Jared Guyer @JaredGuyer
Severe weather/tornado forecaster and meteorologist ⛈ 🌪 #STLCards fan and Packers owner. @ValpoU grad Norman, OK Joined July 2010-
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NWS Omaha's warning product generation this afternoon was nothing short of heroic. As of 7:45 PM 164 SVS (followup to TOR,SVR warnings) 102 LSR (Local Storm Reports) 42 Tornado Warnings 25 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings Those SVS and LSR counts take extreme levels of effort.
The severe weather forecast operations area has undergone significant changes over the past 50 years, largely driven by technological advancements. Even with all the new technology, hand analysis and communication/collaboration remain vital parts of the forecast process.
In the mid-1970s, satellite data was coarse and only available 30-40 minutes after the image time. SELS (precursor to the SPC) forecasters also had no view of local radars, no real-time radar animations, and radar data was hand-plotted.
In the mid-1970s, Severe Weather Watches were drawn by hand, written up on a typewriter, and disseminated to appropriate circuits. Today, Watches are created and formatted on a computer system containing terabytes of weather data and disseminated to various operational systems.
On 3 Apr 1974, a “Scattered Severe Thunderstorm Risk” was forecast, which is equivalent to a “High Risk” today. Until 1986, forecasts were not issued beyond the first 24 hours. Today, advancements in severe forecasting/science allow for skillful forecasts up to 8 days in advance.
Fifty years ago today, The Super Outbreak of tornadoes of 3-4 April 1974 occurred over the central/eastern US and it remains the most significant severe weather episode on record in the US. This thread will look at forecasts from that day and how severe forecasting has evolved.
A little loud… Army Chinook helicopter just flew over the house and neighborhood at around 2000 ft.
In honor of Tom Skilling’s @Skilling retirement, I’ll share my well wishes including a story from my time as his intern (1997-1999 while at @ValpoU @ValpoWeather) @billyweather
My pick… 49ers 24-Chiefs 21 with Mccaffery MVP. #SuperBowl2024 #SuperBowl #SuperBowlLVII
One of the great and fun highlights on Tom Skilling's career...
One of the great and fun highlights on Tom Skilling's career...
Some shaking going on at the @NWSSPC in Norman, OK #okwx #earthquake
New Durant, OK radar data is now available via a free app. #OKwx apps.apple.com/us/app/durant-…
The X bots are out of hand, but a bit funny to have a bot try to bait me in dms by calling me a bot.
A change in max wind speed/path width for a prominent tornado that devastated my home area on March 31, 2023. More details…
A change in max wind speed/path width for a prominent tornado that devastated my home area on March 31, 2023. More details…
As part of @POTUS’ Investing in America agenda, this funding will help increase lead times for fire weather warnings, speed detection of fire starts, & provide more real-time actionable information to prevent wildfires & keep communities safe. noaa.gov/news-release/b…
Happy New Year @jessewalkerWTWO @DopplerdanDan @NWSLincolnIL My friend Don Angel (rural West York, IL) has kept thorough precipitation records for 32 years, and 2023 was 3rd driest year in his records. #ILwx
Happy New Year… and Happy 123123 before that!
Elizabeth Leitman @WxLiz
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Jeff Frame @VORTEXJeff
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Tomer Burg @burgwx
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Meteorologist Katie N.. @weather_katie
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100% of net proceeds will go to helping those effected by the tornados in Nebraska. @_willcompton store.barstoolsports.com/products/huske…
It's a true testament to how far we have come with the warning system if no one died today. 100 years ago the death toll would be in the hundreds. Bravo to everyone at the SPC and local NWS offices for their hard work today.
Hat 🎩 tip to the @NWSSPC for today’s outlook b/c you all nailed it.
@jamesaydelott @NWSSPC @weatherbrains @spann Hoping this isn’t a harbinger of things to come tomorrow…. Sorry…. It’s the Emergency Manager in me…
@jamesaydelott @NWSSPC @weatherbrains @spann I know it’s not funny, but wow. I just have no real words.
I’m calling it quits for today. Thank you to all who joined our @MyRadarWX coverage. Praying for all those affected by the devastating storms. One thing is for sure though — @NWSSPC nailed advanced outlooks, and @NWSOmaha, @NWSHastings and @NWSDesMoines saved many lives.
Tornado Warning count by NWS office today (up to 9:30pm CDT) Compare to the probabilistic tornado outlook from the @NWSSPC this morning. @weatherbrains @spann
Train vs tornado today in Nebraska. No injuries reported. Video taken by Eric Carlisle. #NEwx
NWS Omaha's warning product generation this afternoon was nothing short of heroic. As of 7:45 PM 164 SVS (followup to TOR,SVR warnings) 102 LSR (Local Storm Reports) 42 Tornado Warnings 25 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings Those SVS and LSR counts take extreme levels of effort.
Tonight was big in two ways. A) THANK YOU DR. KLOESEL FOR YOUR GENEROUS $5000 DONATION TO SCAN. The opportunities and new heights our chapter can go too are limitless. B) Please help us congratulate our new board!
Happy solar eclipse day from the path of totality! Located right in my parents’ back yard. (They are just south of Indianapolis in the 100% zone). Weather looks great for viewing today! #SolarEclipse #SolarEclipse2024 💯☀️🌑
The definition of a cold core setup has been damaged from inception to be honest. What a mess. All upper-level storm systems in mid-latitudes are cold core.
He is risen! It was beautiful start to the day in Auburn, AL. #happyeaster #sunrise #auburn
Absolutely gorgeous day to walk and play at the park
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