Dan Rasmussen @verdadcap
I am the founder and CIO of Verdad Advisers. Views are my own. Join our email list: https://t.co/jbASQUtki5 verdadcap.com Joined January 2018-
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We created a daily-updating index that tracks aggregate LTM revenue growth for all global public companies, weighted by USD revenue 1-year ago. The growth slowdown is quite striking...
@TopTradersLive @andrewdbeer1 Here is a chart from Dan Rasmussen doing the rounds on LinkedIn. Over the last decade, bonds were favored for their ability to move opposite to stocks, but the inflation surge in 2022 showed us that this pattern breaks down when inflation exceeds 3%. Historical insights…
Yes, but this is a bit misleading. Census reports that there are ~20K firms with >500 employees. Of these 12% are public. So far we're in line roughly with Torsten's calcs. BUT 55% of the total # of employees work in the 12% of companies that are public. <1% of companies are…
Yes, but this is a bit misleading. Census reports that there are ~20K firms with >500 employees. Of these 12% are public. So far we're in line roughly with Torsten's calcs. BUT 55% of the total # of employees work in the 12% of companies that are public. <1% of companies are…
Interesting stat by @verdadcap on the corporate debt + cash evolution over the years in Japan vs the US.
Japanese companies lagged the US in revenue growth from 2000 to 2010, barely growing EPS at all. But since then, the EPS of the biggest 500 Japanese stocks has increased by 5.8x over the last 14 years, almost twice the rate of their American peers now.
In the past 25 years, institutional asset managers have radically shifted their portfolios to owning as much as 40% of assets in illiquid private equity. "There's nothing more overbought today than private equity," said Dan Rasmussen @verdadcap during the Hedgeye Investing…
Priced Risk and Asymmetric Volatility in the Cross-Section of Skewness (Engle, Mistry) "Risk aversion manifests in individual stock skewness. "Smaller, value, and highly levered firms and firms with poor credit ratings have more positive skewness." papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
1 | New Paper: International Intangible Value Can investors take advantage of cheaper foreign markets without compromising on growth and innovation? 😢International Stagnation 🐢Intangible Underinvestment 🏅Intangible Leaders 📈Factor Backtest ⚖️Foreign Dilemma (h/t @MebFaber,…
Princeton endowment head says 40% allocation to PE was, in retrospect, not his best idea: on.ft.com/3W5yJ33
Really enjoyed my conversation with @OJRenick on the @SchwabNetwork schwabnetwork.com/video/expectat…
To survive the hard times that are fast approaching. investors should focus on hard assets, writes Daniel Rasmussen wsj.com/finance/how-to…
From the always excellent Tyler Vanderweele at Harvard Center for Human Flourishing: harvardpublichealth.org/policy-practic…
My review in the WSJ of the Missing Billionaires: An obscure mathematical formula may be the key to building and managing complex portfolios over time. wsj.com/finance/invest… via @WSJBooks
My review in the WSJ of “How to Listen When Markets Speak” wsj.com/finance/how-to… via @WSJBooks
Is now the time to put money into alternatives and private equity? That’s the biggest mistake you can make right now, says Dan Rasmussen @verdadcap. “That’s not safe. It’s the opposite of safe. That’s highly risky.”
"There's nothing more overbought today than private equity," said Dan Rasmussen @verdadcap during the Hedgeye Investing Summit. Rasmussen broke down the dangers of blindly following consensus and mainstream trains of thought in today's investing world. "Investing is not a game…
Now this guy has market knowledge! Thanking Dan Rasmussen @verdadcap !
Now this guy has market knowledge! Thanking Dan Rasmussen @verdadcap !
81% of private credit assets are managed by firms that also manage private equity funds and 72% of private credit deals (in North America) are sponsored by private equity firms borrowing from Peter to dividend recap Paul??🤔🤔🤔 per IMF
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@verdadcap The rally in global stocks over the last 6 months suggests this is about to form a V shaped recovery.
The ideas that have made us so powerful - personal freedom rule of law property rights representative government tolerance the scientific method, and so on - happen to be Good, in & of themselves.
I think it is a profound failure that Harvard Yard continues to be occupied in clear violation of university policies and rules. This is the predictable culmination of the Harvard Corporation’s failure to effectively address issues of prejudice and breakdowns of order on our…
"The Russell 1000 Growth Index saw its price/book increase to 88% above its average of 5.8 since 2000. The Russell 2000 Value Index saw its price/book fall 7% below its average since 2000 to 1.3." via @larryswedroe morningstar.com/portfolios/lar…
@Hedgeye @verdadcap Private equity: the most overbought asset class in history!
See if you can spot the recessions?
We created a daily-updating index that tracks aggregate LTM revenue growth for all global public companies, weighted by USD revenue 1-year ago. The growth slowdown is quite striking...
In case anyone was wondering whether growth rates matter anymore in a world of stock buybacks and cruise control, passive investing.
@verdadcap No one wants to hear this type of news. However, the experts say this is a "roaring bull market."
This would make a lot of sense given all the Fed’s tightening. It looks accurate historically. Perhaps the economy is not as strong as the government reports and the consensus thinks it is @verdadcap
We created a daily-updating index that tracks aggregate LTM revenue growth for all global public companies, weighted by USD revenue 1-year ago. The growth slowdown is quite striking...
Why is Hollywood obsessed with painting Boston as a chaotic playground for organized crime filled with scrappy blue collar types? It’s objectively one of the safest cities of its size in America and a heavily gentrified wealthy finance/tech bro enclave. Also a major college town.
@verdadcap why not back out CPI? same general trends, but recent peak would look less pronounced.
@verdadcap want growth? private markets are for you! happy to intro to 100+ VCs i know who are trying to raise ;)
@verdadcap @profplum99 This diverges greatly by large versus small. Or even SPX versus Russel 2000. Per Refinitiv, SPX q1 YoY tracking north of 2% compared with Russell 2k significantly in red. Could be a manifestation of quality factor…
@verdadcap Wait, what? Are they subject to economic cycles as well! ? x.com/verdadcap/stat…
We created a daily-updating index that tracks aggregate LTM revenue growth for all global public companies, weighted by USD revenue 1-year ago. The growth slowdown is quite striking...
@verdadcap Had a quick look on a sector basis. Energy will be part of the story, though smaller sector nowadays.
👀👇
We created a daily-updating index that tracks aggregate LTM revenue growth for all global public companies, weighted by USD revenue 1-year ago. The growth slowdown is quite striking...
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