John Popeo @JWPopeo
Advising on financial services regulation and transactions. Partner @TheGallatin. Prev. @FederalReserve and @FDICGov. Led 40+ failed-bank deals during the GFC. Manhattan, NY Joined May 2012-
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This is 💯 correct. @LisaBeilfuss has been writing the same.
This is 💯 correct. @LisaBeilfuss has been writing the same.
It’s worth noting as well that FDIC deposit insurance for industrial loan companies is impossible to obtain in the current regulatory environment.
It’s worth noting as well that FDIC deposit insurance for industrial loan companies is impossible to obtain in the current regulatory environment.
Blank-cheque company aims to buy failed US banks on.ft.com/3PlSX4d
Blank-cheque company aims to buy failed US banks on.ft.com/3PlSX4d
This has been happening across the board since Q3, ‘23. Many MRAs.
This has been happening across the board since Q3, ‘23. Many MRAs.
Placing $SBNY in conservatorship was one approach, with FDIC bearing more losses (see IndyMac). The systemic risk exception shows regulators’ concerns re: contagion risk. If anything, $NYCB should have tried to do a shared-loss P&A, instead of the deal they struck.
Placing $SBNY in conservatorship was one approach, with FDIC bearing more losses (see IndyMac). The systemic risk exception shows regulators’ concerns re: contagion risk. If anything, $NYCB should have tried to do a shared-loss P&A, instead of the deal they struck.
This is the correct take. The Discount Window, prior to and during the GFC, worked with banks to ensure they had borrowing capability, docs in place, etc. The new approach @concodanomics suggests will expand the Fed’s purview and enable more direct and immediate intervention.
This is the correct take. The Discount Window, prior to and during the GFC, worked with banks to ensure they had borrowing capability, docs in place, etc. The new approach @concodanomics suggests will expand the Fed’s purview and enable more direct and immediate intervention.
There are few buyers capable of consummating a deal at the scale and size that $NYCB did with $SBNY. This highlights a persistent problem for regulators and for Washington if G-SIBs are excluded from bidding on assets and liabilities of failed super regionals, such as $SBNY.
There are few buyers capable of consummating a deal at the scale and size that $NYCB did with $SBNY. This highlights a persistent problem for regulators and for Washington if G-SIBs are excluded from bidding on assets and liabilities of failed super regionals, such as $SBNY.
In the GFC certain correspondent bks failed simply b/c their respondents suffered devastating credit losses. Our team sought to limit contagion among community bks and respondents by creating bridge bks and using extraordinary receivership tools. Expect to see a similar…
Should a large, complex bank be taken into receivership, it is possible that this could be the first time we actually see the FDIC use its tools (e.g., Dodd-Frank Title II - Orderly Liquidation Authority) crafted in response to the global financial crisis.
Should a large, complex bank be taken into receivership, it is possible that this could be the first time we actually see the FDIC use its tools (e.g., Dodd-Frank Title II - Orderly Liquidation Authority) crafted in response to the global financial crisis.
In early days of the 2008 financial crisis the Fed undertook a coordinated effort to encourage G-SIBs to borrow from the Discount Window. The goal was to alleviate stigma for banks borrowing from the Fed. I am not suggesting today’s environment is like 2008; rather, the impetus…
In early days of the 2008 financial crisis the Fed undertook a coordinated effort to encourage G-SIBs to borrow from the Discount Window. The goal was to alleviate stigma for banks borrowing from the Fed. I am not suggesting today’s environment is like 2008; rather, the impetus…
Risk never leaves financial system-it simply shifts from one party to another. Concerns regarding fragility of the system are not best handled by consolidating risk in the Fed; rather, these issues are better addressed through pragmatic regulation that considers tech nuances…
Risk never leaves financial system-it simply shifts from one party to another. Concerns regarding fragility of the system are not best handled by consolidating risk in the Fed; rather, these issues are better addressed through pragmatic regulation that considers tech nuances…
FBOP Corp is a good case study of how the FDIC cross-guarantee works. - wsj.com/articles/SB125…
FBOP Corp is a good case study of how the FDIC cross-guarantee works. - wsj.com/articles/SB125…
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The inmates are running the asylum
Whatever you think, it will go higher. #crashup
Powell leaning in on labor supply increase via migration. This seems to make NFP prints very asymmetric - strong prints are going to be dismissed as increased supply, but a hint of weakness leads to early/more cuts. IMO everything going to surge the moment NFP weakens
🚨**Breaking Fed News!** **Fed Discount Window Update** 📈**Increase:** Up 27% to $6.79 billion this week! - **Focus on Smaller Banks:** Continued emphasis on their impact and strategies to stay solvent
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My first feature story @theinformation: an inside look at BlackRock's digital assets journey, and where it's exploring next theinformation.com/articles/how-b… 1/
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The latest article Praxis subscribers received, before the Fed announced plans to slow the pace of balance-sheet runoff. The narrative is that slowing quantitative tightening, or QT, allows for prolonged balance-sheet shrinkage after the Fed doubled its portfolio in response to…
BOJ wasting tens of billions of dollars on a lost cause. Much better idea would be to spend just a fraction of that on congressional donations, and ask them to pressure the Fed.
US banks selling commercial real estate loans to get ahead of stress, diversify | S&P Global Market Intelligence #CMBS spglobal.com/marketintellig…
The latest article Praxis subscribers received, before the Fed announced plans to slow the pace of balance-sheet runoff. The narrative is that slowing quantitative tightening, or QT, allows for prolonged balance-sheet shrinkage after the Fed doubled its portfolio in response to…
Understanding gold prices used to be straightforward: one had to have a view on the direction of US real rates to hold, buy or sell gold. Gold traded inversely to real rates for decades as fast-money ETFs in the West had to buy, hold or sell physical gold based on the changing…
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ECPG and PRAA mgmt after realizing $sofi is worried about delinquency rates in their personal loan portfolio
@bank_reg @JeffKDavis1 No loss share is interesting. Does that indicate it wasn't that competitive? Or maybe FULT was just a fairly aggressive bidder whereas the other bids had loss share agreements?
Interesting observations + facts from "Why Have Uninsured Depositors Become De Facto Insured?," a paper from @M_Ohlrogge: deliverypdf.ssrn.com/delivery.php?I… Rather timely since Republic First failed this weekend with 50% uninsured deposits!
If anyone on your feed is predicting any macro impact due to $FRBK seizure I strongly suggest you unfollow them. The stock has been trading for less than a dime for 6 months. Banks fail all the time. Get over it
🚨🇺🇸BREAKING: FDIC TAKES OVER BANCORP The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) has taken control of Republic First Bancorp due to financial instability, appointing Fulton Bank to manage its assets and deposits. This intervention follows a series of regional bank…
August 1933: First National Bank-Detroit Collapse "He said he knew of 'no other city in the whole world where there was such an orgy of pyramiding of corporations and the fixing of fictitious values and earnings.'"
Seems bizarre, is FDIC now requiring third party payments to nonprofits in order to purchase a failed bank?
A few more details in the Fulton press release fultonbank.com/About-Fulton-B…
We've got a Friday bank failure and no it's not deja vu: Republic First is being seized. Scoop from @ginaheeb @laurenthomas @Justinbaer wsj.com/finance/bankin…
Breaking: Regulators are set to seize troubled Philadelphia bank Republic First and are near a deal to sell it to another lender on.wsj.com/4aQTe7P on.wsj.com/4aQTe7P