Britain Elects @BritainElects
Est. 2013, the UK's largest poll aggregator. Co-founded by @BNHWalker and Lily Summers. Join our Discord: https://t.co/E6inN3Io6g medium.com/britainelects Joined June 2013-
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Chart: Dramatic changes in approval and familiarity for Andy Street in the West Midlands. But read: How seriously should you take this poll? sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/04/west-m…
West Midlands mayoral voting intention: [candidate name's prompted] LAB: 43% (+1) CON: 37% (+9) LDEM: 8% (+1) GRN: 5% (-2) REF: 4% (-9) via @RedfieldWilton, 22 Apr Chgs. w/ 10 Apr Read @BNHWalker's analysis on how to read this new poll sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/04/west-m…
It's the last by-election Thursday of this municipal year! - 2 polls today, defences 1 Lab 1 free-for-all - A village in Angus with a half-German name - And why 25th April might not be the perfect date in Cardiff... Andrew's Previews for @BritainElects: medium.com/britainelects/…
📊 Labour lead at 16pts Westminster voting intention LAB: 43% (-) CON: 27% (+2) REF: 10% (+1) LDEM: 9% (-1) GRN: 4% (-) via @Savanta_UK, 19 Apr buff.ly/3RtUuW6
And among 2019 Conservative voters... Just 54% would be satisfied with another Con win And 55% would be dissatisfied with a Lab win 27% would be satisfied with a Lab win Read more by BE's @BNHWalker: sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/04/the-re…
And among 2019 Conservative voters... Just 54% would be satisfied with another Con win And 55% would be dissatisfied with a Lab win 27% would be satisfied with a Lab win Read more by BE's @BNHWalker: sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/04/the-re… https://t.co/XysCLmQmED
If Labour wins the next election, do you think you will be better or worse off than otherwise? Better: 27% Worse: 32% The same: 29% via @RedfieldWilton Read more: buff.ly/3W6bQMD
If the Conservatives win the next election, do you think you will be better or worse off than otherwise? Better: 14% Worse: 46% The same: 34% via @RedfieldWilton Read more: buff.ly/3W6bQMD
Is Labour really leading by 20pts? Public satisfaction if X win the next election... LAB: 42% CON: 30% Lab lead: 12pts Public dissatisfaction if X win... CON: 50% LAB: 33% Con lead: 17pts What does this tell us? Read @BNHWalker: buff.ly/3W6bQMD
Britain Predicts expects a Labour gain in Blackpool South by 20pts over the Conservatives. 50% Lab to 30% Con and 14% Reform. But Blackpool won't be safe Labour forever. Read this from @BNHWalker: buff.ly/3JsuhDJ
Can Andy Street keep the West Midlands for the Conservatives? > 50% of voters don't have an opinion of him > Just 19% say they're very familiar with who he is > But Labour are underperforming here > and Reform vote can be squeezed Read @BNHWalker: buff.ly/4aQCCgQ
📊 Labour lead at 16pts Westminster voting intention LAB: 43% (-2) CON: 27% (+2) REF: 12% (+1) LDEM: 9% (-) GRN: 5% (-) via @DeltapollUK, 19 Apr buff.ly/3RtUuW6
📊 Labour lead at 23pts Westminster voting intention LAB: 43% (-1) CON: 20% (-2) REF: 14% (-1) LDEM: 12% (+3) GRN: 6% (-) via @RedfieldWilton, 21 Apr buff.ly/3RtUuW6
West Midlands mayoral election, voting intention: LAB: 42% (+2) CON: 28% (-21) REF: 13% (+11) GRN: 7% (+1) LDEM: 7% (+3) via @RedfieldWilton, 10 - 14 Apr Chgs. w/ 2021 election Read @BNHWalker on why you should pay attention to this poll: buff.ly/4aQCCgQ
New post: Andy Street is not the household name you think he is, which explains the likelihood he will lose, narrowly or not, on 2nd May. sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/04/west-m…
📊 Labour lead at 16pts Westminster voting intention LAB: 41% (-) CON: 25% (-) REF: 13% (+2) LDEM: 10% (-) GRN: 7% (-1) via @OpiniumResearch, 19 Apr buff.ly/3RtUuW6
📊 Labour lead at 18pts Westminster voting intention LAB: 44% (-1) CON: 26% (-) LDEM: 11% (+1) REF: 8% (-1) GRN: 4% (-) via @Survation, 17 Apr sotn.newstatesman.com/2023/08/britai…
📊 Labour lead at 25pts Westminster voting intention LAB: 44% (-3) CON: 19% (-1) REF: 13% (+5) GRN: 9% (+1) LDEM: 9% (-) via @IpsosUK, 15 Apr buff.ly/3RtUuW6
📊 Labour lead at 20pts Westminster voting intention LAB: 45% (+1) CON: 25% (-1) REF: 11% (-) LDEM: 9% (-) GRN: 5% (-1) via @DeltapollUK, 15 Apr buff.ly/3RtUuW6
📊 Labour lead at 23pts Westminster voting intention LAB: 44% (-1) CON: 21% (+2) REF: 14% (-1) GRN: 8% (+1) LDEM: 8% (-) via @YouGov, 17 Apr buff.ly/3RtUuW6
Farnham Castle (Waverley) council by-election result: RES: 32.5% (-17.6) LDEM: 29.6% (+29.6) LAB: 23.0% (-11.7) CON: 14.9% (-0.2) Valid votes cast: 944 Residents' Association HOLD. buff.ly/3JqSFpp
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4K Followers 101 Following “Battle hardened veteran of the polling industry”.@billionsmustliv The fact that anyone would be confused by the different implications of these two plots is an outcry for more mandatory statistics courses
With the Rochdale by-election taking place today, here's some of our research on the constituency's 19th century electoral history. We start with Rochdale's unusual electoral boundary after 1832: the only English constituency with a circular boundary.
It's by-election Thursday! - The Parliamentary Specials in Wellingborough and Kingswood - 5 local by-elections, defences LD 2 Lab 1 PC 1 Ind 1 Grab a brew for this long-read Andrew's Previews for @BritainElects: medium.com/britainelects/…
"Waiting for Survation" is a fun meme, however, starting this week we are stepping up the publication of our regular online omnibus polling & will be producing Westminster voting trackers every other week, on Fridays, ramping up to weekly closer to the general election. If you'd…
bossman got the red salt out tonite lads nuff said
The pollsters actually got this one pretty accurate - a tight two-horse race with a strong LD performance in 3rd. Well done to @Survation and @OpiniumResearch
Mid Bedfordshire parliamentary by-election, result: LAB: 34.1% (+12.4) CON: 31.1% (-28.6) LDEM: 23.1% (+10.5) IND: 4.6% (+3.3) REF: 3.7% (+3.7) GRN: 1.8% (-2.0) Labour GAIN from Conservative.
Me, sobbing: “You can’t just refer to every seat Labour has lost since 1997 as ‘Red Wall’” Sky News, pointing at Tamworth: “Red Wall”
I don't think there's anything in electoral law to actually stop interdimensional reptilian beings serving as councillors, as long as they're capable of signing their nomination papers.
We need to be clear, this is only happening because an inter-dimensional race of reptilian beings have infiltrated our local councils. They must be stopped.
"Now witness the power of this fully armed and operational battle station..."
World's most powerful laser to be built in UK and will be 'million, billion, billion' times brighter than the sun trib.al/52TsTi9
We'll only get the Hull and Girvan results tonight, MK and Colchester are counting in the morning.
@LukeTryl Think you probably need to ask about some other periods/empires to get some calibration here.
I've been convinced by @TyronSurmon and @edhodgsoned this is an actual live debate. So to resolve the debate about how often the (UK) public think about the Roman Empire... for most people not very much. But...
Missed our newsletter today? Here's what you missed: 🧭 Compass fallacy - are the Tories southern or is the country? 📈 PM winners & losers - seat gains vs increasing vote share 🚶 Elastic theory - biggest supporters aren't the most permanent Read here: buff.ly/3Rk9Y0n
It would be good to see individual media outlets consider using #TomorrowsPapersToday to share their front-pages
It is with regret that @TmorrowsPapers will no longer be running. Unfortunately some changes to Twitter came into effect which would mean upgrading at a cost of £100 per month for me to continue this account. Thank you for your support over the last three years, @TmorrowsPapers
@lordbonkers @BritainElects 'All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order'
@Morris2906 @BritainElects Chill. It's an automatically included image from the top of the linked story which covers three results, the first one being Wootton Bridge on IoW.
@BritainElects Make sure we know. This site is becoming intolerable.
@BritainElects I would recommend diversifying platforms, being more than one place will protect from future versions of... this.