impliedloneliness @dev_poly60647
Fordham University MS in Finance, building @4castylabs nyc Joined November 2025-
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If you don't want to read the entire article, this is the GPT-5 reasoning output. I fetched the Kalshi data yesterday, so the odds might have changed.
@AndresPalacios @TechFundies x.com/dev_poly60647/… Identical thoughts.
Polymarket earnings setup loading… 🤘 Let’s hunt some mispriced probabilities.
@0xTyrael Looks yummy bon appetit 🎅
I received a Polymarket Prophet award from Chat GPT Wrapped! I wasn't expecting this 😂😂
@notyrjo @Polymarket Glad to connect with u RJ! @4castylabs our closed beta will be live soon!
It’s unlikely the movie will stay below 90 million with these pre-sale numbers.
#AvatarFireAndAsh USA 🇺🇸 Opening day (including previews) pre-sales are at $17.55M+. Thursday's previews are at $7.66M in advance sales. Currently trending less than #AvatarTheWayOfWater but expecting record opening weekend world-wide. ~32K shows are scheduled on opening day
4. Advanced Personalization (Combos & Customization) Custom Combos: Robinhood is introducing the ability to combine multiple outcomes into a single trade. In the future, you could mix predictions from sports, politics, and culture into one custom trade. Trading "Anything": The ultimate goal is to enable users to trade or hedge almost any event in the world in real-time.
3. "Follow the Money" for the Truth Wisdom of the Crowd: The platform views prediction markets as the most accurate way to filter global information. By "following the money," users get a real-time, quantified forecast of the truth on everything from politics to scientific breakthroughs. A Smarter World: The vision is that even if you don't trade, browsing these markets makes you more informed by showing where the "wisdom of the crowd" stands.
I just watched the prediction market event hosted by Robinhood, and here are the key insights I gathered: 1. The "Super Cycle" and Massive Scale Exponential Growth: Robinhood grew from 1 to over 1,500 prediction markets in less than a year, reaching 10 billion contracts traded. Trillions in Volume: CEO Vlad Tenev believes we are in the early stages of a "super cycle," predicting that adoption will eventually grow into trillions of contracts traded annually.
Cables had cut by Polymarket <90m opening box holders
My favourite part of ‘Avatar: Fire and Ash’ was the forced intermission when the IMAX had a “technical glitch” and a power outage two and a half hours in… #avatar
@TedBearBeats @0xTyrael I was praying at that moment😀
Why is the market so bearish about Avatar? Am I missing something?
🎥4Casty Box Office: AVATAR 3:Fire & Ash The market is pricing in a significant drop-off from 'The Way of Water' for the opening weekend. Here’s a deep dive into the implied probabilities vs. history. The primary focus of the market is on a sub-$101M opening weekend for
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