 15% of the vote in seats with massive majorities
Not convinced. Labour’s super-progressive base is inefficiently distributed, stacking up in seats that are already safe Labour is right to focus on winning over 2019 Tory voters rather than worrying about losing even 15% of the vote in seats with massive majorities
✈️ Of all the industries to decarbonise, aviation has to be among the trickiest... 🇬🇧🇫🇷🇩🇪🇪🇸🇳🇱🇧🇪 We've conducted one of the largest studies of public opinion on flying and climate change across 6 European countries - and, while there are risks, there are also real opportunities
It's bad enough that 1-in-6 people in Britain think Jews "have too much power" over Govt policy But the finding that almost half of British Muslims believe this is appalling
It's bad enough that 1-in-6 people in Britain think Jews "have too much power" over Govt policy But the finding that almost half of British Muslims believe this is appalling https://t.co/cLtNgab0CS
@edhodgsoned, Research Manager at research group @Moreincommon_ ,said the three large polls suggested the Conservatives “are facing almost complete wipeout” in London at the next General Election. standard.co.uk/news/politics/…
My new SSRN article looks at if homeownership prospects affect vote choice. TLDR: Lower likelihood support Labour and oppose the Conservatives at much higher rates BUT higher likelihood generally have vote intention indistinguishable from current owners papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
Sam Freedman @Samfr
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Sebastian Payne @SebastianEPayne
123K Followers 4K Following Director of @ukonward. Author of 'Broken Heartlands' and 'The Fall of Boris Johnson'. Who funds me? https://t.co/JKT9uKwxre
Adam Hawksbee @ahawksbee
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Onward @ukonward
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John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch
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Jack Kelly @JackKellyTweets
901 Followers 3K Following
Dr David Jeffery @DrDavidJeffery
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Owen Winter @OwenWntr
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Rob Ford @robfordmancs
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Ed Birkett @ed_birkett
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Chris Curtis @chriscurtis94
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Tim Bale @ProfTimBale
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Luke Tryl @LukeTryl
14K Followers 3K Following UK Director @Moreincommon_, Previously Director @TheNSN, @Ofstednews & DfE SpAd 🏳️🌈🇺🇦
James Kanagasooriam @JamesKanag
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Alex Luke @alex_luke_
469 Followers 1K Following Working on CDR at @bezerocarbon, formerly energy and climate policy at @ukonward 🌍 Also interested in AI safety, snooker and @readingfc. Views my own etc.
Chris Venables @chrisjvenables
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Ben Obese-Jecty @BenObeseJecty
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Adam Langleben 🇺�.. @adamlangleben
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Matthew Smith @mattsmithetc
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Gather @Gathertuck
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Peter Broad @BroadPeter
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61 Followers 129 Following
Peter Hutchinson @Catus14
638 Followers 581 Following Retired international construction consultant. Degrees in politics and in EU law. Labour Party and Newcastle United bring me stress, grandchildren bring me joy
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The Policy Institute @policyatkings
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Niall @somewhatsubparr
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GB @Jbr500000
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cavrdg @cavrdg
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824 Followers 1K Following policy director @reformthinktank 🇬🇧🚀 ex Treasury and Faculty, views my own
Sophie Stowers @SophieStowers
1K Followers 2K Following Scouser/politics researcher usually chatting about elections and public opinion for @UKandEU. Would often rather be talking about Married At First Sight. ✨📊
Nick Thapen @nthapen
616 Followers 1K Following Founder @sourceryai - refactoring Python with AI. Software craftsman, dad, boardgamer, avid reader.
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Nicolas Oury @NickLondon2020
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Nancy Hey @Work_Life_You
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Pablo Cabrera @pablocalv
939 Followers 2K Following Inglés con acento andaluz | Survey methods at @iseressex and @usociety | #survey, #polls, and #rstats | Views my own.
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2K Followers 5K Following Newish resident in Lewes, after long service in London. Leeds United fan and LGBT.
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15 Followers 140 Following Politics Graduate from the University of Nottingham. Nottingham/Ely
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369 Followers 608 Following Weather training and climate consultant | Formerly @RoehamptonUni and MeteoGroup | Onetime editor of @RMetS 'Weather' journal.
John Franklin-Johnsto.. @JhnFrnkln
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369 Followers 2K Following 🌹 Labour’s Parliamentary Candidate for Farnham & Bordon. Dad, Barrister, living in Farnham. Trustee @JohnSmithTrust + @BIICL Contact: [email protected]
Jake 🦀 @jake7w
189 Followers 622 Following Steel City Med Student (5/6). Translational Neuroscience. Yimby.
Dominic Jones @dominic_jones1
1K Followers 5K Following Works in local Gov policy | Brass Bander 🎺 | @BarnsleyFC 🔴| Views my own
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Laurence Grinyer @laurencegrinyer
867 Followers 392 Following Principle designer at @EY_Seren. Previously @Chase_UK, @Monzo, @Lloydsbank, @PolicyLabUK and @UKparliament. Good vibes and south London. That sort of thing.
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Freddie Mossop @freddiemossop
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MC @MichaelCox
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Sebastian Payne @SebastianEPayne
123K Followers 4K Following Director of @ukonward. Author of 'Broken Heartlands' and 'The Fall of Boris Johnson'. Who funds me? https://t.co/JKT9uKwxre
Adam Hawksbee @ahawksbee
6K Followers 970 Following Deputy Director @ukonward | Chair No.10 & DLUHC Towns Unit | Columns @CityAM | COYS
Onward @ukonward
15K Followers 879 Following We develop bold and practical ideas for the next generation of centre right thinkers and leaders.
Jack Kelly @JackKellyTweets
901 Followers 3K Following
Nick Timothy @NJ_Timothy
44K Followers 769 Following Conservative Prospective Parliamentary Candidate for West Suffolk • Daily Telegraph • Promoted by David Cowan, Conservative Office, Moulton Road, CB8 8DY
Tom Forth @thomasforth
30K Followers 2K Following CTO and co-Founder @TheDataCity. Head of Data @OpenInnovates || Runs @imactivate. No profile pic, location, name, and bio? I probably won't see your tweet.
Owen Winter @OwenWntr
7K Followers 3K Following Political data scientist @TheEconomist (personal views)
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35K Followers 5K Following Journalist. 🎵https://t.co/6Dh9es54R8 @charlotte_gill_art). Not related to anyone in journalism. Tip/stories: [email protected]
Pete @post_liberal
8K Followers 909 Following So deep in this swill with the most familiar of swine, for reasons wretched and divine
Ed Birkett @ed_birkett
2K Followers 1K Following New Projects Director (UK Development) at @LowCarbon_UK. Former energy policy think tanker at @ukonward and @Policy_Exchange. Personal account.
Luke Tryl @LukeTryl
14K Followers 3K Following UK Director @Moreincommon_, Previously Director @TheNSN, @Ofstednews & DfE SpAd 🏳️🌈🇺🇦
James Kanagasooriam @JamesKanag
13K Followers 2K Following Pollster. Chief Research Officer of @focaldataHQ + Researcher @UKandEU | Board of @ukonward and @TenebraeChoir | https://t.co/29hrpARjh5
Alex Luke @alex_luke_
469 Followers 1K Following Working on CDR at @bezerocarbon, formerly energy and climate policy at @ukonward 🌍 Also interested in AI safety, snooker and @readingfc. Views my own etc.
Culture Critic @Culture_Crit
1.3M Followers 998 Following Tradition is not the worship of ashes, but the preservation of fire.
Tim (totally unremark.. @forwardnotback
11K Followers 7K Following Former Labour Press Officer, storytelling, #NewsPenguin #TwitterQuiz at 7pm on Sunday. Ketchup is a vegetable. Polls predict - elections prove
Tom Darling @a_darling_tom
1K Followers 2K Following Campaign Manager @RentersReformCo | tweeting personal views about politics, housing, and competitive sports
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80K Followers 3K Following The inside track on Labour party news + debate. News, tipoffs, op-eds or ideas to share? DM + [email protected]. Sign up to our daily email briefing ⬇️ 🌹
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3K Followers 5K Following Your intellectual euro-trip in weekly podcast form, hosts @JorgeGGallarza @Valen10Francois and Julian Graham. Questions? Partnerships? 📩 [email protected]
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4K Followers 5K Following for a non-metropolitan @UKLabour 🌹class and regional inequality first 🌹Fund a Labour Linkedin skills sharing 🌹More working class MPs 🌹Win back leave voters
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2K Followers 1K Following The UK's leading membership organisation for all those working on social cohesion. Research, events, training, consultancy and networking. Join us!
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992 Followers 3K Following Associate Director @Moreincommon_ | Alum @UniofOxford @WIPLive
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10K Followers 311 Following Strengthening democratic societies by countering division and polarization. Also @moreincommon_us @MoreinCommon_DE @Destin_Commun and @moreincommon_pl
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271 Followers 842 Following PhD Political Science Student @OfficialUoM RA @BESResearch Public opinion and voters and elections, oh my!
London & UK Street Ne.. @CrimeLdn
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9K Followers 4K Following Director of Political Analytics @YouGov. Polling, elections, analytics, and data science. Visiting fellow @MethodologyLSE. Pol Sci PhD. All views my own.
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4K Followers 2K Following Politics, public opinion & public policy @InstituteGC. New book on coalitions in British politics @OUPPolitics. [email protected]
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6K Followers 170 Following Sagas | Tolkien | Northern Courage | Northern Aesthetics
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29K Followers 4K Following Maps & history 🧵 Host @UnDecencyPod | Editor @hexagone_news | Sr Researcher @ukonward | @SchwarzmanOrg 2025 ex @EurasiaGroup @sciencespo @georgetown 🇫🇷
Jack Richardson @jackrdsn
3K Followers 1K Following Policy Adviser to the Secretary of State @energygovuk formerly @ukonward @ConGeostrategy @CEN_HQ
derek guy @dieworkwear
798K Followers 964 Following Menswear writer. Editor at @putthison. Creator of @RLGoesHard. Bylines at The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Financial Times, Esquire, and Mr. Porter
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19K Followers 403 Following MP Penistone & Stocksbridge. Broadcast only. Email for constituency matters. Promoted by Miriam Cates of 9a High Street, Penistone, Sheffield, S36 6BR.
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377 Followers 407 Following Senior Researcher @ukonward | Founder - Northern Caucus | Long suffering @SunderlandAFC supporter
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big rob 🏴�.. @SimpleFacks
61K Followers 88 Following satirical account - a fella from norf ingerland who luvs footy, pollertiks n carlin
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21K Followers 517 Following Pollster, election analyst, founder of @NCPoliticsUK, love sports (volleyball, F1) travel and Alsace Wine. Own views
weird medieval guys B.. @WeirdMedieval
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379 Followers 556 Following Christian | Husband | 🐕 Owner | @Yale @JacksonYale @sheffielduni Graduate | Policy Manager at Institute of Physics (@PhysicsNews) Tweets are personal opinion.
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2K Followers 3K Following Dad to 4. Head of External Relations and Communications at the University of Sheffield AMRC and AMRC Training Centre. Likes do not mean endorsment.
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@jim_blagden @LukeTryl Really neat survey. In work with @drjennings we find a large majority think of the govt as London-biased. If there is a change of government it'll be interesting to see whether this view transfers to a Labour-run govt despite their party brand being different (your findings)
A new blog post by me for @UKandEU looking at how non-homeowners' future ownership prospects affect their vote choice
🚨 "This gives strong support to the idea that there is a link between frustrated homeownership ambitions and Labour support." 🏠 How does the prospect of future homeownership affect vote choice? 📊 @jamesbreckwoldt summarises his NEW research 👇👇 ukandeu.ac.uk/how-the-prospe…
My latest snapshot on what areas to look out for ahead of the 2024 local election and what this last major political test will mean for Sunak and Starmer ahead of the next general election. 👇 fticommunications.com/fti-consulting…
Good thread. I agree with the benchmarks - Reform should be hitting at least high teens, probably mid 20s in Blackpool S or Qs need to be asked about their capacity to realise the support shown in polls (either because they can’t organise or because polls are overstating them)
What would be a good result for Reform in the Blackpool South by-election? How much of a threat do they really pose to the Conservatives? A 🧵 Until recently, Reform have underperformed in by-election in this Parliament, polling far worse than UKIP did in 2012-14
AI is changing the world blah blah blah but still can’t insert a text box into a Microsoft Word document without making me want to PUNCH the screen
Very pleased to see our swing model published today. If an election were held tomorrow, our median estimate of the result would be: Lab - 372 Con - 198 SNP - 32 Lib Dem - 21 Plaid - 2 Green - 1 economist.com/interactive/uk…
Look at the replies to this poll. Someone even suggests carrying out research on Angela Rayner is harassment. Didn’t think this was rocket science, but the public want politicians from *both* sides to be accountable for their conduct.
In today’s @MailOnline our polling finds two thirds of voters - including 62% of those who voted Labour in 2019 think Angela Rayner should publish her tax advice related to the sale of her house in 2015. Only 14% think she should not. dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
Pushing people into huge amounts of debt for a low-value arts degree from Former Ringroad Polytechnic which will provide limited prospects by suggesting they might live like paupers but become famous after they die thanks to once-in-a-generation talent is not good public policy.
Van Gogh only sold one painting in his lifetime. Monet died poor. Vermeer had to borrow money to survive. Sisley died unrecognised and poor. Instead of telling modern day creative people that they're worthless to society, Tory MPs should try and celebrate them for the joy and…
Great work from @edhodgsoned on how the public in Europe would go about reducing emissions from flying and aviation. Lots of interesting insights in the thread and report linked below ⬇️
✈️ Of all the industries to decarbonise, aviation has to be among the trickiest... 🇬🇧🇫🇷🇩🇪🇪🇸🇳🇱🇧🇪 We've conducted one of the largest studies of public opinion on flying and climate change across 6 European countries - and, while there are risks, there are also real opportunities
We have such an unhealthy relationship with our health service. And it’s getting worse.
I saw the brilliant Keeley Hawes in 'The Human Body' at the weekend, the Lucy Kirkwood play about the birth of the NHS. When her character is told that Nye Bevan's new health service is “bound to fail” she replied: “The idea will not have failed. We will have failed the idea.”
The cultural sector is 1.8% GDP - you only get to 6% if you include IT, telecoms, tourism, sport and gambling. Creative arts degrees have been disastrously mis-sold to young people: majority of CA grads earn too little to even start repaying their loans a decade after graduating
Creative Industries make up 6% of our economy: more than car and oil industries together. They employ 2.3million people. To cut funding is fudge-brained, cack-hearted thinking pitched very much at the highest level of economic self-harm. theguardian.com/education/2024…
@edhodgsoned, Research Manager at research group @Moreincommon_ ,said the three large polls suggested the Conservatives “are facing almost complete wipeout” in London at the next General Election. standard.co.uk/news/politics/…
Incredible chart from @jburnmurdoch in @FT which shows how extraordinary the UK’s climate consensus is. Working in an organisation that looks at polarisation in different countries I get to see how despite our problems, we’re relatively far less polarised. on.ft.com/3Dxxy1F
Some people on left are ambivalent about patriotism & national symbols. There is strong evidence that pride in being British is an inter-ethnic norm. All studies persistently find ethnic minorities have a stronger British identity than the white British & high levels of pride too
Keir Starmer faces discontent as Labour MPs reject union jack election flyers theguardian.com/politics/2024/…
Should the Tories build more houses? Results suggest electoral reward to building may be larger than it seems, as party will gain not only among those who become homeowners immediately, but also with non-homeowners who become more confident they will own in the future.
omg my first Reform blog! thoughts on our poorly functioning public services and how we might better them to improve outcomes. hint it's*not* by just saying integrate, combine and ta da...🪄
For the blog this week our new Researcher @florencecon_new has considered the need for big picture public service reform. Read below!👇 reform.uk/comment/rather…
In our Social fabric index we found that places with stronger social fabric typically have higher social trust levels, driven by factors like: volunteerism religious involvement community participation strong families good health low crime More below x.com/jim_blagden/st…
Our latest research @ukonward maps the strength of the social fabric across the UK We found that Red Wall seats are home to the UK’s most frayed communities These places face a double-whammy of weaker economies and community ties coming apart A thread ukonward.com/reports/2023-s…
I hope this recommendation is something that all parties can get behind, teachers shouldn’t be subject to the kind of abuse and intimidation we have seen for instance over RSE in places like Birmingham and the failure of care for staff in the Batley case is clearly unacceptable.
Exclusive: Protests outside of schools should be banned, a landmark review will say on Monday Dame Sara Khan will also issue damning indictment of how police, council and school dealt with the Batley Grammar teacher forced into hiding 3 years ago thetimes.co.uk/article/ban-pr…
Imagine how the BBC/discourse would respond to a campaign by Millennials/Zoomers that they had no idea that tuition fees went up, and that the taxpayer should hand out megabillions in compo - probably quite differently to WASPI I would imagine.
Listening to waspi callers this morning on the radio, two things struck me. All the complainants seemed remarkably lax about taking responsibility for their own financial lives - none of them seemed to think it was on them to find out when and how much state pension they'd get...
As of 2017, roughly 17% of the total land area of the Netherlands is land reclaimed from either sea or lakes. 65% of the country would be under water at high tide, if dikes, dunes and pumps were not used. This is what the country would have looked like from space in 1300 vs…
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