Survation. @Survation
Insightful, selected, trusted. Waiting for Survation? - we can help, find out more: https://t.co/nw1PTftwM5 survation.com London Joined May 2009-
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Our polling for @We_OwnIt found considerable support for public ownership of the railways.
There is considerable public support for running the railways in the public sector: survation.com/new-polling-re…
The Government is running out of time to fulfil its promise to renters. If it fails to impose a proper, immediate ban on no-fault eviction a new @Survation poll for @38degrees shows that voters will see it for what it is: a broken promise. inews.co.uk/news/politics/…
New blog post: Why are MRP estimates so variable when the uniform national swing is so predictable? chrishanretty.co.uk/posts/changing… tl;dr MRP doesn't look like uniform national swing right now but will closer to the election; campaigning brings things into line w/ UNS (cc @Survation)
“The Government should put economics before politics." Our @mhilton73 spoke with @RachaelBurford about what today's rise in the salary threshold for skilled worker visas means for firms. Our new @Survation stats show half are struggling to recruit ⬇ businessldn.co.uk/news-publicati…
“The Government should put economics before politics." Our @mhilton73 spoke with @RachaelBurford about what today's rise in the salary threshold for skilled worker visas means for firms. Our new @Survation stats show half are struggling to recruit ⬇ businessldn.co.uk/news-publicati…
Key point here is that there are bound to be some outliers but the main benefit of MRP is to get constituency level estimates (for all constituencies) with significantly lower sample sizes than individual seat polls. Example - Godalming and Ash: Phone Poll vs MRP
Key point here is that there are bound to be some outliers but the main benefit of MRP is to get constituency level estimates (for all constituencies) with significantly lower sample sizes than individual seat polls. Example - Godalming and Ash: Phone Poll vs MRP https://t.co/XgvXrBgHOA
The full details of our new MRP polling for @BestForBritain are available at the following link: bestforbritain.org/spring-2024-po…
Sunday Times splashes new Survation MRP for @BestForBritain: thetimes.co.uk/article/genera…
Election Maps UK @ElectionMapsUK
172K Followers 186 Following 🗳️ mapping the uk's votes & collating polls since 2017 || if you appreciate my work, tips are very welcome here: https://t.co/MIsC3KNCQ6
Britain Elects @BritainElects
345K Followers 42 Following Est. 2013, the UK's largest poll aggregator. Co-founded by @BNHWalker and Lily Summers. Join our Discord: https://t.co/E6inN3Io6g
British Electoral Pol.. @electpoliticsuk
42K Followers 1K Following Talking and covering politics, polls, news and election results across the United Kingdom | You can support BEP at https://t.co/auKfEi02sf…
Ben Walker @BNHWalker
25K Followers 2K Following Co-Founder of @BritainElects. Senior Data Journalist for the @NewStatesman. Borough councillor for Chester's city centre and the Garden Quarter.
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156K Followers 545 Following Chief Political Commentator, The Independent; visiting professor, King’s College London. Author with Jon Davis, Heroes or Villains? The Blair Govt Reconsidered
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49K Followers 7K Following Journalist. Ex: @DailyMirror @HuffPostUK @TheNorthernEcho @ChronicleLive & @NewStatesman Northern. NUFC.
Will Jennings @drjennings
27K Followers 6K Following I research and write about politics, public policy, public opinion, polls, elections, trust.
Ballot Box Scotland @BallotBoxScot
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47K Followers 3K Following Politics Prof, author "The British General Election of 2019" & "Brexitland" Senior Fellow @UKandEU "The Swingometer" - https://t.co/I4x2VwsRoF
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J @Beyond_Topline
7K Followers 2K Following Analysis of polling and elections, with a particular focus on looking under the bonnet to draw out nuances in the electoral landscape. Prone to typos.
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mummypenny💙🇪�.. @NattyNord
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30 Followers 127 Following Don’t stop talking about Palestine🙋♀️🙋♂️. Don’t stop talking about Gaza📍
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69K Followers 8K Following Standing for re-election as Mayor of West Yorkshire. Promoted by Nan Sloane on behalf of Tracy Brabin, both at Quayside House, Canal Wharf, Leeds LS11 5PS
Tirza #NoHate #NoWar .. @TirtsasKram
2K Followers 2K Following #DieWaffenNieder! ☮️ ❤️ schlägt links für lebenswerte sozial-ökologische Zukunft 🏳️🌈 🌹 #Seenotrettung 🆘 #BlackLivesMatter! Listen=Block
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ElectionPred @electionPGGE
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172K Followers 186 Following 🗳️ mapping the uk's votes & collating polls since 2017 || if you appreciate my work, tips are very welcome here: https://t.co/MIsC3KNCQ6
Britain Elects @BritainElects
345K Followers 42 Following Est. 2013, the UK's largest poll aggregator. Co-founded by @BNHWalker and Lily Summers. Join our Discord: https://t.co/E6inN3Io6g
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42K Followers 1K Following Talking and covering politics, polls, news and election results across the United Kingdom | You can support BEP at https://t.co/auKfEi02sf…
John Rentoul @JohnRentoul
156K Followers 545 Following Chief Political Commentator, The Independent; visiting professor, King’s College London. Author with Jon Davis, Heroes or Villains? The Blair Govt Reconsidered
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27K Followers 6K Following I research and write about politics, public policy, public opinion, polls, elections, trust.
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47K Followers 3K Following Politics Prof, author "The British General Election of 2019" & "Brexitland" Senior Fellow @UKandEU "The Swingometer" - https://t.co/I4x2VwsRoF
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7K Followers 2K Following Analysis of polling and elections, with a particular focus on looking under the bonnet to draw out nuances in the electoral landscape. Prone to typos.
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23K Followers 2K Following Labour candidate for East Ren. Strategist working around the world. Chair @uyghurstop Ran indyref campaign to keep theUK united. Subscribe to newsletter below.
Opros Politics 🇺�.. @OprosUK
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25K Followers 1K Following 🌹 @ScottishLabour MSP for Central Scotland ✊ Trade unionist 🙌 The cause of labour is the hope of the world
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5K Followers 2K Following @UofGlasgow ESRC-funded PhD studying the strategies and tactics of nationalists campaigning for greater political autonomy or independence for their nation | 🐾
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17K Followers 4K Following We help people be active citizens with technology, research and data used by individuals, journalists, and civil society in over 40 countries around the world.
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73 Followers 267 Following Working in international commodity business, a happy Daddy, LibDem and Spurs supporter. RTs & Likes are not endorsement. I tend to mute grifters@MattSingh_ @chrishanretty @Survation Adding in constituency-level reversion as well as DK-reversion would create a pretty heavy status quo bias?
👇👇👇
New blog post: Why are MRP estimates so variable when the uniform national swing is so predictable? chrishanretty.co.uk/posts/changing… tl;dr MRP doesn't look like uniform national swing right now but will closer to the election; campaigning brings things into line w/ UNS (cc @Survation)
New blog post: Why are MRP estimates so variable when the uniform national swing is so predictable? chrishanretty.co.uk/posts/changing… tl;dr MRP doesn't look like uniform national swing right now but will closer to the election; campaigning brings things into line w/ UNS (cc @Survation)
“The Government should put economics before politics." Our @mhilton73 spoke with @RachaelBurford about what today's rise in the salary threshold for skilled worker visas means for firms. Our new @Survation stats show half are struggling to recruit ⬇ businessldn.co.uk/news-publicati…
Foreign worker visa clampdown 'making it harder for London businesses' as wage thresholds rise this week standard.co.uk/news/politics/…
@livvyjohn @scotfax @Survation @BestForBritain 13 of those are with margin < 5%, and in the probabilities tab, only 20 SNP wins are with chances higher than 3 in 4, so the difference between 40 and 20-25 seats is very small. 2014 "No" voters being largely split between Lab/Con contributes to that
Key point here is that there are bound to be some outliers but the main benefit of MRP is to get constituency level estimates (for all constituencies) with significantly lower sample sizes than individual seat polls. Example - Godalming and Ash: Phone Poll vs MRP
Is the Conservative Party facing its worst defeat in history? @VasilSurvation breaks down what our latest MRP analysis for @BestForBritain does and doesn’t tell us in this article: survation.com/what-we-can-le…
We wait for Survation. 🌹
NEW: Westminster Voting Intention. Labour’s lead rises to 19 points as the Conservatives record their lowest vote share since 12th February 2023. LAB 45 (+1) CON 26 (-3) LD 11 (+2) GRN 3 (-) RFM 8 (+1) SNP 2 (-1) OTH 4 (-) F/w 11th -14th March. Changes vs. 16th February 2024.
This is why we wait for Survation
NEW: Westminster Voting Intention. Labour’s lead rises to 19 points as the Conservatives record their lowest vote share since 12th February 2023. LAB 45 (+1) CON 26 (-3) LD 11 (+2) GRN 3 (-) RFM 8 (+1) SNP 2 (-1) OTH 4 (-) F/w 11th -14th March. Changes vs. 16th February 2024.
@electpoliticsuk @Survation We waited for Survation and Survation delivered
If you were waiting for Survation, it's a 19-point Labour lead
NEW: Westminster Voting Intention. Labour’s lead rises to 19 points as the Conservatives record their lowest vote share since 12th February 2023. LAB 45 (+1) CON 26 (-3) LD 11 (+2) GRN 3 (-) RFM 8 (+1) SNP 2 (-1) OTH 4 (-) F/w 11th -14th March. Changes vs. 16th February 2024.
@ElectionMapsUK @Survation This is why we wait for Survation 💪🏻
The biggest (pleasant) surprise in Rochdale last night was just how few people voted for the ex Labour Candidate recorded engaging in conspiracy theories. Many otherwise regular Labour voters that did turn out voted for Independent candidates, generally campaigning on sensible…
The Rochdale by-election is now essentially now Labour’s postal votes vs the field. The “not Galloway” vote will now be split. Could not be better set-up for The Worker’s Party leader…
I made a dashboard to present some of our latest MRP estimates, feel free to explore 👇
🚨Dashboard Klaxon🧵 We worked with our partners at Lodestone Communications to build a GE 2024 dashboard, which has some cool features. The initial focus is on Labour vs Conservative battles, but there's MRP data and projections for all seats in GB: lodestonecommunications.com/election-hub
@DamianSurvation Can you do anything similar with Kingswood and/or Rochdale?
NEW: Professor Jane Green is the new President of the British Polling Council britishpollingcouncil.org/new-president-…
We carried out a similar exercise last year (on new boundaries) and found very similar results. (this is for the new seat - Wellingborough and Rushden)
@ElectionMapsUK @Survation Any other leader would be 20 points ahead.
@Survation Presumably this will lead to a new meme: "Any good polling organisation would be 20 polls ahead of all the others"!😀
Reports in @POLITICOEurope of a @Survation poll, showing nearly half of voters would consider voting tactically, confirms findings of our own megapoll that found just over half would consider doing so. The effect is even stronger in marginal seats. ~AA bestforbritain.org/new_mega_poll_…
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