Austin Park @arcuve
kpop and elections. haphazardly trying to create election models. contact: [email protected]. he/him elections.byaustinpark.org California, USA Joined January 2024-
Tweets270
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It’s a Karty! It’s a Karty! Ayyeee! Welcome to #RamsHouse, @JoshuaKarty!
chris taylor, once again, is a man who has never done anything wrong in his life, ever
Me every October:
mashiro and yeseo YOU are the newest members of limelight !!
mashiro and yeseo YOU are the newest members of limelight !!
✅ Race call: Summer Lee prevails over Bhavini Patel in the PA-12 primary, putting her on track to win a second term. Jeff Yass invested heavily to beat her, but to no avail.
the "look between X and Y on your keyboard" thing is particularly frustrating for me, a user of the DVORAK keyboard
We're now tracking how the tipping point state's margin changes over time at votehub.us. This is helpful for understanding how the state of the presidential race is trending since it visualizes a winning margin in the electoral college rather than the popular vote.
I will never be watching Los Angeles sports teams ever again
it's so joever
much like the dodgers, ateez is incapable of making hits
much like the dodgers, ateez is incapable of making hits
on second thought maybe this dodgers team isnt that bad
on second thought maybe this dodgers team isnt that bad
chris taylor has NEVER done anything wrong in his whole life. EVER
six innings and three earned runs, that's a quality start bay BEE
shomari figures to be next rep from al-02
shomari figures to be next rep from al-02
can't believe they started to make polls real again on april 4th
can't believe they started to make polls real again on april 4th
It's special elections night in Michigan! I made an interactive precinct results map for both contests tonight: tiny.cc/michigan-resul… Will be updating it as results come in.
once every week, dave roberts wakes up and decides to run out the goofiest lineup he can like it's a fun little challenge
Q1 fundraising hauls in competitive Senate races:
Varun Vishwanath @GTCarfree
1K Followers 663 Following @CEEatGT Student. Transit Advocate in Atlanta. A condo in every pot. We need HRs 1, 4, and 3863.🚲🚶🚅🚃🚎🚇 🗳️🇺🇸🌎🧦🏳️🌈 he/him
VoteHub @VoteHubUS
147 Followers 6 Following Mapping elections and tracking polls. Reposts ≠ endorsements.
Redistricter @Redistricter
4K Followers 187 Following The most powerful mapping tool for visualizing the data that shapes America. Built by @Colin_d_m
Garrett Herrin @GarrettHerrin
5K Followers 2K Following Politics, maps, and travel. GIS analyst. @universityofga alum. Views mine.
zqzphkm3fj @c7hc26xld5
0 Followers 643 Following
Sam @sammyclaws12
4K Followers 5K Following ✡️. @DSA_Cleveland. Clevelander. tOSU. he/him. lives in sports hell. views are mine. formerly: @c_cockley @PomeroyForOhio @ninaturner @CityofCleveland
Clement Atlee @HaroldWils96799
17 Followers 219 Following Classical Social Democrat 🌹 and Devolution Hound, Social Libertarian. 🇮🇱🇵🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼🇺🇳🇪🇺
Brady @Brady2025547478
0 Followers 61 Following
You @woewoeisme
1K Followers 808 Following They/Any. Average @chrispy_kreeme @jasminder29 @rustezenyachow enjoyer. Friend of Dorothy (Gale, Parker and Zbornak) Fierce Riposter. Tumblr Reposter.
Amber Dalton🇺🇸 @RickyDanie9446
52 Followers 1K Following 💲 𝘾𝙀𝙊 𝙤𝙛 𝙢𝙮 𝙡𝙞𝙛𝙚 💱𝙁𝙤𝙧𝙚𝙭 𝙏𝙧𝙖𝙙𝙚𝙧/𝙄𝙣𝙫𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙤𝙧/𝙈𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙤𝙧🤝 💻𝙥𝙧𝙤𝙛𝙚𝙨𝙨𝙞𝙤𝙣𝙖𝙡 𝙖𝙘𝙘𝙤𝙪𝙣𝙩 𝙢𝙖𝙣𝙖𝙜𝙚𝙧 💰 𝘾𝙧𝙮𝙥𝙩𝙤
Selina_Dedalus Stan A.. @s_dedalusfan
313 Followers 764 Following She/Her. Selina is my name. Jewish. Proud Joycean. Political science & Stats double major. Priv: @Bababadalghara. GO FOLLOW @selina_dedalus RN
Blowfish and Funk Fra.. @AbolishTedCruz
807 Followers 2K Following He/him, Jewish atheist, actual libertarian, left wing populist, abolitionist Fuck centrists, redbrowns and tankies
Gujun @Gujun246168
43 Followers 183 Following
Kaya Lee 이카야 @korean_kaya
226 Followers 731 Following
Anderson145 @Anderson14514
140 Followers 672 Following
JoshuaF03 @JoshuaMF03
13 Followers 1K Following
Jack Lynch @JackLynch921294
18 Followers 293 Following 🇮🇪 Soc Dem 🌹 + Election fanatic , Constitutional Reform enthusiast and Horror Flick Buff.
cutegirl @Cutegirl143Juni
72 Followers 828 Following
Alice Herman @aliceraeherman
1K Followers 2K Following Midwest elections & democracy reporter @GuardianUS | [email protected]
Diane Napolitano @dianesaysword
256 Followers 152 Following Elections Insights Data Science @washingtonpost | Dogs | Go Leafs Go | Disgruntled @NJTRANSIT_RVL Rider
Stephen Ohlemacher @stephenatap
4K Followers 3K Following Election Decision Editor for The Associated Press. I tell people who won. Former: @Bagehots, @ThePlainDealer, @hartfordcourant. @OhioState Alum, Go #Browns!
Abcdef @wtfimmeok
81 Followers 395 Following
krissie @krissieonline
138 Followers 99 Following
BrownConservative @IndC0N
1K Followers 2K Following Hindu 🕉 | Populist ⚒️ | Pro Life 🧬 | Pro Gun 🔫 | Pinochet Enjoyer 🚁 | Petrolhead 🏎 |
Andrew Figueiredo @AndrewFiggy
3K Followers 5K Following Catholic. Communitarian. Love antitrust, hockey, urban ag, cooking. Words in @FrontPorchRepub, @AlterNet, @NewConsPub. Views mine alone. @PennLaw 2022. 🇺🇸🇵🇹
LebIntern @InternLeb
131 Followers 798 Following
Cooper Frye @CooperFrye
108 Followers 149 Following
ehs208 @ehs20809
1 Followers 1K Following (he/him) private account that for some reason is the only account i use
Bryan Adams Stan @CountyTy
724 Followers 3K Following I was in the Brat Pack. Ya know... in the 80's...
Southern Dem 🇺🇸 @Spanburglar
228 Followers 734 Following Classical Liberal | Pro-Choice, Pro-Market, Pro-Secular, & Pro-NATO| Ranked Choice Voting & Nonpartisan Primaries
No Thanks @NoThanks85003
14 Followers 32 Following
airgodragon @airgodragon
27 Followers 85 Following
Bryanna K. Altman @BrykramerAltman
331 Followers 2K Following Business Leader, Influencer, Digital Warrior, Freedom Fighter.
William Simensky @WilliamSimensky
216 Followers 5K Following I’m William. Interested in politics, history, art, and travel
genzsocialist @genzsocialist96
72 Followers 161 Following
Matty @BigMattyKane
116 Followers 3K Following
Jacob Robben ✝️ �.. @magajacobrobben
955 Followers 1K Following Mostly used for following the news! Likes, retweets, and follows ≠ endorsement #DeSantis2028
Bradley Wascher @bradwascher
1K Followers 352 Following contributing analyst @InsideElections & contributing author @The_Almanac | Hilltopper-Hoya | polls, political data, pop music
Mr_DestinyVGC @destinyvgc
42 Followers 730 Following
Matthew Gunning @MatthewLGunning
954 Followers 3K Following Asst. Prof. @unnamed school. Emory Ph.D. Hillsdale BA. Elections, voting, legislatures, maps, US South. LEGO, Red Wings, Coys, rugby, and photography.
Varun Vishwanath @GTCarfree
1K Followers 663 Following @CEEatGT Student. Transit Advocate in Atlanta. A condo in every pot. We need HRs 1, 4, and 3863.🚲🚶🚅🚃🚎🚇 🗳️🇺🇸🌎🧦🏳️🌈 he/him
VoteHub @VoteHubUS
147 Followers 6 Following Mapping elections and tracking polls. Reposts ≠ endorsements.
Redistricter @Redistricter
4K Followers 187 Following The most powerful mapping tool for visualizing the data that shapes America. Built by @Colin_d_m
Joshua Smithley @blockedfreq
7K Followers 175 Following Aviation enthusiast w/ degrees in Aviation Management & Airline Operations @ Purdue University. Election junkie. #Pennsylvania elections guy & data analyst.
Kiernan Park-Egan sta.. @KiernanEgan
1K Followers 1K Following Election map guru. B.A. in Environmental Studies w/GIS Emphasis. Masters of Science in GIS candidate. GIS Professional. 13 years of cartographic experience.
Laura Bronner @laurabronner
10K Followers 2K Following Scientific Director, Public Discourse Foundation & Senior Applied Scientist, @ETH | past: Quant Editor, @FiveThirtyEight | PhD, @LSEGovernment | she/her
Daniel Litt @littmath
37K Followers 871 Following Assistant professor (of mathematics) at the University of Toronto. Algebraic geometry, number theory, forever distracted and confused, etc. He/him.
Garrett Herrin @GarrettHerrin
5K Followers 2K Following Politics, maps, and travel. GIS analyst. @universityofga alum. Views mine.
Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
369K Followers 2K Following Fast and accurate election results, from federal to local. Sign up for a free DDHQ account and newsletter subscription ⬇️
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
472K Followers 1K Following chief political analyst, @nytimes. writing about elections, public opinion and demographics for @UpshotNYT. polling and needling. PNW expat.
Matt Grossmann @MattGrossmann
33K Followers 3K Following Michigan State political scientist & @ippsr Director; @hookedlansing Co-owner; Pod: @niskanencenter Science of Politics; Next book: Polarized by Degrees
Alice Herman @aliceraeherman
1K Followers 2K Following Midwest elections & democracy reporter @GuardianUS | [email protected]
John Cherian @jjcherian
2K Followers 352 Following Statistics PhD student @Stanford and @HertzFoundation fellow | Quantifying uncertainty @WashingtonPost | Formerly at @DEShawResearch
Diane Napolitano @dianesaysword
256 Followers 152 Following Elections Insights Data Science @washingtonpost | Dogs | Go Leafs Go | Disgruntled @NJTRANSIT_RVL Rider
We Want Gore @we_want_gore
2K Followers 538 Following
Will Stancil @whstancil
81K Followers 509 Following I research metro policy and civil rights, focused on housing and schools. Proud member of Do-Something Twitter. Running for MN House! https://t.co/Q5xzs7kUmw
krissie @krissieonline
138 Followers 99 Following
kimberly lippington @discipleofvivi
272 Followers 1K Following amtraks strongest defender and loonas most dedicated warrior
kat @balconiesoflove
461 Followers 861 Following stanford ‘24 • she/her • aspiring miu miu girl • cited by vox
Bradley Wascher @bradwascher
1K Followers 352 Following contributing analyst @InsideElections & contributing author @The_Almanac | Hilltopper-Hoya | polls, political data, pop music
Eric Michael Garcia @EricMGarcia
34K Followers 21K Following Señor DC scribe @independent. @msnbc columnist. Author: We're Not Broken. @dailytarheel forever. Occasional six-stringer. He/Him. [email protected].
jerry @jerrylai_
1K Followers 5K Following nj + dc | now: @GWtweets ‘27 + @GWHatchet & @AndyKimNJ | alum: @njld16dems | avgeek, natsec, photography, transit | own views | he/they 🏳️🌈
G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris
118K Followers 526 Following editorial director of data analytics @abc news + 538. author of STRENGTH IN NUMBERS: how polls work and why we need them https://t.co/c8nxYdnpks.
Indianapolis Councilo.. @nickroberts317
26K Followers 4K Following Indianapolis City-County District 4 Councilor (Geist/Castleton areas) fighting for positive change in our community. he/him
Scott Rosenfield @ScottRosenfield
2K Followers 4K Following Chief of staff @TheAtlantic. Previously: @Wired and @outsidemagazine.
Pivot Point Analysis @pivotpointelect
749 Followers 77 Following election analysis, and more, by @bluearrowmaps @zach_solomon1 and @alexmpastor
🎄 Stephie Jay hoe .. @StephieTheLefty
4K Followers 3K Following she/they; #ADHD, Texas nerd, queer as hell, proud Houstonian. Not as cute as this pfp makes me look. Wishing freedom and peace for 🇵🇸🇦🇲🇹🇼🇺🇦
athe_red @athe_red
1K Followers 750 Following I make maps of French elections. Also a history nerd. Je fais des cartes des élections en France. Médiéviste repenti, normie de gauche. 🏳️🌈
Split Ticket @SplitTicket_
17K Followers 154 Following Political analysis at your fingertips. By @HWLavelleMaps, @lxeagle17, @Thorongil16, @politicsmaps, @maxtmcc | 🎤 ✉️ [email protected]
Nate Howard @NateHoward2003
475 Followers 2K Following Princeton ‘25. Vice President @NJCollegeDems. Fmr President @pucollegedems. Fmr Coordinator @DivestPrinceton, still organizing to get to 100%. he/him
Chris Fistonich, Ph.D.. @ChrisFistonich
594 Followers 478 Following Yale Ph.D. Immunologist, Cybersecurity Analyst, Opera Singer, and Activist.
Lenny Bronner @lennybronner
8K Followers 2K Following currently (elections + data) @washingtonpost. previously data @sidewireinc. originally 🇦🇹
helen hare @helenhare
843 Followers 1K Following Partner at Watershed Strategy. Formerly manager for @MurrayCampaign, communications director for @PattyMurray 👟, and campaigns from coast to coast.
Austin Marsman @AustinMarsman
2K Followers 2K Following Running to represent portions of Allegan & Kalamazoo counties in the State House (HD42) | @MichiganDems Youth Vice Chair | Fmr School Board Trustee | He/Him
Leon Sit @politicsmaps
3K Followers 162 Following 薛利安 • UCLA '25 • managing editor, graphics @SplitTicket_
Conor Mulderrig @ConorMulderrig
143 Followers 546 Following Everything is climate, climate is everything. Aware of how little sharing things here matters, does it anyway. Climate advisor @NC_Governor. Opinions my own.
Alexander Torzewski @A_Torzewski
23 Followers 210 Following Student. Democratic Political Strategist and Campaign Staffer. Pragmatic Optimist.
Lillian Belle @LillianBelle2
4K Followers 5K Following Lover of Elections. Obsessed with Oregon Politics. Ask me about Oregon redistricting. She/They 🏳️🌈
Ben Lockhart @benlockhartnews
1K Followers 2K Following Corp. Comms Manager @jacobsenbuilds. Formerly: public affairs for @AUCHUtah + reporter for @Deseret, KSL; 18-time journalism award winner via @AP, @utahspj etc
💫💫💫 @gowonkimlip
721 Followers 5K Following LOONA, SNSD, Red Velvet, Blackpink, WJSN, NCT 127, Moon Taeil, G.E.M., Normani, Adele, Beyoncé
Harrison Lavelle @HWLavelleMaps
7K Followers 2K Following @SplitTicket_ likes & reposts ≠ endorsements | views my own | views of my colleagues are not mine
Carlos Odio @carlosodio
5K Followers 3K Following Co-founder, @EquisResearch | Film Twitter lurker | Alum, @neworganizing, @barackobama | Not a pollster I just poll a lot
Evan Shapiro @shapiroNY
1K Followers 2K Following dem $/digi/comms/ops || fmr. @tom_suozzi @repmoulton @repsteveisrael @repdavidtrone @nyccouncilunion + more || @northeasternIt’s a Karty! It’s a Karty! Ayyeee! Welcome to #RamsHouse, @JoshuaKarty!
I thought about this a lot, but I’m on here for basically one reason: Split Ticket. We spent a long time building our readership base pre-Elon, and none of us have the energy to do that again. And everyone is still mostly here. It is what it is. If it bothers anyone, oh well.
@lxeagle17 @smomwetgobam It's disappointing that you guys have decided to pay Elmo. If you guys don't post on other platforms, you will never drive traffic from there. Even 3$ or whatever is contributing to the amplification of Nazis I'm genuinely disappointed in you guys giving in.
Damnit, this is funny
@arcuve 🙁ahhh okay.. thanks for this tho it was all very insightful. hoping for the best despite all this LOL
IMO a reason many Dems are upset is that it feels like Calvinball Dems do well in specials? Doesn't matter. Trump does poorly in primaries? Doesn't matter. Biden does poorly in primaries? Sign of weakness on the left. Biden polls badly? Awful. Polls already overshot him in 2020.
Poll denialists are going to drive themselves crazy like this! You don't need to dismiss the poll results that validate just because you want to deny other poll results. What are we doing here? x.com/admcrlsn/statu…
enjoy the sho
@DavidKlion @NYMag Lol truly the expression of a man who is realizing his messy apartment is going to be in a national magazine
Bad thing about doing proofs is I get sucked into them really easily. I spent like 8 hours straight last night doing one
It might be time to make it a de-facto internal requirement for journalists to understand what polls are and how they work before they start launching takes on them.
Recent momentum for Biden has faded in swing states, according to new poll by @Bloomberg and @MorningConsult. Trump leads in NC (+10), Nev. (+8), Ariz. (+7), Ga. (+6), Wisc. (+4) and Pa. (+1). Biden edges Trump in only one swing state, Mich. (+2). pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/202…
Really impressive performance considering that primary turnout is on track to be roughly even on both sides. Can't explain this one away with propensity or differential turnout or something
Final results for Pennsylvania HD-139. Republicans hold it by 19%, a 9% swing from 2020.
@schlagteslinks Looking at where those votes came from, we had some persuasion applied to R voters.
🚨BIG news: @SummerForPA, the first pro-ceasefire member of Congress facing a serious challenge this cycle, just WON her primary in a blowout victory tonight. Billionaires and dark money just took their first L of the season. Next up: Mobilize and defend @JamaalBowmanNY.
I’ve seen enough: Rep. Summer Lee (D) defeats Bhavini Patel (D) in the #PA12 Dem primary.
FYI - the steady clip of counting you saw come out of PA today will be much closer to what it'll be this fall compared to '20. There are still problems here and there, but most counties have a solidified process + Allegheny will report VBM first. Expect blue --> red shift.
Tonight's weaker Trump early vote numbers are a good reminder that while GOP has been gaining in registration in PA, a big part of that is ancestral Dems started voting R first and then registration for vote switchers lagged behind while recent Dem voters are still GOP
This is why PA in 2022 was a red wave, pay attention 👇
✅ Race call: Summer Lee prevails over Bhavini Patel in the PA-12 primary, putting her on track to win a second term. Jeff Yass invested heavily to beat her, but to no avail.
As a full adult I am capable of holding the idea “Biden passed a huge climate bill against steep legislative odds” and “the bill is still far insufficient to solve the problem so we need to elect more people to continue this work” in my head simultaneously x.com/muke10101/stat…
This is a form of climate denialism, and a much more dangerous one that seeks to placate the people most likely to care about the issue. 'Not a full climate change solution' still means catastrophe, and you're shifting focus away from real solutions to yet more lesser evilism.
@riizerobase1 i mean no ones really fighting for the ai company title if you want it take it
If you care deeply about an issue, and are willing to pillory a politician for failing on that issue, you also need to be willing to change your mind when they succeed, or else you're just a faker looking for excuses to be mad all the time.
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