Alex Krull @akrullj
Meteorologist. B.S. Valpo. M.S. Nebraska. Some Python, some WRF. Always ready to click on WARNGEN. Opinions are my own. Eastern Kansas Joined April 2012-
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Intense bowing segment across MS. Strong inflow on the front side feeding a circulation along the leading edge.
Has anyone done a CM1 supercell simulation where you mess with the radiation settings to mimic the eclipse and see what that does to a tornado like vortex compared to no eclipse like change in radiation?
2017 I was in the path of totality in Nebraska. Temperature drop was notable. Didn't think it would be notable without a thermometer at only 90% but I was wrong. This is awesome.
RIJ helped to rebalance this line segment, gave it slightly better orientation to the shear vector, and has been efficient with meso vorts.
Small section once again in balance. Reflectivity drop in the rear, inflow into meso increased. UDCZ difficult to see in velocity, somewhat better on SW.
Strong left flank velocity enhancement with this supercell. May have a good opportunity to sample a streamwise vorticity current. #KSwx
Anyone use OpenShot or another open source video editing program? Not looking for anything overly robust, just need to take multiple clips and merge them together.
For those in the NWS working on spring training, CR-CWIP has released two videos focused on high-shear, low-CAPE (HSLC) severe weather. The first, linked here, explores the climatology and forecasting/warning caveats associated with HSLC severe weather. youtu.be/9WljWzrYlp4?si…
Brock Purdy, multiple times, put San Francisco in position to win it.
I think the Twisters trailer we saw was the only storm they get on. The rest of the movie is just them trying to get out of OKC or DFW but traffic keeps them from reaching their target, th bullseye of 8 STP.
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1K Followers 662 Following PhD in Meteorology ‘27 | Scientist | Meteorologist | Lover of supercells and QLCSs | Lake Zurich, IL ➡️ Norman, OK | Opinions are my ownAaron Hill @DrAaronHill
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What do I do when I’m not issuing warnings? Oh you know just looking at old warnings 😂😂. Well before my time at Mobile but all apart of multiple projects to hopefully make this dumb warning stuff easier and more consistent. Always working to make the product better. #TheGrind
New feature on the SPC Mesoanalysis page: Mesoanalysis hodographs! Double click anywhere on the map to bring up the table with environment parameters and climo tables and it’s the last tab. There must be 100 MUCAPE for the hodographs to plot.
Several quick edits of several tornadoes near Palmer, IA this afternoon! Extremely picturesque storm that did nothing but produce noodles for around an hour. Not too shabby for the first chase of the year! #iawx
Returning from western Iowa with a view of the cumulonimbus cloud associated with the tornado warned storm in Calhoun/Pocahontas Counties from Highway 141 just east of Manning, IA. #iawx @NWSDesMoines
My labor of love, “Simulated WSR-88D Observations of the Streamwise Vorticity Current” - an extension of my Master’s research, is now published in the @nwas Journal of Operational Meteorology! nwafiles.nwas.org/jom/articles/2…
Issued my first convective SPS tonight! Had to use @NWSRapidCity's radar as it had a better view of the storm. Truly a full circle moment there! 😄
@akrullj Models should handle the onset of the LLJ well, but the clock is also ticking on the early-evening BL transition
@akrullj I think initial development should be discrete given that the deep-layer shear vector is nearly normal to the dryline. The LLJ should also yield good hodograph curvature down low. Storms need to get to about the longitude of PTT to have a shot thermodynamically I think.
💯 WoFS is best utilized post-CI.
Word of advice re WoFS, try not to put too much attention to pre-CI cycles, especially near the domain boundaries. Some research has shown WoFS is really sensitive to lateral boundaries. Gets better once radar DA kicks in post CI.
Word of advice re WoFS, try not to put too much attention to pre-CI cycles, especially near the domain boundaries. Some research has shown WoFS is really sensitive to lateral boundaries. Gets better once radar DA kicks in post CI.
Apparently, boundary conditions are doing a lot of work today in WoFS. Both images are reflectivity paintballs (all members overlaid) valid 00z. North domain has good probability of ongoing cells in SW KS at that time; south domain has virtually none.
@_EmilyThornton_ The number of people that have asked me “what do you think of Monday?” is really flattering, but my answer is “my thought is it’s ~72 hours away” lol
Excited to spend a lot of time here over the next several years! I’ll be starting my PhD at OU in the fall, working with Dr. Amy McGovern and Dr. Aaron Hill on explainable and physics-based AI for severe weather applications. Looking forward to Norman!
Very complex and impactful convective scenario ongoing right now. Warm-sector supercells strengthening as they move onshore, multiple mesovortices in a surging QLCS, all amidst a sickle-shaped shear profile near KMOB. To sum it up: lots of low-level SRH.
Me looking at the latest model guidance for tomorrow. Gonna have to sleep with one eye open on this one before my midnight shift tomorrow.