Jonathan Caverley @jcaverley
US Naval War College professor and interim Press Editor in Chief. Opinions are mine. jonathancaverley.com Newport, RI Joined March 2010-
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@RnaudBertrand China is not a global hegemon and may not even want to be a global hegemon. But the episodes depicted here are classic examples of the role played (sometimes unwillingly) by a global hegemon.
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Jonathan Caverley retweeted
I personally believe it would have made an enormous difference, as I argued in the piece below. Ukraine needed modern weapons to better match Russia’s capabilities, especially at the start of the war, before China, North Korea and Iran got involved. reader.foreignaffairs.com/2025/07/01/ukr…
Jonathan Caverley retweeted
Sounds familiar
A way i’ve seen charterers get around jones act recently is by discharging & reloading in the Bahamas mid route I’ve seen this happen with vessels loading in the US Gulf, stopping in Freeport, then going to the East/West Coast At $90k+/day people will find alternative solutions
@shashj I hope the fact that my family gives up on it after the first hour is not dispositive!
@alessionaval @tshugart3 @TXNatSecReview The 7th Fleet at the bottom of the ocean would seem to be a more effective dismantling of US security guarantees to Japan and ROK.
This @WSJ article’s maps undercut its claim that Taiwan's conquest will allow China to “dominate the region’s strategic waterways, project military power widely into the Pacific and more aggressively pursue its contested maritime and territorial claims." wsj.com/world/asia/chi…
Dominating the water- and airspace far into the Pacific is a prerequisite for a successful PLA invasion, not vice versa. In the @TXNatSecReview, I argue that Taiwan does not change the military balance either way. tnsr.org/2025/06/so-wha…
As @tshugart3 notes, the just-released China Military Power Report assesses that current mainland PLAN capability could "seriously challenge and disrupt" U.S. forces out to 1500-2000 nm. Taiwan bumps out these range rings by a vanishingly small margin. x.com/tshugart3/stat…
The new report also states that China has been practicing components of all of its options to force Taiwan unification, including strikes on U.S. forces in the Pacific that could "seriously challenge and disrupt" them out to 1500-2000 nm.
Elsewhere I've argued that the fleet is a nation's grand strategy manifest in steel, because it endures for decades. The late Cold War's carrier-centric Navy defined unipolar power projection. Procurement decisions like these are thus very consequential. journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.117…
Distributed Maritime Operations is not possible with these future crewed classes alone. It will require a new concept of operations or *lots* of fast, robustly networked, uncrewed vessels loaded w/ missiles. That was probably always the case to an extent, but this burns bridges.
On the "Golden Fleet" and the new "battleship" class, @samlagrone and @MalShelbourne do great work detailing the proposed specs from @NAVSEA in @USNINews. Given the numbers it's hard to see how US Navy's "distributed maritime operations" is feasible. news.usni.org/2025/12/22/tru…
Jonathan Caverley retweeted
Diverging defence priorities, coupled with European rearmament, are reducing the free-rider problem that has long strained the relationship between the United States and European NATO | Analysis by @jcaverley and Ethan B. Kapstein | FREE TO READ | go.iiss.org/4poJitA
Jonathan Caverley retweeted
Diverging defence priorities, coupled with European rearmament, are reducing the free-rider problem that has long strained the relationship between the United States and European NATO | Analysis by @jcaverley and Ethan B. Kapstein | FREE TO READ | go.iiss.org/4poJitA
Jonathan Caverley retweeted
Diverging defence priorities, coupled with European rearmament, are reducing the free-rider problem that has long strained the relationship between the United States and European NATO | Analysis by @jcaverley and Ethan B. Kapstein | FREE TO READ | go.iiss.org/4poJitA
If (a big if) South Korea has decided it needs nukes, for deterrence & strategic stability, it's better they be in a survivable, second-strike nuclear submarine. Improved conventional deterrence via a larger US submarine industrial base could be a secondary, stabilizing effect.
Second, if (a big if) South Korea helping to fund an additional U.S. shipyard that can produce submarines would be an *enormous* development in the (very) long-term Indo-Pacific balance. I'm not sure it is worth the price in terms of proliferation, but...
Two thoughts on this news, besides🤷♂️. First, the expense of ROK nuclear-powered submarines only makes operational sense to me for a South Korean nuclear deterrent. While understandable at some level, proliferation is never a happy development.
Trump said the US will share tech with South Korea to build a nuclear-powered sub. Trump said it will be built at the Philly Shipyard, owned by South Korea’s Hanwha. The yard isn’t currently equipped to handle nuclear material or build military ships. politico.com/news/2025/10/2…
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Paul Poast @ProfPaulPoast
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Blake Herzinger @BDHerzinger
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Emma Ashford @EmmaMAshford
45K Followers 2K Following Senior Fellow @Stimsoncenter. Also: @ForeignPolicy @GeorgetownCSS. Mum x2. All views mine.
Alessio Patalano @alessionaval
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Dr Emma Salisbury @salisbot
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Tom Shugart @tshugart3
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Carrie A Lee @CarrieALee1
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Erik Lin-Greenberg @eriklg
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cdrsalamander @cdrsalamander
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Jim Goldgeier @JimGoldgeier
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Sara Mitchell @sbmitche
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Patrick Porter @PatPorter76
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Ankit Panda @nktpnd
78K Followers 1K Following Stanton Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace BlueSky: https://t.co/WVVPXnxrkM Substack: https://t.co/TkiOjSIJGQ
Mauro Gilli @Mauro_Gilli
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Collin Koh 🇸🇬�... @CollinSLKoh
48K Followers 5K Following Indo-Pacific naval affairs, maritime security, mainly SE Asia and SCS. *Tweets/RTs STRICTLY personal. Proud Singaporean and happy father of 2 beautiful girls.
Aaron Bateman @aaronbateman22
10K Followers 490 Following Assist. prof @GWTweets | book # 1: "Weapons in Space" | Book # 2 "Wiring an Empire" (contracted w/ MIT Press)
Elena Wicker @ElenaWicker
9K Followers 611 Following Military jargon, terminology, buzzwords, dictionaries, documents, publishing • PhD from @GUGovt
Andrew Erickson 艾�... @AndrewSErickson
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Wakana Asano @Wakana_Asano
67 Followers 134 Following Research Associate @IISS_org -Asia | geoeconomics | science & tech | multilateralism | views my own. rt ≠ endorsement. @georgetownmsfs @FulbrightPrgrm
神保 謙 (Ken JIM... @kenj0126
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Samuel Bashfield @SamuelBashfield
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Antoine Levesques @ALevesques
1K Followers 399 Following Senior Fellow for South & Central Asian Defence Strategy & Diplomacy @IISS_org; RT not endorsement; Views my own; #SouthAsia-#China in #IndoPacific #Nuclear
Robert Ward @RobertAlanWard
19K Followers 2K Following Director of Geo-economics, Japan Chair ジャパン・チェア・プログラム Senior Fellow for Japanese Security Studies at The International Institute for Strategic Studies @iiss_org
John Ridge @WeaponScientist
8K Followers 1K Following Formerly @John_A_Ridge | Physics | Weapons Systems | Security Assistance | Lockheed Liberal | Raytheon Radical | 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 🇹🇼
Rintaro Inoue @irir_inoue
1K Followers 458 Following Research Fellow at @iog_jp. PhD student at @Keio_univ_PR. US-Japan-Australia defense relationship, Japanese defense strategy/policy/counterstrikes/industry
Michael Carpenter @mikercarpenter
45K Followers 2K Following Former Ambassador to OSCE, NSC Senior Director for Europe, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Russia/Ukraine/Eurasia. Retweets ≠ endorsements.
Tom Sharpe @TomSharpe134
11K Followers 2K Following Communications | ex-navy Commander | Daily Telegraph columnist | leadership speaker | YouTube - The Shipping Broadcast
Paweł Markiewicz �... @DrPMarkiewicz
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Prof.Dr.GiraySADIK @GirayPhD
3K Followers 7K Following Prof. of IR & Director @AVARAYBU ExpertPoolMember @HybridCoE Speaker: @ForumZagreb @AntalyaDF @RondeliSecConf FmrSnrFellow: @UNI_NKE @CU_NPSIA @NATO_DefCollege
Björn Müller @Bjoern__M
11K Followers 6K Following Journalist - focal point #securitypolitics - editor for @loyalmagazin @DieReserve. Occasionally taz, IP, and others. Find me also @ https://t.co/bpLSbGtm3t.
Pete Shearer @pete_shearer
928 Followers 1K Following US Naval Officer, SWO, prior AO2(AW) Vet of Bosnia (x2), Op SOUTHERN WATCH (x2), 9/11, Op NOBLE EAGLE, Op ENDURING FREEDOM (x3), Op IRAQI FREEDOM (x2), IYAOYAS!
SJD @SJ_Diehl
433 Followers 866 Following US Army || cynicism is cowardice || you probably meant “e.g.” || Views mine. Like≠Endorse.
IISS News @IISS_org
220K Followers 782 Following The International Institute for Strategic Studies is a world-leading authority on global security, political risk and military conflict.
Maurizio Recordati Ko... @kavurzio
858 Followers 459 Following Incoming Assist. Prof. @PennState | History of strategic thought, Imperial Russia | PhD @AmericanU and Morgenthau Fellow @NotreDame. CatPic: Felix Montecuccoli
Bence Nemeth @Bence_Nemeth
624 Followers 652 Following Senior Lecturer (Assoc Prof) @DSD_Kings | Defence Cooperation, Defence Innovation, Strat Management | Author: 'How to Achieve Defence Cooperation in Europe?'
Défense & Sécurité... @DSI_Magazine
60K Followers 1K Following DSI, la revue indépendante de référence sur les questions de défense, en France et dans le monde depuis 2005. @dsimagazine sur Bsky
Greg Bagwell @gregbagwell
21K Followers 871 Following President UK Air & Space Power Association. Podcaster. RUSI Distinguished Fellow. Former RAF Senior Commander. All views are strictly in a personal capacity.
Gareth Jennings @GarethJennings3
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Ben Freeman @BenFreemanDC
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Stephen Costello @CostelloScost
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Ionel N. Sava @savanionel
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Italiansdoitbtr @italiansdoitbtr
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92K Followers 4K Following USAF Vet. University College London Alumnus. @UCL Foreign Policy / Military Analyst. All opinions expressed are my own.
John Drennan @J_Dren
388 Followers 2K Following Visiting Fellow @EgmontInstitute | Robert A. Belfer International Affairs Fellow in European Security @CFR_org | Non-Resident Fellow @tdc_ua
Ryan Fedasiuk @RyanFedasiuk
20K Followers 10K Following Fellow @AEI covering China, tech, and national power. Founder @DgtlEmb. Prof @GeorgetownCSS. Former @StateDept. 费瑞安.
Keith Gessen @keithgessen
11K Followers 2K Following Delacorte magazine prof @Columbiajourn, contributor @NewYorker, co-founder @nplusonemag. Author of RAISING RAFFI, now out.You might like
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