The Chain Reaction @TheChainRN

Damn it feels good to be a gangster instagram.com/thechainrn Joined November 2021

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₿lackwidow 🕷 @blackwidowbtc

2 years ago

Not everything is “psyops” CT is in the business of getting you rekt 2 ex: they rekt you at the crypto top and it was v popular that C19 was a joke, until they got sick Most are influenced by an agenda DYOR -stop trying to fit in here bc noone cares when the consequences hit

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The Chain Reaction @TheChainRN

2 years ago

Looks like JPow spooked some real $BTC hodlers on Friday. On-chain movement shows 7-10 year #BTC hodlers moved a lot of coins. This cohort is generally good at reading macro highs/lows so it looks like they believe the "Fed Pivot" is off the menu. The bear market ain't over yet:

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The Chain Reaction @TheChainRN

2 years ago

fantasy draft coming up and need a team name soon. Waddya guys think: - 2 coopers, 1 kupp (amari cooper, copper kupp) - CeeDeez Nutz (ceedee lamb) - The Dak Morris Band (dak Prescott) - Judge Jeudy (jerry jeudy) - Dawson Knox’ Creek (obvious) Thank God for $BTC and fantasy.

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The Chain Reaction @TheChainRN

2 years ago

$BTC has been range bound for a month. During that time, who's selling? There was a Coin Days Destroyed spike in mid-july (left graph) which was mostly from 1.5 - 2 year "hodlers" (right graph). It looks like 2020-21 #BTC buyers got more than they bargained for. #ETH #ETHereum

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The Chain Reaction @TheChainRN

2 years ago

Bear market rally or $BTC reversal? #BTC leverage ratio grew to all time high while on-chain shows new interest, in the form of 3-6 month HODL wave remains tepid. This is the brewing of fomo-driven pump. Notice 3-6 month HODL waves peak (green circles) after fomo rallies. #ETH

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The Chain Reaction @TheChainRN

2 years ago

Today's 75bps hike was priced in and we are now at this stage of my Jan '22 $BTC forecast (green circle). Obviously the price levels are not exact (posted on Jan 14) but main factors remain in play. Sept FOMC mtg will be most impt for #BTC possibly ever: x.com/thechainrn/sta…

The Chain Reaction @TheChainRN

2 years ago

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The Chain Reaction @TheChainRN

2 years ago

$BTC is back at/over Realized Price which is great. But prior bear markets saw #BTC spend significantly more time below RP than so far this time. The '15 bear market saw RP act as resistence for a year. Not trying to be a debbie downer but just keeping things in perspective #ETH

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The Chain Reaction @TheChainRN

2 years ago

Ex-wife is up to something fellas. I don't know what it is but uh...I don't like it: #BTC $BTC #ETH news.coincu.com/110445-61500-b…

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The Chain Reaction @TheChainRN

2 years ago

Tesla sold 75% of their $BTC - that's fine, I don't care what Elon does in #Crypto or overall. But take note of CT "experts" who wet their pants when the next Elon makes a #BTC move. These fanboys lack impulse control and cannot analyze anything more complex than a TikTok dance.

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The Chain Reaction @TheChainRN

2 years ago

Many CT analysts declared $BTC price reaction to CPI bullish but in terms of derivatives, reaction hasn't happened yet. Liquidation volume is negligible compared to prior CPI prints and leverage is still up. Given how boomer market is behaving, look for a shaky weekend for #BTC

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db @tier10k

2 years ago

[DB] CPI YoY: 9.1% Est. 8.8%

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The Chain Reaction @TheChainRN

2 years ago

Here we go again. Est Leverage Ratio spiked ahead of CPI print this Weds - same as last two times. If inflation comes in hot (>8.8%), look for another leg down for $BTC and boomer market. Rate hike this month is locked in but a hot CPI read means hikes going into 2023. #BTC #ETH

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The Chain Reaction @TheChainRN

2 years ago

$BTC Net Unrealized Loss over the past month remained steady at similar price levels. On 6/13 and 7/6, #BTC prices were close ($500 apart) and NUL was close too (0.01 difference) - hodlers are hodling tight. The speculators and "tourists" left the party. It's just us now. #ETH

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The Chain Reaction @TheChainRN

2 years ago

Quick update on whale 3 ("the ex-wife"). Her overall $BTC balance is now the highest ever as she stacks sats through #crypto winter. We all know the expression, "time to buy is when there's blood in the streets" - she may be doing that now. #BTC #ETH #ETHereum