Wolfgang Munchau @EuroBriefing
speaks with a German accent, writes with a British one. Director of Eurointelligence; Columnist for New Statesman and DL News eurointelligence.com Oxford Joined October 2009-
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In our latest podcast, our team discusses Europe's hardening - and Germany's softening - position on China, and where this will lead. eurointelligence.com/podcasts
Germany's China strategy is not in sync with the US and not the rest of the EU. This is yet another case of a special relationship Scholz is trying to defend against the odds. My latest column in the New Statesman newstatesman.com/comment/2024/0…
In my latest column for DLNews, I discuss whether Bitcoin is a bubble. The answer is that it depends on whether you see as an investment - with a dollar return - or as a hedge against currency debasement. dlnews.com/articles/peopl…
one of the themes in our latest newsbriefing is a comparison between Germany's reliance on China with the subprime crisis. It is insane for large industrial companies to rely on China for 40% of their sales in the current geopolitical climate. eurointelligence.com
my latest New Statesman column on the consequences of America's slow retreat from Europe. newstatesman.com/comment/2024/0…
The main story in our Eurointelligence briefing this morning is on Scholz' U-turn of the U-turn. He is reconnecting with the China policies of the Merkel era. Our public story is about why Ursula von der Leyen is not assured of a second term. eurointelligence.com
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the splits between the European right and the European far-right over migration. They both stand to gain seats at the European elections, but they won't be united force. eurointelligence.com/podcasts
In our lead story this morning we detect tentative signs of life in Germany, and wonder whether the uptick in industrial production could be the start of a recovery. Our public story is about the astonishing comeback of Francois Hollande. eurointelligence.com
In our latest podcast our team discusses how misleading policy indicators lead to poor political decisions. Examples include dollar-based GDP comparisons between countries, which systemically overestimates the proportion of western countries in global economic output.…
My latest New Statesman column on the SPD's Russia connection. newstatesman.com/comment/2024/0…
Today's Eurointelligence briefing is fully outside the paywall. Our two main stories this morning are Europe's likely next financial crisis, and the near-certain collapse of the EU's nature restoration law, a key plank of the European Commission's Green Deal. We also have stories…
In our latest podcast, our team discuss Wilders' tactical retreat, and the rise of Chega in Portugal. eurointelligence.com/podcasts
our daily newsbriefing this morning focuses on the opposing foreign policy shifts in Germany and France. Our public story is about forecasting in the age of data dependence. eurointelligence.com
my latest New Statesman column is on the limits of strategic ambiguity when you are politically divided. newstatesman.com/comment/2024/0…
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the fiscal policy impact of low productivity growth. eurointelligence.com/podcasts
In our latest podcast, out team discusses the future of European security without the US, and with France and Germany on opposite sides of the debate. eurointelligence.com/podcasts
Our news briefing this morning focuses on the split in the western alliance - with the UK and France on one side, Germany on the other, and the US disengaged. eurointelligence.com
My latest New Statesman column is on the legacy of Ursula von der Leyen. newstatesman.com/comment/2024/0…
In our newsbriefing this morning, we are discussing the failure of Europe's supply chain directive and what it signifies about the future of the Green agenda. Our public story is about the Russian-Iranian economic alliance. eurointelligence.com
My latest column in the New Statesman on second-best outcomes. newstatesman.com/world/europe/u…
Vladimiro Giacché @Comunardo
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11K Followers 35 Following Accurate, honest and responsible news and analyses on cryptocurrency and DeFi | The news arm of @DefiLlama TG newsfeed: https://t.co/1PRy9OSGFlThe extremist #AUR party in #Romania is gaining ground by capitalising on the societal anger and frustration directed at mainstream parties, writes @thezvoner. Click the link to log in and read 👇 visegradinsight.eu/aur-anger-at-r… FYI, @ainayeh, @raalcom, @DomaradzkiSpas
Cela s’appelle un appel au meurtre (en plus d’un journaliste) et relève des tribunaux. Comme j’ai bloqué ce demeuré, cela m’avait échappé (merci à l’internaute qui me l’a signalé) @Interieur_Gouv
Si quatremer, europeiste fanatique était le dixième de l'homme qu'il prétend être alors il irait au front et 20 à 25 minutes plus tard, je pourrais offrir une vodka à un sympathique youri pour avoir rentabiliser une balle pour l'humanité.
.@jordanbpeterson is right to resist re-education. thefp.com/p/will-jordan-…
Aumentar el número de carriles para reducir la congestión es como aflojar el cinturón para solucionar el sobrepeso (Mumford, 1955)
I raised today an action for annulment in my capacity as MEP at the CJEU against the Taxonomy Delegated Act. The @EU_Commission has exceeded its powers. Moreover, single MEPs must get an enforceable minority right at the CJEU to review a violation of their rights. A thread 👇🏻
*GOLDMAN FORECASTS INTEREST RATE IN 3% RANGE, WALDRON SAYS
Judgment H.M. and Others v. Hungary - Use of handcuffs and leash on asylum seeker amounted to inhuman and degrading treatment hudoc.echr.coe.int/app/conversion… #ECHR #CEDH #ECHRpress
Russia's current account is ~$100bn in Jan-April due to high commodity prices--historically unprecedented. A preliminary estimate by @bank_of_russia of $95.8 cbr.ru/eng/statistics… On track for our CA surplus of $200-$250bn in 2022 as imports continue to contract.
Hey ho - despite predicting that #inflation will now rise to around 10% this year, the Bank of England's #MPC has hiked interest rates by just 25bp, to 1%... 🙁
I'm going to stick my neck out and predict that the Bank of England will hike rates by 50bp tomorrow, to 1.25%. Staff will have to raise their #inflation forecasts, yet again, and the MPC needs to catch up too. But it's a close call. Some arguments for just doing 25bp... (1/2)
Before Sunak's budget, taxes were heading to a 71-year high. Now, it's a 77-year high. Join The Spectator team in Westminster this evening as we ask whether this was - after all - a tax-cutting budget. (starts 7.30pm, bar opens 6pm) eventbrite.co.uk/e/coffee-house…
We have huge expertise and talent across our city and I’m sure many individuals and businesses will want to help. My office stands ready to give you the best advice we can. Please keep showing your support for Ukraine. They fight for our interests too. Thank you. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
Today is the birth anniversary of one of the greatest of the modern poets of the Shaktic tradition – Kazi Nazrul Islam. Kazi Nazrul Islam: The Poet Child of Mother Kali swarajyamag.com/culture/the-po…
I see the ARIA press release frames FOI as bureaucratic, oh dear The UK gov's retreat from open gov continues gov.uk/government/new… (Link to bill & explanatory notes: bills.parliament.uk/bills/2836/pub…)
Why ever did @FT dispense with the services of this excellent contrarian writer? New editor too keen to maintain a party line?
Travel ban will have a bigger impact on the Brexit talks than on controlling the spread of the mutant virus. - eurointelligence.com
Is this the first trade-included travel ban of the pandemic?
Ferry terminal at the port of Dover is "closed to all accompanied traffic leaving the UK until further notice due to border restrictions in France" For more on this and other news visit news.sky.com
• #Hungary should have served as an early warning system that turning a blind eye on democratic backsliding would eventually escalate into a #ruleoflaw crisis in the #EU By @ZgutEdit @_ceuw @gmfus & @JarasJarasy inpris.pl #DemocraCE 📰👇 visegradinsight.eu/danger-budget-…
full 3 minute clip is not as deal-negative as the “get ready for Australia” cut down version... Also noticed PM accidentally said “Australia-style deal” which he has avoided recently as it is literally not a deal. Has been using “arrangements resembling Australia’s” recently...
In German higher education, about 80% of all staff members are on temporary contracts. Many other branches and many other higher education systems are no less innovative, but might well have an inverse relationship between temporary and permanent contracts.