Nathan 🔍 @NathanpmYoung
forecasting poaster boy. Will bet $10 on any statement I make. nathanpmyoung.substack.com London, England Joined February 2013-
Tweets77K
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I didn’t realise some deliveroo riders were getting this little. I guess he’s on the low end but still. Not convinced we need a change in the law but i may tip more in future.
I didn’t realise some deliveroo riders were getting this little. I guess he’s on the low end but still. Not convinced we need a change in the law but i may tip more in future.
Today, is “the King’s day” in the Netherlands. Amsterdam’s biggest park (Vondelpark) allows kids up to 16 year old to sell stuff in the park (toys, snacks, “services” like tomato smashing). The park is packed with them. This must be one reason the country is so entrepreneurial.
Okay but what if DUNE was a comedy? Fan trailer by yours truly.
I see that @metaculus has a median forecast of 3% that human H5N1 cases will exceed 500,000 before the end of the year. But, only 28 people have made a forecast, and there's only 1 forecast in the last month! Could we get more interest/thoughts on this? metaculus.com/questions/1501…
RIP Roon's account. We'll miss you, buddy.
For anyone who understands corporate fraud (which honestly I don't) what would be a big milestone in this case? - SEC prosecution? - Something else?
An incomplete list of things you can do to meet people
PSA: Fleabag is now (since always?) available on Amazon Prime Video, and if you haven't seen it yet you absolutely should.
The great @NathanpmYoung used AI to create a song inspired by "My Beautiful Bubble." REALLY GOOD. suno.com/song/5f6d4d5d-…
joining that cult so just one time i can say “wagwan bhagwan”
Who wants to write a piece for us on how and why this happened?
Who wants to write a piece for us on how and why this happened?
Stefan Schubert @StefanFSchubert
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interlocutor @Interlocut0r_
25 Followers 162 Following
Kasumba animal rescue.. @KasumbaVic96089
31 Followers 795 Following ↪️Rescuing and giving new home to stray dogs ,please be kind for those innocent animals sharing is caring and caring is love 💕 please DONATE ⬇️⬇️
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Roger's Bacon @RogersBacon1
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6K Followers 659 Following all my posts are shitposts that simultaneously reveal the true nature of reality. large language models; kinda EA; 🏳️⚧️
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41 Followers 4K Following 'I am one of those smaller scale disturbances, with an attitude' -- elspethc
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Kass Popper - e/acc @foomagemindset
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Kurtis Lockhart @kurtislockhart
2K Followers 4K Following Executive Director @CCIdotCity | Co-host of the Charter Cities Podcast | PhD Politics candidate @UniofOxford @NuffieldCollege
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900 Followers 311 Following (formerly @sophiethemathmo) Mathmo Noun 1. (slang) Student of Mathematics 2. Lover of all things Mathsy 3. Me https://t.co/3huWFZzReJ
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5K Followers 182 Following We sell sunlight after dark. https://t.co/BAN6JRW1KK
kache (dingboard.com) @yacineMTB
53K Followers 3K Following i'm a swe. go to https://t.co/pWRBfY8kn2 - AI image editing IN YOUR BROWSER! follow to watch a self funded founder beat VC backed AI startups with @dingboard_
Xeophon @TheXeophon
1K Followers 839 Following
Forecasting Research .. @Research_FRI
578 Followers 21 Following Research institute focused on developing forecasting methods to improve decision-making on high-stakes issues, led by chief scientist Philip Tetlock.
Angelina @whyangelinawhy
20K Followers 1K Following Ugly hot mess appreciator. currently co-hosting @musicalsplainin. Baby Billy Hive. writing stuff for @thelindsayellis.
Asimov Press @AsimovPress
2K Followers 39 Following Asimov Press publishes writing about scientific progress, especially in biology. Pitch: [email protected]
Fascinating interview by @Matthew_Trench of @jasontrost on the Business of Betting pod. pca.st/3eksy4vw
Forty-odd years ago, almost 40% of the world lived in extreme poverty. Today it's around 10%. ourworldindata.org/extreme-povert…
Forty-odd years after neoliberalism took hold it’s clear it doesn’t work. In fact, it never had either a robust theory or the data to back up its claims. Time to introduce a new, more freeing capitalism that allows all people to live up to their potential. That’s what I do in my…
@JosephEStiglitz Then why does every nation that favors the economic strategies of neoliberalism, let’s say farther on the scale towards it, economically progresses more then the nations that are further on the scale of the policies you prefer?
One of the thrills of watching live sport is being "in the room where it happens". But now, someone half a world away watching on half their TV screen knows what is going on before you do. At cricket matches, you get to see the replays on the big screen in the ground. But not…
Some more thoughts on VAR from today at the London Stadium. VAR makes the game worse for fans in the ground. Typical example in today's #WHULIV game: a VAR check for offside & a pen. In the ground we don't know what's going on: we can't see replays but TV viewers can.
Don’t let people control you with the threat that you are being closed-minded. If someone makes no sense to you, you should not twist yourself in knots to make sense of them (good way to misunderstand), nor should you assume they must have some great meaning under all that.
Thinking about the immortal 6000 year old dog tumor STD that still has the DNA of the original dog
Just now realising I never clearly distinguished Tom Holland and Timothy Chamalet in my mind.
Tom Holland and Zendaya are reportedly planning marriage. (Via: people.com/zendaya-tom-ho…)
All the dramatic claims have been about Twitter, but I feel like Facebook has already quietly become basically-not-a-functional-website. It is no longer a place with core functionality like 'in a discussion, there's a way for each person to get notified when the other responds'.
lol hearing my 8 yo play Hades. “Nice try Hydra. You have five heads and no brains.”
@greenmiranda Exit poll was a bit off in 1997
@e_galv Takes like this are what hold the Progressive movement back
@e_galv I'm guessing you don't understand politics. All good, leave politics for those who actually understand. I hate Biden, but having her get closer, and move up the lader is a good thing. She is close enough to Biden, where hopefully soon she can start convincing him on stuff
the closer she is to biden the more power the progressive movement holds. yall suck at politics
AOC is the definition of a wolf in sheep’s clothing.
the odds are good but the goods are bad
done meeting women on dating apps gonna meet them the natural way: through MLM scams
people on twitter will really be like "you're getting ethnically cleansed from San Francisco? that pales in effectiveness to my strategy, building the network state" and then not build the network state
So proud of how the babies did on the 9 hour plane ride—more agreeable than a lot of adults on planes, tbh! Shout-out to the nice auntie behind us who held hands with our grinning 1yo and eventually just gave in and asked to hold her for a quick cuddle because she was so cute
A PATRIOT Fire Unit runs around $450 Million. Someone should have just placed orders for a dozen or more for these last year and we'd be seeing these in the production pipeline now (with currently in production ones prioritized for Ukraine). Instead we play these stupid games.
According to Le Paris, Spain has refused to deliver a Patriot battery to Ukraine will will donate a small number of missiles for use in previously donated battery's. elpais.com/internacional/…
thanks to llama400b code gen sota, dingboard was able to hire ex rapper "50 cent" for front end development now that anyone can code, we can get the help that we need
the romans after i go back in time and show them postgres:
Y'all ever think how databases are a superpower? Whole empires could have been saved from destruction by a single database you could quickly read and write to.
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