James Breckwoldt @jamesbreckwoldt
PhD Political Science Student @OfficialUoM RA @BESResearch Public opinion and voters and elections, oh my! jamesbreckwoldt.wordpress.com Manchester, UK Joined June 2021-
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A new ‘game changer’ vaccine trial is underway, designed to help the immune system recognise and destroy cancerous cells. mRNA-4157 (V940), uses the same technology as current Covid vaccines & is being tested in final-stage Phase III trials. bbc.co.uk/news/health-68…
Incredible graph showing that change in cancer survival rates, (via @slatestarcodex, by @OurWorldInData). The "War on Cancer" hasn't been won, but humanity is (too) slowly winning
🚨 "This gives strong support to the idea that there is a link between frustrated homeownership ambitions and Labour support." 🏠 How does the prospect of future homeownership affect vote choice? 📊 @jamesbreckwoldt summarises his NEW research 👇👇 ukandeu.ac.uk/how-the-prospe…
🚨🚨NEW🚨🚨 In recent years, British politics has been unusually unstable. One factor best explains this… thepathnottaken.net/p/britains-ins…
I mean, we've got a bit more going on than whatever this is... (Unless this is a ploy to post deliberately crap adverts on the Underground to make sure no one from London ever visits, in which I case I am strongly in favour)
It’s probably the case that this is mostly true of humanities majors rather than, say, engineering. But there’s nothing *inherently* easy about the humanities, there’s been a choice to make the courses easy to please students. You could make hard classes if you wanted to.
It’s probably the case that this is mostly true of humanities majors rather than, say, engineering. But there’s nothing *inherently* easy about the humanities, there’s been a choice to make the courses easy to please students. You could make hard classes if you wanted to.
🚨 "This gives strong support to the idea that there is a link between frustrated homeownership ambitions and Labour support." 🏠 How does the prospect of future homeownership affect vote choice? 📊 @jamesbreckwoldt summarises his NEW research 👇👇 ukandeu.ac.uk/how-the-prospe…
We are delighted to announce that the call for papers for #EPOP2024 is now open! This will take place at the University of Manchester from 11-13 September. Deadline for applications is 21st May. To submit, please follow this link: shorturl.at/abkCT
NEW: my column this week is about the coming vibe shift, from Boomers vs Millennials to huge wealth inequality *between* Millennials. Current discourse centres on how the average Millennial is worse-off than the average Boomer was, but the richest millennials are loaded 💸🚀
This is a really funny "takedown" of R in that it starts by admitting that if all you want to do is read in a csv, do some summarisation, create a model, make a nice graph then R is good. But that is... A lot of social science!
This is a really funny "takedown" of R in that it starts by admitting that if all you want to do is read in a csv, do some summarisation, create a model, make a nice graph then R is good. But that is... A lot of social science! https://t.co/h9d4a1OJZY
Would be centre right voters of working age with a mortgage have basically seen their outgoings double in 4 years.
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2005 x 2024 Andrew Flintoff and his 16-year-old son, Rocky, share a near identical batting technique 🤯 Look at those pull shots! 😮
May The Force Be With You.
The legendary Drew Struzan painting the original movie poster artwork for THE PHANTOM MENACE
In support of @phil_tinline “ Death of Consensus” - great book
We are in an age of hard choices, but too many of our politicians are stuck in a past age of consensus. My column today is on the kind of change Britain needs - and how we get it: telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/04/2…
🚨🚨NEW🚨🚨 In recent years, British politics has been unusually unstable. One factor best explains this… thepathnottaken.net/p/britains-ins…
A quality of life improvements we put in the BES was setting don’t knows as 9999. It’s a large enough number that your coefficients always end up being hilariously small if you accidentally stick it in a regression without recoding
Downloaded some survey data once where the code book said missing data was coded a "9". Except it was actually coded as "99".
Congrats to @M_A_Bailey on the new book "Polling at a Crossroads: Rethinking Modern Survey Research", which I'm super excited to read.
🚨 Launch day is finally here for my new book, GROWTH: A RECKONING! Very excited to discuss the ideas in the weeks to come. 🚨
IT'S ALL OVER! COUNTY ARE PROMOTED! #StockportCounty
we’ll get that kit sponsorship one day, I can feel it 🙏
IT'S ALL OVER! COUNTY ARE PROMOTED! #StockportCounty
Wrote about this in my book. To the extent the ‘millennial left’ is/was actually a thing, it was always going to be a fragile group prone to fracturing along class lines
NEW: my column this week is about the coming vibe shift, from Boomers vs Millennials to huge wealth inequality *between* Millennials. Current discourse centres on how the average Millennial is worse-off than the average Boomer was, but the richest millennials are loaded 💸🚀
7 Lessons from my first series of #UniversityChallenge The Series Final is tomorrow, Monday, at 20.30. It’s @ucl vs @imperialcollege and you have to watch it. You really do. It is incredible stuff On @BBCiPlayer/@BBCTwo Thanks so much to the whole team bbc.co.uk/news/entertain…
The British culture industry has been captured by people who are worse than political enemies: they are simply boring. My case for Warhammer Britain: unherd.com/2024/04/britai…
Happy Easter. (Other chocolate puns are welcome in the comments 👍) @bosmanviewing 🙏 #Easter #Easter2024 #EasterSunday
@jamesbreckwoldt What jumps out at me is how much it functions like 'economic class' (limited transitions, limited time sensitivity).
What an important paper and finding. Highly recommended.
My new SSRN article looks at if homeownership prospects affect vote choice. TLDR: Lower likelihood support Labour and oppose the Conservatives at much higher rates BUT higher likelihood generally have vote intention indistinguishable from current owners papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…