Kelsey Piper @KelseyTuoc
Senior writer at Vox's Future Perfect. [email protected] vox.com/authors/kelsey… Oakland, CA Joined June 2018-
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Vaccines * Saved 154 million lives from 1974-present * 146 million of those were kids under 5, 101 million infants * Total years of life saved is 9 *billion* * Measles vaccine alone saved 93.7 million lives vox.com/future-perfect…
Assuming this is correct there are still only good guys in this story. It's good to formulate plausible hypotheses about how to help the poor. It's good to rigorously test them. If they don't work, it's good to know so that, over time, we know more and more about what to do.
Assuming this is correct there are still only good guys in this story. It's good to formulate plausible hypotheses about how to help the poor. It's good to rigorously test them. If they don't work, it's good to know so that, over time, we know more and more about what to do.
Good sanity check from @KelseyTuoc on all the Boeing news: “The NTSB lists 12 incidents on commercial aircraft in the US so far this year. Last year, during the same time period, there were 13 such incidents. From 2010 to 2023, there were on average 36 incidents a year”
The data are on a 1-5 scale, the mean is 4.61, and the standard deviation is 1.64 . . . What’s so wrong about that?? statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/04/19/the…
“He had acquired his belief not by honestly earning it in patient investigation, but by stifling his doubts. And although in the end he may have felt so sure about it that he could not think otherwise, yet inasmuch as he had knowingly and willingly worked statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/04/10/acq/
I'd missed in all the excitement that Dias actually sued Rochester just like Gino sued Harvard
I'd missed in all the excitement that Dias actually sued Rochester just like Gino sued Harvard https://t.co/kPeHYgZR8m
Many-shot jailbreaking exploits the long context windows of current LLMs. The attacker inputs a prompt beginning with hundreds of faux dialogues where a supposed AI complies with harmful requests. This overrides the LLM's safety training:
Terrible to see the many reports about rising suicide rates among young people in the US. I wanted to see whether this is also happening in other countries. In many other countries it isn't happening, and rates are mostly constant or falling
The xz backdoor was the final part of a campaign that spanned two years of operations. These operations were predominantly HUMINT style agent operations. There was an approach that lasted months before the Jia Tan persona was well positioned to be given a trusted role.
Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹.. @ESYudkowsky
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175K Followers 89 Following The original AI alignment person. Missing punctuation at the end of a sentence means it's humor. If you're not sure, it's also very likely humor.Robin Hanson @robinhanson
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8K Followers 2K Following Evolutionary virology postdoc @ Univ of Utah. Previously Penn Medicine. Coronaviruses and the Wasatch.My research on 1960s civil rights protests found that, on average, heavy-handed tactics by authorities against protesters helped to build sympathy for the activist’s cause. A sobering counter example, though, is the polling following Kent State:
@medicalpoke @DinaPomeranz “A Gallup Poll taken shortly after shootings at Kent State revealed 58% of respondents believed responsibility for the deaths lay w/ demonstrators; 11% blamed National Guard. One author wrote, ‘These were the most popular murders ever committed in the US’” huffingtonpost.com/jesse-kornblut…
Why have I tweeted a lot about Alejandra Caraballo and Erin Reed over the past 2 weeks: 1. The Cass Review came out and became a monumental global news story. 2. Caraballo and Reed, who have massive platforms, told many falsehoods about it. 3. As I did with monkeypox…
Protest that follow university time/place/manner rules should obviously be allowed, independently of the protest viewpoint. That's easy. The tricky question raised by the current college protests, I take it, is what administrations should do when protests are in violation of…
@helen_of_roy The only thing that matters in this story is that a baby was born 3 weeks ago She could throw all the dishes in the sink in the garbage and buy a new set at Costco for $80 and we're still talking about dishes Dishes A baby was just born
4yo is begging me desperately for a book on the War of 1812, because it gets an offhand mention in her Johnny Appleseed book and it's not in any of her other history books so she thinks it's really exciting secret knowledge.
there is no greater sign of a fraud than endorsing community gardens as a solution to any problem other than not having something to do with your sunday morning
Imagine if we instead prioritised community allotments, local gardens, playgrounds, cycling infrastructure, public transport... all of which lead to cleaner air, improved climate resilience, and healthier, happier people. 5/6
Median Twitter user: Hamas did nothing wrong, #FullCommunismNow Median voter: I want Joe Biden to close the border, legalize abortion, cut taxes, get me health care, kill terrorists, solve climate change, and lower gas prices
Every time
you support federalism because you want to enable policy experimentation I support federalism to increase the likelihood that at least one government screws up while responding to reporters we are not the same
@RiverTamYDN having been a single working mom, from a rural background where we do (never me personally) sometimes use guns to put down animals, and who once gave up a rescue dog because i didn’t trust it around my baby, i was primed to feel sympathy. after reading it, i did not
This seems like good evidence that “ground game” doesn’t matter.
People don’t talk about how there was *0* Dem ground game in 2020 b/c of COVID - while the Trump campaign was in full swing. Its the exact opposite for 2024. Dems are dominating ground game while GOP campaign operations are nonexistent
So the owner of the New York Times told his reporters to give Biden negative coverage, because Biden wouldn't do an interview with the Times
wow - NYT reporter says their nonstop coverage of Biden’s age is retribution for not giving their boss an interview: “It’s A.G. He’s the one who is pissed [that] Biden hasn’t done any interviews and quietly encourages all the tough reporting on his age.” politi.co/4b9avJs
Everyone's focusing on the dog (understandable) but the goat part of the story is way funnier.
building new housing provided no benefit to renters, huh?
@cafedujord @ruffdrawn The issue: upzoning leads to cash grab for land speculators. Not much benefit to renters or ftb folks. Non market housing would fix this.
every time IPCC updates their forecast for warming by late-21st century falls because the world's economy is decarbonizing faster than anybody predicted. we are, as a species, kicking climate change's butt, through science, which is awesome.
also these figures are fake to begin with, there's not actually any family planning policy that would have these effects, let alone by 2050. what we actually need to do is replace fossil fuels. that's it. that's the whole plan. and we're doing it. we're winning.
if you have to choose been: a) systematically suppressing the family formation of people who, big coincidence, happen to be almost entirely non-white and b) *checks notes* wasting less food and having a more functional cold chain every person who isn't a monster chooses B.
Often overlooked, achieving lower fertility through girls' education & voluntary #familyplanning ranks among the top 5 most impactful solutions identified @ProjectDrawdown. This approach has the potential to reduce global emissions by a staggering 69 gigatons of CO2 equivalent.
Remember, @NaomiOreskes said it’s good to suppress population growth in poor countries because children born there won’t be a source of “ideas and skills” to improve society anyway.
if you have to choose been: a) systematically suppressing the family formation of people who, big coincidence, happen to be almost entirely non-white and b) *checks notes* wasting less food and having a more functional cold chain every person who isn't a monster chooses B.
We need to urgently work on climate change adaptation in South Asia, and adaptation in multiple dimensions that covers both health and livelihood risks
The heat has been brutal this week in Bangladesh. Eight people have died of heat stroke and 33 million children have been unable to go to school. Its the hottest month in 75 years, and its predicted to continue. This is just the start - and Asia is the canary in the coal mine.