Alex (xelan) @xelan_gta
Highlighting crucial Canadian Real Estate & Macro Trends with a spotlight on Toronto Metro (GTA). Contact for bespoke market research(＄). xelan.substack.com Toronto | Newsletter 👉 Joined May 2018-
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Development land sales for high density sites are at a 10 year low. This follows closely to the new condo sales market which just experienced 15 year lows. Ultimately land is a proxy for the future of a market. Currently we are in a contraction which began ever so slightly…
Toronto Metro (GTA) weekly active inventory update. Active resale inventory exceeded the month-end seasonal target confirming that another resale inventory buildup period has started. 🚨Expect market weakening ahead.
Great data point👍. Electric Vehicle space is changing very rapidly, and the prices of new electric cars are declining as well. Hoping the electric grid is ready for what will come out of it.
Great data point👍. Electric Vehicle space is changing very rapidly, and the prices of new electric cars are declining as well. Hoping the electric grid is ready for what will come out of it.
Can someone explain please, if investor sells a property with $500k capital gain in 2024, will new or old rules apply?
Can someone explain please, if investor sells a property with $500k capital gain in 2024, will new or old rules apply?
Toronto Metro (GTA) weekly active inventory update. It seems that we're entering another phase of resale inventory accumulation.👀
Big day of Federal Housing Plan interviews for the podcast tomorrow. Subscribe so you don’t miss this episode. We’ll try to have it out on Tuesday. podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the…
This puzzle is solved now. 🏦The Bank of Canada consistently underestimated 🇨🇦 population growth over the past year, revising its forecasts upward with each Monetary Policy Report (MPR).
This puzzle is solved now. 🏦The Bank of Canada consistently underestimated 🇨🇦 population growth over the past year, revising its forecasts upward with each Monetary Policy Report (MPR). https://t.co/hyokeYKVMB
An interesting thread for wealthy first-time home buyers.
An interesting thread for wealthy first-time home buyers.
Looks like the new federal housing plan is out! Will be reviewing over the next half hour or so. Follow this thread.
Looks like the new federal housing plan is out! Will be reviewing over the next half hour or so. Follow this thread.
The Canadian government will allow 30-year amortization periods on insured mortgages for first-time homebuyers purchasing newly built homes ctvnews.ca/politics/canad…
The 🏦BoC increased the neutral policy rate by 0.25% to 2.25-3.25% range. This acknowledges the presence of higher structural inflationary pressures, necessitating higher interest rates to counterbalance them. This corresponds to the lowest 5-year Variable Mtg. rate of 3.5-4.5%
Reality check on '24 international student cap in 🇨🇦 Policymakers: The new cap will decrease International Student enrollments by 28% vs 2023. International Students: 32% already changed their plans.
🔥The Bank of Canada's modelling confirms an annual population growth drop in 🇨🇦 from 1.27 million to about 300,000 for the next three years.
Toronto Metro (GTA) weekly active inventory update.
👏Very true. Housing pressures existed even before the latest surge in non-permanent residents and policymakers turned a blind eye.
Deadline for Ukrainians' arrival in Canada under CUAET program is extended until July 31, 2024. canada.ca/en/immigration… This is important as approximately 675,000 approved applicants haven't arrived in Canada. This represents an upside potential for population growth.
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Buy low and sell high. Natural gas is currently re-testing the lows of its prior 7 major bottoms. If you ask me, time to step in.
Asylum claims by international students have skyrocketed since 2018, data show theglobeandmail.com/canada/article…
Comparing Boeing and Airbus airline incidents.
@xelan_gta @BenRabidoux And the Americans are scared because of Mexico and all their free trade agreements thedrive.com/news/us-pressu…
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@xelan_gta If someone sells after the end of June. The “new” rules will apply. The total difference in tax between the old system and the new system is a bit over $22,000. IMHO. If you managed to profit off of a 500,000 capital gain you can pay an extra $22,000.
@xelan_gta It depends on when you sell, if you sell before June it doesn’t apply but if you sell after June 2024, it applies
@xelan_gta June 25, 2024 seems to be the deadline for being under old rules.
@xelan_gta After June 25th the new rules would apply is my understanding.
@JohnPasalis I think drinks at Library Bar is the better platform. Soon, my friend.
Big day of Federal Housing Plan interviews for the podcast tomorrow. Subscribe so you don’t miss this episode. We’ll try to have it out on Tuesday. podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the…
Forecasting is hard when it comes to temp worker-driven population growth
This puzzle is solved now. 🏦The Bank of Canada consistently underestimated 🇨🇦 population growth over the past year, revising its forecasts upward with each Monetary Policy Report (MPR).
@xelan_gta @chrisb_edwards Yes Quebec may give up their quota? I’m just saying Alberta wants more immigrants and wants the right to say how many.
This chart shows the trajectory of land value relative to dwelling structures over time. I wonder why land values have come down so much as percent of the value equation lately? 🤔
@rob_siglio @xelan_gta Yes, typically policy changes to address an issue usually occurs after the dust has already settled, exacerbating the problem in the opposite direction. 😄
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