471TO @TOzgokmen
aka Dr. Deflation. Markets & geopolitics. Ocean physics prof via Dartmouth College engg PhD. Views are my own. No investing advice. Not selling anything. Miami, USA. Joined December 2019-
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471TO retweeted
First day at work.
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"AI" blah blah... like adding hot source in every dish.. After hours: Amazon: +1% AMD: -11% Starbucks: -12% Rug pull seems imminent.
471TO retweeted
Changing the battery of an electric car in 1943.
I would be quite surprised if AAPL did well last quarter & if unemployment does not hit 4.0%. Fed probably knows the BLS number for Friday already. If they do not announce tomorrow that cuts are coming in June, there is a particular type of sado-maso going on here, which is…
I would be quite surprised if AAPL did well last quarter & if unemployment does not hit 4.0%. Fed probably knows the BLS number for Friday already. If they do not announce tomorrow that cuts are coming in June, there is a particular type of sado-maso going on here, which is…
People sold into few day rally. Stocks have no real support. We have 3 days of important events: - Fed direction tomorrow afternoon - AAPL earnings on Thu after close - Jobs report on Fri morning Sell in May go Away could kick by the end of this week...
471TO retweeted
This map by @lingue.maps (on Instagram) shows the earthquake risk in Europe.
471TO retweeted
114,583 job cuts in April, a new high, per MacroEdge Job Cuts Tracker #MacroEdge
Whenever There Is Any Doubt, There Is No Doubt youtu.be/Ag1IGf3BO5c?si… via @YouTube
471TO retweeted
The Chicago PMI extended the long list of recessionary data as far as industrial activity is concerned. When the components are reweighted to the national index, this reveals a huge decline in the ISM to its lowest figure since April 2020.
37.9 🥶😱 soft cotton landing my as🌺 recession is imminent... this summer, no later.
37.9 🥶😱 soft cotton landing my as🌺 recession is imminent... this summer, no later.
Jobs report on Fri; only 0.11% increase in unemployment is needed to clock 4.0% and automatic triggers will kick off: panic, Fed cutting rates etc. Not consensus view.
Jobs report on Fri; only 0.11% increase in unemployment is needed to clock 4.0% and automatic triggers will kick off: panic, Fed cutting rates etc. Not consensus view. https://t.co/6tGEmTI48L
Let me understand this: this morning's market reversal is because wages are increasing a tad more than expected? This is sickening 🤮 markets are broken because they are infested by the most selfish aholes who want only themselves to be super rich & working class to be dirt…
Canada is essentially in recession & it will get worse:
Canada is essentially in recession & it will get worse:
and wages in those stores will not deflate? While everybody screamed inflation, I forecasted deflation... tide is turning now. businesstimes.com.sg/international/…
471TO retweeted
Clothing, footwear and other non-food products slid into deflation for the first time in more than 2 years, according to the British Retail Consortium. $GBP #deflation As you told us some weeks ago during your shopping @TheDarkEconom Real goods "in real groceries" 😅 @TOzgokmen
Banking problems are like seeing cockroach at home; if you see one, there are 100 more. Banking crises are inevitable because they were let loose & pampered over the past 25 years. Banks will wreck us again & it will be bigger than GFC this time.
Banking problems are like seeing cockroach at home; if you see one, there are 100 more. Banking crises are inevitable because they were let loose & pampered over the past 25 years. Banks will wreck us again & it will be bigger than GFC this time.
My guess: piles of toxic loans and failing derivatives bets. Rats in the know starting to abort the sinking ship. The usual banking mess as we approach a major recession.
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