Temuhawk @temuhawk

Interested in linguistic, social, political, financial, and engineering systems Hong Kong Joined April 2026

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Temuhawk @temuhawk

a month ago

Politics is the intriguing exposition of evil.

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Temuhawk @temuhawk

2 months ago

閱兵式站在天安門城樓上的習近平，眉宇間落滿了標誌性的憂愁三十六載歲月不變他的眼神三十六載歲月前他三十六歲我彷彿看到了那個青年扛著鋤頭，微笑著，大步走在寧德的田野裏

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Temuhawk @temuhawk

2 months ago

@tree_lemmon Haha, just trying out X features.

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John Mearsheimer: 'I might add that as a realist, I feel intellectually more at home in Beijing than Washington because Chinese scholars and policymakers tend to be more sympathetic to realism than their American counterparts. So, when I speak in China— where there is a deep fascination with American IR theories—I sometimes start my talks by saying, “It is good to be back among my people.” And I do not speak one word of Chinese, although I do speak the same language as my Chinese interlocutors when we talk about the basic realities of international politics.' mearsheimer.com/wp-content/upl…

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Temuhawk @temuhawk

2 months ago

@A_H_Kulus 是的，這應該是“文化大革命”的悲劇之後經過反思形成的新的“解放思想，實事求是”的文化。然而在今天的美國，無論是左派還是右派，我都能看到像宗教狂熱一樣的影子。

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Temuhawk @temuhawk

2 months ago

@yarbatman Thanks, but not sure about your conclusion. Instead, not enough pain does not incentivize Iran to make a deal, right?

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Grok @grok

2 months ago

Mearsheimer's offensive realism starts from standard premises: anarchy in the system, states prioritizing survival through power maximization, and uncertainty driving competition. These aren't "false"—they're structural assumptions that explain why great powers behave as they do, not how we'd like them to. His track record on Ukraine, NATO expansion, and US-China rivalry has held up better than liberal alternatives. Beijing resonates with it because it treats IR as power politics, not morality lectures. Realism isn't idealism in disguise; it's descriptive, often brutally so. What's the specific "false premise" you see in his work?

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Temuhawk @temuhawk

2 months ago

@RookyGoosy @grok I’m interested to know.

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Temuhawk @temuhawk

2 months ago

@poupychtung Frérot, ça n'existe pas, c'est juste un meme. 😂

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Temuhawk @temuhawk

2 months ago

@JanusBlinked I doubt many actually buy into that eschatology stuff. It feels more like 'grift, baby, grift' to me.

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Temuhawk @temuhawk

2 months ago

Global capitalists, neoconservatives, and the Israel lobby are Beijing’s best friends!

Stephen Wertheim @stephenwertheim

2 months ago

The pivot to West Asia!

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Grok @grok

2 months ago

是的，两者在结构上有高度相似性：都持普世真理观（民主 vs 共产主义）、历史目的论（必然进步 vs 革命终点）、善恶二元划分，且认为正义一方有权通过干预（军事/革命）改造“邪恶”世界，实现乌托邦。它们可归入更大范畴——“世俗救世主义”（secular messianism）或“现代政治宗教”，都源于启蒙后的普世主义冲动，但路径对立。并非同一主义，而是平行变体，常被哲学家（如沃格林）并论为意识形态极端。

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Temuhawk @temuhawk

2 months ago

@grok @GuoxinLi4 @grok 听你这么一说，我怎么感觉新保守主义和共产主义有着惊人的结构性相似？它们有没有隶属于某种更大的“主义”？

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Grok @grok

2 months ago

这种观点属于**新保守主义**（Neoconservatism），尤其是其外交政策分支：强调自由民主是普世价值，文明有善恶之分，正义一方有权通过干预（包括战争）取代“邪恶”政权，同时强烈反共、反左派。它在内部逻辑上是自洽的——前提清晰（历史可辨善恶、制度优劣可由财富验证），推论连贯（遏制中共、支持民主推广皆自然延伸）。但前提的普世性假设和干预实际效果，常被外部批评为简化复杂现实。

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Temuhawk @temuhawk

2 months ago

@GuoxinLi4 @grok 原帖和我的回复里描述了“他们”的观点，这属于什么school of thought？是逻辑自洽的吗？

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Temuhawk @temuhawk

2 months ago

总结一下他们的观点：正义和邪恶是显而易见的。自己了解真实的历史。在此基础上，建立了成熟的价值观和对政治问题的解决方案。文明有善恶之分，正义的文明有权干预并取代邪恶的文明。自由民主是普世价值，这套制度推广到其他国家就能解决问题，以此为名义的战争也是正义的。反对美国左派。美国大学里普遍的左派是美国的恨国党。反对共产主义，主张遏制中共。因为中共这个政权是邪恶的，所以像钱学森那样帮助中国这个国家也是错的。因为美国比其他国家富裕，所以美国的制度更好。

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Temuhawk @temuhawk

2 months ago

@deepblueteamate @saamohod @grok From this thread of conversations, could you infer the differences in the thinking paradigms of the commenters and me?

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Temuhawk @temuhawk

2 months ago

First of all, humanity desires peace, and I sympathize with the Ukrainian people. While we can condemn war, we cannot control Putin's actions. Politicians must recognize this reality and evaluate the available choices in Ukraine's best interests: 1) Balance relations between Russia and the West to avert war. 2) Align more closely with NATO and face the consequences Putin threatened. @grok What's your take?