IvanaSPEAR @IvanaSpear
Investing & sharing insights on B2B tech. 10yrs as ex. Citadel, Millennium, Tiger cub. Founder & PM of Spear Alpha ETF $SPRX. Disclosure: https://t.co/g80M93SeiW spear-invest.com Joined August 2021-
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$MSFT 10 AI Datapoints from the earnings call: 1. Azure beat by 3% and grew 31% y/y; Guided to similar growth for 4Q24 (30-31%) 2. AI services contributed 7 pts of growth (vs. 6pts last quarter) 3. Capex to increase significantly in F4Q driven by build-out of Cloud and AI…
Calling all Financial Advisors: Our Data Center Value Chain Webinar is now eligible for 1.5 CE CFP Credit. With companies like Nvidia and AMD pulling back 20-30%+ from their highs, it's a great time to dive deeper into this sector. Link to register: learn.spear-invest.com/ai-data-center…
$TSM reduced outlook for semi (ex-memory) from >10% growth to ~10%. Reiterated its own outlook of mid-low 20s for F24. Smartphones and autos are the weak spots. AI expectations: ◆ AI contribution to more than double this year; account for low teen % of revenue; >20% of…
$ASML Bookings disappointed (booked €3.6B in the Q vs. buyside of €7B), driving semis down today... ...but investors should keep in mind that ASML follows the semi-capex cycle, not the demand (data center) cycle. Lumpiness was likely a driver, but '24 is probably not the boom…
Last week, Marvell hosted an AI event highlighting the significant opportunities within Data Centers. Investors are narrowly focused on competition and may be missing the bigger picture. Here are the key insights for any investor who missed it👇 $MRVL
Puru Saxena @saxena_puru
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6K Followers 908 Following I Help High Earners Craft Financial Plans, Plan for Tax-Events, Minimize Estate Tax, & Invest Tax-Efficiently | CFP Candidate | DM’s Open | Tweets ≠ Advice@IvanaSpear $MSFT has well diversified business portfolio, widest MOAT, and most respected non-owner CEO in Wall Street.
@IvanaSpear $MSFT probably has the widest product range that can be boosted by AI
.@SnowflakeDB is thrilled to announce #SnowflakeArctic: A state-of-the-art large language model uniquely designed to be the most open, enterprise-grade LLM on the market. This is a big step forward for open source LLMs. And it’s a big moment for Snowflake in our #AI journey as…
Following this multi-week pullback, the strongest growth stocks are jumping out of the gates... The intermediate-term trend for stocks such as Duolingo and Datadog has now flipped to UP (2 week ema > 4week ema) and this is a positive development. Disclosure - Long $DDOG $DUOL
Gartner just dropped its 2024 Magic Quadrant for SSE. Netskope remains top leader. Palo Alto $PANW rose to now be on par with Zscaler $ZS. Cloudflare $NET rose as it matured quickly. 2023 to 2024:
Llama3 looks fantasic. Thank you and congrats @Meta Open source models are the key platform for innovation around productivity, safety, and innovation llama.meta.com/llama3/
So far… major Semiconductor stocks are 0 for 0. I don’t wanna say 0 for 2 because they didn’t actually report terrible earnings, however expectations were EXTREMELY high given then recent valuations. So what we’re seeing is normalization not necessarily a sell off in $SOXX.…
$TSM reduced outlook for semi (ex-memory) from >10% growth to ~10%. Reiterated its own outlook of mid-low 20s for F24. Smartphones and autos are the weak spots. AI expectations: ◆ AI contribution to more than double this year; account for low teen % of revenue; >20% of…
@IvanaSpear $TSM comment on semis overall was cautious, but highly confident in AI demand: x.com/mihaidoho/stat…
Despite $TSM lowering semis market and foundry industry growth guide, $TSM remains confident in AI revenue: ✅ >2x in 2024 ✅+50% CAGR next 5 years ✅>20% of Revenue by 2028 Who still thinks $NVDA can’t blow away consensus revenue growth of +83% in FY 2025 and +22% in FY 2026?
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$ASML Bookings disappointed (booked €3.6B in the Q vs. buyside of €7B), driving semis down today... ...but investors should keep in mind that ASML follows the semi-capex cycle, not the demand (data center) cycle. Lumpiness was likely a driver, but '24 is probably not the boom…
Over 95% of ASML DUV revenue came from China. This was 49% of their total revenue. No one is building fabs for anything besides leading edge despite trailing edge content growth still happening. America, Europe, Japan, etc will get completely destroyed in 14nm and above nodes.
@QuintusActual They should first stop drinking Kool Aid.
Two things on lithium, including why BHP is more keen on Copper over Lithium - I highlighted previously, Bloomberg sees the lithium market staying in a surplus until 2027-2029. - BHP's CFO David Lamont told me "we don't like the overall market dynamics in relation to…
@IvanaSpear @RadnorCapital Definitely a lot of room for everyone to grow right now. But I think share dynamics/LT competitive positioning still matter a lot when it comes to valuation, margin of error, etc.
Last week, I published my deep-dive into fastest-growing category of security - cloud and application security. Software supply chain security continues to be one of the hottest topics for CISOs and security leaders. I put together a deep-dive report on the software supply…
"It might be a bit of a disappointment that we don't get the Fed rate cuts, but the fact is the economy just doesn't need it," Kestra Investment Management's @MoneyWithMurphy says. "Stocks are doing just fine on their own & don't need that little bit of extra help from the Fed."
Good hunting ground for the next crop of multi-baggers #AI
If you have a 2-3 year timeframe, I think $ALB is starting to look compelling but you have to look past CY2024. I’d consider getting into $ALB if it can push through the VWAP from last September highs. Revenues and earnings will both be down 30-50% in CY2024 but that’s…